人类导致气候变化？科学家表示将抛出“铁证”

周一出版的《自然气候变化》杂志上，研究人员在一篇评论文章中称，人类活动引发大气变暖且导致全球气候变化的证据已经接近实证。

科学家们利用粒子物理学中常见的统计分析方法，探测神秘的希格斯玻色子，评估大量卫星数据。结论是，气候变暖只有百分之一的几率与人类活动无关。

“人们总说科学家搞不清气候变化的原因，其实说错了，我们知道。”劳伦斯·利弗莫尔国家实验室的大气科学家本杰明·桑特告诉路透社。

“人类不能忽视各种明确的信号”，这是文章得出的结论。然而，人们总是很顽固。路透社的另一份报告显示，在周二的一次行业活动中，沙特阿美石油公司的首席执行官阿明·纳赛尔表示，石油需求将显著增加。

“石油行业面临着多方利益相关者认知不同的危机。”纳赛尔表示。“传统上大量可靠且容易负担的品质已经无法满足当今社会的期望。”

纳赛尔还表示，不依赖石油，用其他物质满足世界能源需求“并非基于逻辑和事实，而是在压力和炒作下形成的。”

绿色新政方面，迫切需要和不愿接受的势头都存在。对这项雄心勃勃的计划，民主党高层较为谨慎，许多共和党人则表示强烈反对。（财富中文网）

译者：Pessy

审校：夏林

Evidence of humanity’s cause of global climate change through atmospheric warming has reached a gold standard of certainty, said researchers in a commentary in the journal Nature Climate Change published Monday.

Using a statistical analysis common in particle physics and employed in detecting the elusive Higgs Boson, scientists evaluated volumes of satellite data. The implications are that there is only a one-in-a-million chance that the pattern of atmospheric heating is not the result of human activity.

“The narrative out there that scientists don’t know the cause of climate change is wrong,” study lead author Benjamin Santer, an atmospheric scientist at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory told Reuters. “We do.”

“Humanity cannot afford to ignore such clear signals” were the words with which the paper concluded. However, people are persistent. At an industry event Tuesday, Amin Nasser, CEO of Saudi Arabia’s national oil company Aramco, said that demand for oil will increase significantly, according to a separate Reuters report.

“Our industry faces a crisis of perception with multiple stakeholders,” Nasser reportedly said. “Our traditional qualities of ample, reliable and affordable supply are not enough to meet society’s expectations today.”

Nasser also said that demands to run the world’s energy needs on something other than oil “are not based on logic and facts, and are formed mostly in response to pressure and hype.”

The Green New Deal has shown the dynamics of urgent need and reluctance to embrace it. The extremely ambitious plan has seen a tepid public response from top Democrats and outright opposition from many Republicans.