人类已经走到终点？

在《财富》（Fortune）的头脑风暴能源大会上，投资者杰里米•格兰瑟姆对与会者表示，人类如今要为了下个世纪的生存“策马狂奔”。

本周一，这位77岁的资金经理在加利福尼亚州卡尔斯巴德的会场表示：“人类已经存在了约30万年，农业也有1.2万年的历史。但现在这100年来，整个游戏已经快到尾声了。”他说这不只是气候变暖的问题，但气候变暖加速了这个过程。

格兰瑟姆表示，对于用科技解决能源问题，他比大多数环境专家要乐观得多，但对于在不断变化的气候状况下养活全球迅速增长的人口，他比大多数科技专家要悲观得多。“两群人都低估了好消息和坏消息。”所以，他表示：“这就是一场赛马。”

《财富》的编辑布莱恩•奥基夫问格兰瑟姆谁会赢得胜利，格兰瑟姆回答道：“两边五五开。”（财富中文网）

译者：严匡正

Investor Jeremy Grantham told participants at Fortune’s Brainstorm E conference that mankind is now in the “race of our lives” to survive the next century.

“We’ve been around for 300,000 years. We’ve had agriculture for 12,000 years,” the 77-year-old money manager said on Monday in Carlsbad, Calif. “Yet we’ve come down to just 100 years where the whole game is playing out.” He said it’s not just that the climate is warming, but that climate warming is accelerating.

Grantham says he is far more optimistic about technology’s ability to solve energy problems than most environmentalists. But he is also far more pessimistic about the ability to feed a rapidly growing global population, given changing climate patterns, than most technologists. “Both groups underestimate the good news or the bad news.” As a result, he said, “it’s going to be quite a horse race.”

Asked by Fortune Editor Brian O’Keefe who would win, Grantham replied: “It’s fifty-fifty.”