对加密货币的投资者来说,7月算不上一个好月份。继7月8日的大幅下跌之后,比特币(Bitcoin)今年的涨幅为13.3%,低于标准普尔500指数(S&P 500)同期的表现。
过去一个月,在2021年迄今为止投资回报率更高的赌注中,比特币和股票(以标准普尔500指数为代表)一直难分胜负。但现在,波动剧烈的比特币已经很难赶超股票的步伐。截至7月8日收盘,标准普尔500指数今年迄今为止上涨了15%,并且在7月9日上午的盘前交易中又再度上涨,而加密货币的价格板块则充斥着红色。
最近一次的加密货币下跌由比特币7月8日的暴跌引发,其跌幅曾一度达到6%。而跟据CoinDesk的报道,以太币(Ethereum)和狗狗币(Dogecoin)的情况更糟,跌幅达10%左右,之后有所回升。以太币和狗狗币今年的表现优于股票,但后者在过去一个月间经历了熊市回调,而前者在此期间下跌了13.5%。
近期的下跌恰好发生在过去一周加密货币看似开始企稳之际。推动加密货币在7月8日走低的因素包括中国方面进一步的举措,以及美国参议员伊丽莎白•沃伦写给美国证券交易委员会(Securities and Exchange Commission)的主席加里•根斯勒的一份报告——该报告称加密货币市场是“高度不透明、不稳定的”。
看好加密货币的人们有充足的理由感到担忧。比特币的交易价格继续低于其备受关注的50日和100日移动均线。因此,自从比特币在4月中旬创下近6.5万美元的历史新高以来,卖家比买家多了很多。
近期苏富比(Sotheby’s)拍卖行拍卖一颗101.38克拉钻石的故事就进一步印证了加密货币的低迷。苏富比拍卖行表示接受买家支付比特币或以太币来购买这颗稀有的无暇钻石。这是有史以来公开接受加密货币支付的最昂贵的实物。然而由于没有出现支付加密货币的买家,这颗钻石最终以传统法定货币9510万港元(约1230万美元)的价格出售,低于叫价。这让加密货币的粉丝感到失望——他们原本希望此次拍卖能够成为加密货币被主流接受的又一里程碑。
但坚定的支持者会坚持下去。7月9日早上,埃隆•马斯克在推特(Twitter)上为狗狗币辩护,但他此举未能提升该加密货币的价值。
比特币和以太币都在追求多层交易系统,但底层交易速度慢、成本高。
在我看来,狗狗币将底层交易率最大化、将交易成本最小化是有好处的,交易所充当了事实上的第二层。
——埃隆•马斯克(@elonmusk),2021年7月9日
至少在目前,比特币仍然将是其底层交易率较低的多层交易系统的受害者,在市场上也依然面临着压力。(财富中文网)
译者:张翯
对加密货币的投资者来说,7月算不上一个好月份。继7月8日的大幅下跌之后,比特币(Bitcoin)今年的涨幅为13.3%,低于标准普尔500指数(S&P 500)同期的表现。
过去一个月,在2021年迄今为止投资回报率更高的赌注中,比特币和股票(以标准普尔500指数为代表)一直难分胜负。但现在,波动剧烈的比特币已经很难赶超股票的步伐。截至7月8日收盘,标准普尔500指数今年迄今为止上涨了15%,并且在7月9日上午的盘前交易中又再度上涨,而加密货币的价格板块则充斥着红色。
最近一次的加密货币下跌由比特币7月8日的暴跌引发,其跌幅曾一度达到6%。而跟据CoinDesk的报道,以太币(Ethereum)和狗狗币(Dogecoin)的情况更糟,跌幅达10%左右,之后有所回升。以太币和狗狗币今年的表现优于股票,但后者在过去一个月间经历了熊市回调,而前者在此期间下跌了13.5%。
近期的下跌恰好发生在过去一周加密货币看似开始企稳之际。推动加密货币在7月8日走低的因素包括中国方面进一步的举措,以及美国参议员伊丽莎白•沃伦写给美国证券交易委员会(Securities and Exchange Commission)的主席加里•根斯勒的一份报告——该报告称加密货币市场是“高度不透明、不稳定的”。
看好加密货币的人们有充足的理由感到担忧。比特币的交易价格继续低于其备受关注的50日和100日移动均线。因此,自从比特币在4月中旬创下近6.5万美元的历史新高以来,卖家比买家多了很多。
近期苏富比(Sotheby’s)拍卖行拍卖一颗101.38克拉钻石的故事就进一步印证了加密货币的低迷。苏富比拍卖行表示接受买家支付比特币或以太币来购买这颗稀有的无暇钻石。这是有史以来公开接受加密货币支付的最昂贵的实物。然而由于没有出现支付加密货币的买家,这颗钻石最终以传统法定货币9510万港元(约1230万美元)的价格出售,低于叫价。这让加密货币的粉丝感到失望——他们原本希望此次拍卖能够成为加密货币被主流接受的又一里程碑。
但坚定的支持者会坚持下去。7月9日早上,埃隆•马斯克在推特(Twitter)上为狗狗币辩护,但他此举未能提升该加密货币的价值。
比特币和以太币都在追求多层交易系统,但底层交易速度慢、成本高。
在我看来,狗狗币将底层交易率最大化、将交易成本最小化是有好处的,交易所充当了事实上的第二层。
——埃隆•马斯克(@elonmusk),2021年7月9日
至少在目前,比特币仍然将是其底层交易率较低的多层交易系统的受害者,在市场上也依然面临着压力。(财富中文网)
译者:张翯
July hasn’t been a good month for crypto investors. Following a steep decline on July 8, Bitcoin is now up 13.3% for the year, underperforming the S&P 500 over the same period.
For the past month, Bitcoin and stocks—as represented by the benchmark S&P 500—have traded places as the better-returning bet for investors so far in 2021. But the notoriously volatile Bitcoin is finding it hard to keep up. As of July 8’s close, the S&P 500 was up 15% year to date, and was gaining in premarket July 9 morning, while the crypto price board is awash in red.
The latest crypto decline was triggered by the rough tumble Bitcoin took yesterday, falling 6% at one point. Ethereum and Dogecoin had it worse, falling about 10%, according to CoinDesk, before recovering. Ethereum and Dogecoin are outperforming stocks for the year, but the latter is in a bear-market correction over the past month, and Ethereum is off 13.5% in that period.
The recent declines hit just as it appeared crypto coins were beginning to stabilize over the past week. Among the factors that pushed them lower on July 8 were further rumblings from China and a note to Securities and Exchange Commission chairman Gary Gensler from Sen. Elizabeth Warren that described crypto markets as “highly opaque and volatile.”
For crypto bulls, there’s some reason to worry. Bitcoin continues to trade below its closely watched 50- and 100-day moving average. The upshot: There have been a lot more sellers than buyers since Bitcoin hit its all-time high of nearly $65,000 in mid-April.
The fall from grace is exemplified by the story of a 101.38-carat diamond that was recently auctioned off at Sotheby’s. The international auction house said it would accept Bitcoin or Ether as payment for the flawless diamond—the most expensive physical object ever publicly offered for purchase with cryptocurrency. However, when a crypto buyer failed to emerge, the diamond was sold under the asking price in traditional fiat currency for HK$95.1 million ($12.3 million), disappointing crypto fans who hoped the auction would mark another milestone in the mainstream acceptance of the digital currencies.
But staunch supporters will stick around. Elon Musk tweeted in defense of Dogecoin in July 9 morning, which did little to lift the value of the coins.
BTC & ETH are pursuing a multilayer transaction system, but base layer transaction rate is slow & transaction cost is high.
There is merit imo to Doge maximizing base layer transaction rate & minimizing transaction cost with exchanges acting as the de facto secondary layer.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 9, 2021
For now at least, Bitcoin will remain a victim of its own multilayer transaction system with a slow base layer transaction rate. And it’s still under pressure in the markets.