商界展望2012:营收改善,就业乏力
大部分接受《财富》杂志(Fortune)调查的公司高管和企业家们预计,2012年他们所在公司的营收将出现增长,其中又有超过半数预计最大的增长将来自美国和加拿大。 约78%的受访者表示,相信2012年他们所在企业的营收将出现增长;73%的受访者认为,今年他们所处行业的总体营收将增长。2011年12月底,《财富》杂志邀请曾参加其重大现场活动和网络虚拟会议的商界高管回答有关2012年前景的问题;这些重大现场活动包括环保头脑风暴大会(Brainstorm Green)、科技头脑风暴大会(Brainstorm Tech)和《财富》最具影响力女性峰会(Fortune MPW Summit)。 在预计2012年公司营收将增长的受访者中,大部分(51%)预计美国/加拿大将是增长最快的地区,超过1/5的人认为是亚洲,只有4%的人认为是欧洲。 虽然受访者对于企业营收增长前景普遍乐观,但一谈到创造就业机会就显得有点谨慎了。只有约46%的受访者表示,他们所在公司将增加人手,另外48%的受访者预计公司员工人数将保持稳定,只有6%的人预计所在公司将裁员。 有近7/10的受访者认为,要迅速推动就业岗位的创造,必须有政府的支持:近半数人认为,需要提供政府-企业培训合作项目,超过1/3的人期望获得税收抵免,22%的人认为,由政府补贴的员工培训项目将有助于推动创造就业岗位。 谁会主导这些的项目?米特•罗姆尼是目前获得共和党内总统候选人提名呼声最高的(59%的受访者对他表示认同),但大部分的受访者(63%)预计巴拉克•奥巴马将赢得连任,继续执掌白宫。 |
A majority of executives and entrepreneurs surveyed by Fortune predict their companies' revenues will increase in 2012, and more than half of those who expect growth anticipate that the biggest gains will come in the U.S. and Canada. Some 78% of respondents say they believe their corporations will see revenue growth in 2012, and 73% believe their overall industry will see revenue rise this year. Fortune at the end of December invited attendees of its major live events -- Brainstorm Green, Brainstorm Tech, and the Fortune MPW Summit -- and those who participated via an online virtual conference -- to respond to questions about their outlook for 2012. Among those who expect revenue gains in the new year, the majority -- 51% -- say the U.S./Canada is the region that will deliver the fastest growth. More than a fifth of respondents say Asia will be their fastest-growing region. Only 4% cited Europe as a fast-growth territory. Despite their general optimism about revenue growth, the survey respondents are somewhat more cautious when it comes to job creation. Some 46% say their companies will add employees, while another 48% expect employment to hold steady at their firms. Only 6% believe their corporations will cut jobs. Nearly 7 in 10 respondents say they think government intervention is necessary to jump-start job creation: Nearly half say public-private training partnerships are needed, and more than a third are looking for tax credits and 22% think that government-backed employee training programs will help spur job creation. Who would preside over such programs? Mitt Romney is considered the most likely to win the Republican presidential nomination (59% of respondents gave him the nod) but the majority of respondents, 63%, predict President Barack Obama will hold on to the White House. |