新冠肺炎疫情造成的停工停产,可以说对美国经济已经造成了毁灭性的打击。然而就在美股进入史上最动荡的时期之际,华尔街各大银行的交易收入却实现了逆势上涨,狠狠发了一笔“国难财”。
惠誉评级在本周一的一份报告中指出,今年第一季度,由于市场调整导致了市场的“波动性激增”,美国“五大行”——即美国银行、花旗集团、高盛、摩根大通和摩根士丹利的交易收入因此猛增了30%。
受疫情影响,上个月美国股市上演了历史罕见的剧烈震荡,投资者们拼命地想把自己的钱转移到安全的地方,而各大交易机构也很乐意帮助他们。事实证明,市场的剧烈波动也的确为一些人提供了赚钱的机会。
惠誉公司在报告中指出,总体来看,美国五大银行第一季度的资本市场业绩同比增长23%,达到了近十年来的最高水平。这一方面得益于交易活动的活跃,另一方面则是由于各大企业面临停工停产的困境,不得不通过大量发债来增加流动性。
惠誉公司的报告还指出,高盛的固定收益、外汇和大宗商品交易收入(FICC)创下了近五年来的纪录。与此同时,美银的证券交易业绩和摩根大通的债券承销收入也创下了历史纪录。
不过,惠誉的常务董事克里斯托弗·沃尔夫认为,尽管从目前来看,客户活动的增加对于各大银行来说是一件好事,但降息和经济活动的下降“很有可能在今年晚些时候对银行造成不利影响”。今年3月,美国的IPO、收并购活动也相对陷入停滞,未来几个月能否恢复到正常水平,现在还很难说。
有鉴于此,惠誉在上个月已经将美国银行业的评级展望下调至“负面”,并且强调:“在不久的将来,大多数美国银行将在盈利问题上面临重大挑战。”而降息则将损害“好几个季度”的利差收入。另外,随着企业和机构客户不断撤出市场,银行的各种费用收入也会受到影响。
这也解释了为什么银行板块跟整体金融板块一样,在今年的疫情发生以来也遭遇了重创——在雪崩的时候,没有一片雪花是无辜的。据惠誉指出,从年初至今,美国五大银行的市值分别损失了21%到45%不等。与此同时,标普500指数的金融板块也整体下跌了29%。(财富中文网)
译者:隋远洙
新冠肺炎疫情造成的停工停产,可以说对美国经济已经造成了毁灭性的打击。然而就在美股进入史上最动荡的时期之际,华尔街各大银行的交易收入却实现了逆势上涨,狠狠发了一笔“国难财”。
惠誉评级在本周一的一份报告中指出,今年第一季度,由于市场调整导致了市场的“波动性激增”,美国“五大行”——即美国银行、花旗集团、高盛、摩根大通和摩根士丹利的交易收入因此猛增了30%。
受疫情影响,上个月美国股市上演了历史罕见的剧烈震荡,投资者们拼命地想把自己的钱转移到安全的地方,而各大交易机构也很乐意帮助他们。事实证明,市场的剧烈波动也的确为一些人提供了赚钱的机会。
惠誉公司在报告中指出,总体来看,美国五大银行第一季度的资本市场业绩同比增长23%,达到了近十年来的最高水平。这一方面得益于交易活动的活跃,另一方面则是由于各大企业面临停工停产的困境,不得不通过大量发债来增加流动性。
惠誉公司的报告还指出,高盛的固定收益、外汇和大宗商品交易收入(FICC)创下了近五年来的纪录。与此同时,美银的证券交易业绩和摩根大通的债券承销收入也创下了历史纪录。
不过,惠誉的常务董事克里斯托弗·沃尔夫认为,尽管从目前来看,客户活动的增加对于各大银行来说是一件好事,但降息和经济活动的下降“很有可能在今年晚些时候对银行造成不利影响”。今年3月,美国的IPO、收并购活动也相对陷入停滞,未来几个月能否恢复到正常水平,现在还很难说。
有鉴于此,惠誉在上个月已经将美国银行业的评级展望下调至“负面”,并且强调:“在不久的将来,大多数美国银行将在盈利问题上面临重大挑战。”而降息则将损害“好几个季度”的利差收入。另外,随着企业和机构客户不断撤出市场,银行的各种费用收入也会受到影响。
这也解释了为什么银行板块跟整体金融板块一样,在今年的疫情发生以来也遭遇了重创——在雪崩的时候,没有一片雪花是无辜的。据惠誉指出,从年初至今,美国五大银行的市值分别损失了21%到45%不等。与此同时,标普500指数的金融板块也整体下跌了29%。(财富中文网)
译者:隋远洙
The coronavirus pandemic and the related economic shutdown may be devastating for the American economy at large, but Wall Street trading desks have raked it in amid one of the most volatile periods in the stock market’s history.
Trading revenues at the “big five” U.S. banks—Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Morgan Stanley—swelled 30% in the first quarter of the year on the back of a market correction that resulted in “a spike in volatility,” Fitch Ratings said in a report Monday.
As the pandemic sent the stock market into historic, topsy-turvy fluctuations last month, investors desperately sought to move their money around and traders were more than happy to assist them—with the market’s wild swings proving an opportunity for some.
Overall, capital markets results at the five major banks grew 23% in the first quarter—hitting their strongest level in nearly a decade, per Fitch—thanks not only to heightened trading activity, but also an uptick in debt issuances by companies seeking liquidity to ride out the economic shutdown.
Goldman Sachs experienced its strongest fixed income, currencies and commodities (FICC) trading revenues in five years, while Bank of America registered its best-ever equities trading results and JPMorgan saw record debt underwriting revenues, the ratings agency noted.
But while the increase in client activity is proving a boon for banks at the moment, lower interest rates and declining economic activity “could prove to be a headwind for banks later this year,” according to Fitch managing director Christopher Wolfe. Activity on the IPO underwriting and mergers and acquisitions fronts also came to a relative standstill in March, and will likely remain a challenge in the months to come.
As such, Fitch—which revised its ratings outlook for the U.S. banking sector to negative last month—reiterated that “most U.S. banks will face meaningful profitability challenges” in the near future, with the drop in interest rates hampering spread revenues “for a number of quarters.” Fee income will also be hurt as corporate and institutional clients continue to pull back from the market.
Those dynamics explain why bank stocks—like financial sector stocks at large—have taken a pounding this year as the economic impact of coronavirus pandemic became apparent. The five major banks cited by Fitch have lost anywhere from 21% to 45% of their market value this year to date, while the S&P 500’s financials sector is down 29% in 2020 so far.