今年6月,三大通胀类别开始出现价格下跌。
美国今年6月的通胀数据出炉,再次创下40年来的新高。
消费者物价指数较去年上涨9.1%,是自1981年以来的最大涨幅,涨幅超过了预期。
导致6月价格上涨的主要因素是汽油、住房和食品价格的飙升。上个月价格大幅上涨的其他商品包括新车(比上月上涨0.7%)、二手车和卡车(上涨1.6%)、医疗保健服务(上涨0.7%)、服装(上涨0.8%)和家具(上涨1.2%)。
经济学家们希望,6月的物价最终会达到通胀峰值,部分原因是7月的汽油价格下跌和木材等大宗商品价格下跌。但隐藏在本月消费者物价指数报告中的是,有些类别似乎已经过了峰值,尽管就在几个月前,它们还领先于通胀图表。
根据6月的消费者物价指数,有三大类商品开始出现价格下跌。
机票价格
在经历了数月的两位数涨幅后,机票价格是上月少数几个开始企稳的高价类别之一。
6月机票价格较5月下降1.8%,这是自2021年10月以来首次出现价格下降。
去年春天,机票价格创下历史新高,4月的机票价格上涨18.6%,创下了有史以来最大的单月涨幅。
去年春天机票价格飙升主要是由于当时的高油价,而今年夏天油价一直在稳步下降。机票价格也有传统的季节性,往往在春末夏初飙升,然后在仲夏和夏末下降。
然而,尽管上个月机票价格略有下降,但仍然远高于正常水平。根据机票预订应用程序Hopper最近的一项分析,目前的机票价格仍然比2021年6月高出34%,廉价航空公司的机票价格也比2019年夏季上涨了34%。
酒店和汽车旅馆
上个月开始出现价格下降的另一个类别是酒店和汽车旅馆价格,或消费者物价指数所称的“外出住宿”:该类别分为酒店和汽车旅馆价格以及学校住宿价格。
在经历了数月的稳步上涨之后,6月的外出住宿费用下降了2.8%。特别是酒店和汽车旅馆的价格下降了3.3%。
新冠疫情期间,由于全国各地的旅游需求大幅下降,酒店价格大幅下跌。但随着美国旅游人数比过去两年任何时候都多,去年春天酒店需求反弹,3月的住宿价格环比上涨了6.7%。
但是,尽管旅游需求有所回升,但要做到这一点并不容易。油价高企,再加上今年夏天重要旅行周末期间美国机场的航班延误和取消创下纪录,让许多美国人对旅行感到头疼。Bankrate最近的一项调查发现,今年79%的游客在旅行中至少会遇到一个问题,到目前为止,最受欢迎的回答是意外开支。
外出住宿费用仍然同比增长了10%。包括万豪酒店(Marriott)、希尔顿酒店(Hilton)和凯悦酒店(Hyatt)在内的主要连锁酒店都表示,它们打算在可预见的未来保持高房价。
肉类
根据最新的消费者物价指数报告,6月的食品价格同比上涨1%,同比涨幅高达10.4%。
但有一种食品可能已经过了通胀峰值:肉类。或者更具体地说:肉类、禽类、鱼类和蛋类。
上个月,该类别价格下降了0.4%,这是自2020年夏季以来首次出现价格下降。肉类领跌,6月下跌1.3%,其中牛肉和猪肉价格跌幅最大。上个月,鲜鱼和海鲜的价格也下降了0.4%。
但消费者在食品市场上唯一能够感到宽慰的是肉类价格下跌。根据消费者物价指数,由于食品价格继续全面上涨,肉类、禽类、鱼类和蛋类是上个月价格下跌的“唯一主要食品类别”。
至于其他食品类别的价格上涨,俄乌冲突以及随之而来的全球关键化肥产品的短缺是过去几个月食品价格快速上涨的主要原因。尽管上个月肉类、禽类、鱼类和蛋类的价格有所下降,但该类别的价格仍然比2021年6月高出11.7%。(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
今年6月,三大通胀类别开始出现价格下跌。
美国今年6月的通胀数据出炉,再次创下40年来的新高。
消费者物价指数较去年上涨9.1%,是自1981年以来的最大涨幅,涨幅超过了预期。
导致6月价格上涨的主要因素是汽油、住房和食品价格的飙升。上个月价格大幅上涨的其他商品包括新车(比上月上涨0.7%)、二手车和卡车(上涨1.6%)、医疗保健服务(上涨0.7%)、服装(上涨0.8%)和家具(上涨1.2%)。
经济学家们希望,6月的物价最终会达到通胀峰值,部分原因是7月的汽油价格下跌和木材等大宗商品价格下跌。但隐藏在本月消费者物价指数报告中的是,有些类别似乎已经过了峰值,尽管就在几个月前,它们还领先于通胀图表。
根据6月的消费者物价指数,有三大类商品开始出现价格下跌。
机票价格
在经历了数月的两位数涨幅后,机票价格是上月少数几个开始企稳的高价类别之一。
6月机票价格较5月下降1.8%,这是自2021年10月以来首次出现价格下降。
去年春天,机票价格创下历史新高,4月的机票价格上涨18.6%,创下了有史以来最大的单月涨幅。
去年春天机票价格飙升主要是由于当时的高油价,而今年夏天油价一直在稳步下降。机票价格也有传统的季节性,往往在春末夏初飙升,然后在仲夏和夏末下降。
然而,尽管上个月机票价格略有下降,但仍然远高于正常水平。根据机票预订应用程序Hopper最近的一项分析,目前的机票价格仍然比2021年6月高出34%,廉价航空公司的机票价格也比2019年夏季上涨了34%。
酒店和汽车旅馆
上个月开始出现价格下降的另一个类别是酒店和汽车旅馆价格,或消费者物价指数所称的“外出住宿”:该类别分为酒店和汽车旅馆价格以及学校住宿价格。
在经历了数月的稳步上涨之后,6月的外出住宿费用下降了2.8%。特别是酒店和汽车旅馆的价格下降了3.3%。
新冠疫情期间,由于全国各地的旅游需求大幅下降,酒店价格大幅下跌。但随着美国旅游人数比过去两年任何时候都多,去年春天酒店需求反弹,3月的住宿价格环比上涨了6.7%。
但是,尽管旅游需求有所回升,但要做到这一点并不容易。油价高企,再加上今年夏天重要旅行周末期间美国机场的航班延误和取消创下纪录,让许多美国人对旅行感到头疼。Bankrate最近的一项调查发现,今年79%的游客在旅行中至少会遇到一个问题,到目前为止,最受欢迎的回答是意外开支。
外出住宿费用仍然同比增长了10%。包括万豪酒店(Marriott)、希尔顿酒店(Hilton)和凯悦酒店(Hyatt)在内的主要连锁酒店都表示,它们打算在可预见的未来保持高房价。
肉类
根据最新的消费者物价指数报告,6月的食品价格同比上涨1%,同比涨幅高达10.4%。
但有一种食品可能已经过了通胀峰值:肉类。或者更具体地说:肉类、禽类、鱼类和蛋类。
上个月,该类别价格下降了0.4%,这是自2020年夏季以来首次出现价格下降。肉类领跌,6月下跌1.3%,其中牛肉和猪肉价格跌幅最大。上个月,鲜鱼和海鲜的价格也下降了0.4%。
但消费者在食品市场上唯一能够感到宽慰的是肉类价格下跌。根据消费者物价指数,由于食品价格继续全面上涨,肉类、禽类、鱼类和蛋类是上个月价格下跌的“唯一主要食品类别”。
至于其他食品类别的价格上涨,俄乌冲突以及随之而来的全球关键化肥产品的短缺是过去几个月食品价格快速上涨的主要原因。尽管上个月肉类、禽类、鱼类和蛋类的价格有所下降,但该类别的价格仍然比2021年6月高出11.7%。(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
The June U.S. inflation numbers are in, and once again are at a new four-decade high.
The consumer price index is now up 9.1% from last year, the largest gain since 1981 and a jump that exceeded forecasts.
Leading the price jumps in June were soaring costs for gasoline, shelter, and food. Other items that saw significant price increases last month were new motor vehicles (up 0.7% from last month), used cars and trucks (up 1.6%), medical care services (up 0.7%), clothing (up 0.8%), and household furnishings (up 1.2%).
Economists are hoping that the June prices will end up being peak inflation, partly due to July’s falling gasoline prices and shrinking commodity prices like lumber. But buried in this month’s CPI report is that some items appear to already be past their peak, even if they were leading the inflation charts just a few months ago.
Here are three big inflation categories that are starting to see prices fall, according to June’s consumer price index.
Airline fares
Airline fares were one of the few big-ticket items to see prices begin to stabilize last month, after months of double-digit increases.
Air ticket prices were down 1.8% in June compared to May, the first time costs have gone down since October 2021.
Airfares hit a record high last spring, when prices jumped 18.6% in April, the largest month-over-month jump ever measured for airline tickets.
The price surge in airfares last spring was largely due to high fuel prices at the time, which have been on a steady decline this summer. There is also a traditional seasonality to airfare prices, which tend to surge in the late spring and early summer, before dropping off by mid- and late summer.
However, even with the price tags for air tickets dropping slightly last month, they are still well above the norm. Prices are still 34% higher than they were in June 2021, and airfares on budget airlines are also up 34% from the summer of 2019, according to a recent analysis by flight booking app Hopper.
Hotels and motels
Another category that started seeing costs cool off last month was hotel and motel costs, or “lodging away from home,” as the CPI calls it: a category that is broken down into hotel and motel costs and school housing costs.
Lodging away from home costs fell by 2.8% in June, after months of steady increases. Prices for hotels and motels specifically fell by 3.3%.
Hotel prices fell steeply during the pandemic, as demand for travel plummeted across the nation. But with more people traveling in the U.S. now than at any point in the last two years, demand for hotels rebounded last spring, with month-over-month lodging prices increasing by 6.7% in March.
But while demand for travel has picked up, it has hardly been easy to do so. High gas prices, combined with record delays and cancellations at U.S. airports during critical travel weekends this summer, have turned travel into a headache for many Americans. One recent survey by Bankrate found that 79% of travelers this year ran into at least one problem during their trip, with by far the most popular response being unexpected expenses.
Lodging away from home costs are still up 10% year over year. Major hotel chains, including Marriott, Hilton, and Hyatt, have indicated that they intend to keep room prices high for the foreseeable future.
Meats
Food prices were up 1% in June compared to the month before, and a whopping 10.4% year over year, according to the latest CPI report.
But there is one food category that may already be past its inflationary peak: meats, or more specifically, meats, poultry, fish, and eggs.
Prices for that category were down 0.4% last month, the first time costs have fallen since the summer of 2020. Meats led the drop, down 1.3% in June, with beef and pork seeing the biggest declines in prices. Prices for fresh fish and seafood were also down 0.4% last month.
But the price declines for meat are the only relief consumers will see on the market for food items. Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs were the “only major grocery group” to see prices fall last month, according to the CPI, as food costs continue to rise across the board.
As for the higher prices in other food categories, the war in Ukraine, and the subsequent global shortfall of critical fertilizer products, is a large contributor to the rapid food price increase over the past several months. And even with the drop in prices for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs last month, the category is still 11.7% more expensive than it was in June 2021.