上周,白银突然反弹至8年高点,市场分析师猜测是WallStreetBets上Reddit投资论坛的散户大军在作梗。一些评论人士打趣道,如果威廉•詹宁斯•布莱恩泉下有知,应该会感觉骄傲。
布莱恩是谁?
这个名字会在美国高中历史课上被提到,布莱恩是早期的反华尔街民粹主义者。他曾是政治家、演说家和律师(曾在美国猴子事件审判中与鹰派律师克拉伦斯•达罗展开过一场著名的辩论)。19世纪末他声名鹊起,部分原因是他支持银本位制作为金本位的替代。
当时布莱恩36岁,曾任内布拉斯加州众议员,于1896年获得民主党总统提名。
他在民主党全国代表大会上发表了抨击金本位制的激烈演讲,吸引了与会者注意并从一大群候选人中脱颖而出,演讲结尾是其著名的理念,即人类不应“钉在金本位十字架上”。
历史也许不会重演,但常常有相似之处,布赖恩支持银本位民粹主义与当前WallStreetBets散户推动白银大涨异曲同工。
据称,Reddit散户大军推高白银价格,主要是向做空白银的华尔街对冲基金施压。(好吧,这就是上周一银价升至10年高点的原因之一。还有其他原因,WallStreetBets有些散户否认是银价上涨的幕后推手。第二天,白银价格下跌5%,整个一周内都处于震荡。)
布赖恩和“自由白银政策者”伙伴们希望打击美国东北部的精英和华尔街银行家,这一想法也许也被WallStreetBets的散户们注意到了。
正如金本位拥护者指出,支持布莱恩的“自由白银政策者”跟“稳健货币”拥护者之间的战争是在充满炮火味的社论漫画中展开的。当年的人们结合幽默、文字和图像嘲弄对手,也是WallStreetBets嘲弄金融大鳄时用的互联网表情包的先驱。
嗨,白银
为什么是白银?为什么白银会与民粹主义联系在一起?这个故事其实很复杂,值得回顾。
1791年,美国第一次确立货币时,财政部长亚历山大•汉密尔顿(随着音乐剧《汉密尔顿》的火爆,他成为了很多人的偶像)认为美元应该是双金属本位货币,可与一定量黄金或更大量的白银交换,两种金属的比例固定在15:1。
新成立的美国造币厂铸造两种金属制成的硬币。他相信如果美元锚定两种金属而不是只盯一种的话,以后币值会更稳定。(尽管美国大革命之前几十年,英国的双金属本位尝试已宣告失败,汉密尔顿似乎并不精通格雷欣法则,即所谓的“劣币驱逐良币”。)
几乎从一开始,双金属本位就出现了问题,当时纳波利亚战争推高了黄金相对于白银的价格。
19世纪问题越发严重,加州淘金热导致黄金相对白银的价格下跌,银币的价值超过面值。后来大量银币退出流通,还有不少出口熔化为白银金属。
为了解决问题,1853年国会投票决定减少美国硬币中的银金属含量。该决定的实施,使得出口银币变得不划算,哪怕银矿商亲自带白银去美国铸币厂做成银币也一样无利可图。该项立法实际确立了美国的金本位制度。
内战期间经济耗费巨大,推动美国暂时从硬币转向几乎完全以“美元”纸币流通为基础的经济体,“美元”纸币是仅靠联邦政府信用支持的纸币。
战后,何时以及如何回归硬币变成充满争议的政治问题,暴露了美国城乡之间、东北部精英与西部、中西部和南部人民之间的裂痕。
这听起来熟悉吗?
1873年的罪恶
19世纪60年代末70年代初,俄亥俄州参议员约翰•谢尔曼(以其反垄断立法著称)力推美国正式放弃白银,改用当时大部分欧洲国家采用的黄金标准。
他的努力取得了成功。美国国会通过了1873年《铸币法案》,停止铸造白银美元,并禁止美国铸币局接受用银锭交换硬币。支持白银的民粹主义者后来将该项法案的通过称为“1873年的罪恶”。
该项法案的直接受害者是采矿业的既得利益者。
美国西部发现的大量白银矿藏,使白银价格暴跌至美国铸币局支付的固定利率以下。矿主通过用银锭向铸币局交换硬币大赚了一笔,但《铸币法案》明令禁止了这种做法。
然而,如果不是“1873年恐慌”,该项法案并不会引起如此巨大的争议。此次金融危机的直接原因是多家高度投机、高度杠杆化的铁路公司倒闭,随后引发了长达数年的经济萧条。
面对螺旋式的通货紧缩,美国中西部和南部负债累累的农民相信,《铸币法案》所导致的紧缩的货币政策加剧了他们的经济困境,因此许多人呼吁恢复金银复本位制度,希望它能引发一个通胀周期,从而减轻他们偿还贷款的负担。于是他们团结起来与西部的经济利益群体形成了“自由银币”联盟。
该联盟的民粹主义者早期取得了一些胜利。
1878年,美国国会恢复银币流通,并要求美国铸币局每个月用纸币收购200万至400万美元银锭用于铸币。(你可以将这种做法等同于今天的量化宽松政策。)
19世纪80年代,随着农产品价格暴跌,美国中西部的许多民众再次把铸造银币视为结束通货紧缩和帮助农民摆脱负债的一种途径。
1890年,美国国会通过《购银法案》,规定政府每月增加50%的白银购买量。
但“1893年恐慌”导致全世界疯狂购买黄金,美国财政部的黄金储备耗尽。这场危机的部分原因源自阿根廷爆发的一场危机,保守派认为,人们可以用持有的白银支持的货币换取黄金,这是引发恐慌的原因,因此当年晚些时候,他们废除了《购银法案》。
此举很快引发了自由白银运动的不满,因为恐慌演变成了长达四年的严重经济衰退,导致越来越多贫困的农民、矿主甚至城市里的贫困人群,将白银引发通货膨胀的好处视为解决困境的灵丹妙药。
布莱恩正是抓住了这些人的愤怒心理,在1896年迅速登上了国家政治舞台。
他当年并没有赢得总统大选,1900年第二次尝试同样以失败告终。但他对白银的支持却对美国政治产生了深远的影响。
甚至在大萧条最严重的时候,国会中来自农业州的白银支持者,迫切希望通过刺激通货膨胀的措施提高农产品价格,因此他们不顾富兰克林•罗斯福的反对,顺利通过了1934年《购银法案》。
该法案要求美国政府将国内的银矿国有化,并利用开采的白银铸币。该项法案还允许美国财政部恢复发行“银币证”,以及以高于市场价收购白银等。这项法律直到1963年才被废除。
布莱恩的政治遗产在普通民众与华尔街民粹主义的对抗中始终存在,这个话题在美国的政治话语中依旧有大量讨论。
布莱恩的目标是美国的城市居民,尤其是镀金时代的制造业和铁路大亨,以及为他们提供资金的华尔街银行家和金融家。
布莱恩曾经讽刺道:“穷人如果认为,应该将富人的财富分给穷人,他就会被戴上社会主义分子的帽子。但如果富人设计的计划能够将穷人微薄的收入为他所用,他会被称为金融家。”
他还说过:“穷人用暴力占有财产被叫做盗贼,但债权人可以通过法律要求债务人偿还借款金额的两倍,他们却会被称赞为稳健货币的好朋友。”
这些话听起来与人们在WallStreetBets论坛上的说法颇为类似。
人们在该论坛谴责所谓对冲基金大亨们的虚伪,指责他们总是会利用价值五位数的午餐或者独家投资者会议等各种方式,协调空头和为彼此的激进交易推波助澜,但当普通大众联合起来对他们施加压力的时候,他们却高喊“市场操纵”。
WallStreetBets论坛里的普通大众将目光投向白银,这或许是不可避免的。从布莱恩开始,白银一直深得经济民粹主义者的偏爱。
1月底,有一位昵称为RocketBoomGo的WallStreetBets用户在论坛里呼吁广大Reddit用户购买白银。这位用户写道:“想想它所带来的收益吧。”
“如果你们不关心收益,那就想想那些银行吧,比如摩根大通,你们的行动将有助于摧毁它们。”
最后,他呼吁其他投资者购买实物银锭,而不是白银交易所交易基金的股票:“如果可以的话,要购买实物。让银行去死吧。”
布莱恩和他的如今的追随者们并不打算直接利用白银谋利,他们所追求的是这种金属作为一种硬通货所产生的经济影响。而且,作为一位原教旨主义基督徒,他也不会像网民一样使用这种粗鄙的语言。
但布莱恩对于摩根大通和各大银行的态度会如何呢?
他应该会完全认同那位网民的。(财富中文网)
翻译:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
上周,白银突然反弹至8年高点,市场分析师猜测是WallStreetBets上Reddit投资论坛的散户大军在作梗。一些评论人士打趣道,如果威廉•詹宁斯•布莱恩泉下有知,应该会感觉骄傲。
布莱恩是谁?
这个名字会在美国高中历史课上被提到,布莱恩是早期的反华尔街民粹主义者。他曾是政治家、演说家和律师(曾在美国猴子事件审判中与鹰派律师克拉伦斯•达罗展开过一场著名的辩论)。19世纪末他声名鹊起,部分原因是他支持银本位制作为金本位的替代。
当时布莱恩36岁,曾任内布拉斯加州众议员,于1896年获得民主党总统提名。
他在民主党全国代表大会上发表了抨击金本位制的激烈演讲,吸引了与会者注意并从一大群候选人中脱颖而出,演讲结尾是其著名的理念,即人类不应“钉在金本位十字架上”。
历史也许不会重演,但常常有相似之处,布赖恩支持银本位民粹主义与当前WallStreetBets散户推动白银大涨异曲同工。
据称,Reddit散户大军推高白银价格,主要是向做空白银的华尔街对冲基金施压。(好吧,这就是上周一银价升至10年高点的原因之一。还有其他原因,WallStreetBets有些散户否认是银价上涨的幕后推手。第二天,白银价格下跌5%,整个一周内都处于震荡。)
布赖恩和“自由白银政策者”伙伴们希望打击美国东北部的精英和华尔街银行家,这一想法也许也被WallStreetBets的散户们注意到了。
正如金本位拥护者指出,支持布莱恩的“自由白银政策者”跟“稳健货币”拥护者之间的战争是在充满炮火味的社论漫画中展开的。当年的人们结合幽默、文字和图像嘲弄对手,也是WallStreetBets嘲弄金融大鳄时用的互联网表情包的先驱。
嗨,白银
为什么是白银?为什么白银会与民粹主义联系在一起?这个故事其实很复杂,值得回顾。
1791年,美国第一次确立货币时,财政部长亚历山大•汉密尔顿(随着音乐剧《汉密尔顿》的火爆,他成为了很多人的偶像)认为美元应该是双金属本位货币,可与一定量黄金或更大量的白银交换,两种金属的比例固定在15:1。
新成立的美国造币厂铸造两种金属制成的硬币。他相信如果美元锚定两种金属而不是只盯一种的话,以后币值会更稳定。(尽管美国大革命之前几十年,英国的双金属本位尝试已宣告失败,汉密尔顿似乎并不精通格雷欣法则,即所谓的“劣币驱逐良币”。)
几乎从一开始,双金属本位就出现了问题,当时纳波利亚战争推高了黄金相对于白银的价格。
19世纪问题越发严重,加州淘金热导致黄金相对白银的价格下跌,银币的价值超过面值。后来大量银币退出流通,还有不少出口熔化为白银金属。
为了解决问题,1853年国会投票决定减少美国硬币中的银金属含量。该决定的实施,使得出口银币变得不划算,哪怕银矿商亲自带白银去美国铸币厂做成银币也一样无利可图。该项立法实际确立了美国的金本位制度。
内战期间经济耗费巨大,推动美国暂时从硬币转向几乎完全以“美元”纸币流通为基础的经济体,“美元”纸币是仅靠联邦政府信用支持的纸币。
战后,何时以及如何回归硬币变成充满争议的政治问题,暴露了美国城乡之间、东北部精英与西部、中西部和南部人民之间的裂痕。
这听起来熟悉吗?
1873年的罪恶
19世纪60年代末70年代初,俄亥俄州参议员约翰•谢尔曼(以其反垄断立法著称)力推美国正式放弃白银,改用当时大部分欧洲国家采用的黄金标准。
他的努力取得了成功。美国国会通过了1873年《铸币法案》,停止铸造白银美元,并禁止美国铸币局接受用银锭交换硬币。支持白银的民粹主义者后来将该项法案的通过称为“1873年的罪恶”。
该项法案的直接受害者是采矿业的既得利益者。
美国西部发现的大量白银矿藏,使白银价格暴跌至美国铸币局支付的固定利率以下。矿主通过用银锭向铸币局交换硬币大赚了一笔,但《铸币法案》明令禁止了这种做法。
然而,如果不是“1873年恐慌”,该项法案并不会引起如此巨大的争议。此次金融危机的直接原因是多家高度投机、高度杠杆化的铁路公司倒闭,随后引发了长达数年的经济萧条。
面对螺旋式的通货紧缩,美国中西部和南部负债累累的农民相信,《铸币法案》所导致的紧缩的货币政策加剧了他们的经济困境,因此许多人呼吁恢复金银复本位制度,希望它能引发一个通胀周期,从而减轻他们偿还贷款的负担。于是他们团结起来与西部的经济利益群体形成了“自由银币”联盟。
该联盟的民粹主义者早期取得了一些胜利。
1878年,美国国会恢复银币流通,并要求美国铸币局每个月用纸币收购200万至400万美元银锭用于铸币。(你可以将这种做法等同于今天的量化宽松政策。)
19世纪80年代,随着农产品价格暴跌,美国中西部的许多民众再次把铸造银币视为结束通货紧缩和帮助农民摆脱负债的一种途径。
1890年,美国国会通过《购银法案》,规定政府每月增加50%的白银购买量。
但“1893年恐慌”导致全世界疯狂购买黄金,美国财政部的黄金储备耗尽。这场危机的部分原因源自阿根廷爆发的一场危机,保守派认为,人们可以用持有的白银支持的货币换取黄金,这是引发恐慌的原因,因此当年晚些时候,他们废除了《购银法案》。
此举很快引发了自由白银运动的不满,因为恐慌演变成了长达四年的严重经济衰退,导致越来越多贫困的农民、矿主甚至城市里的贫困人群,将白银引发通货膨胀的好处视为解决困境的灵丹妙药。
布莱恩正是抓住了这些人的愤怒心理,在1896年迅速登上了国家政治舞台。
他当年并没有赢得总统大选,1900年第二次尝试同样以失败告终。但他对白银的支持却对美国政治产生了深远的影响。
甚至在大萧条最严重的时候,国会中来自农业州的白银支持者,迫切希望通过刺激通货膨胀的措施提高农产品价格,因此他们不顾富兰克林•罗斯福的反对,顺利通过了1934年《购银法案》。
该法案要求美国政府将国内的银矿国有化,并利用开采的白银铸币。该项法案还允许美国财政部恢复发行“银币证”,以及以高于市场价收购白银等。这项法律直到1963年才被废除。
布莱恩的政治遗产在普通民众与华尔街民粹主义的对抗中始终存在,这个话题在美国的政治话语中依旧有大量讨论。
布莱恩的目标是美国的城市居民,尤其是镀金时代的制造业和铁路大亨,以及为他们提供资金的华尔街银行家和金融家。
布莱恩曾经讽刺道:“穷人如果认为,应该将富人的财富分给穷人,他就会被戴上社会主义分子的帽子。但如果富人设计的计划能够将穷人微薄的收入为他所用,他会被称为金融家。”
他还说过:“穷人用暴力占有财产被叫做盗贼,但债权人可以通过法律要求债务人偿还借款金额的两倍,他们却会被称赞为稳健货币的好朋友。”
这些话听起来与人们在WallStreetBets论坛上的说法颇为类似。
人们在该论坛谴责所谓对冲基金大亨们的虚伪,指责他们总是会利用价值五位数的午餐或者独家投资者会议等各种方式,协调空头和为彼此的激进交易推波助澜,但当普通大众联合起来对他们施加压力的时候,他们却高喊“市场操纵”。
WallStreetBets论坛里的普通大众将目光投向白银,这或许是不可避免的。从布莱恩开始,白银一直深得经济民粹主义者的偏爱。
1月底,有一位昵称为RocketBoomGo的WallStreetBets用户在论坛里呼吁广大Reddit用户购买白银。这位用户写道:“想想它所带来的收益吧。”
“如果你们不关心收益,那就想想那些银行吧,比如摩根大通,你们的行动将有助于摧毁它们。”
最后,他呼吁其他投资者购买实物银锭,而不是白银交易所交易基金的股票:“如果可以的话,要购买实物。让银行去死吧。”
布莱恩和他的如今的追随者们并不打算直接利用白银谋利,他们所追求的是这种金属作为一种硬通货所产生的经济影响。而且,作为一位原教旨主义基督徒,他也不会像网民一样使用这种粗鄙的语言。
但布莱恩对于摩根大通和各大银行的态度会如何呢?
他应该会完全认同那位网民的。(财富中文网)
翻译:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
When the silver price suddenly rallied earlier this week to an eight-year high, and market analysts speculated WallStreetBets’ Reddit army of retail investors was behind the move, a few commentators quipped that William Jennings Bryan would have been proud.
Who?
Well, as you might vaguely recall from your high school AP American history class, Bryan was the original anti–Wall Street populist. Politician, orator, and lawyer (he famously sparred with legal eagle Clarence Darrow in the Scopes Monkey Trial), Bryan became hugely influential in the late 19th century in part by championing silver as an alternative to the gold standard.
It was Bryan, then a 36-year-old former Nebraska congressman, who secured the Democratic nomination for President in 1896, emerging from a crowded pack of candidates at the party’s national convention after he mesmerized attendees with a blistering speech attacking the gold standard, concluding with its famous enjoinder that humanity should “not be crucified upon a cross of gold.”
History may not repeat, but it frequently rhymes, and there are parallels between Bryan’s pro-silver populism and the WallStreetBets’ silver rally. The Reddit crowd was allegedly driving up silver’s price in an attempt to put a squeeze on Wall Street hedge funds that have shorted the metal. (Well, that’s one theory of what drove the silver price to a 10-year high on Monday. There are others too. And some WallStreetBets members deny they are behind silver’s rise. The following day, the metal sank back 5% and remained choppy throughout the week.) Bryan and his fellow “Free Silverites” wanted to land a blow to Northeastern elites and Wall Street bankers, a gesture that the WallStreetBets folks might recognize.
The war between Bryan's "Free Silverites" and the advocates of "Sound Money"—as the gold standard proponents termed themselves—was waged in vicious editorial cartoons. Combining humor, text, and images to mock opponents and score political points, they were very much the forerunners of the Internet memes WallStreetBets has used in its fight against Big Finance.
High ho, silver
But why silver? The tale of how being bullish on silver became associated with populism is complicated, but worth retelling: In 1791, as the U.S. was first establishing its own money, Treasury Secretary Alexander Hamilton (an upstart icon as any fan of the musical knows) argued that the dollar should be a bimetallic currency, exchangeable for a set amount of gold, or a larger amount of silver, with the ratio between the two metals fixed at 15:1. The newly established U.S. Mint would strike coins made of both metals. He believed that using two metals instead of one would make the dollar more stable. (Hamilton does not seem to have been well-versed in Gresham’s Law, despite Britain’s own failed attempts at bimetallism in the decades prior to the American Revolution.)
There were problems with the dual-metal standard almost from get-go, when the Napoleanic Wars drove up the price for gold relative to silver. These problems became worse as the 19th century progressed: The California Gold Rush drove the price of gold down relative to silver and caused silver coins to be worth more than their face value. This led to a large volume of silver coins being taken out of circulation and exported to be melted down for the underlying metal. In response, Congress in 1853 voted to reduce the amount of silver metal in U.S. coins. This made it uneconomical to export silver coin, but also unprofitable for silver miners to present their bullion at the U.S. Mint to be coined. In practice, the legislation put the U.S. on the gold standard.
During the Civil War, the vast expense of the war effort resulted in the U.S. temporarily moving away from any specie currency to an economy based almost entirely on the circulation of “greenbacks,” paper money backed only by the credit of the federal government. After the war, exactly when and how to return to specie currency became a contentious political issue that laid bare rifts between rural and urban America and between Northeastern elites and those in the West, Midwest, and South. Sound familiar?
“The Crime of ’73”
In the late 1860s and early 1870s, Ohio Sen. John Sherman (best known for his antitrust legislation) pushed to get the U.S. to formally abandon silver and join the gold standard, which most European nations had adopted. He succeeded when Congress passed the Coinage Act of 1873, which ended the minting of silver dollars and stopped the U.S. Mint from accepting silver bullion in exchange for coins. To pro-silver populists, passage of the Act would later come to be known as “The Crime of ’73.”
The immediate victims of the act were mining interests. The discovery of large deposits of silver in the American West had driven the price of silver bullion down below the fixed rate paid by the U.S. Mint. Miners had been making good money presenting bullion to the mint in exchange for coin, a practice to which the act put a stop.
But the act wouldn’t have been so contentious if hadn’t been for the Panic of 1873, a financial crisis whose immediate cause was the collapse of several highly speculative, highly leveraged railroad companies, which became a yearslong economic depression. Caught in a deflationary spiral, indebted Midwestern and Southern farmers were rightly convinced that the tighter monetary policy caused by the Coinage Act was exacerbating their economic pain, and many pushed for a return to bimetallism in the hopes that it might spark an inflationary cycle that would make it easier for them to repay their loans. This united them in the “Free Silver” coalition with Western economic interests.
The Free Silver populists scored some early victories. In 1878, Congress returned silver coins to circulation and required the U.S. Mint to purchase, with paper money, between $2 million and $4 million of silver bullion each month to mint into coin. (You can think of this as the quantitative easing of its day.) When agricultural prices collapsed in the 1880s, many Midwesterners again saw unlimited minting of silver coins as a way to end deflation and help farmers escape their debts. In 1890, Congress passed the Silver Purchase Act, mandating that the government increase its monthly silver purchases by 50%.
But the Panic of 1893, which was caused in part by financial contagion from a crisis in Argentina, lead to a worldwide run on gold and a depletion of the U.S. Treasury’s gold reserves. Conservatives believed the fact that holders of silver-backed notes could redeem them for gold had inflamed the panic and, in response, later that year they repealed the Silver Purchase Act. This move stoked immediate outrage among the Free Silver movement and, as the panic gave way to a brutal, four-year-long depression, more and more impoverished farmers, miners, and even urban poor came to see salvation in the inflationary balm of silver. It was this righteous outrage that Bryan seized upon to catapult himself onto the national stage in 1896.
Bryan didn’t win the presidency that year and failed in a second attempt in 1900. But his championing of silver had a long-lasting impact on U.S. politics. So much so that in the depths of the Great Depression, pro-silver members of Congress from farming states, eager for re-inflationary measures to boost agricultural prices, succeeded in passing the 1934 Silver Purchase Act over the objections of Franklin Roosevelt. This law required the U.S. government to nationalize the country’s silver mines and use the silver production to mint coins. It also restored the U.S. Treasury’s issuance of silver-backed certificates and purchase of silver at above-market rates. It was repealed only in 1963.
Bryan’s legacy has lived on in a Main Street versus Wall Street populism that remains a rich vein of U.S. political discourse. Bryan’s targets were the nation’s city dwellers, and, in particular, the country’s Gilded Age manufacturing and railroad barons, and the Wall Street bankers and financiers who funded them. “The poor man is called a socialist if he believes that the wealth of the rich should be divided among the poor, but the rich man is called a financier if he devises a plan by which the pittance of the poor can be converted to his use,” is one Bryan quip. “The poor man who takes property by force is called a thief, but the creditor who can by legislation make a debtor pay a dollar twice as large as he borrowed is lauded as the friend of sound currency,” is another.
That certainly sounds a bit like the WallStreetBets crowd pointing out the alleged hypocrisy of hedge fund tycoons, who have often found ways, over five-figure lunches or exclusive investor conferences, to coordinate shorts and surf one another’s activist trades, but scream "market manipulation" when the hoi polloi gang up to put a squeeze on them.
Perhaps it was inevitable that the WallStreetBets crowd would turn its attention to silver. Ever since Bryan, it's been the preferred metal of economic populism. Here’s one WallStreetBets denizen, who goes by the handle RocketBoomGo, urging the Reddit army to buy silver last week: “Think about the Gainz,” the user wrote, using the channel’s preferred stylized spelling of “gains.” “If you don't care about the gains, think about the banks like JPMorgan you'd be destroying along the way.” And, later in the post, in urging his fellow investors to buy actual bars of bullion, rather than shares in silver ETFs: “Demand physical if you can. Fuck the banks.”
Now, Bryan and his followers weren’t looking to make money directly on silver—it was the economic impact of the metal's use as specie they were after. And, as a fundamentalist Christian, he would never have used such choice language.
But the sentiments about J.P. Morgan and the banks? Bryan would have agreed wholeheartedly.