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加密货币市场寒冬降临,新一代加密人才该何去何从

DECLAN HARTY
2022-06-19

如今,新一代加密货币人才发现自己正面临意想不到的处境。

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阿苏托西·乌克伊没想到事情会变成这样。

不到两周前,23岁的乌克伊还在等着入职美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase。他刚从伊利诺伊大学厄本那-香槟分校(University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)毕业,也并非加密货币狂热爱好者。接受入职邀请时他在Coinbase甚至没有账户。乌克伊主要对机器学习技术感兴趣,收到入职邀请时也正考虑在伊利诺伊大学攻读博士学位。不过Coinbase和加密货币提供了接触前沿的机会。再加上能开始偿还助学贷款,还有远程办公机会,于是乌克伊笃定选择工作。

乌克伊显然不知道,Coinbase为了准备应对熊市会突然取消他和其他数百人的入职邀请,这一变故让乌克伊对进军加密货币圈深感不安。

“加密技术有很大的创新潜力,但我的悲惨经历也说明,这一行业可能非常不稳定而且难以预测,”乌克伊说,他8岁从印度到美国,如今要在150天内找到能担保签证的新雇主。“近期我有点不想再考虑进入加密货币领域,因为其稳定性比起其他一些大型科技公司和行业差很多。”

就在几个月前,在立志从事开发工作的人们眼中,数字资产世界还代表着未来。即便区块链、Web3和加密初创公司飞速募集资金,在风投资本家看来还是不够快。华尔街纠结多年后开始接受加密技术。新创新以惊人速度从各大知名流水线上产生。然而就在全美大学期末考试临近之际,加密货币也迎来大跳水。当时市场已远低于2021年11月的高点,加上宏观经济环境变化和算法稳定币Luna的惊人崩塌引发连串抛售订单,导致全球加密货币市值从3万亿美元的峰值跌至当前的1万亿美元以下。6月12日晚间,加密货币借贷公司Celsius决定暂停账户取款后,全球加密货币市值似乎仍在走低。

如今,新一代加密货币人才发现自己正面临意想不到的处境。不久前很多人希望加入的高速发展市场,已经以戏剧性的方式回归现实,让初创企业和巨头都陷入了困境,至少当下影响了一些毕业生入职。

“个人意见,现在这行业我碰也不想碰,”加州大学伯克利分校(University of California at Berkeley)的一位毕业生告诉《财富》杂志,最近他加入Coinbase的入职邀请也被取消。

候选人已接受入职邀请的情况下Coinbase还反悔,可能引发迄今为止最严重的寒蝉效应,影响未来加密货币开发者和工程师对市场的看法。举例来说,加州大学洛杉矶分校(UCLA)毕业生瑞安·里亚希原本计划9月加入Coinbase。2021年下半年经过一系列面试和评估,里亚希获得了加密交易巨头入职邀请,他立刻接受,甚至放弃了Meta(原名Facebook)面试。“我以为加密技术是真正的未来,”里亚希告诉《财富》杂志。“我希望在Coinbase打造互联网的未来。”

“在我看来,这也是业内顶级公司,”里亚希说。“现在,我可能再也不会申请这家公司。”

里亚希抵触的还不仅是Coinbase。入职邀请取消几天后,币安(Binance)有人问他对某个职位是否感兴趣。他的回答是:“不用了,谢谢。”里亚希表示,现在他会彻底避开加密货币和Web3公司。里亚希承认,以后可能会后悔。但是,“现在想做软件工程师有成千上万公司可以选择,”里亚希说,“所以我要远离加密货币。”

扎扬·法扎尔刚从伊利诺伊大学毕业,开始在名叫Dispatch的Solana区块链担任加密消息协议三级工程师。从长远来看,他很有可能一直从事加密工作,尤其是在从事非面向消费者业务的基础设施公司。在法扎尔看来,现在几乎所有加密货币市场都出现了抛售狂潮。“很大程度上是全市场的事,”法扎尔说。“每个人都很紧张。”

最近科技行业整体情况确实不佳。Meta、Salesforce和微软等巨头不得不放缓和暂停部分招聘计划,而罗宾汉(Robinhood)、Netflix和特斯拉(Tesla)等公司已开始裁员。根据人力资源公司Challenger, Gray & Christmas的数据,5月科技行业共裁员4044人,而从1月到4月裁员约500人。科技行业招聘平台TrueUp的数据显示,求职人数也有所减少,从4月19日的477845人下降到6月10日的438904人,降幅达8.1%。

毫无疑问,加密技术领域是重灾区。TrueUp的数据显示,3月至6月,TrueUp跟踪的开放加密和Web3工作岗位数量从12358个减少到10681个,降幅13.5%。其中,Coinbase职位空缺从594个变为零。Crypto.com职位从808个削减至7个,并于周一宣布现有员工将裁撤5%。Celsius的招聘职位从136个减为9个。招聘公司AC Lion的高级管理合伙人迈克尔·阿德勒表示,这可能“只是开始”。

阿德勒告诉《财富》杂志:“这可能变成长期趋势,如果陷入衰退,股市持续下跌,资本成本不断上升,会出现大量裁员。”

阿德勒说,求职者应考虑的关键因素是:是否具备真正的商业模式,或者公司所在的行业是否在募集资金?换言之,阿德勒建议观察公司发展前景时从长期和短期角度看待。如果公司正建设新互联网基础设施,而且比特币24小时价格无论如何波动也影响不到该基础设施,其前景肯定会比依赖交易量的公司乐观。

阿德勒发现,候选人对加入加密货币行业有些犹豫,但他表示,对年轻人来说现在迈出这一步可能很值得。阿德勒说:“如果你背着房贷还要养三个孩子,需要赚钱,那就另当别论。但如果你刚毕业,风险承受能力更高,不妨试试。”

当然,现在新毕业生在加密领域接触的事物并不一定是新的。

技术或许比较新,但20多岁年轻人闯入逐渐崩溃的就业市场是常事,2008年金融危机后的MBA毕业生如此,早期阿纳托利·雅科文科等程序员也是一样。

2003年,Solana Labs联合创始人兼首席执行官雅科文科从伊利诺伊大学香槟分校毕业并获得计算机科学学位,准备进入职场。几年之前互联网泡沫破裂,一些人提醒雅科文科学计算机可能不是最佳选择。但雅科文科坚持选该专业,2003年底他创立的互联网协议语音初创公司没能跟高通(Qualcomm)达成合作,于是他找了工作。这也为后来他创建最大的区块链之一Solana奠定了基础。

雅科文科最近在接受《财富》杂志采访时说:“最好的入场时机之一就是崩溃后,加密货币行业可能是新毕业生最好的选择。”(财富中文网)

译者:梁宇

审校:夏林

阿苏托西·乌克伊没想到事情会变成这样。

不到两周前,23岁的乌克伊还在等着入职美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase。他刚从伊利诺伊大学厄本那-香槟分校(University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)毕业,也并非加密货币狂热爱好者。接受入职邀请时他在Coinbase甚至没有账户。乌克伊主要对机器学习技术感兴趣,收到入职邀请时也正考虑在伊利诺伊大学攻读博士学位。不过Coinbase和加密货币提供了接触前沿的机会。再加上能开始偿还助学贷款,还有远程办公机会,于是乌克伊笃定选择工作。

乌克伊显然不知道,Coinbase为了准备应对熊市会突然取消他和其他数百人的入职邀请,这一变故让乌克伊对进军加密货币圈深感不安。

“加密技术有很大的创新潜力,但我的悲惨经历也说明,这一行业可能非常不稳定而且难以预测,”乌克伊说,他8岁从印度到美国,如今要在150天内找到能担保签证的新雇主。“近期我有点不想再考虑进入加密货币领域,因为其稳定性比起其他一些大型科技公司和行业差很多。”

就在几个月前,在立志从事开发工作的人们眼中,数字资产世界还代表着未来。即便区块链、Web3和加密初创公司飞速募集资金,在风投资本家看来还是不够快。华尔街纠结多年后开始接受加密技术。新创新以惊人速度从各大知名流水线上产生。然而就在全美大学期末考试临近之际,加密货币也迎来大跳水。当时市场已远低于2021年11月的高点,加上宏观经济环境变化和算法稳定币Luna的惊人崩塌引发连串抛售订单,导致全球加密货币市值从3万亿美元的峰值跌至当前的1万亿美元以下。6月12日晚间,加密货币借贷公司Celsius决定暂停账户取款后,全球加密货币市值似乎仍在走低。

如今,新一代加密货币人才发现自己正面临意想不到的处境。不久前很多人希望加入的高速发展市场,已经以戏剧性的方式回归现实,让初创企业和巨头都陷入了困境,至少当下影响了一些毕业生入职。

“个人意见,现在这行业我碰也不想碰,”加州大学伯克利分校(University of California at Berkeley)的一位毕业生告诉《财富》杂志,最近他加入Coinbase的入职邀请也被取消。

候选人已接受入职邀请的情况下Coinbase还反悔,可能引发迄今为止最严重的寒蝉效应,影响未来加密货币开发者和工程师对市场的看法。举例来说,加州大学洛杉矶分校(UCLA)毕业生瑞安·里亚希原本计划9月加入Coinbase。2021年下半年经过一系列面试和评估,里亚希获得了加密交易巨头入职邀请,他立刻接受,甚至放弃了Meta(原名Facebook)面试。“我以为加密技术是真正的未来,”里亚希告诉《财富》杂志。“我希望在Coinbase打造互联网的未来。”

“在我看来,这也是业内顶级公司,”里亚希说。“现在,我可能再也不会申请这家公司。”

里亚希抵触的还不仅是Coinbase。入职邀请取消几天后,币安(Binance)有人问他对某个职位是否感兴趣。他的回答是:“不用了,谢谢。”里亚希表示,现在他会彻底避开加密货币和Web3公司。里亚希承认,以后可能会后悔。但是,“现在想做软件工程师有成千上万公司可以选择,”里亚希说,“所以我要远离加密货币。”

扎扬·法扎尔刚从伊利诺伊大学毕业,开始在名叫Dispatch的Solana区块链担任加密消息协议三级工程师。从长远来看,他很有可能一直从事加密工作,尤其是在从事非面向消费者业务的基础设施公司。在法扎尔看来,现在几乎所有加密货币市场都出现了抛售狂潮。“很大程度上是全市场的事,”法扎尔说。“每个人都很紧张。”

最近科技行业整体情况确实不佳。Meta、Salesforce和微软等巨头不得不放缓和暂停部分招聘计划,而罗宾汉(Robinhood)、Netflix和特斯拉(Tesla)等公司已开始裁员。根据人力资源公司Challenger, Gray & Christmas的数据,5月科技行业共裁员4044人,而从1月到4月裁员约500人。科技行业招聘平台TrueUp的数据显示,求职人数也有所减少,从4月19日的477845人下降到6月10日的438904人,降幅达8.1%。

毫无疑问,加密技术领域是重灾区。TrueUp的数据显示,3月至6月,TrueUp跟踪的开放加密和Web3工作岗位数量从12358个减少到10681个,降幅13.5%。其中,Coinbase职位空缺从594个变为零。Crypto.com职位从808个削减至7个,并于周一宣布现有员工将裁撤5%。Celsius的招聘职位从136个减为9个。招聘公司AC Lion的高级管理合伙人迈克尔·阿德勒表示,这可能“只是开始”。

阿德勒告诉《财富》杂志:“这可能变成长期趋势,如果陷入衰退,股市持续下跌,资本成本不断上升,会出现大量裁员。”

阿德勒说,求职者应考虑的关键因素是:是否具备真正的商业模式,或者公司所在的行业是否在募集资金?换言之,阿德勒建议观察公司发展前景时从长期和短期角度看待。如果公司正建设新互联网基础设施,而且比特币24小时价格无论如何波动也影响不到该基础设施,其前景肯定会比依赖交易量的公司乐观。

阿德勒发现,候选人对加入加密货币行业有些犹豫,但他表示,对年轻人来说现在迈出这一步可能很值得。阿德勒说:“如果你背着房贷还要养三个孩子,需要赚钱,那就另当别论。但如果你刚毕业,风险承受能力更高,不妨试试。”

当然,现在新毕业生在加密领域接触的事物并不一定是新的。

技术或许比较新,但20多岁年轻人闯入逐渐崩溃的就业市场是常事,2008年金融危机后的MBA毕业生如此,早期阿纳托利·雅科文科等程序员也是一样。

2003年,Solana Labs联合创始人兼首席执行官雅科文科从伊利诺伊大学香槟分校毕业并获得计算机科学学位,准备进入职场。几年之前互联网泡沫破裂,一些人提醒雅科文科学计算机可能不是最佳选择。但雅科文科坚持选该专业,2003年底他创立的互联网协议语音初创公司没能跟高通(Qualcomm)达成合作,于是他找了工作。这也为后来他创建最大的区块链之一Solana奠定了基础。

雅科文科最近在接受《财富》杂志采访时说:“最好的入场时机之一就是崩溃后,加密货币行业可能是新毕业生最好的选择。”(财富中文网)

译者:梁宇

审校:夏林

Ashutosh Ukey wasn’t expecting this.

Less than two weeks ago, the 23-year-old was lined up to work at America’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase. The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign graduate was no crypto fanatic. He didn’t even have a Coinbase account when he accepted the offer. Ukey’s interests were more focused on machine learning technology, which he was considering a doctorate program in at Illinois at the same time as the Coinbase offer. But Coinbase and crypto offered something new. Add on the opportunity to start paying off some student loans and to work remotely, and Ukey was sold.

What Ukey didn’t know, of course, was that before he even started, Coinbase would abruptly rescind his job offer and hundreds of others as it prepares for the bear market setting in—a move that has left Ukey feeling uneasy about working in crypto.

“There’s a lot of potential for [crypto] to be innovative, but, as I’ve learned the hard way, it can be pretty volatile and unpredictable,” says Ukey, who came to the U.S. from India at the age of 8 and is now facing a ticking clock of 150 days to find a new employer who can sponsor a visa. “For the immediate future, I am kind of reluctant to go into crypto because it’s a lot less stable than some of the other big tech sectors and industries.”

Just a few months ago, the world of digital assets seemed to be the future for any wannabe developer. Blockchain, Web3, and crypto startups couldn't raise cash fast enough for the amount of interest from venture capitalists. Wall Street was embracing crypto after years of hemming and hawing. And the new innovations were coming off the proverbial assembly line at breakneck speeds. Then, right as final exams at colleges across the country neared, crypto plunged. The market was already well off its November 2021 highs by then, but a shifting macroeconomic environment and the alarming implosion of algorithmic stablecoin Luna set off a cascade of sell orders that has sent the market from its $3 trillion peak value globally to less than $1 trillion today, though that number continues to decline seemingly by the minute following crypto lending firm Celsius’ decision late Sunday to pause all withdrawals.

Now, the next generation of crypto whiz kids find themselves in unexpected territory. The high-flying market that so many had banked on entering not that long ago has barreled back down to Earth in dramatic fashion, ensnaring startups and giants alike in the fallout and warding off some new graduates from working in crypto—at least today.

“Personally, I’m not touching it with a 10-foot pole right now,” a recent University of California at Berkeley graduate, whose offer to join Coinbase was also recently rescinded, tells Fortune.

Coinbase’s decision to pull already accepted offers out from underneath candidates’ feet has perhaps had the most significant chilling effect to date on how potential crypto developers and engineers think about the market. Ryan Riahi, for instance, was set to join Coinbase come September. The newly anointed graduate from UCLA had gone through a series of interviews and assessments late in 2021 to earn an offer from the crypto exchange giant, which Riahi leapt to accept, even dropping interviews at Meta to do so. “I thought that crypto could really be the future,” Riahi tells Fortune. “And that I would work on building this future of the Internet” at Coinbase.

“It really seemed like a top company to me,” Riahi adds. “Now, I’d probably never apply to them again.”

And it’s not just Coinbase. Days after the offer was pulled, someone from Binance reached out to Riahi about an opening. His response? "No thanks." For now, Riahi says he’s avoiding crypto and Web3 companies altogether. It could be something that he comes to regret, Riahi recognizes. But "there’s a million and one companies to work at as a software engineer nowadays," Riahi says, "so I’m going to stay away from crypto."

For Zayyan Faizal, a recent graduate from Illinois who just started work as the third engineer for a crypto messaging protocol on the Solana blockchain known as Dispatch, there is still plenty of hope of working in crypto over the long run—especially at infrastructure companies that working on non-consumer-facing businesses. The way Faizal sees it, just about everything is selling off now. “It very much is a market-wide thing,” Faizal says. “Everybody’s just kind of on edge.”

The broader tech industry has indeed been undergoing its own reckoning of late. Giants like Meta, Salesforce, and Microsoft have had to slow and pause hiring in some parts of the businesses, while others such as Robinhood, Netflix, and Tesla have laid workers off. In total, there were 4,044 job cuts in tech during the month of May, compared to about 500 from January through April, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas. And job listings have fallen as well, going from 477,845 as of April 19 to 438,904, as of June 10, representing an 8.1% decline, according to TrueUp, a tech job marketplace company.

But there's no question crypto has been particularly ugly. Between March and June, the count of open crypto and Web3 jobs tracked by TrueUp declined 13.5% from 12,358 to 10,681, according to data from the company. Of that, Coinbase has gone from having 594 jobs open to zero. Crypto.com has slashed its openings from 808 to seven, and just announced Monday that it was cutting 5% of its corporate workforce. Celsius’ listings went from 136 to nine. And that’s likely “just the beginning,” says Michael Adler, senior managing partner for recruitment firm AC Lion.

“We’re in for a long haul,” Adler tells Fortune. “If we’re going into a recession, the stock market keeps going down, and capital keeps getting more expensive, I think there’s going to be a lot of layoffs.”

The critical factor job seekers should consider, says Adler, is this: Is there a real business model or is the company in the business of raising money? In other words, Adler suggests looking at a company’s prospects in terms of the long term and the short term. For one that's building the infrastructure of a new Internet, something that is removed from the immediacy of Bitcoin’s 24-hour price change, the prospects are bound to be rosier than that of a company dependent on trading volumes.

Adler has been seeing some hesitation among candidates about joining the ranks of crypto companies, but, for younger ones, Adler says taking the leap now may be worth it. "If you have a mortgage and three kids, you need to make money," Adler says. "It's a whole different ballgame. So, if you're coming out of school and you have a higher risk tolerance, go for it."

None of what new grads are facing in crypto today is necessarily new, of course.

The technology may be, but the experience of entering a dissolving job market is something that 20-something-year-olds have been doing for decades, whether it be in the form of MBA students in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis or programmers like Anatoly Yakovenko in the early aughts.

In 2003, Solana Labs cofounder and CEO was preparing to enter into the workforce after graduating from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign with a computer science degree. But the dot-com bubble bursting in the years ahead had some advisers cautioning Yakovenko that computer science may not actually be the best choice at the time. But Yakovenko stuck with it, landing a job in late 2003, after a voice over the Internet protocol startup he had founded failed to get off the ground, with Qualcomm—a move that paved the way for the eventual creation of what is now one of the largest blockchains out there today in Solana.

“One of the best times to get in is right after a crash,” Yakovenko recently told Fortune. “Crypto’s probably the best choice for new grads right now.”

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