美国佛罗里达大西洋大学(Florida Atlantic University)认为,爱达荷州的首府博伊西是美国最被高估的房地产市场之一,当地房产的挂牌价比预期售价高80.51%。
从2020年8月至2021年8月,美国的房价整体上涨了19.8%,预计2022年美国房地产市场会有所降温,到2022年年底预期房价涨幅只有2.9%。佛罗里达大西洋大学认为,博伊西等五个城市的房价即将达到最高点,很快将趋于稳定。
博伊西于2019年被Livability网站评为千禧一代最宜居城市,2018年被《福布斯》(Forbes)评为美国发展最快的城市。Livability网站会公布美国城市的排名数据。在《美国新闻与世界报道》(U.S. News & World Report)的2021-2022年最宜居城市排行榜中,博伊西排在第11位。该媒体这样评价这个城市:“是的,有些地方有更美丽的野外风光,有些地方的城市化水平更高。但博伊西两者兼具,是一个适合居住的好地方。”
据《Business Insider》统计,在新冠疫情期间,搬到爱达荷州的人口比离开的人口多194%。据房地产交易网站Realtor.com统计,博伊西吸引了大批远程办公者从圣何塞等房价更高的城市搬到这里生活。在博伊西以北几小时车程的爱达荷州莫斯科市,房地产市场的情况类似。房地产经纪人米斯蒂·库里对爱达荷大学(University of Idaho)的期刊《The Argonaut》表示,爱达荷州房价上涨的主要原因之一是人口大量涌入。
库里说:“2020年,我们发现随着大量购房人涌入爱达荷州,当地确实出现了房屋库存不足的情况。许多新购房人搬到这里,但我们却无法提供帮助。”
博伊西最受千禧一代欢迎,而这个群体正在步入30岁,是首次购房的典型年龄。除了这些购房者以外,在新冠疫情期间,博伊西还吸引了大批远程办公者,在Apartment List的最适宜远程办公城市中排在第三位。
随着需求持续增长,房地产供应却严重不足。美国房地产市场存在约400万套住房缺口。据《The Argonaut》报道,爱达荷大学的经济学教授史蒂夫·彼德森认为,爱达荷州后续也存在这样的问题。
他提到十多年前的房地产市场崩盘称:“我认为人们并没有意识到大萧条对建筑和房地产市场造成的严重破坏。”他还表示,因为房地产市场崩盘,陷入停滞的房屋建设市场最近才开始恢复。
而房屋建设所需要的木材目前涨价高达308%。哥伦布市一家经济住房非营利组织的执行总监布莱恩·希金斯指出,木材涨价导致房屋建设成本大大提高。
以上这些因素可能是博伊西实际房价上涨的原因。
对当地社区而言,房价暴涨并不是好消息。有一对夫妇对哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)表示,在多次出价遭到拒绝之后,他们最终找到了一位明确希望将房子卖给本地家庭的卖家。
一名业主说:“才仅仅过去几年时间,为什么情况会变成这样?”(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
美国佛罗里达大西洋大学(Florida Atlantic University)认为,爱达荷州的首府博伊西是美国最被高估的房地产市场之一,当地房产的挂牌价比预期售价高80.51%。
从2020年8月至2021年8月,美国的房价整体上涨了19.8%,预计2022年美国房地产市场会有所降温,到2022年年底预期房价涨幅只有2.9%。佛罗里达大西洋大学认为,博伊西等五个城市的房价即将达到最高点,很快将趋于稳定。
博伊西于2019年被Livability网站评为千禧一代最宜居城市,2018年被《福布斯》(Forbes)评为美国发展最快的城市。Livability网站会公布美国城市的排名数据。在《美国新闻与世界报道》(U.S. News & World Report)的2021-2022年最宜居城市排行榜中,博伊西排在第11位。该媒体这样评价这个城市:“是的,有些地方有更美丽的野外风光,有些地方的城市化水平更高。但博伊西两者兼具,是一个适合居住的好地方。”
据《Business Insider》统计,在新冠疫情期间,搬到爱达荷州的人口比离开的人口多194%。据房地产交易网站Realtor.com统计,博伊西吸引了大批远程办公者从圣何塞等房价更高的城市搬到这里生活。在博伊西以北几小时车程的爱达荷州莫斯科市,房地产市场的情况类似。房地产经纪人米斯蒂·库里对爱达荷大学(University of Idaho)的期刊《The Argonaut》表示,爱达荷州房价上涨的主要原因之一是人口大量涌入。
库里说:“2020年,我们发现随着大量购房人涌入爱达荷州,当地确实出现了房屋库存不足的情况。许多新购房人搬到这里,但我们却无法提供帮助。”
博伊西最受千禧一代欢迎,而这个群体正在步入30岁,是首次购房的典型年龄。除了这些购房者以外,在新冠疫情期间,博伊西还吸引了大批远程办公者,在Apartment List的最适宜远程办公城市中排在第三位。
随着需求持续增长,房地产供应却严重不足。美国房地产市场存在约400万套住房缺口。据《The Argonaut》报道,爱达荷大学的经济学教授史蒂夫·彼德森认为,爱达荷州后续也存在这样的问题。
他提到十多年前的房地产市场崩盘称:“我认为人们并没有意识到大萧条对建筑和房地产市场造成的严重破坏。”他还表示,因为房地产市场崩盘,陷入停滞的房屋建设市场最近才开始恢复。
而房屋建设所需要的木材目前涨价高达308%。哥伦布市一家经济住房非营利组织的执行总监布莱恩·希金斯指出,木材涨价导致房屋建设成本大大提高。
以上这些因素可能是博伊西实际房价上涨的原因。
对当地社区而言,房价暴涨并不是好消息。有一对夫妇对哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)表示,在多次出价遭到拒绝之后,他们最终找到了一位明确希望将房子卖给本地家庭的卖家。
一名业主说:“才仅仅过去几年时间,为什么情况会变成这样?”(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
The Idaho capital tops a list of overvalued U.S. housing markets, with homes listed 80.51% above their expected price, according to Florida Atlantic University (FAU).
U.S. home prices overall rose by 19.8% between August 2020 and August 2021, but are expected to cool off a bit in 2022, with a projected rise of only 2.9% by year’s end. Boise is one of five cities that might be approaching their “pricing crown,” or peak prices, and will soon begin to stabilize, according to FAU.
Boise was ranked the best place to live for millennials in 2019 by Livability, which publishes data rankings for U.S. cities, and was named the fastest-growing city in the U.S. in 2018 by Forbes. U.S. News & World Report ranked Boise 11th in its list of best places to live in 2021–22, writing: “Yes, there are wilder places. Yes, there are more urbane places. But Boise is a good place to live if you enjoy easy access to both.”
Over the course of the pandemic, 194% more people moved to Idaho than moved away, according to Business Insider. Boise has attracted remote workers from more expensive cities like San Jose, according to Realtor.com, a real estate listing website. In Moscow, Idaho, a few hours north of Boise, things don’t look much different. Realtor Misty Curry told The Argonaut, a University of Idaho publication, that one of the primary reasons prices in the greater state of Idaho have shot up is this influx of new people.
“Once 2020 hit, we really saw inventory lack due to the mass amount of buyers coming into Idaho. We have so many new buyers moving in, we just can’t help them,” Curry said.
All those millennials for which Boise is supposed to be a hotspot are hitting their thirties, the prime age of first-time homebuyers. Along with this new wave of buyers, Boise has attracted a rush of remote workers during the pandemic, ranking third on Apartment List’s collection of the best cities for remote work.
And for all that growing demand, the supply is seriously lacking. On a national scale, the housing market is short almost 4 million homes. This is subsequently a problem in Idaho, said University of Idaho economics professor Steve Peterson, according to The Argonaut.
“I don’t think people realize how badly the construction and housing industry were damaged by the greater recession,” he said, referring to the housing crash more than a decade ago. Homebuilding, which halted after the crash, has only recently resumed, Peterson added.
And the lumber needed to actually catch up and build more housing now costs up to 308% more. That makes the cost of homebuilding significantly more expensive, according to Brian Higgins, executive director of an affordable housing nonprofit in Columbus.
All those factors combined could be why real estate prices in Boise are so high.
The surge in home prices isn’t good news for the local community in Boise. One couple told CBS that, after multiple offer rejections, they had finally found a seller who wanted to sell specifically to a local family.
“Why is it like this when just a couple years ago it wasn’t?” one of the homeowners said.