如果高盛集团前高管的一项计划顺利实施,华尔街的债券交易员可能很快就能像棒球传奇人物霍纳斯•瓦格纳、威利•梅斯和皮特•罗斯一样人过留名。
是的,棒球卡制度要加入金融圈了。
按照债券交易和分析公司BondCliQ的创始人克里斯•怀特的想法,数字卡片可以体现全新的统计方法,衡量债券交易员和债券经销商销售的业绩。本次怀特邀请投资者保罗•德波德斯塔帮忙,保罗曾经用全新统计方法来提升奥克兰棒球队的成绩,变身为冠军的有力争夺者,迈克尔•刘易斯的书《点球成金》(Moneyball)中有所提及。
债券市场历来判断成功的标准就是,交易员有没有赚钱?BondCliQ则想弄清楚交易员到底是技术高超还是运气好。目前公司在收集数据,方便对冲基金或其他机构投资者等买方鉴定特定行业或证券中最优秀的交易商。交易商能看到在竞争对手中的排名。可以想见,如果交易员能连年高居榜首,就可以利用数据来争取更高的薪酬。
公司的首席执行官怀特接受采访时说:“我们的市场里数据为王,但对各人水平其实知之甚少。买方希望知道应该找谁合作,经销商也希望有机会展示自身实力。”
怀特提供的模拟卡显示,相关数据包括市场板块、买入卖出债务的平均久期,以及提供的报价数量。公司还将计算所谓专家百分比和做市商百分比的统计数据。
怀特表示,专家百分比是指“你的定价通常也是市场上的最优价格”。他说,做市商统计数据针对“能代表市场”的交易商。最终目标是通过提高个人和银行的声誉,为债券提出更合适的报价。
当前的情况是市场规模比以往更庞大,风险可能也更高。过去八年里,每年美国投资级公司新出售的公司债务都超过1万亿美元,最快速度出现在2020年,5月创下纪录。
BondCliQ正在搭建系统收集、维护和发布银行对债券交易员及销售人员的统计数据。怀特说,目前已经有34家交易商自愿提供定价数据。公司还会补充一些公开信息,例如债券报价系统Trace里的交易规模和价格等,以得出统计数据。
2010年至2015年,怀特曾经在高盛工作,开发出债券交易系统GSessions,但后来关闭。他还在咨询公司ViableMkts LLC担任首席执行官。
在提供债券价格信息方面,彭博新闻社的母公司彭博与BondCliQ存在竞争关系。
德波德斯塔于1999年加入奥克兰运动家队,担任总经理比利•比恩的助理,2004-05年担任洛杉矶道奇队的总经理,现在是职业橄榄球大联盟克利夫兰布朗队的首席战略官。他在接受采访时表示,之所以被BondCliQ吸引,是因为有机会在市场中引入系统的组织方式。
“我们在棒球运动中能做的是收集大量数据,以更深入了解身处的世界。”他说。“在这里,我看到了同样的机会,而且范围要大得多。”
德波德斯塔说,原来认为债券市场价格有一定的透明度,但事实并非如此。
“不敢相信”
“几乎每次跟人谈起都有人说‘不敢相信’——这样做就可以?”他说。如果一年能赚5亿美元的债券柜台“算很棒?”他说。“标准应该定为10亿美元,还是定在200万美元方便创佳绩?”
德波德斯塔说,利用统计数据提升债券交易业绩,能体现出他在职业体育领域的经验,而他的经验也是刘易斯原著改编的电影里“乔纳•希尔”角色灵感的来源。
他说:“我们在向必然之路前进。棒球如此,橄榄球也一样。需求太大,确实难以拒绝。”
怀特希望BondCliQ向债券交易员展示如何与其他银行的同行竞争,从而全面提升定价能力。他表示,本月底前公司会将业绩单发给交易商主管,7月初买方客户就能看到排名。
他说:“交易商都想争夺订单,最好的竞争方式就是更多业绩方面的数据。”(财富中文网)
注:丹•威尔金斯对本文亦有贡献。
译者:Feb
如果高盛集团前高管的一项计划顺利实施,华尔街的债券交易员可能很快就能像棒球传奇人物霍纳斯•瓦格纳、威利•梅斯和皮特•罗斯一样人过留名。
是的,棒球卡制度要加入金融圈了。
按照债券交易和分析公司BondCliQ的创始人克里斯•怀特的想法,数字卡片可以体现全新的统计方法,衡量债券交易员和债券经销商销售的业绩。本次怀特邀请投资者保罗•德波德斯塔帮忙,保罗曾经用全新统计方法来提升奥克兰棒球队的成绩,变身为冠军的有力争夺者,迈克尔•刘易斯的书《点球成金》(Moneyball)中有所提及。
债券市场历来判断成功的标准就是,交易员有没有赚钱?BondCliQ则想弄清楚交易员到底是技术高超还是运气好。目前公司在收集数据,方便对冲基金或其他机构投资者等买方鉴定特定行业或证券中最优秀的交易商。交易商能看到在竞争对手中的排名。可以想见,如果交易员能连年高居榜首,就可以利用数据来争取更高的薪酬。
公司的首席执行官怀特接受采访时说:“我们的市场里数据为王,但对各人水平其实知之甚少。买方希望知道应该找谁合作,经销商也希望有机会展示自身实力。”
怀特提供的模拟卡显示,相关数据包括市场板块、买入卖出债务的平均久期,以及提供的报价数量。公司还将计算所谓专家百分比和做市商百分比的统计数据。
怀特表示,专家百分比是指“你的定价通常也是市场上的最优价格”。他说,做市商统计数据针对“能代表市场”的交易商。最终目标是通过提高个人和银行的声誉,为债券提出更合适的报价。
当前的情况是市场规模比以往更庞大,风险可能也更高。过去八年里,每年美国投资级公司新出售的公司债务都超过1万亿美元,最快速度出现在2020年,5月创下纪录。
BondCliQ正在搭建系统收集、维护和发布银行对债券交易员及销售人员的统计数据。怀特说,目前已经有34家交易商自愿提供定价数据。公司还会补充一些公开信息,例如债券报价系统Trace里的交易规模和价格等,以得出统计数据。
2010年至2015年,怀特曾经在高盛工作,开发出债券交易系统GSessions,但后来关闭。他还在咨询公司ViableMkts LLC担任首席执行官。
在提供债券价格信息方面,彭博新闻社的母公司彭博与BondCliQ存在竞争关系。
德波德斯塔于1999年加入奥克兰运动家队,担任总经理比利•比恩的助理,2004-05年担任洛杉矶道奇队的总经理,现在是职业橄榄球大联盟克利夫兰布朗队的首席战略官。他在接受采访时表示,之所以被BondCliQ吸引,是因为有机会在市场中引入系统的组织方式。
“我们在棒球运动中能做的是收集大量数据,以更深入了解身处的世界。”他说。“在这里,我看到了同样的机会,而且范围要大得多。”
德波德斯塔说,原来认为债券市场价格有一定的透明度,但事实并非如此。
“不敢相信”
“几乎每次跟人谈起都有人说‘不敢相信’——这样做就可以?”他说。如果一年能赚5亿美元的债券柜台“算很棒?”他说。“标准应该定为10亿美元,还是定在200万美元方便创佳绩?”
德波德斯塔说,利用统计数据提升债券交易业绩,能体现出他在职业体育领域的经验,而他的经验也是刘易斯原著改编的电影里“乔纳•希尔”角色灵感的来源。
他说:“我们在向必然之路前进。棒球如此,橄榄球也一样。需求太大,确实难以拒绝。”
怀特希望BondCliQ向债券交易员展示如何与其他银行的同行竞争,从而全面提升定价能力。他表示,本月底前公司会将业绩单发给交易商主管,7月初买方客户就能看到排名。
他说:“交易商都想争夺订单,最好的竞争方式就是更多业绩方面的数据。”(财富中文网)
注:丹•威尔金斯对本文亦有贡献。
译者:Feb
Wall Street bond traders may soon be immortalized in the fashion of baseball legends Honus Wagner, Willie Mays and Pete Rose if a plan by a former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. executive takes off.
That’s right, baseball cards are coming to finance.
The brainchild of Chris White, founder of bond trading and analytics firm BondCliQ, the digital cards reflect a new statistical approach to measure the effectiveness of individual traders and salespeople on dealer bond desks. White brought in as an investor Paul DePodesta, who used novel statistical methods to elevate the Oakland Athletics baseball team to a title contender, a story captured in the Michael Lewis book “Moneyball.”
The bond market has historically leaned on one metric for success — did a trader make money? BondCliQ wants to shed some light on whether rainmakers are good or lucky. It is collecting data that can allow buyers such as hedge funds or other institutional investors to identify the best dealer traders in a given sector or security. And dealers can see how they rank among competitors. Presumably, traders who top the list year after year could use the stats to argue for better pay.
“Here we are in a market where data is king, but we have very little information on who is qualified,” White, the firm’s chief executive officer, said in an interview. “The buy side wants to know who they should engage. The dealers want an opportunity to show why it should be them.”
The data will include market sector, average maturity of debt bought and sold and the number of quotes provided, according to a mock card provided by White. The firm will also calculate stats called specialist percentage and market-maker percentage.
The specialist percentage is “when you make a price that’s normally the best price in the market,” White said. The market-maker stat denotes traders who “are the market,” he said. The end goal is to create better bond prices by putting both individual and bank reputations on the line.
The effort comes as the market is bigger and perhaps riskier than it’s ever been. U.S. investment-grade companies have sold more than $1 trillion in new corporate debt in each of the last eight years — and the fastest pace was set in 2020, when the mark was reached in May.
BondCliQ is creating a system to collect, maintain and publish stats on bond traders and salespeople by bank. It has 34 dealers that voluntarily provide pricing data, White said. The firm supplements that with some public information such as Trace-reported deal size and price to derive the stats.
White was at Goldman Sachs from 2010 to 2015, where he created GSessions, a bond-trading system that has since been shut down. He’s also CEO of advisory firm ViableMkts LLC.
Bloomberg LP, the parent of Bloomberg News, competes with BondCliQ in providing bond-price information.
DePodesta joined the Oakland A’s as an assistant to general manager Billy Beane in 1999 and was general manager of the Los Angeles Dodgers from 2004-05. Now the chief strategy officer for the National Football League’s Cleveland Browns, he said in an interview that he was attracted to BondCliQ by the chance to bring a systemic organizing approach to the market.
“What we were able to do in baseball is aggregate a lot of the data to better understand the world we were operating in,” he said. “I saw the same opportunity here but on a much greater scale.”
DePodesta said he’d assumed there was a certain level of price transparency in the bond market, but there isn’t.
“Can’t Believe This”
“With each conversation there was almost an ‘I can’t believe this’ moment — this is the way it’s done?” he said. If a bond desk makes $500 million a year “is that good?” he said. “Should that have been $1 billion or should it have been $2 million and they hit it out of the park?”
DePodesta said the use of stats to improve bond-trading performance will mirror his experience in professional sports, which was part of the inspiration for Jonah Hill’s character in the movie adaptation of Lewis’s book.
“It’s a march to the inevitable here. It was the same with baseball, it’s the same with football,” he said. “The need is so overwhelming you won’t be able to resist it.”
White wants BondCliQ to show bond traders how they stack up against counterparts at other banks so that pricing improves across the board. He said his firm will send report cards to dealer-desk heads by the end of this month and the rankings will be visible to buy-side clients in early July.
“Dealers really want to compete for order flow,” he said. “The best way to compete is if there’s more data around performance.”
–With assistance from Dan Wilchins.