危机来临,投资者纷纷涌向避风港。纵观历史来看,黄金一直都属于最安全的避险资产。
即使在新冠疫情时期也不例外。自世界卫生组织3月12日宣布全球疫情蔓延以来,金价上涨14%至1820美元/盎司,创九年来新高。
人们不仅在大宗商品市场投资黄金合约,对实物金条的需求也非常强劲,以致全球黄金出现短缺。主要原因包括,人们恐慌性购买,对冲基金和富人们纷纷买金条藏在保险柜里,一些精炼厂熔炼金块,再加上某些黄金常规运输线路也因冠状病毒暂时关闭。
然而,痴迷黄金的“金龟子们”请注意: 如果你觉得床垫下藏些闪闪发光的金子才能睡得安稳,可能会受到良心的谴责。越来越多的证据表明,对黄金的需求助长了非法贸易,有可能激化战争,也是迫使发展中国家工人在危险环境下谋生的元凶。
黄金战争
面临淘金热,黄金走私猖獗可能也就不足为奇。《华尔街日报》近日报道称,刚果民主共和国东部战区的小型手工金矿中,被非法走私到乌干达的黄金创下纪录。联合国估计每个月通过乌干达非法贩运的黄金价值高达1亿美元。
更令人惊讶的是:走私黄金究竟如何流入市场? 据《华尔街日报》报道,乌干达的走私黄金都有伪造文件和印章,主要利用飞机离开东非国家。运走黄金之前,飞机送来的都是人道主义救援物资和医疗用品,帮助当地民众抗击新冠疫情。
最近,乌干达恩德培市警方缴获了迄今为止最大的一批非法走私刚果黄金: 重达93公斤,价值500万美元。据联合国估计,运出乌干达的黄金有95% 实际上并非来自当地。
刚果东部的战争加上新冠疫情影响,当地的小矿商不得不以更低的价格出售黄金,提升了走私的吸引力。据《华尔街日报》报道,尽管国际金价飙升,刚果金矿的价格却下跌了40% 。这意味着走私集团从中赚取了更多利润,而矿工们却在生存线上苦苦挣扎。
人权组织发现,刚果东部许多矿山的工作条件十分恶劣,每年都有数十名工人死于矿难。
对黄金的争夺也加剧了地区争端,而当地本就饱受战争蹂躏。在过去20年间,当地战乱不断,许多武装组织与刚果政府,以及各武装组织之间也交战频繁。根据联合国对刚果战争的统计,自3月份以来,新出现暴力冲突已经造成至少1300名平民死亡,约有600万人流离失所,其中有120万人来自黄金资源丰富的伊图里省。
国际贸易
联合国已经对刚果一些走私者实施制裁,并对黄金冶炼商、珠宝商和部分零配件经常使用微量黄金的电子产品制造商施压,确保供应链中清除非法黄金和其他冲突矿产。为黄金冶炼厂提供认证的伦敦金银市场协会也在设法扭转形势,限制战区手工金矿或通过非法劳工采金。然而种种举措并未阻止日益猖獗的非法黄金贸易。
腐败潮也已经蔓延到乌干达以外的地区。走私的刚果黄金被运往迪拜,其中至少有部分黄金流入了印度。印度人喜欢把黄金用作婚礼珠宝,也喜欢用来对冲汇率波动的影响,正常情况下对实物黄金的需求量就很高,新冠疫情进一步提升了印度市场对黄金的需求。
本月早些时候,印度南部喀拉拉邦的海关官员在一批运往阿拉伯联合酋长国驻首府特里凡得琅领事馆的一批卫生间设备中,发现了藏匿的约30公斤黄金。阿联酋否认与此事有任何关联,并表示已展开调查,最后将责任归咎于一名曾为领事馆工作的印度女子。
这起案件也已成为喀拉拉邦首席部长皮那来•比杰安的政治丑闻。其秘书与所谓的走私者有关联的消息曝光后,有人要求比杰安辞职。与此同时,在印度的另一个邦——泰米尔纳德邦,海关官员今年查获走私黄金的数量是2019年的两倍。官员们表示,从笔记本电脑到滑板再到菜刀,走私者为了藏匿黄金尝试了各种工具。
印度宝石与珠宝国内委员会主席阿南塔•帕德马纳班表示,黄金价格居高不下吸引了很多人加入走私。但负责黄金营销的世界黄金协会印度地区负责人索马森达拉姆•普雷表示,由于新冠疫情影响,进出印度的航班减少,整体走私水平实际上有所下降。
在澳大利亚,西澳大利亚政府所有的著名黄金冶炼厂珀斯铸币厂也卷入了一起丑闻,主要因为部分黄金来源的问题。据澳大利亚报纸报道,珀斯铸币厂收购了名为 Golden Valley 的巴布亚新几内亚公司的黄金,据称该公司从雇佣童工的手工矿场购买黄金。政府官员已经下令调查。
黄金或许能拯救投资业绩,别指望能拯救灵魂。(财富中文网)
译者:梁宇
审校:夏林
危机来临,投资者纷纷涌向避风港。纵观历史来看,黄金一直都属于最安全的避险资产。
即使在新冠疫情时期也不例外。自世界卫生组织3月12日宣布全球疫情蔓延以来,金价上涨14%至1820美元/盎司,创九年来新高。
人们不仅在大宗商品市场投资黄金合约,对实物金条的需求也非常强劲,以致全球黄金出现短缺。主要原因包括,人们恐慌性购买,对冲基金和富人们纷纷买金条藏在保险柜里,一些精炼厂熔炼金块,再加上某些黄金常规运输线路也因冠状病毒暂时关闭。
然而,痴迷黄金的“金龟子们”请注意: 如果你觉得床垫下藏些闪闪发光的金子才能睡得安稳,可能会受到良心的谴责。越来越多的证据表明,对黄金的需求助长了非法贸易,有可能激化战争,也是迫使发展中国家工人在危险环境下谋生的元凶。
黄金战争
面临淘金热,黄金走私猖獗可能也就不足为奇。《华尔街日报》近日报道称,刚果民主共和国东部战区的小型手工金矿中,被非法走私到乌干达的黄金创下纪录。联合国估计每个月通过乌干达非法贩运的黄金价值高达1亿美元。
更令人惊讶的是:走私黄金究竟如何流入市场? 据《华尔街日报》报道,乌干达的走私黄金都有伪造文件和印章,主要利用飞机离开东非国家。运走黄金之前,飞机送来的都是人道主义救援物资和医疗用品,帮助当地民众抗击新冠疫情。
最近,乌干达恩德培市警方缴获了迄今为止最大的一批非法走私刚果黄金: 重达93公斤,价值500万美元。据联合国估计,运出乌干达的黄金有95% 实际上并非来自当地。
刚果东部的战争加上新冠疫情影响,当地的小矿商不得不以更低的价格出售黄金,提升了走私的吸引力。据《华尔街日报》报道,尽管国际金价飙升,刚果金矿的价格却下跌了40% 。这意味着走私集团从中赚取了更多利润,而矿工们却在生存线上苦苦挣扎。
人权组织发现,刚果东部许多矿山的工作条件十分恶劣,每年都有数十名工人死于矿难。
对黄金的争夺也加剧了地区争端,而当地本就饱受战争蹂躏。在过去20年间,当地战乱不断,许多武装组织与刚果政府,以及各武装组织之间也交战频繁。根据联合国对刚果战争的统计,自3月份以来,新出现暴力冲突已经造成至少1300名平民死亡,约有600万人流离失所,其中有120万人来自黄金资源丰富的伊图里省。
国际贸易
联合国已经对刚果一些走私者实施制裁,并对黄金冶炼商、珠宝商和部分零配件经常使用微量黄金的电子产品制造商施压,确保供应链中清除非法黄金和其他冲突矿产。为黄金冶炼厂提供认证的伦敦金银市场协会也在设法扭转形势,限制战区手工金矿或通过非法劳工采金。然而种种举措并未阻止日益猖獗的非法黄金贸易。
腐败潮也已经蔓延到乌干达以外的地区。走私的刚果黄金被运往迪拜,其中至少有部分黄金流入了印度。印度人喜欢把黄金用作婚礼珠宝,也喜欢用来对冲汇率波动的影响,正常情况下对实物黄金的需求量就很高,新冠疫情进一步提升了印度市场对黄金的需求。
本月早些时候,印度南部喀拉拉邦的海关官员在一批运往阿拉伯联合酋长国驻首府特里凡得琅领事馆的一批卫生间设备中,发现了藏匿的约30公斤黄金。阿联酋否认与此事有任何关联,并表示已展开调查,最后将责任归咎于一名曾为领事馆工作的印度女子。
这起案件也已成为喀拉拉邦首席部长皮那来•比杰安的政治丑闻。其秘书与所谓的走私者有关联的消息曝光后,有人要求比杰安辞职。与此同时,在印度的另一个邦——泰米尔纳德邦,海关官员今年查获走私黄金的数量是2019年的两倍。官员们表示,从笔记本电脑到滑板再到菜刀,走私者为了藏匿黄金尝试了各种工具。
印度宝石与珠宝国内委员会主席阿南塔•帕德马纳班表示,黄金价格居高不下吸引了很多人加入走私。但负责黄金营销的世界黄金协会印度地区负责人索马森达拉姆•普雷表示,由于新冠疫情影响,进出印度的航班减少,整体走私水平实际上有所下降。
在澳大利亚,西澳大利亚政府所有的著名黄金冶炼厂珀斯铸币厂也卷入了一起丑闻,主要因为部分黄金来源的问题。据澳大利亚报纸报道,珀斯铸币厂收购了名为 Golden Valley 的巴布亚新几内亚公司的黄金,据称该公司从雇佣童工的手工矿场购买黄金。政府官员已经下令调查。
黄金或许能拯救投资业绩,别指望能拯救灵魂。(财富中文网)
译者:梁宇
审校:夏林
In a crisis, investors tend to flock to safe havens. And historically, the safest asset class has been gold.
The COVID-19 pandemic has been no exception. Gold is up 14% since the World Health Organization declared a global pandemic on March 12 and is now trading at $1,820 per ounce, a nine-year high.
Not only are people investing in gold contracts in the commodities market, but demand for the real McCoy—physical gold bars—has also been so strong that there’s a global shortage. That’s the result of panic-buying, with both hedge funds and wealthy individuals stashing bars in safety deposit boxes, as well as the fact that some of the refineries that smelt gold bullion and some of the normal routes for shipping gold bars around the world temporarily shut down because of the coronavirus.
But goldbugs beware: If you thought you’d sleep easier with a few lustrous bars tucked under the mattress, you might find your conscience bothering you. There’s growing evidence that demand for gold is stoking an illegal trade that helps fuel wars and contributes to unsafe working conditions in the developing world.
Conflict gold
In the midst of this gold rush, it’s perhaps unsurprising that gold smuggling is booming. The Wall Street Journal reported yesterday that record amounts of gold from small artisanal mines in the eastern war zones of the Democratic Republic of the Congo are being illegally smuggled into Uganda. The United Nations estimates $100 million worth of illicit gold is trafficked through Uganda each month.
More surprising is how that gold is getting to market: In Uganda, the Journal reported, gold is given counterfeit stamps and paperwork, and then shipped out on the very same aircraft that are being used to ferry humanitarian relief and medical supplies into the East African nation to help it deal with the COVID-19 pandemic.
Police in Entebbe recently seized the largest shipment of illicit Congolese gold to date: 205 pounds, worth $5 million. And the U.N. estimates that 95% of the gold shipped out of the country doesn’t actually come from Uganda.
Smuggling has become particularly attractive because fighting in Eastern Congo, plus the coronavirus, has actually forced the small-scale miners operating there to sell gold more cheaply. The Journal reported that prices at the Congolese gold pits have fallen as much as 40%, even as the world price has soared. That means more money for those running the smuggling rings, while the miners themselves struggle.
Human rights groups have found deplorable working conditions in many Eastern Congolese mines, with scores of workers killed each year in accidents.
The scramble for gold is also helping to fuel conflict in the war-torn region, which has seen almost continual fighting over the past two decades, with numerous armed rebel groups at war with the Congolese government and one another. Renewed violence has left at least 1,300 civilians dead since March, according to the U.N. War in the Congo has displaced an estimated 6 million people, including 1.2 million in the gold-rich province of Ituri.
International trade
The U.N. has imposed sanctions on a number of Congolese smugglers and pressed gold smelters, jewelers, and electronics manufacturers, which often use small amounts of gold in components, to rid their supply chains of illicit gold and other conflict minerals. The London Bullion Market Association, which certifies gold smelters, has also sought to stem the tide of gold nuggets from artisanal mines in war zones or which use unethical labor practices. None of it has stemmed the booming illicit trade.
The waves of corruption spread far beyond Uganda. Smuggled Congolese gold has been shipped to Dubai. From there, at least some of it has made its way to India, where demand for physical gold—for use in wedding jewelry and as a hedge against currency fluctuations—is high even during normal times and has intensified during the pandemic.
Earlier this month, customs officials in India’s southern state of Kerala discovered 66 pounds of gold hidden inside a shipment of bathroom fittings that were addressed to the United Arab Emirates’ consulate in the state capital of Thiruvananthapuram. The UAE has denied any involvement and says it has launched an investigation, pinning the blame on an Indian woman who formerly worked for the consulate.
The case has become a political scandal for Kerala’s chief minister, Pinarayi Vijayan, who has faced calls to resign after it emerged that his official secretary associated with the alleged smuggler. Meanwhile, in another Indian state, Tamil Nadu, customs officials have seized twice as much smuggled gold this year as in 2019. To try to conceal the gold, smugglers have used everything from laptops to skateboards to a meat cleaver, officials said.
The high price of gold has tempted many new players into smuggling, N. Anantha Padmanaban, the chairman of All India Gem and Jewellery Domestic Council, said. But Somasundaram PR, the India country director for the World Gold Council, the gold industry’s marketing arm, says that fewer flights into and out of India because of the coronavirus ought to actually reduce overall smuggling levels.
In Australia, a well-known gold smelter, the Perth Mint, which is owned by the government of Western Australia, has also been caught up in a scandal over the origin of some of the gold it produces. Australian newspapers have reported the smelter has accepted gold from a Papua New Guinea company called Golden Valley, which is known to buy gold from artisanal mines in that country that use child labor. Government officials have ordered an investigation.
Gold might save your portfolio. But don’t expect it to do much for your soul.