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通胀让生活必需品涨价,人们应该如何保持收支平衡?

Megan Leonhardt
2022-03-16

生活开支不断上涨,对许多美国人来说,保持收支平衡愈发困难。

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最近,食品和住房等生活必需品的价格持续上涨。专家表示,因为俄罗斯入侵乌克兰,对天然气、小麦和玉米生产造成了影响,因而物价上涨可能才刚刚开始。

生活开支不断上涨,对许多美国人来说,保持收支平衡愈发困难。

上个月,美国的消费品和服务价格上涨7.9%,创40年来新高。3月10日最新公布的消费者价格指数(CPI)报告显示,2月美国CPI环比上涨0.8%,而此前几个月,CPI一直处于下降态势。

“物价急剧上涨,这种意外情况突然出现,常常让人们沮丧万分,难于把预算控制在合理范围之内。”总部位于佛罗里达的理财规划公司WELLth Financial Planning的创始人、注册理财规划师克里斯·迪奥达托说道。

罗斯福研究所(Roosevelt Institute)的宏观经济分析副主任劳伦·梅洛迪亚表示,2月约75%的通胀产生于食品、能源和住房这三个领域。

食品杂货价格仅在2月就上涨了1.4%,过去12个月上涨了8.6%。今年2月,能源价格飙升6.6%,驱使能源成本上涨约3.5%,而1月仅上涨0.9%。然而,俄罗斯2月24日才入侵乌克兰,战争的真正影响还未开始真正显现,就出现了以上的价格波动。

住房成本占CPI构成的三分之一,可以说是每月最大家庭支出之一。2月,美国住房成本上涨了0.5%。虽然涨幅似乎不算很大,但从CPI包含的所有类别消费品(食品和能源类除外)的月度价格上涨总额度来看,住房成本的上涨占到了40%以上。

“这些都是基本生活必需品,人们不能拖着不买,也不能用别的东西替代。每个月都得支付房租或者缴纳房贷,每天都要吃饭。还有,必须购买电力和汽油,才能上班工作、照顾家人。”梅洛迪亚说。

美国金融服务集团PNC的经济学家库尔特·兰金称,物价的环比上涨表明,通胀恶化的原因源于目前的各种现状,并非仅仅是新冠疫情的“溢出效应”。“通胀在所有消费领域都根深蒂固。”兰金说。他还指出,未来数月,通胀水平可能会持续保持在高位。

生活成本持续上涨,意味着即使许多美国人的工资水平上涨,也必须重新严格规划支出。2月美国平均时薪增长了6.7%。但兰金指出:“即使各行业工资水平都出现健康增长,可能也赶不上消费价格上涨的速度。”

人们应该认真审视支出状况了

那么,美国人应该如何跟上生活成本上涨的步伐?金融专家建议,很多时候应该采取的对策都可以归结为常识性的方法,即限制不必要的支出,并尽量挑选价格合适的消费品去购买。

“与其在消费方面进行一次彻底的改变,我通常倾向于频繁地进行微调,这样会感觉没有那么痛苦。”总部位于威斯康星州的金融理财规划公司Kindness Financial Planning的创始人、金融理财师埃利奥特·阿佩尔说道。

毫无疑问,当生活基本必需品的价格飞涨时,很难保持预算收支平衡,阿佩尔补充说。其他财务规划师也表示,现在美国人应该重新审视自己的全部生活预算,要能够区分哪些支出是绝对必要的,哪些是可以省下的。

金融理财师杰伊·齐格蒙特是总部位于密西西比的金融理财公司Live, Learn, Plan的创始人。他把支出分为四类:必须、应该、可以、绝不。“必须”的支出是没有商量余地的,而且是首当其冲的,只有支付这些费用,才能够有吃有住。这类支出还包括对任何未偿债务的最低偿还额。随后是“应该”的支出,这些支出并不是生活必需,但从长远来看是有用的,比如预存的紧急情况支出和退休储蓄金。“可能”的支出指的是可以自由支配的部分。齐格蒙特说:“随着物价上涨,很多东西我们可能都买不起了,如果是这样,就‘可能’看情况而定。”

而对于另外一些支出,人们就要告诉自己“绝不”掏钱。要省下这部分支出,能够从容易实现的项目开始,例如取消订阅服务或减少外出就餐。还有,或许可以考虑去较便宜的食品店购物,把昂贵的健身会员卡换成便宜的,或者干脆在家健身。“大多数人都订阅了相当多的服务,至少能够取消一项吧。”齐格蒙特说。

人们也可以尝试通过协商讲价,降低每月账单的花销,特别是有线电视、网络宽带和电话费。阿佩尔建议:“打电话给供应商,问问能否打折,或者让他们介绍一下其他套餐。”最近,他通过这种方法为一个家人每月节省了30美元的有线电视费,同时所有主要的电视频道也都还能够观看。

一个人的预算就这么多钱,这是无法变更的底线。然而,可能有一些项目或服务,可以换成更便宜的替代品,或者彻底取消。

总部位于马萨诸塞州的金融规划公司Beyond Your Hammock的创始人、理财规划师埃里克·罗贝热说:“我们大多数人都有一部分能够自由支配的支出,纯粹用于想要的东西,而非需要的东西。”

花大力气找折扣

预计汽油价格将继续大幅上涨,因此值得花几分钟时间去找找,是否有更低价的加油地点。下载像GasBuddy这样的免费应用程序,可以查询附近加油站的价格,从而确定哪家最便宜。

在食品杂货店或仓储会员店运营的加油站,人们也能够享受加油折扣。“我发现,山姆会员商店(Sam 's Club)和开市客(Costco)等仓储会员店的加油站,经常比其他加油站便宜15%到20%。尤其是对经常开车的人来说,省下的油钱可以轻松支付这些仓储店的会员费用。”迪奥达托向《财富》杂志表示。

另一个建议是:检查信用卡是否有返现金的优惠——然后每月用这些累积额度去抵扣部分刷卡花销。有几种Discover和Chase的信用卡,到明年3月为止能够在食品杂货店享受5%的现金返还。

此外,使用Ibotta、Coupon Sherpa和RetailMeNot等应用程序,也可以拿到优惠券和折扣,帮助消费者节省购物费用。

但必须明确的一点是,如果必须付更多的钱才能够省下另一笔钱,那么就不算省钱。比如,如果必须驱车30分钟才可以到达一加仑便宜几美分的加油站,或者汽油和牛奶捆绑销售买一送一,那么花在汽油上的钱可能就比省下的多。迪奥达托说,他非常认同少次大量购物的做法,这样一来,就能够减少外出去商店的次数。

“应该试着学会批处理自己的各项事务。我知道,开车去什么地方都很容易,但是汽油价格越来越高,如果可以在同一天内顺路去几个临近的地方,把所有事情都办好,那么可能就会省下一笔开支。”阿佩尔说。

密切关注债务问题

债务属于“必须”类别,因为至少每个月都必须支付最低还款额。债务清偿很可能会在很大程度上决定,人们能够和哪些银行进行业务往来。但理财规划师建议,在这个充满不确定因素的时期,美国人应该谨慎偿还债务。

如果手头有多余的现金,就可以拨出一些来偿还信用卡等高息债务,总部位于得克萨斯州的理财规划公司Intentional Living Financial Planning的创始人、金融理财师吉姆·克赖德表示。根据债务额度和能够支付的额度,这种操作可以每月给生活预算多留出一些空间。

但如果债务利率固定且相对较低,例如30年期抵押贷款或过去几年利率处于历史低位时申请的汽车贷款,多还债并没有什么帮助,克赖德说。他表示:“如果你的债务利率固定且较低,而且不存在利率变高或提前‘要债’的情况,那么在高通胀时期就可能不需要提前还款。”

如果不得不动用存款来偿还这种债务,那么克赖德的建议就更有用了。现在应该扩大应对紧急事件的储蓄额度,在手里留存更多的现金,用来缓冲之后的物价上涨压力。如果你现在左支右绌,无法维持收支平衡,那么甚至就应该暂时减少退休储蓄金,或者推迟购买大件昂贵商品。

物价上涨让美国低收入人群再难买到更便宜的日常必需品,因而对他们的影响尤其严重。

克赖德说:“通货膨胀对那些已经没有可支配收入去买非必需品的人影响最大,让他们的生活雪上加霜。一方面,他们的生活成本变得更加昂贵,另一方面,他们并没有多少削减预算的空间。”(财富中文网)

译者:Transn

最近,食品和住房等生活必需品的价格持续上涨。专家表示,因为俄罗斯入侵乌克兰,对天然气、小麦和玉米生产造成了影响,因而物价上涨可能才刚刚开始。

生活开支不断上涨,对许多美国人来说,保持收支平衡愈发困难。

上个月,美国的消费品和服务价格上涨7.9%,创40年来新高。3月10日最新公布的消费者价格指数(CPI)报告显示,2月美国CPI环比上涨0.8%,而此前几个月,CPI一直处于下降态势。

“物价急剧上涨,这种意外情况突然出现,常常让人们沮丧万分,难于把预算控制在合理范围之内。”总部位于佛罗里达的理财规划公司WELLth Financial Planning的创始人、注册理财规划师克里斯·迪奥达托说道。

罗斯福研究所(Roosevelt Institute)的宏观经济分析副主任劳伦·梅洛迪亚表示,2月约75%的通胀产生于食品、能源和住房这三个领域。

食品杂货价格仅在2月就上涨了1.4%,过去12个月上涨了8.6%。今年2月,能源价格飙升6.6%,驱使能源成本上涨约3.5%,而1月仅上涨0.9%。然而,俄罗斯2月24日才入侵乌克兰,战争的真正影响还未开始真正显现,就出现了以上的价格波动。

住房成本占CPI构成的三分之一,可以说是每月最大家庭支出之一。2月,美国住房成本上涨了0.5%。虽然涨幅似乎不算很大,但从CPI包含的所有类别消费品(食品和能源类除外)的月度价格上涨总额度来看,住房成本的上涨占到了40%以上。

“这些都是基本生活必需品,人们不能拖着不买,也不能用别的东西替代。每个月都得支付房租或者缴纳房贷,每天都要吃饭。还有,必须购买电力和汽油,才能上班工作、照顾家人。”梅洛迪亚说。

美国金融服务集团PNC的经济学家库尔特·兰金称,物价的环比上涨表明,通胀恶化的原因源于目前的各种现状,并非仅仅是新冠疫情的“溢出效应”。“通胀在所有消费领域都根深蒂固。”兰金说。他还指出,未来数月,通胀水平可能会持续保持在高位。

生活成本持续上涨,意味着即使许多美国人的工资水平上涨,也必须重新严格规划支出。2月美国平均时薪增长了6.7%。但兰金指出:“即使各行业工资水平都出现健康增长,可能也赶不上消费价格上涨的速度。”

人们应该认真审视支出状况了

那么,美国人应该如何跟上生活成本上涨的步伐?金融专家建议,很多时候应该采取的对策都可以归结为常识性的方法,即限制不必要的支出,并尽量挑选价格合适的消费品去购买。

“与其在消费方面进行一次彻底的改变,我通常倾向于频繁地进行微调,这样会感觉没有那么痛苦。”总部位于威斯康星州的金融理财规划公司Kindness Financial Planning的创始人、金融理财师埃利奥特·阿佩尔说道。

毫无疑问,当生活基本必需品的价格飞涨时,很难保持预算收支平衡,阿佩尔补充说。其他财务规划师也表示,现在美国人应该重新审视自己的全部生活预算,要能够区分哪些支出是绝对必要的,哪些是可以省下的。

金融理财师杰伊·齐格蒙特是总部位于密西西比的金融理财公司Live, Learn, Plan的创始人。他把支出分为四类:必须、应该、可以、绝不。“必须”的支出是没有商量余地的,而且是首当其冲的,只有支付这些费用,才能够有吃有住。这类支出还包括对任何未偿债务的最低偿还额。随后是“应该”的支出,这些支出并不是生活必需,但从长远来看是有用的,比如预存的紧急情况支出和退休储蓄金。“可能”的支出指的是可以自由支配的部分。齐格蒙特说:“随着物价上涨,很多东西我们可能都买不起了,如果是这样,就‘可能’看情况而定。”

而对于另外一些支出,人们就要告诉自己“绝不”掏钱。要省下这部分支出,能够从容易实现的项目开始,例如取消订阅服务或减少外出就餐。还有,或许可以考虑去较便宜的食品店购物,把昂贵的健身会员卡换成便宜的,或者干脆在家健身。“大多数人都订阅了相当多的服务,至少能够取消一项吧。”齐格蒙特说。

人们也可以尝试通过协商讲价,降低每月账单的花销,特别是有线电视、网络宽带和电话费。阿佩尔建议:“打电话给供应商,问问能否打折,或者让他们介绍一下其他套餐。”最近,他通过这种方法为一个家人每月节省了30美元的有线电视费,同时所有主要的电视频道也都还能够观看。

一个人的预算就这么多钱,这是无法变更的底线。然而,可能有一些项目或服务,可以换成更便宜的替代品,或者彻底取消。

总部位于马萨诸塞州的金融规划公司Beyond Your Hammock的创始人、理财规划师埃里克·罗贝热说:“我们大多数人都有一部分能够自由支配的支出,纯粹用于想要的东西,而非需要的东西。”

花大力气找折扣

预计汽油价格将继续大幅上涨,因此值得花几分钟时间去找找,是否有更低价的加油地点。下载像GasBuddy这样的免费应用程序,可以查询附近加油站的价格,从而确定哪家最便宜。

在食品杂货店或仓储会员店运营的加油站,人们也能够享受加油折扣。“我发现,山姆会员商店(Sam 's Club)和开市客(Costco)等仓储会员店的加油站,经常比其他加油站便宜15%到20%。尤其是对经常开车的人来说,省下的油钱可以轻松支付这些仓储店的会员费用。”迪奥达托向《财富》杂志表示。

另一个建议是:检查信用卡是否有返现金的优惠——然后每月用这些累积额度去抵扣部分刷卡花销。有几种Discover和Chase的信用卡,到明年3月为止能够在食品杂货店享受5%的现金返还。

此外,使用Ibotta、Coupon Sherpa和RetailMeNot等应用程序,也可以拿到优惠券和折扣,帮助消费者节省购物费用。

但必须明确的一点是,如果必须付更多的钱才能够省下另一笔钱,那么就不算省钱。比如,如果必须驱车30分钟才可以到达一加仑便宜几美分的加油站,或者汽油和牛奶捆绑销售买一送一,那么花在汽油上的钱可能就比省下的多。迪奥达托说,他非常认同少次大量购物的做法,这样一来,就能够减少外出去商店的次数。

“应该试着学会批处理自己的各项事务。我知道,开车去什么地方都很容易,但是汽油价格越来越高,如果可以在同一天内顺路去几个临近的地方,把所有事情都办好,那么可能就会省下一笔开支。”阿佩尔说。

密切关注债务问题

债务属于“必须”类别,因为至少每个月都必须支付最低还款额。债务清偿很可能会在很大程度上决定,人们能够和哪些银行进行业务往来。但理财规划师建议,在这个充满不确定因素的时期,美国人应该谨慎偿还债务。

如果手头有多余的现金,就可以拨出一些来偿还信用卡等高息债务,总部位于得克萨斯州的理财规划公司Intentional Living Financial Planning的创始人、金融理财师吉姆·克赖德表示。根据债务额度和能够支付的额度,这种操作可以每月给生活预算多留出一些空间。

但如果债务利率固定且相对较低,例如30年期抵押贷款或过去几年利率处于历史低位时申请的汽车贷款,多还债并没有什么帮助,克赖德说。他表示:“如果你的债务利率固定且较低,而且不存在利率变高或提前‘要债’的情况,那么在高通胀时期就可能不需要提前还款。”

如果不得不动用存款来偿还这种债务,那么克赖德的建议就更有用了。现在应该扩大应对紧急事件的储蓄额度,在手里留存更多的现金,用来缓冲之后的物价上涨压力。如果你现在左支右绌,无法维持收支平衡,那么甚至就应该暂时减少退休储蓄金,或者推迟购买大件昂贵商品。

物价上涨让美国低收入人群再难买到更便宜的日常必需品,因而对他们的影响尤其严重。

克赖德说:“通货膨胀对那些已经没有可支配收入去买非必需品的人影响最大,让他们的生活雪上加霜。一方面,他们的生活成本变得更加昂贵,另一方面,他们并没有多少削减预算的空间。”(财富中文网)

译者:Transn

The cost of essentials, like food and housing, continues to rise, and experts say this might just be the beginning as the Russian invasion of Ukraine impacts gas, wheat, and corn production.

And these rising expenses are making it increasingly difficult for many Americans to stay on track financially.

The price for consumer goods and services jumped 7.9% last month and hit a new 40-year-high. Across the board, prices increased 0.8% month-over-month in February after several months of decline, according to the latest Consumer Price Index report released on March 10.

“This extra element of uncertainty — sharply rising prices — makes budgeting very difficult and often discouraging,” says Chris Diodato, a certified financial planner and founder of Florida-based WELLth Financial Planning.

About 75% of the inflation seen in February came from three sectors: food, energy, and housing, says Lauren Melodia, deputy director of macroeconomic analysis at the Roosevelt Institute

Grocery prices rose 1.4% in February alone and represented an 8.6% increase over the last 12 months. Energy costs rose about 3.5% in February, up from just a 0.9% increase in January. That surge was driven by gas prices, which ballooned by 6.6% last month — and that’s before the true impact of Russia’s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine started to take hold.

And housing costs — which make up about a third of the Consumer Price Index and is arguably one of the biggest monthly household expenses — rose 0.5% in February. While that might not seem like a huge hike, it accounted for over 40% of the monthly increase in all the items tracked in the Consumer Price Index outside the food and energy categories.

“These are basic necessities — people cannot delay or substitute them. You have to pay your rent or your mortgage every month," Melodia says. "You have to eat food every day, you need electricity and gasoline to be able to show up for work and take care of your family."

The month-over-month increase demonstrates that current conditions are driving inflation, rather than just continued “spillover effects” of the pandemic, says PNC economist Kurt Rankin. “Inflation is entrenched across all consumer categories,” he added, noting that high inflation is likely to stick around in the months ahead.

These persistently higher living costs mean that many Americans will need to critically re-evaluate their spending, despite seeing more money in their paychecks. Average hourly earnings for workers were up by 6.7% in February. But Rankin says “even healthy wage growth across industries will likely fall short of the pace of consumer price inflation.”

It’s time to take a hard look at your spending

So how do Americans keep pace with these rising costs? In many cases, financial experts say it comes down to common-sense approaches that limit unnecessary spending and uncover the best-possible prices for the goods consumers need.

“My focus is usually on making many small adjustments instead of one large change, so it feels less painful,” says Elliott Appel, CFP and founder of Wisconsin-based Kindness Financial Planning.

There’s no doubt about it, it's tough to stay on budget when prices of basic necessities are skyrocketing, Appel adds. He and other financial planners say now is the time for Americans to review their entire budget and determine what is absolutely needed and what could potentially go.

Jay Zigmont, a CFP and founder of Mississippi-based Live, Learn, Plan, says he breaks down spending into four categories: Musts, Shoulds, Coulds, and Won'ts. The “Must” expenses are non-negotiable, and they must be paid first to keep you fed and a roof over your head. This category also includes the minimum payments on any outstanding debt. “Shoulds” come next as a spending priority and are things that are not required, but help long-term like saving for emergencies and retirement. “Coulds” are discretionary spending. “As prices go up, we may not be able to afford many, if any, ‘Coulds,’” Zigmont says.

The “Won’t” category is for things that you can focus on not buying, he adds. Start with the low-hanging fruit items in your budget, like canceling a subscription service or dining out less. Maybe it's time to consider shopping at lower-cost grocery chains or swapping that expensive gym membership for a lower-cost (or at-home) solution. “Most of us subscribe to quite a few services, and there is probably at least one that could be canceled,” Zigmont says.

It could also be worth trying to negotiate down the price of a monthly bill, particularly television, internet, and phone bills. “Call the provider and ask them for a discount or to hear about different packages,” Appel recommends. He recently did this for a family member and saved $30 a month on a cable bill without losing any channels that were important.

Bottom line, your budget is unique, but there are probably some items or services that you could swap for lower-cost alternatives or cut altogether.

"Most of us also have some discretionary spending that is purely wants-based, not needs-based," says Eric Roberge, CFP and founder of Massachusetts-based Beyond Your Hammock.

Double down on discounts

With gas prices expected to continue their sharp rise, it’s worth taking a few extra minutes to do some digging to find lower prices. Free apps like GasBuddy can help you find the lowest prices at gas stations near you.

You can also take advantage of fuel perks through grocery stores or fueling up at gas stations run by warehouse clubs. “I routinely find gasoline at warehouse clubs like Sam’s and Costco to be 15% to 20% cheaper versus other stations,” Diodato tells Fortune. “The gas savings alone often easily pays for the cost of membership, especially for frequent drivers.”

Another tip: Check your credit cards for cash-back offers — and use the accumulated savings to lower your monthly credit card bills. Certain Discover and Chase credit cards are offering 5% cash back on grocery stores through March.

Additionally, using apps like Ibotta, Coupon Sherpa, and RetailMeNot can help consumers save money on their shopping through coupons and rebates.

But keep in mind that a deal isn’t a deal if you have to spend more to get it. For example, if you have to drive 30 minutes out of your way to save a few cents a gallon of gas or score a buy one, get one deal on milk, you may be spending more on gas than you’re saving. Diodato says he’s a big advocate of buying in bulk, for example, to reduce the number of trips to the store.

“Try to batch your errands together. I know it's easy to hop in the car and go, but with higher gasoline prices, you might benefit from trying to do your errands that are close together on the same day,” Appel says.

Look closely at debt

Debt falls into the "Must" category since you're required to at least make a minimum payment each month, and that can have a big impact on where you can actually save. But financial planners recommend that Americans take a careful approach to paying down debt during these uncertain times.

If you have extra cash on hand, it may be worth using some to pay down high interest debt, such as credit card debt, says Jim Crider, CFP and founder of Texas-based Intentional Living Financial Planning. That can free up some space in your monthly budget, depending on the size of the debt and how much you can afford to pay down.

But if your debts are fixed at a relatively low interest rate, such as a 30-year mortgage or a car loan that was established in the last few years when interest rates were at historic lows, paying any extra won't really help your situation, Crider says. “If you have cheap debt that is fixed — not going to be reset at a higher rate or 'called' early — paying off early may be the wrong move during a high inflationary period,” he says.

That’s especially true if you have to dip into savings to pay off that debt. Now is the time to keep more cash in your emergency savings to help buffer against future price shocks. You might even decide to temporarily reduce your retirement savings or delay making a major purchase if you're struggling to make ends meet.

These price hikes are hitting low-income Americans particularly hard — especially when they're not able to easily find cheaper prices for their everyday purchases.

“To add salt to the wound, the people who are most greatly impacted by inflation are those who already don't have discretionary income to spend on nonessentials, meaning that their lifestyle just became more expensive and there's not much room to trim the budget,” Crider says.

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