首页 500强 活动 榜单 商业 科技 领导力 专题 品牌中心
杂志订阅

许多上班族愿意降薪25%以留住工作,但大多数老板不愿意

PAOLO CONFINO
2023-08-14

这表明上班族为了避免失业愿意付出巨大的代价。

文本设置
小号
默认
大号
Plus(0条)

一项最新研究发现,许多员工宁愿接受降薪,也不愿被裁员。图片来源:TOM WERNER—GETTY IMAGES

一项最新研究发现,虽然上班族为了避免失业愿意大幅降薪,但公司在裁员之前几乎从未向员工提出降薪。

美国国家经济研究局(National Bureau of Economic Research)对最近被裁员的上班族调查发现,60%的人为了留住自己的工作愿意接受降薪5%。此外,如果能留住工作,超过一半上班族愿意降薪10%,而且有近三分之一接受降薪25%,这表明上班族为了避免失业愿意付出巨大的代价。

最令人震惊的或许是,几乎没有雇主会与面临裁员的雇员讨论这个话题。尽管员工愿意接受降薪,但只有不到3%的受访者表示,雇主提出通过降薪换取保留他们的工作岗位。这种如此明显的脱节,令研究人员难以理解。

他们写道:“员工普遍愿意接受降薪,但雇主却不愿意主动提出降薪,这令人更加迷惑。”

该论文称,之前讨论这个话题的学术论文,例如杜鲁门·比利的《为何经济衰退期间工资上涨》(Why Wages Rise in a Recession)一直认为,通过降薪避免被裁员是一种无效的方法,因为上班族不会接受降薪。克利夫兰联邦储备银行(Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland)的高级研究经济学家、研究作者之一帕维尔·克罗里库斯基对《财富》杂志表示:“之前的研究留下了员工拒绝降薪的可能性。我认为我们的论文证明实际情况通常并非如此。上班族实际上愿意接受降薪。”

不同性别、教育程度和工作经验的上班族都愿意接受降薪以留住工作,但有一个例外:黑人员工愿意接受降薪以避免被裁员的概率高约12%。克罗里库斯基和他的研究合作伙伴、芝加哥大学布斯商学院(University of Chicago Booth School of Business)经济学教授史蒂夫·J·戴维斯在论文中写道,他们认为出现这种现象的原因是黑人上班族的贫困率更高,因此他们对可能影响财务状况的失业“表现出更明显的敏感性”。

更令人不解的是,上班族在面临裁员时,即使许多人愿意以降薪换取留住工作,但他们几乎从来不会主动与雇主交流这种观点。在2,567名调查受访者中,只有7人表示自己主动提出了这种想法。所有受访者都在2018年9月至2019年7月期间在伊利诺伊州领取了失业保险补助。

员工愿意接受降薪,但雇主对此却保持沉默,对于这种脱节,克罗里库斯基和戴维斯衡量了如果老板和雇员能够找到一种双方都能接受的降薪方案,有多少人可以避免被裁员。根据他们目前的研究,如果向愿意接受降薪的员工提供他们认为可以接受的降薪方案,可避免28%的裁员。他们估计,这个数字可能高达35%,但要证明他们的评估,可能需要更深入地了解每一位受访者被裁员的具体情况。克罗里库斯基和戴维斯写道,避免裁员“符合员工和雇主的利益”,因为公司依旧可以削减成本,而员工得以留住自己的工作,由此带来的好处是显而易见的。

既然有确凿证据能证明通过员工降薪可避免约30%的裁员,这令人更加不解为什么会缺少对相关话题的交流。在被问到出现这种状况的原因时,克罗里库斯基表示这是因为雇主不愿意将人事决策的控制权交给员工。他说道:“雇主可以选择裁撤哪些员工;但在降薪时他们就失去了这种主动权。”

在研究中,克罗里库斯基和戴维斯询问同意降薪但依旧被裁员的员工,他们认为雇主为什么没有提供降薪这种选择。有38.9%的受访者回答“我不知道”,比例最高。

论文称:“这个结果表明,许多失业者并不理解导致裁员的商业考量。”

然而,排在第二位的回答是:“它不可能避免我被裁员。”有36.3%的受访者认为这是雇主并未提供降薪这种方案的原因,这表明并非所有裁员都是单纯为了削减成本。有些裁员的原因是公司调整了业务重心,并希望将其认为不再重要的部门的员工,由其他部门的员工取而代之。克罗里库斯基认可这种现象,并认为这是一个“重要问题”,但他拒绝进一步评论,因为它超出了该项研究的范围。

员工认为雇主之所以没有提出降薪的其他原因是出于对公司整体工作效率的考量。8%的受访者提到了两种潜在解释:担心最优秀的员工辞职,以及降薪会影响员工士气。论文称:“当员工因为自己的工资水平感觉受到羞辱或不当对待时,公司的工作效率会受到影响。”

在这种情况下,公司的观点是,保留一批不开心的员工,而不是因为大规模裁员而承受长期人手不足的影响,只会让公司的状况更加恶化。论文中引用了轮胎制造商凡士通(Firestone)的例子。该公司宣布在即将签署的工会合约中降低员工薪资,与此同时召回了1,400万个轮胎。

克罗里库斯基还表示,还有预测不开心和生产效率低下的员工这个实际问题。他说道:“如果能提前识别这些员工,最好的政策可能是将他们裁撤,并建议其他员工降薪。但如果无法提前识别或者无法有选择性地辞退这类员工,那么大范围裁员可能是最佳选择。”

以降薪换取留住工作的现象之所以较为罕见,另外一个原因是它可能会开创先例:员工可能在业绩强劲时要求涨薪,而且公司可能随意要求降薪。克罗里库斯基说道:“即使在形势大好的时候,雇主是否也可以要求降薪?试图降薪的公司可能不值得信任。”(财富中文网)

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

一项最新研究发现,虽然上班族为了避免失业愿意大幅降薪,但公司在裁员之前几乎从未向员工提出降薪。

美国国家经济研究局(National Bureau of Economic Research)对最近被裁员的上班族调查发现,60%的人为了留住自己的工作愿意接受降薪5%。此外,如果能留住工作,超过一半上班族愿意降薪10%,而且有近三分之一接受降薪25%,这表明上班族为了避免失业愿意付出巨大的代价。

最令人震惊的或许是,几乎没有雇主会与面临裁员的雇员讨论这个话题。尽管员工愿意接受降薪,但只有不到3%的受访者表示,雇主提出通过降薪换取保留他们的工作岗位。这种如此明显的脱节,令研究人员难以理解。

他们写道:“员工普遍愿意接受降薪,但雇主却不愿意主动提出降薪,这令人更加迷惑。”

该论文称,之前讨论这个话题的学术论文,例如杜鲁门·比利的《为何经济衰退期间工资上涨》(Why Wages Rise in a Recession)一直认为,通过降薪避免被裁员是一种无效的方法,因为上班族不会接受降薪。克利夫兰联邦储备银行(Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland)的高级研究经济学家、研究作者之一帕维尔·克罗里库斯基对《财富》杂志表示:“之前的研究留下了员工拒绝降薪的可能性。我认为我们的论文证明实际情况通常并非如此。上班族实际上愿意接受降薪。”

不同性别、教育程度和工作经验的上班族都愿意接受降薪以留住工作,但有一个例外:黑人员工愿意接受降薪以避免被裁员的概率高约12%。克罗里库斯基和他的研究合作伙伴、芝加哥大学布斯商学院(University of Chicago Booth School of Business)经济学教授史蒂夫·J·戴维斯在论文中写道,他们认为出现这种现象的原因是黑人上班族的贫困率更高,因此他们对可能影响财务状况的失业“表现出更明显的敏感性”。

更令人不解的是,上班族在面临裁员时,即使许多人愿意以降薪换取留住工作,但他们几乎从来不会主动与雇主交流这种观点。在2,567名调查受访者中,只有7人表示自己主动提出了这种想法。所有受访者都在2018年9月至2019年7月期间在伊利诺伊州领取了失业保险补助。

员工愿意接受降薪,但雇主对此却保持沉默,对于这种脱节,克罗里库斯基和戴维斯衡量了如果老板和雇员能够找到一种双方都能接受的降薪方案,有多少人可以避免被裁员。根据他们目前的研究,如果向愿意接受降薪的员工提供他们认为可以接受的降薪方案,可避免28%的裁员。他们估计,这个数字可能高达35%,但要证明他们的评估,可能需要更深入地了解每一位受访者被裁员的具体情况。克罗里库斯基和戴维斯写道,避免裁员“符合员工和雇主的利益”,因为公司依旧可以削减成本,而员工得以留住自己的工作,由此带来的好处是显而易见的。

既然有确凿证据能证明通过员工降薪可避免约30%的裁员,这令人更加不解为什么会缺少对相关话题的交流。在被问到出现这种状况的原因时,克罗里库斯基表示这是因为雇主不愿意将人事决策的控制权交给员工。他说道:“雇主可以选择裁撤哪些员工;但在降薪时他们就失去了这种主动权。”

在研究中,克罗里库斯基和戴维斯询问同意降薪但依旧被裁员的员工,他们认为雇主为什么没有提供降薪这种选择。有38.9%的受访者回答“我不知道”,比例最高。

论文称:“这个结果表明,许多失业者并不理解导致裁员的商业考量。”

然而,排在第二位的回答是:“它不可能避免我被裁员。”有36.3%的受访者认为这是雇主并未提供降薪这种方案的原因,这表明并非所有裁员都是单纯为了削减成本。有些裁员的原因是公司调整了业务重心,并希望将其认为不再重要的部门的员工,由其他部门的员工取而代之。克罗里库斯基认可这种现象,并认为这是一个“重要问题”,但他拒绝进一步评论,因为它超出了该项研究的范围。

员工认为雇主之所以没有提出降薪的其他原因是出于对公司整体工作效率的考量。8%的受访者提到了两种潜在解释:担心最优秀的员工辞职,以及降薪会影响员工士气。论文称:“当员工因为自己的工资水平感觉受到羞辱或不当对待时,公司的工作效率会受到影响。”

在这种情况下,公司的观点是,保留一批不开心的员工,而不是因为大规模裁员而承受长期人手不足的影响,只会让公司的状况更加恶化。论文中引用了轮胎制造商凡士通(Firestone)的例子。该公司宣布在即将签署的工会合约中降低员工薪资,与此同时召回了1,400万个轮胎。

克罗里库斯基还表示,还有预测不开心和生产效率低下的员工这个实际问题。他说道:“如果能提前识别这些员工,最好的政策可能是将他们裁撤,并建议其他员工降薪。但如果无法提前识别或者无法有选择性地辞退这类员工,那么大范围裁员可能是最佳选择。”

以降薪换取留住工作的现象之所以较为罕见,另外一个原因是它可能会开创先例:员工可能在业绩强劲时要求涨薪,而且公司可能随意要求降薪。克罗里库斯基说道:“即使在形势大好的时候,雇主是否也可以要求降薪?试图降薪的公司可能不值得信任。”(财富中文网)

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

Companies almost never offer employees pay cuts in the lead-up to layoffs, despite a willingness of workers to accept even deep reductions in wages to avoid losing their jobs, a new study finds.

The National Bureau of Economic Research survey of recently laid-off workers found that 60% would accept a pay cut of 5% to keep their jobs. Meanwhile, more than half would take a pay cut of 10% and nearly a third would accept a pay cut of 25% if it meant keeping their job, illustrating the lengths to which workers would go to avoid being unemployed.

Perhaps most shocking was the fact that virtually no employers even broached the subject with their employees facing a layoff. Fewer than 3% of respondents reported having been offered a salary reduction to save their job, even though they would have accepted one. The disconnect was so stark it even left the researchers stumped.

“Employer reluctance to offer wage cuts becomes more puzzling in the face of widespread worker willingness to accept them,” they write.

Previous scholarship on the topic, such as Truman Bewley’s book Why Wages Rise in a Recession, has always suggested pay cuts were an inefficient method to avoid layoffs because workers simply wouldn’t accept them, the paper says. “Previous research leaves open the possibility that workers would simply refuse these pay cuts,” Pawel Krolikowski, a senior research economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, who coauthored the study, tells Fortune. “I think our paper says that’s often not the case. Workers would actually be quite willing to accept pay cuts.”

The willingness to accept lower pay in order to keep one’s job held true across gender, education levels, and experience—with one exception: Black employees were roughly 12% more likely to accept the salary reduction in lieu of a layoff. Krolikowski and his research partner Steven J. Davis, an economics professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, believe this is a function of higher poverty rates among Black workers, making them more likely to “exhibit greater sensitivity” to a possible job loss that could affect their finances, they write in the paper.

Even more confounding is that workers, when faced with the possibility of being laid off, almost never initiate a conversation about keeping their job in exchange for a lower salary, even though many report being open to the idea. Only seven of 2,567 people in the survey—all of whom collected unemployment insurance benefits in Illinois between September 2018 and July 2019—said they brought up the topic.

When faced with this disconnect between the willingness of workers to accept a pay cut and the reticence of employers to offer them, Krolikowski and Davis set out to measure how many layoffs could be averted if bosses and employees were able to find a pay cut that worked for both parties. Based on their current research, 28% of layoffs could be avoided just by offering a willing employee a pay cut they deemed acceptable. They estimate the number could be as high as 35%, but proving that definitively would have required a better understanding of the exact circumstances of each respondent’s layoff. Avoiding these layoffs would be in the “joint interest of worker and employer,” Krolikowski and Davis write, because the firm would still get to reduce cost, while the employee would keep their job—the benefits of which are obvious.

The hard evidence that almost 30% of layoffs could be avoided just by lowering an employee’s salary makes the almost total absence of these conversations even more baffling. When asked why this might be the case, Krolikowski posits it’s because employers are hesitant to cede control of personnel decisions to employees. “Employers can choose which workers to lay off; they can’t do that in the case of a pay cut,” he says.

As part of the research, Krolikowski and Davis asked the laid-off workers they surveyed who would have agreed to a pay cut why they thought their employer didn’t raise it as an option. The top answer with 38.9% of responses was, “I don’t know.”

“This result suggests that many job losers don’t understand the business considerations that led to their layoffs,” the paper states.

However, the second most common response, ”it would not have prevented my layoff,” which 36.3% of respondents selected as the reason they believed their employers didn’t offer wage reduction, illustrates the reality that not all layoffs are made for purely cost-cutting reasons. Some might occur because an organization has shifting priorities and wishes to replace workers from a division it no longer considers essential with headcount in another part of the firm. Krolikowski acknowledged this and called it an “important question” but declined to comment further because it was outside of the scope of the study.

The other reasons employees believed they weren’t offered pay cuts point to considerations about the firm’s overall productivity. Eight percent of respondents cited two potential explanations: fears that the best workers would quit and that lower salaries would undermine morale. “Productivity suffers when workers feel insulted or wrongly treated by their pay,” the paper states.

In this scenario, the thinking goes, the firm would be worse off with a host of disgruntled employees rather than being perpetually short-staffed as a result of mass layoffs. The paper cites a case study of the tire manufacturer Firestone, which involved a recall of 14 million tires that coincided with the announcement of impending wage cuts in an upcoming union contract.

There’s also the practical matter of predicting who the unhappy and unproductive workers would be, Krolikowski adds. “If these workers can be identified in advance, then the best policy might be to lay them off and propose a pay cut for others,” he says. “But if they can’t be identified in advance, or if it isn’t feasible to selectively fire these workers, then broad layoffs may be the best action.”

Another reason why cutting pay in exchange for jobs is so rare is that it could set a precedent: Employees might ask for raises when performance is strong, and firms might ask for pay cuts whenever they please. “Could they always come and say, I want a pay cut, even when times weren’t bad?” Krolikowski says. Those “firms seeking a pay cut might not be credible.”

财富中文网所刊载内容之知识产权为财富媒体知识产权有限公司及/或相关权利人专属所有或持有。未经许可,禁止进行转载、摘编、复制及建立镜像等任何使用。
0条Plus
精彩评论
评论

撰写或查看更多评论

请打开财富Plus APP

前往打开