12个将改变商业的科技趋势

许多人愿意花一大笔钱，请咨询专家预测未来的科技趋势。你可以这样做，也可以用一本新书的价格，从麦肯锡全球研究所的内部智库得到同样的预测。这本书名为《大颠覆：全球四大力量正在打破所有的趋势》，作者为麦肯锡董事理查德·多布斯、詹姆斯·马尼卡和华强森。这本书将帮助你深入了解未来几十年对商业世界影响最大的科技发展趋势。我们在下文列出了他们给出的“12个最具颠覆性的科技趋势”。作者们相信，这些科技最有潜力改变当今的商业图景。

People pay plenty of money for consulting giants to help them figure out which technology trends are fads and which will stick. You could go that route, or get the same thing from the McKinsey Global Institute’s in-house think-tank for the cost of a new book. No Ordinary Disruption: The Four Global Forces Breaking All the Trends, was written by McKinsey directors Richard Dobbs, James Manyika, and Jonathan Woetzel, and offers insight into which developments will have the greatest impact on the business world in coming decades. Below, we’re recapping their list of the “Disruptive Dozen”—the technologies the group believes have the greatest potential to remake today’s business landscape.

储能技术

本书的作者们预测，未来十年，锂离子电池组的成本将降低三分之一，这一改变不仅对电动车领域至关重要，也与可再生能源存储技术的发展息息相关。同时，随着电池价格日益低廉和电池效率的提高，运输、发电和石油天然气行业也将受到重大影响。

Energy storage

The book's authors predict that the price of lithium-ion battery packs could fall by a third in the next 10 years, which will have a big impact on not only electric cars, but renewable energy storage. There will be major repercussions for the transportation, power generation, and the oil and gas industries as batteries grow cheaper and more efficient.