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俄罗斯进攻乌克兰,加密货币市场遭殃

Tristan Bove
2022-02-28

俄乌冲突再次表明,比特币不可能免于受到现实事件的影响。

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2月24日,普京对乌克兰的军事行动迅速引发股市暴跌,但之后,比特币(Bitcoin)、以太币(Ethereum)和Solana币等价格下跌,加密货币的投资者也受到影响。

加密货币市场与股市之间曾经被认为是相互孤立的,但现在两者之间的关联性明显变得日益密切,而眼下的俄乌冲突再次表明比特币不可能免于受到现实事件的影响。

2月24日上午,在俄军攻入乌克兰的消息曝出后,全球股市暴跌,未来的不确定性促使许多投资者将资金转移到更安全的地方。当天,美国三大股指开盘下跌超过2%,而石油、小麦和钢材等大宗商品价格暴涨影响了股市走向。

历史上一旦出现动荡和战争,担惊受怕的投资者往往会选择黄金等稳定的资产,而加密货币的支持者一直号称加密货币独立于金融市场,因此在其他投资市场出现波动时,加密货币是绝佳的投资对象,甚至有人称比特币是“数字黄金”。

但目前黄金市场表现良好,而比特币等加密货币却暴跌,下跌速度甚至超过了股市。

2月24日,加密货币总市场价值下跌近8%,24小时内蒸发超过1500亿美元。Solana币和柴犬币(Shiba Inu)等加密货币的价格暴跌达10%。

大型加密货币交易平台FTX的创始人及首席执行官山姆·班克曼-弗莱德在推特(Twitter)上发推文表示,加密货币的算法交易是此次暴跌背后的主要原因。加密货币算法交易基于加密货币交易程序中预先制定的指令。这些程序依赖现有数据,并根据股市波动做出判断。目前,乌克兰危机引发投资者抛售潮,所有股市下行,导致加密货币价格暴跌,其跌幅与其他传统金融资产不相上下。

一段时间以来,比特币和传统股票的表现出现联动。2022年年初,股市开年不利,与此同时,比特币价格也有相同幅度的下跌,原因是美联储(Federal Reserve)加息等政策刺激了数字资产和实际资产抛售。

随着越来越多大型银行开始提供数字资产贷款服务,加密货币与主要股指以及其他主流金融资产的表现之间的联系日益密切。

高盛集团(Goldman Sachs)的外汇策略联席主管扎克·潘德尔在今年1月对《金融时报》(Financial Times)表示:“在新冠疫情爆发之前,比特币和其他数字资产与传统金融市场变量的相关性较低——实际上,加密货币表现为一个完全不同的生态系统。”

潘德尔说:“但随着加密货币应用日益广泛,越发成为主流,其与宏观资产的相关性在过去两年中日益提高。”(财富中文网)

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

2月24日,普京对乌克兰的军事行动迅速引发股市暴跌,但之后,比特币(Bitcoin)、以太币(Ethereum)和Solana币等价格下跌,加密货币的投资者也受到影响。

加密货币市场与股市之间曾经被认为是相互孤立的,但现在两者之间的关联性明显变得日益密切,而眼下的俄乌冲突再次表明比特币不可能免于受到现实事件的影响。

2月24日上午,在俄军攻入乌克兰的消息曝出后,全球股市暴跌,未来的不确定性促使许多投资者将资金转移到更安全的地方。当天,美国三大股指开盘下跌超过2%,而石油、小麦和钢材等大宗商品价格暴涨影响了股市走向。

历史上一旦出现动荡和战争,担惊受怕的投资者往往会选择黄金等稳定的资产,而加密货币的支持者一直号称加密货币独立于金融市场,因此在其他投资市场出现波动时,加密货币是绝佳的投资对象,甚至有人称比特币是“数字黄金”。

但目前黄金市场表现良好,而比特币等加密货币却暴跌,下跌速度甚至超过了股市。

2月24日,加密货币总市场价值下跌近8%,24小时内蒸发超过1500亿美元。Solana币和柴犬币(Shiba Inu)等加密货币的价格暴跌达10%。

大型加密货币交易平台FTX的创始人及首席执行官山姆·班克曼-弗莱德在推特(Twitter)上发推文表示,加密货币的算法交易是此次暴跌背后的主要原因。加密货币算法交易基于加密货币交易程序中预先制定的指令。这些程序依赖现有数据,并根据股市波动做出判断。目前,乌克兰危机引发投资者抛售潮,所有股市下行,导致加密货币价格暴跌,其跌幅与其他传统金融资产不相上下。

一段时间以来,比特币和传统股票的表现出现联动。2022年年初,股市开年不利,与此同时,比特币价格也有相同幅度的下跌,原因是美联储(Federal Reserve)加息等政策刺激了数字资产和实际资产抛售。

随着越来越多大型银行开始提供数字资产贷款服务,加密货币与主要股指以及其他主流金融资产的表现之间的联系日益密切。

高盛集团(Goldman Sachs)的外汇策略联席主管扎克·潘德尔在今年1月对《金融时报》(Financial Times)表示:“在新冠疫情爆发之前,比特币和其他数字资产与传统金融市场变量的相关性较低——实际上,加密货币表现为一个完全不同的生态系统。”

潘德尔说:“但随着加密货币应用日益广泛,越发成为主流,其与宏观资产的相关性在过去两年中日益提高。”(财富中文网)

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

Putin’s invasion of Ukraine was immediately devastating to stock markets, but cryptocurrency investors also took a hit after Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana followed the market’s February 24 downturn.

The close relationship between cryptocurrency and the stock market, once thought to be separate, is becoming increasingly clear, and the Ukraine conflict is the latest indicator that digital currencies like Bitcoin are not insulated from the real world.

Stock markets around the world tumbled February 24 morning after news broke that Russia had invaded Ukraine, and uncertainty pushed many investors to move their money to safer places. When trading opened Thursday morning, all three major U.S. stocks fell by more than 2%, compounded by a surge in prices for a number of commodities including oil, wheat, and steel.

Skittish investors have historically relied on stable assets like gold in times of precariousness and war, but crypto advocates have maintained that cryptocurrency’s ability to separate itself from financial markets makes it perfect to invest in when other markets are volatile, with some even calling Bitcoin “digital gold.”

But gold is doing very well right now, while Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are plunging even faster than the stock market.

Crypto’s overall market value went down nearly 8% on February 24, eliminating over $150 billion within 24 hours. Several currencies, such as Solana and Shiba Inu, fell by as much as 10%.

In a Twitter post, Sam Bankman-Fried, founder and CEO of major cryptocurrency exchange FTX, said that algorithmic trading of cryptocurrency is a big reason behind the drop. Algorithmic crypto trading relies on predetermined instructions for programs to trade cryptocurrencies. These programs tend to be reliant on existing data, taking cues from how stock markets are moving. And right now, the Ukraine crisis is making every investor sell and all stock markets point downward, leading to a drop for crypto commensurate with the dives of more traditional financial assets.

Bitcoin and traditional stocks have been moving in tandem with each other for a while now. The stock market’s poor start to 2022 was accompanied by an equally bad dip for Bitcoin, as Federal Reserve policies, such as higher interest rates, have played a part in encouraging selloffs of both digital and real-world assets.

And as more and more major banks begin offering digital asset lending services, cryptocurrency is becoming increasingly tied up with the performance of major indexes and more mainstream financial assets.

“Prior to the pandemic, Bitcoin and other digital assets showed low correlations to traditional financial market variables—in effect, crypto behaved as an entirely different ecosystem,” Zach Pandl, co-head of foreign exchange strategy at Goldman Sachs, told the Financial Times in January.

“But over the last two years, as Bitcoin has seen wider mainstream adoption, its correlation with macro assets has picked up.”

财富中文网所刊载内容之知识产权为财富媒体知识产权有限公司及/或相关权利人专属所有或持有。未经许可,禁止进行转载、摘编、复制及建立镜像等任何使用。
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