哪怕你不是沃伦·巴菲特,也能预测到(对远程办公至关重要的)云服务供应商在疫情期间会拥有出色业绩,尽管在此期间,航空业、服务业等多个行业遭受了重创。但这并不意味着每家云计算公司都同样优秀。
红点创投(Redpoint Ventures)的贾明·鲍尔分析了54家公布了4月底到6月初收入的云计算上市公司第一季度的业绩,并就此撰写了一篇深刻的文章。
在这54家公司中,只有三家企业没有超出分析师预期,而且其中很多公司的业绩远超预期。当然,考虑到2020年有那么多人和公司不得不远程办公,这个结果毫不意外,因为现在这种情况有利于那些能够提供云端工具进行通讯、购物、开发票的公司。
鲍尔还使用了一系列财务指标来确定这批公司中的佼佼者。其中包括一些常见指标,比如股票价格增值率,但也包括一些更微妙的指标。比如净营收保留率(衡量特定客户群体对公司营收贡献值的增长幅度)以及公司获取客户的成本。
在鲍尔分析的54家公司中,有8家公司脱颖而出,各项指标均表现出色。其中一些公司很有名,比如今天无处不在的Zoom和电商巨头Shopify。
其他一些公司可能不太为消费者和投资者所熟知。其中包括信息监控服务供应商Datadog和提供电子发票开票及管理工具的Bill.com。
两家网络安全公司CrowdStrike和Zscaler也榜上有名,同样还有总部位于旧金山的Twilio,其主营业务是帮助企业实现短信服务自动化。鲍尔的“云端最佳”排行榜上另外一家公司是Fastly,为企业提供内容交付和在线流媒体服务。
所有这些公司上市时间都相对较短,投资者认为,与微软(Microsoft)和Adobe等老牌云计算公司相比,它们属于高增长公司。这些公司的股价也毫不意外地反映了这种看涨情绪。
鲍尔的文章中有一段话被几位读者标为高亮,它解释了为什么高增长潜力和可预测营收相结合,让这些云计算公司的股票如此具有吸引力。
“像Twilio这样的公司,净保留率高达143%……也就是说,哪怕该公司明年一个新客户都不增加,也能保持43%的年增长率。这个数字令人震惊,其他任何行业都做不到。每个客户的终身价值……往往是客户获取成本的好几倍。可以预见的收益流、高(在某些情况下还在加速的)收入增长,再加上诱人的单位经济效益,让SaaS(软件即服务)市场在整个动荡时期都极具吸引力。”鲍尔写道。
这听起来像是连沃伦·巴菲特都会喜欢的行业。(财富中文网)
译者:Agatha
哪怕你不是沃伦·巴菲特,也能预测到(对远程办公至关重要的)云服务供应商在疫情期间会拥有出色业绩,尽管在此期间,航空业、服务业等多个行业遭受了重创。但这并不意味着每家云计算公司都同样优秀。
红点创投(Redpoint Ventures)的贾明·鲍尔分析了54家公布了4月底到6月初收入的云计算上市公司第一季度的业绩,并就此撰写了一篇深刻的文章。
在这54家公司中,只有三家企业没有超出分析师预期,而且其中很多公司的业绩远超预期。当然,考虑到2020年有那么多人和公司不得不远程办公,这个结果毫不意外,因为现在这种情况有利于那些能够提供云端工具进行通讯、购物、开发票的公司。
鲍尔还使用了一系列财务指标来确定这批公司中的佼佼者。其中包括一些常见指标,比如股票价格增值率,但也包括一些更微妙的指标。比如净营收保留率(衡量特定客户群体对公司营收贡献值的增长幅度)以及公司获取客户的成本。
在鲍尔分析的54家公司中,有8家公司脱颖而出,各项指标均表现出色。其中一些公司很有名,比如今天无处不在的Zoom和电商巨头Shopify。
其他一些公司可能不太为消费者和投资者所熟知。其中包括信息监控服务供应商Datadog和提供电子发票开票及管理工具的Bill.com。
两家网络安全公司CrowdStrike和Zscaler也榜上有名,同样还有总部位于旧金山的Twilio,其主营业务是帮助企业实现短信服务自动化。鲍尔的“云端最佳”排行榜上另外一家公司是Fastly,为企业提供内容交付和在线流媒体服务。
所有这些公司上市时间都相对较短,投资者认为,与微软(Microsoft)和Adobe等老牌云计算公司相比,它们属于高增长公司。这些公司的股价也毫不意外地反映了这种看涨情绪。
鲍尔的文章中有一段话被几位读者标为高亮,它解释了为什么高增长潜力和可预测营收相结合,让这些云计算公司的股票如此具有吸引力。
“像Twilio这样的公司,净保留率高达143%……也就是说,哪怕该公司明年一个新客户都不增加,也能保持43%的年增长率。这个数字令人震惊,其他任何行业都做不到。每个客户的终身价值……往往是客户获取成本的好几倍。可以预见的收益流、高(在某些情况下还在加速的)收入增长,再加上诱人的单位经济效益,让SaaS(软件即服务)市场在整个动荡时期都极具吸引力。”鲍尔写道。
这听起来像是连沃伦·巴菲特都会喜欢的行业。(财富中文网)
译者:Agatha
You didn’t have to be Warren Buffett to predict that cloud service providers—which are essential to remote work—would do well during the pandemic, even as sectors like airlines and hospitality took a beating. But that doesn’t mean every cloud company performed the same.
In an incisive essay, Jamin Ball of Redpoint Ventures examined how 54 publicly traded cloud companies, which reported earnings between late April and early June, performed over the first quarter.
All but three of the 54 firms beat analyst expectations, and many of them did so by a wide margin. Once again, this is hardly surprising given how many people and companies had to embrace remote work in 2020—a situation favoring firms that can provide cloud-based tools to communicate, shop, invoice, and much more.
Ball, however, used a series of financial metrics to identify the best of the bunch. The metrics include a few commonplace ones, like share price appreciation, but more nuanced ones too. These included net revenue retention—a number that looks at how much revenue increased for a given cohort of customers—as well a company’s cost of customer acquisition.
This analysis produced eight standouts among the 54 companies Ball analyzed, each of which performed well across his various metrics. Some of the companies are well known like Zoom, which is everywhere these days, and the e-commerce giant Shopify.
The others may be less well known to many consumers and investors. They include information monitoring service Datadog and Bill.com, which offers tools to create and manage digital invoices.
Two cybersecurity companies, CrowdStrike and Zscaler are on the list and so is San Francisco–based Twilio, which helps companies automate text message services. Rounding out Ball’s best-in-cloud ranking is Fastly, which helps companies with content delivery and online streaming.
All of these companies are relatively recent arrivals to the public markets, and investors view them as high-growth players compared with longtime cloud incumbents like Microsoft and Adobe. Unsurprisingly, their share prices already reflect this bullish sentiment.
One passage in Ball’s essay, highlighted by several readers, explains how the combination of high-growth potential and predictable revenue has made these cloud stocks so appealing to many investors.
“Companies like Twilio, with high net retention of 143%…can afford to add 0 new customers over the next year and still grow 43% annually. This is astounding, and something no other industry can claim. The lifetime value of each customer…is often multiples greater than the cost to acquire them. The combo of predictable revenue streams, high (and in some cases accelerating) revenue growth, and attractive unit economics have made SaaS [software as a service] an incredibly attractive market throughout these turbulent times,” Ball writes.
Sounds like a sector even Warren Buffett could love.