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专栏 - 从华尔街到硅谷

泡沫化?全球风险融资交易的规模继续扩大

Dan Primack 2011年05月05日

Dan Primack专注于报道交易和交易撮合者,从美国金融业到风险投资业均有涉及。此前,Dan是汤森路透(Thomson Reuters)的自由编辑,推出了peHUB.com和peHUB Wire邮件服务。作为一名新闻工作者,Dan还曾在美国马萨诸塞州罗克斯伯里经营一份社区报纸。目前他居住在波士顿附近。

    上个月,我曾经说到,美国风险融资数据已显露投资泡沫迹象。更多的钱,更少的公司,意味着风险资本期待更高的“现金的现金回报率”(cash-on-cash returns)。趋势是集中化,而不是分散化。

    如今,我们有了新的数据,显示这是一个全球现象。

    道琼斯(Dow Jones) VentureSource本周二宣布,一季度美国、欧洲、加拿大、中国大陆和印度967家公司的风险融资总额为98亿美元。融资总额较2010年同期增加20%,但融资公司数减少了7%。

    变化最大的是欧洲,融资额增加17%,但融资公司数减少了35% (创纪录新低)。事实上,182家融资公司是VentureSource自2000年开始统计以来的最低值。

    中国大陆的风险融资总额和融资公司数都呈现下降,但平均融资规模仍上升。融资规模中值创下新高1,500万美元 (较2010年一季度增加20%)。

    至于其他地区的风险融资规模中值,VentureSource的报告显示加拿大有大幅增长,美国和欧洲温和加速,印度和以色列下降。

    要知道,这都是假定处于精实创业(lean startup)的时代,即能以低成本实现全球化……

    总的来说,全球风险融资有66%流向了美国公司。欧洲其次,为16%。中国紧随其后,为15%。

    Last month, I argued that U.S. venture capital data was showing evidence of an investment bubble. More money going into fewer companies, which means that VCs are expecting higher cash-on-cash returns. Concentrating rather than diversifying.

    Now we have new numbers showing that this is a global phenomenon.

    Dow Jones VentureSource today said that VCs invested $9.8 billion into 967 deals last quarter for companies based on the U.S., Europe, Canada, mainland China and India. That's a 20% increase in dollars but a 7% decline in funded companies from the first quarter of 2010.

    The largest differential occurred in Europe, with a 17% increase in investment but a 35% drop in the number of deals (a record low). In fact, the 182 companies funded represents the lowest such figure since VentureSource began keeping track in 2000.

    Mainland China experienced drops in both dollars and companies, but average deal size still rose. Moreover, median deal size hit a record high of $15 million (20% bump from Q1 2010).

    As for median investment sizes in other regions, VentureSource reports a major increase in Canada, mild accelerations in the U.S. and Europe and decreases for both India and Israel.

    And, remember, this is all supposed to be in an age of lean startups that can globalize on the cheap...

    Overall, 66% of all global VC dollars went to U.S. companies. Europe placed second with 16%, while China followed closely with 15%.

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