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高净值人士该如何应对熊市?

Alicia Adamczyk
2022-07-10

高净值人士其实并不担心熊市。

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图片来源:THOMAS BARWICK

过去六个月是自1970年以来股市开局最差的一年。

理财规划师表示,尽管最富有的亿万富翁在过去六个月里总计损失了1.4万亿美元,但总体而言,拥有至少100万美元可投资资产的高净值人士并不担心。对于那些较为温和的投资者来说,他们也能够从此次事件中学到经验教训,学会如何最好地应对熊市。

EisnerAmper公司的个人财富顾问集团(Personal Wealth Advisors Group)的税务合伙人蒂姆·斯佩斯说:“我们的大多数客户只是随机应变,他们正在进行一些我认为不太重要的调整。没有人做出好像我们陷于危机那样的反应……他们和我们一样认为,这一切都将是短暂的。”

以下是对所有投资者的一些启示。

继续按照计划行事

这是无法回避的:为熊市做准备的最佳时机是在它发生之前。老练的投资者通过分散投资——房地产、固定收益、股票和现金——并牢记投资时间来做到这一点。如果他们几年甚至几十年都不需要提取资产,那就没有必要恐慌。

Personal Capital的注册理财规划师保罗·迪尔表示:“市场上存在很多恐惧和负面情绪,而那些特别精明的人都从长远考虑,而不是考虑未来6至12个月的情况。”

他们也很可能已经重新平衡了资产配置,手头有了更多的现金。

富国银行集团(Wells Fargo)的董事总经理兼投资顾问弗洛里纳·舒廷称:“通常情况下,当人们对市场上发生的事情感到欣喜若狂或过于乐观时,你就会试图减少投资,并增加一些现金头寸。当股市下跌时,你需要手头有现金。因为……很难预测股市下跌何时会发生以及持续多长时间。”

重新评估你的境况

即便如此,熊市通常可以很好地暴露你的投资组合中需要改变的地方。也许你意识到自己的资产配置比实际上能够接受的更激进,或者你错过了重要细分市场的敞口。

另一方面,你可能会发现,再加上几十年来的高通胀,现在是将更多资产配置投入股市的好时机,这样你至少可以努力维持生活开销,迪尔说。

他和舒廷还表示,现在是研究另类投资的好时机,其中可能包括对冲基金、私募市场、房地产和加密货币等数字资产。事实上,安永(EY)最近的一项调查发现,30%的高净值人士和81%的资产超过3000万美元的超高净值人士在进行另类投资。

这些投资通常只提供给有一定最低投资要求的投资者。但舒廷指出,越来越多的金融公司也在为普通投资者提供更多的选择。这并不意味着你应该大幅调整投资,或者对像狗狗币(Dogecoin)这样的不可预测的资产进行大笔投资。但是投资多样化会有所帮助。

Waddell and Associates的首席执行官及首席投资策略师大卫·瓦德尔说:“高净值投资者和其他人一样喜欢闪亮的东西。他们也容易犯错,但他们限制了投机性赌注的敞口。他们会赌博,但他们赌博的热情要少得多。”

优化投资损失避税

舒廷说,高净值人士可能采用的另一种税收策略是投资损失避税。也就是投资者卖出亏损的投资,并利用这些亏损来抵消已经实现的收益。这就减少了他们的整体资本利得税总额。

瓦德尔说:“现在最简单的赚钱方法就是记下这些投资损失。”

舒廷说,例如,你可以卖出一家公司的标准普尔500指数(S&P 500)基金,然后从另一家公司购买类似的基金。

她说:“你去年做的几乎所有投资都可能出现了亏损,而且还有未实现的亏损。因此,现在实际上是重新评估投资组合、进行大量投资损失避税的绝佳时机。”

这种策略并非对所有人都有意义。比如,你不想仅仅为了获得赋税优惠而错过潜在的收益。在做这个决定之前最好咨询一下财务顾问。

买买买

当然,当市场处于上行趋势时,投资者可能会更开心。但熊市也代表了一个机会:以“折扣率”购买股票,然后实现复利。

舒廷称,高净值人士利用了低迷的市场情绪。“当所有人都在逃离股市时,那就是你应该买入的时候。”她说。

瓦德尔说,如果你感到紧张,最好想想明年的这个时候你会在哪里。考虑一下:到那时,新冠确诊病例会上升还是下降?供应链会不会出现阻碍?通货膨胀率会上升还是下降?

他说:“通常当我极度悲观或焦虑时,就是买入的时候,所以你应该今天就买入。如果我们能够把镜头拉远,穿越到六个月后,我就不会那么焦虑了……如今的环境让人坐立不安。未来六个月不要打开电视机,我们圣诞节再见。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

过去六个月是自1970年以来股市开局最差的一年。

理财规划师表示,尽管最富有的亿万富翁在过去六个月里总计损失了1.4万亿美元,但总体而言,拥有至少100万美元可投资资产的高净值人士并不担心。对于那些较为温和的投资者来说,他们也能够从此次事件中学到经验教训,学会如何最好地应对熊市。

EisnerAmper公司的个人财富顾问集团(Personal Wealth Advisors Group)的税务合伙人蒂姆·斯佩斯说:“我们的大多数客户只是随机应变,他们正在进行一些我认为不太重要的调整。没有人做出好像我们陷于危机那样的反应……他们和我们一样认为,这一切都将是短暂的。”

以下是对所有投资者的一些启示。

继续按照计划行事

这是无法回避的:为熊市做准备的最佳时机是在它发生之前。老练的投资者通过分散投资——房地产、固定收益、股票和现金——并牢记投资时间来做到这一点。如果他们几年甚至几十年都不需要提取资产,那就没有必要恐慌。

Personal Capital的注册理财规划师保罗·迪尔表示:“市场上存在很多恐惧和负面情绪,而那些特别精明的人都从长远考虑,而不是考虑未来6至12个月的情况。”

他们也很可能已经重新平衡了资产配置,手头有了更多的现金。

富国银行集团(Wells Fargo)的董事总经理兼投资顾问弗洛里纳·舒廷称:“通常情况下,当人们对市场上发生的事情感到欣喜若狂或过于乐观时,你就会试图减少投资,并增加一些现金头寸。当股市下跌时,你需要手头有现金。因为……很难预测股市下跌何时会发生以及持续多长时间。”

重新评估你的境况

即便如此,熊市通常可以很好地暴露你的投资组合中需要改变的地方。也许你意识到自己的资产配置比实际上能够接受的更激进,或者你错过了重要细分市场的敞口。

另一方面,你可能会发现,再加上几十年来的高通胀,现在是将更多资产配置投入股市的好时机,这样你至少可以努力维持生活开销,迪尔说。

他和舒廷还表示,现在是研究另类投资的好时机,其中可能包括对冲基金、私募市场、房地产和加密货币等数字资产。事实上,安永(EY)最近的一项调查发现,30%的高净值人士和81%的资产超过3000万美元的超高净值人士在进行另类投资。

这些投资通常只提供给有一定最低投资要求的投资者。但舒廷指出,越来越多的金融公司也在为普通投资者提供更多的选择。这并不意味着你应该大幅调整投资,或者对像狗狗币(Dogecoin)这样的不可预测的资产进行大笔投资。但是投资多样化会有所帮助。

Waddell and Associates的首席执行官及首席投资策略师大卫·瓦德尔说:“高净值投资者和其他人一样喜欢闪亮的东西。他们也容易犯错,但他们限制了投机性赌注的敞口。他们会赌博,但他们赌博的热情要少得多。”

优化投资损失避税

舒廷说,高净值人士可能采用的另一种税收策略是投资损失避税。也就是投资者卖出亏损的投资,并利用这些亏损来抵消已经实现的收益。这就减少了他们的整体资本利得税总额。

瓦德尔说:“现在最简单的赚钱方法就是记下这些投资损失。”

舒廷说,例如,你可以卖出一家公司的标准普尔500指数(S&P 500)基金,然后从另一家公司购买类似的基金。

她说:“你去年做的几乎所有投资都可能出现了亏损,而且还有未实现的亏损。因此,现在实际上是重新评估投资组合、进行大量投资损失避税的绝佳时机。”

这种策略并非对所有人都有意义。比如,你不想仅仅为了获得赋税优惠而错过潜在的收益。在做这个决定之前最好咨询一下财务顾问。

买买买

当然,当市场处于上行趋势时,投资者可能会更开心。但熊市也代表了一个机会:以“折扣率”购买股票,然后实现复利。

舒廷称,高净值人士利用了低迷的市场情绪。“当所有人都在逃离股市时,那就是你应该买入的时候。”她说。

瓦德尔说,如果你感到紧张,最好想想明年的这个时候你会在哪里。考虑一下:到那时,新冠确诊病例会上升还是下降?供应链会不会出现阻碍?通货膨胀率会上升还是下降?

他说:“通常当我极度悲观或焦虑时,就是买入的时候,所以你应该今天就买入。如果我们能够把镜头拉远,穿越到六个月后,我就不会那么焦虑了……如今的环境让人坐立不安。未来六个月不要打开电视机,我们圣诞节再见。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

The past six months have been the stock market's worst start to a year since 1970.

And even though the richest billionaires lost a collective $1.4 trillion in the past six months, in general high-net-worth individuals with at least $1 million in investable assets aren't sweating it, their financial planners say. And there are lessons for more modest investors in how to best approach a bear market.

"Most of our clients, they're just rolling with what is happening, and they’re making adjustments that I don't view as significant," says Tim Speiss, tax partner at EisnerAmper's Personal Wealth Advisors Group. "No one is reacting as if we are in a crisis environment...They’re of the view—as are we—that this is all going to be transient."

Here are some takeaways for all investors.

Keep following the plan

There's no getting around it: The best time to prepare for a bear market is before it happens. Sophisticated investors do this by diversifying their assets—real estate, fixed income, equities, and cash all play a role—and keeping their investing timeline in mind. If they won't need to draw down their assets for years or even decades, there's no need for panic.

"There’s a lot of fear and negative sentiment out there, and those who are particularly savvy are thinking long-term, not really about the next six to 12 months," says Paul Deer, certified financial planner at Personal Capital.

It's also likely they've already rebalanced their asset allocation to have more cash on hand.

"Typically when people are euphoric or overly optimistic about what’s going on in the market—that’s when you want to take a little money off the table, and you want to create a slightly larger cash position," says Florina Shutin, managing director and investment adviser at Wells Fargo. "You want the cash on the side when the dip happens. Because...it’s just harder to predict when it will happen and for how long."

Reassess your positions

That said, bear markets can often, well, lay bare what needs to change in your portfolio. Perhaps you're realizing that your asset allocation is more aggressive than you're actually comfortable with, or that you're missing exposure to an important segment.

On the flip side, you might find that coupled with decades-high inflation, now is a good time to explore putting more of your asset allocation into equities so that you can at least try to keep up with cost of living, says Deer.

He and Shutin also say it's a good time to look into alternative investments, which can include hedge funds, private markets, real estate, and digital assets like cryptocurrencies. In fact, a recent EY survey found 30% of high-net-worth individuals—and 81% of ultra-high-net-worth individuals, with over $30 million in assets—invest in alternatives.

These investments have typically been available only to investors with certain minimum investment requirements. But more and more financial companies are expanding options for the average investor as well, says Shutin. That doesn't mean you should take wild swings, or make big investments in unpredictable assets like Dogecoin. But a little diversity can help.

"High-net-worth investors like shiny things as much as anyone else," says David Waddell, CEO and chief investment strategist at Waddell and Associates. "They're prone to make mistakes too, but they limit their exposure to speculative wagers. They'll gamble, but they'll do it with much less enthusiasm."

Optimize tax-loss harvesting

Another tax strategy high-net-worth individuals may employ is tax-loss harvesting, says Shutin. That is when investors sell investments in the red, and use those losses to offset realized gains. That trims their overall capital gains tax bill.

"The easiest way to make money right now is to book those tax losses," says Waddell.

For example, you might be able to sell off an S&P 500 index fund from one company, and buy a similar one from another, says Shutin.

"Pretty much any investment you’ve made in the last year is possibly down and has an unrealized loss," she says. "So this is actually a fantastic time to reevaluate your portfolio and do a lot of tax harvesting."

This strategy doesn't make sense for everyone. You don't want to miss out on potential gains, for example, just to get a tax break. It's best to consult with a financial adviser before making this move.

Buy, buy, buy

Of course, investors might be happier when the market is on the upswing. But a bear market also represents an opportunity: to buy shares at a "discounted" rate that then compound in value.

High-net-worth individuals take advantage of the gloomy market sentiment, says Shutin. "When everyone is running, that’s when you should buy," she says.

If you're nervous, it's best to think about where you'll be at this time next year, says Waddell. Consider: Will COVID be advancing or declining by then? Will supply chains be more or less clogged? Will inflation be rising or falling?

"Usually when I'm super pessimistic or anxious that’s the time to buy, so you should buy today," he says. "If we can zoom out and transport ourselves six months in the future, I’m not as agitated...It’s a little bit of a hold-your-nose environment. Turn your TVs off for six months, and I’ll see you at Christmas."

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