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埃隆·马斯克将如何“杀死”Twitter?

ELIZABETH SPIERS
2022-12-11

那个混乱但充满活力的推特,还没有彻底消失,但我已经开始怀念它。

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伊丽莎白·施皮尔斯写道,埃隆·马斯克在收购Twitter之前,并不屑于了解该公司的业务、技术或文化。图片来源:MICHAEL GONZALEZ—GETTY IMAGES

公开承认自己的错误就像结肠镜检查一样,当然会令人不快,但在根本上对你自己有益。所以我要承认:我最初看错了Twitter。

在被埃隆·马斯克收购16年前的2006年,Twitter的微博客服务刚刚推出。当时,我认为该服务没有意义。Twitter联合创始人杰克·多尔西称推文是“无关紧要信息的突然爆炸”,我认为这种说法听起来很有道理。我可能曾公开表达过这种观点,最有可能是在Facebook或某个博客平台上。我记得曾在一篇文章中提出过一个质疑,那就是一条推文和一条Facebook状态更新有什么区别?我已经不记得这篇文章的发布时间,它已经被淹没在在浩瀚的互联网档案馆当中。这两者从根本上不是一回事吗?比如我午饭吃了某某某。Twitter平台只支持一次发布一两句话,不能超过140个字符,为什么要加入这样一个平台?

我当时并不理解,但很快这种强制性的简洁要求(尽管现在的限制为280个字符)使Twitter大获成功,这让我明白了它的优势所在。Twitter上确实可以发布图片和视频,但从根本上它就是一个书写者的平台,要求用户简洁明了。

我很早就开始写博客(并参与创建了一个网站Gawker,它最终葬送在亿万富翁彼得·泰尔和我弟弟的童年偶像霍克·霍肯手中)。我喜欢写博客的原因之一是它提供了一种新沟通模式:链接到其他博客,可以与我不认识的其他人进行一次后续对话。你可以学到新知识,接触到以其他方式可能遇不到的人,进行在线下很难精心安排的对话。

Twitter的理想形式就是这个样子。甚至更优秀。它回报那些考验智力的言论、对共同经历的描述、对宏大问题的分析以及搞笑的笑话等。我在Twitter结交到的网友,成为我真实生活中的好友。有许多次,在Twitter平台上与其他人深入探讨存在分歧的观点之后,我都能更好地了解对方的观点,对于相关问题也会有更细致的认识。难怪Twitter上的对话会掀起影响深远的社会变革,例如#MeToo运动以及跨性别人士权益运动和正视跨性别群体运动等,它也成为组织和支持“黑人的命也是命”等抗议运动的平台。

但我们也很快认识到,Twitter上滋生了虚假信息、无端诽谤和骚扰。或许我们不应该对此感到意外:公共广场并不总是一个文明的地方,有许多人曾在公共广场上被绑在火刑柱上被处死。人们很快发现,这个被许多人成为“地狱网站”的平台奖励挑衅行为,滋生了种族主义、同性恋恐惧症、霸凌和厌女症,并将这些情绪过度放大。与其他社交媒体平台一样,Twitter也证明它无法快速深入地打击虚假信息,防止其动摇美国的民主。Twitter用户可以匿名是一把双刃剑:虽然能够保护举报者,但也会被试图骚扰他人或制造混乱的挑衅者所利用。

埃隆·马斯克想要收购这个平台,也就不难理解。

现在,这位特斯拉(Tesla)和SpaceX的CEO已经以440亿美元的高价收购了Twitter,他似乎打算将其彻底摧毁。他通过电子邮件炒掉了关键人员;恢复了被封禁的账号,包括许多有右翼倾向的账号(包括前总统唐纳德·特朗普的账号);并淘汰了对于Twitter的持续运营至关重要的大部分技术基础设施,包括支持双因素身份认证的微服务等。后来马斯克意识到,他辞退了一些Twitter实际需要的人才,于是紧急要求管理者重新招回这些员工。我们之所以知道他的这些举措,部分原因是他自己实时在推文中公布了这些消息。用互联网行业的说法,他一直在“网络上全程发布”。

亿万富翁通常并不需要靠微博客来发出自己的声音,他们在传统媒体中能得到大量曝光。因此,为了了解拥有Twitter的吸引力,我们应该思考Twitter如何影响我们看待这个世界的方式。Twitter的日活跃用户只有Facebook的一小部分,但无论好坏,在Twitter有许多公众人物,还有许多记者和其他人塑造的叙事结构,让我们以为那就是现实。许多人通过Twitter获取各种资讯,无论是公共健康、全球冲突还是哈里·斯泰尔斯在某一刻正在做的事情,他们还在这里形成自己的意识形态世界观。

这既有好处,也有坏处。Twitter被用于组织和支持革命,最著名的是在2011年阿拉伯之春期间,但也可能会被用于传播有关QAnon的谎言以及其他许多种阴谋论。在疫情期间,Twitter被用于宣传配戴口罩、保持社交距离和接种疫苗等建议,但也成为反疫苗宣传的传播载体。它就是一份实时更新的文件,记录了某一时刻正在发生的事情。如果你听到窗外传来巨响,你可能会搜索“巨响”加上社区的名称,在几分钟内查清楚导致巨响的原因。

简单来说,Twitter是在互联网上发现和传播信息最强大和最广泛的机制之一。如果你想要获得影响力,如果你有兴趣重新塑造世界对某些事物的看法,你可能会使用Twitter。如果你想要主导话语权,打压那些反对你的人或者认为你的笑话不好玩的人,你可能希望拥有这个平台。

对于16年来在Twitter上花费了大量时间的用户来说,很难想象没有Twitter,这个世界会是什么样子,你会对它有什么感受。

我们是否会找到这个问题的答案?目前,该网站就像是一场“慢镜头下的火车事故”。货币化是马斯克面临的最大挑战之一,尤其是为了偿还为收购Twitter所产生的债务,他每年需要支付十亿美元左右。Twitter的收入来源主要是广告业务,但马斯克似乎莫名其妙地决定摧毁这个收入流,并一直在疏远广告商,导致Twitter未能实现其广告收入目标,并且差距巨大。公司内部人士对《纽约时报》表示,公司将2022年最后一个季度的收入预期从14亿美元下调到13亿美元,后来又进一步下调至11亿美元。自马斯克接管Twitter以来,仇恨言论变得更加猖獗,大规模裁员和辞职令该网站的内容审查等业务陷入混乱,而马斯克对工程部门的大幅裁员影响了该平台的可用性。

用户会发现各种小故障:通知标签无效,网站加载异常等。如果你像我一样是一位自由主义女性作家,你会发现有越来越多的男性用不堪入耳的词汇侮辱你,并使用“强奸”这个词。与此同时,有一半广告商已经离开了Twitter平台,因为平台上充斥着品牌商不愿意产生关联的大量推文,例如猥亵的梗图、过于偏激的长篇大论和账号被恢复的白人至上主义者。

我首先想到的是“温水煮青蛙”这个比喻,但Twitter目前的状况更像是你正在从上方看人们玩一场叠叠乐塔游戏。你眼看着一块块积木被抽走,整个结构变得不稳定。你很清楚,这个积木塔终究将崩溃。但从表面上看,它依旧完好无损。马斯克认为一切顺利,因为平台上有许多用户。当然是这样。人们也会围观车祸现场。

马斯克利用Twitter放大自己的声量,并与不同右翼人士达成一致,这种做法既不新鲜也很无趣:媒体老板经常将他们的平台用于政治和个人目的。鲁伯特·默多克虽然不会持续发声,但他的意识形态影响力影响了福克斯(Fox)、《纽约邮报》和《华尔街日报》社论专栏解释这个世界的方式。

但Twitter发生这种情况令人蒙羞,因为虽然这个地狱网站上有各种混乱的信息,但总体上它是一个很棒的平台。

它的混乱是某种民主精神的体现。理论上,任何没有在该平台上付费购买特殊功能的用户可用的资源是相同的,无论你是美利坚合众国的总统,还是昨天刚刚加入该平台、默认头像仍是一颗蛋的@john292838374。(事实上,Twitter上也存在一种等级体系,粉丝数量越多的用户声量越高,有蓝色复选标志“认证”的用户有时候被认为可信度更高,因为你清楚他们的真实身份,而不是躲在宽带背后穿着风衣的三个见不得人的小人。马斯克也在废除该系统。)

虽然有些言不由衷,但Twitter本身有一种令人开心的、复古的恶作剧特性。我最难忘的是有一位好朋友在Twitter上注册了一个假冒我的账号@wise_spiers(聪明的施皮尔斯)。聪明的施皮尔斯是极端的、滑稽的另外一个我:她的个人简介写的是“娇小、神秘的空想家”,她说话的样子像是一台异常坚定和雄心勃勃的机器人。这个账户只是为了以友善的方式调侃我,发布我们之间的一些笑话。当时,我是纽约一家报社的总编,我的下属都关注了那个账号,这让我有些慌张。那并不是朋友最初的意图,但在发现这种情况之后,反而让他备受鼓舞。Twitter的服务条款特别禁止假冒他人身份,这个账号最终被封禁,而我也因此获得了一个蓝色复选标志。但我宁愿不要这个标志,也希望能恢复聪明的施皮尔斯的账号。那个账号给我带来了很多快乐。

现在的问题是,Twitter能否忍受目前的状况?我想重点强调的是,马斯克是咎由自取。他在收购Twitter前,既不屑于了解它的业务,也没有了解它的技术运行方式,尽管他自称是严格的代码检查者,他也不清楚品牌安全对广告商的重要性。现在他需要弥补自己的过失。

我认为,埃隆·马斯克的Twitter面临的最大的生存威胁很容易理解:我们最终会厌倦这个平台。我们对马斯克令人讨厌的挑衅言论也是类似的心态。除非他能亡羊补牢,否则该网站糟糕的状况将导致用户流失。每天都有大批用户离开,寻找新的数字空间,他们随之带走了有力的观点、新鲜的创意、尖锐的问题和有趣的笑话。

这令人惋惜。16年前,我错误地以为Twitter毫无意义。实际上它很有趣,而且它曾经有一个使命。但很快,它变得索然无味,而在这个平台上花费时间变得越来越没有意义。

多尔西和同事打造的那个混乱但充满活力的广场,还没有彻底消失,但我已经开始怀念它。(财富中文网)

本文作者伊丽莎白·施皮尔斯为《Gawker》的创始编辑,曾建立Dealbreaker等多个博客。她还曾是《财富》杂志金融与经济领域的专栏作家。她已经使用Twitter 14年。

Fortune.com上发表的评论文章中表达的观点,仅代表作者本人的观点,并不代表《财富》杂志的观点和立场。

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

公开承认自己的错误就像结肠镜检查一样,当然会令人不快,但在根本上对你自己有益。所以我要承认:我最初看错了Twitter。

在被埃隆·马斯克收购16年前的2006年,Twitter的微博客服务刚刚推出。当时,我认为该服务没有意义。Twitter联合创始人杰克·多尔西称推文是“无关紧要信息的突然爆炸”,我认为这种说法听起来很有道理。我可能曾公开表达过这种观点,最有可能是在Facebook或某个博客平台上。我记得曾在一篇文章中提出过一个质疑,那就是一条推文和一条Facebook状态更新有什么区别?我已经不记得这篇文章的发布时间,它已经被淹没在在浩瀚的互联网档案馆当中。这两者从根本上不是一回事吗?比如我午饭吃了某某某。Twitter平台只支持一次发布一两句话,不能超过140个字符,为什么要加入这样一个平台?

我当时并不理解,但很快这种强制性的简洁要求(尽管现在的限制为280个字符)使Twitter大获成功,这让我明白了它的优势所在。Twitter上确实可以发布图片和视频,但从根本上它就是一个书写者的平台,要求用户简洁明了。

我很早就开始写博客(并参与创建了一个网站Gawker,它最终葬送在亿万富翁彼得·泰尔和我弟弟的童年偶像霍克·霍肯手中)。我喜欢写博客的原因之一是它提供了一种新沟通模式:链接到其他博客,可以与我不认识的其他人进行一次后续对话。你可以学到新知识,接触到以其他方式可能遇不到的人,进行在线下很难精心安排的对话。

Twitter的理想形式就是这个样子。甚至更优秀。它回报那些考验智力的言论、对共同经历的描述、对宏大问题的分析以及搞笑的笑话等。我在Twitter结交到的网友,成为我真实生活中的好友。有许多次,在Twitter平台上与其他人深入探讨存在分歧的观点之后,我都能更好地了解对方的观点,对于相关问题也会有更细致的认识。难怪Twitter上的对话会掀起影响深远的社会变革,例如#MeToo运动以及跨性别人士权益运动和正视跨性别群体运动等,它也成为组织和支持“黑人的命也是命”等抗议运动的平台。

但我们也很快认识到,Twitter上滋生了虚假信息、无端诽谤和骚扰。或许我们不应该对此感到意外:公共广场并不总是一个文明的地方,有许多人曾在公共广场上被绑在火刑柱上被处死。人们很快发现,这个被许多人成为“地狱网站”的平台奖励挑衅行为,滋生了种族主义、同性恋恐惧症、霸凌和厌女症,并将这些情绪过度放大。与其他社交媒体平台一样,Twitter也证明它无法快速深入地打击虚假信息,防止其动摇美国的民主。Twitter用户可以匿名是一把双刃剑:虽然能够保护举报者,但也会被试图骚扰他人或制造混乱的挑衅者所利用。

埃隆·马斯克想要收购这个平台,也就不难理解。

现在,这位特斯拉(Tesla)和SpaceX的CEO已经以440亿美元的高价收购了Twitter,他似乎打算将其彻底摧毁。他通过电子邮件炒掉了关键人员;恢复了被封禁的账号,包括许多有右翼倾向的账号(包括前总统唐纳德·特朗普的账号);并淘汰了对于Twitter的持续运营至关重要的大部分技术基础设施,包括支持双因素身份认证的微服务等。后来马斯克意识到,他辞退了一些Twitter实际需要的人才,于是紧急要求管理者重新招回这些员工。我们之所以知道他的这些举措,部分原因是他自己实时在推文中公布了这些消息。用互联网行业的说法,他一直在“网络上全程发布”。

亿万富翁通常并不需要靠微博客来发出自己的声音,他们在传统媒体中能得到大量曝光。因此,为了了解拥有Twitter的吸引力,我们应该思考Twitter如何影响我们看待这个世界的方式。Twitter的日活跃用户只有Facebook的一小部分,但无论好坏,在Twitter有许多公众人物,还有许多记者和其他人塑造的叙事结构,让我们以为那就是现实。许多人通过Twitter获取各种资讯,无论是公共健康、全球冲突还是哈里·斯泰尔斯在某一刻正在做的事情,他们还在这里形成自己的意识形态世界观。

这既有好处,也有坏处。Twitter被用于组织和支持革命,最著名的是在2011年阿拉伯之春期间,但也可能会被用于传播有关QAnon的谎言以及其他许多种阴谋论。在疫情期间,Twitter被用于宣传配戴口罩、保持社交距离和接种疫苗等建议,但也成为反疫苗宣传的传播载体。它就是一份实时更新的文件,记录了某一时刻正在发生的事情。如果你听到窗外传来巨响,你可能会搜索“巨响”加上社区的名称,在几分钟内查清楚导致巨响的原因。

简单来说,Twitter是在互联网上发现和传播信息最强大和最广泛的机制之一。如果你想要获得影响力,如果你有兴趣重新塑造世界对某些事物的看法,你可能会使用Twitter。如果你想要主导话语权,打压那些反对你的人或者认为你的笑话不好玩的人,你可能希望拥有这个平台。

对于16年来在Twitter上花费了大量时间的用户来说,很难想象没有Twitter,这个世界会是什么样子,你会对它有什么感受。

我们是否会找到这个问题的答案?目前,该网站就像是一场“慢镜头下的火车事故”。货币化是马斯克面临的最大挑战之一,尤其是为了偿还为收购Twitter所产生的债务,他每年需要支付十亿美元左右。Twitter的收入来源主要是广告业务,但马斯克似乎莫名其妙地决定摧毁这个收入流,并一直在疏远广告商,导致Twitter未能实现其广告收入目标,并且差距巨大。公司内部人士对《纽约时报》表示,公司将2022年最后一个季度的收入预期从14亿美元下调到13亿美元,后来又进一步下调至11亿美元。自马斯克接管Twitter以来,仇恨言论变得更加猖獗,大规模裁员和辞职令该网站的内容审查等业务陷入混乱,而马斯克对工程部门的大幅裁员影响了该平台的可用性。

用户会发现各种小故障:通知标签无效,网站加载异常等。如果你像我一样是一位自由主义女性作家,你会发现有越来越多的男性用不堪入耳的词汇侮辱你,并使用“强奸”这个词。与此同时,有一半广告商已经离开了Twitter平台,因为平台上充斥着品牌商不愿意产生关联的大量推文,例如猥亵的梗图、过于偏激的长篇大论和账号被恢复的白人至上主义者。

我首先想到的是“温水煮青蛙”这个比喻,但Twitter目前的状况更像是你正在从上方看人们玩一场叠叠乐塔游戏。你眼看着一块块积木被抽走,整个结构变得不稳定。你很清楚,这个积木塔终究将崩溃。但从表面上看,它依旧完好无损。马斯克认为一切顺利,因为平台上有许多用户。当然是这样。人们也会围观车祸现场。

马斯克利用Twitter放大自己的声量,并与不同右翼人士达成一致,这种做法既不新鲜也很无趣:媒体老板经常将他们的平台用于政治和个人目的。鲁伯特·默多克虽然不会持续发声,但他的意识形态影响力影响了福克斯(Fox)、《纽约邮报》和《华尔街日报》社论专栏解释这个世界的方式。

但Twitter发生这种情况令人蒙羞,因为虽然这个地狱网站上有各种混乱的信息,但总体上它是一个很棒的平台。

它的混乱是某种民主精神的体现。理论上,任何没有在该平台上付费购买特殊功能的用户可用的资源是相同的,无论你是美利坚合众国的总统,还是昨天刚刚加入该平台、默认头像仍是一颗蛋的@john292838374。(事实上,Twitter上也存在一种等级体系,粉丝数量越多的用户声量越高,有蓝色复选标志“认证”的用户有时候被认为可信度更高,因为你清楚他们的真实身份,而不是躲在宽带背后穿着风衣的三个见不得人的小人。马斯克也在废除该系统。)

虽然有些言不由衷,但Twitter本身有一种令人开心的、复古的恶作剧特性。我最难忘的是有一位好朋友在Twitter上注册了一个假冒我的账号@wise_spiers(聪明的施皮尔斯)。聪明的施皮尔斯是极端的、滑稽的另外一个我:她的个人简介写的是“娇小、神秘的空想家”,她说话的样子像是一台异常坚定和雄心勃勃的机器人。这个账户只是为了以友善的方式调侃我,发布我们之间的一些笑话。当时,我是纽约一家报社的总编,我的下属都关注了那个账号,这让我有些慌张。那并不是朋友最初的意图,但在发现这种情况之后,反而让他备受鼓舞。Twitter的服务条款特别禁止假冒他人身份,这个账号最终被封禁,而我也因此获得了一个蓝色复选标志。但我宁愿不要这个标志,也希望能恢复聪明的施皮尔斯的账号。那个账号给我带来了很多快乐。

现在的问题是,Twitter能否忍受目前的状况?我想重点强调的是,马斯克是咎由自取。他在收购Twitter前,既不屑于了解它的业务,也没有了解它的技术运行方式,尽管他自称是严格的代码检查者,他也不清楚品牌安全对广告商的重要性。现在他需要弥补自己的过失。

我认为,埃隆·马斯克的Twitter面临的最大的生存威胁很容易理解:我们最终会厌倦这个平台。我们对马斯克令人讨厌的挑衅言论也是类似的心态。除非他能亡羊补牢,否则该网站糟糕的状况将导致用户流失。每天都有大批用户离开,寻找新的数字空间,他们随之带走了有力的观点、新鲜的创意、尖锐的问题和有趣的笑话。

这令人惋惜。16年前,我错误地以为Twitter毫无意义。实际上它很有趣,而且它曾经有一个使命。但很快,它变得索然无味,而在这个平台上花费时间变得越来越没有意义。

多尔西和同事打造的那个混乱但充满活力的广场,还没有彻底消失,但我已经开始怀念它。(财富中文网)

本文作者伊丽莎白·施皮尔斯为《Gawker》的创始编辑,曾建立Dealbreaker等多个博客。她还曾是《财富》杂志金融与经济领域的专栏作家。她已经使用Twitter 14年。

Fortune.com上发表的评论文章中表达的观点,仅代表作者本人的观点,并不代表《财富》杂志的观点和立场。

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

Admitting you are wrong in public is deeply unpleasant and fundamentally good for you, like a colonoscopy. So here goes: I was wrong about Twitter.

When the microblogging service launched in 2006, 16 years before it was bought by Elon Musk, I thought it sounded pointless. Co-founder Jack Dorsey described a tweet as “a short burst of inconsequential information,” and I thought, that sounds about right. I probably said this publicly somewhere—most likely Facebook or some blogging platform. What’s the difference, I remember writing, in a post lost to time and the bowels of The Internet Archive, between a tweet and a Facebook status update? Aren’t they basically the same thing? Here’s what I had for lunch: blah blah blah. And why join a platform that only allows you to write a sentence or two at a time—nothing longer than 140 characters?

What I didn’t understand then, but came to soon after, is that Twitter worked in part because of the enforced brevity (even though the character limit is now 280 characters). Yes, there are images and videos, but it’s fundamentally a writer’s platform, requiring the user to be pithy and concise.

I’d been an early adapter to blogging (and co-founded a website called Gawker that eventually died at the hands of a billionaire named Peter Thiel and my younger brother’s childhood hero, Hulk Hogan). What I’d loved about early blogging was its new mode of communication: Linking to another blog created a kind of meta conversation with other people I’d never met. You could learn new things, meet people you’d never otherwise encounter, and have conversations that would be difficult to engineer offline.

Twitter, in its ideal form, was exactly like that. Even better. It rewarded intellectually challenging arguments, articulations of shared experience, parsing of big questions, and funny jokes. I’ve made friends on Twitter who became my friends in real life. Many times, after talking through a point of disagreement with someone else on the platform, I came away understanding their point of view better, and with a more nuanced understanding of the issue at hand. It’s no wonder that conversations on Twitter drove profound societal shifts such as #MeToo and the movements for trans rights and visibility, and that it was a place to organize and consolidate support for protests such as Black Lives Matter.

Also, we all soon came to understand, Twitter is a cesspool of disinformation, gratuitous sniping, and harassment. Perhaps that shouldn’t have surprised us: The public square is not always a civil place, and plenty of people have been burned at the stake in one. But it soon became clear that the platform many began to refer to as a “hellsite” rewards provocation, and nurtured racism, homophobia, bullying, and misogyny—while amplifying it to unprecedented proportions. Twitter, like other social media platforms, has also shown that it cannot combat disinformation deeply or quickly enough to prevent it from destabilizing democracies. And the ability to be anonymous as a user is a double-edged sword: good for whistleblowers, and also good for trolls who want to harass others or create chaos.

It’s no wonder that Elon Musk wanted to buy it.

Now that the Tesla and SpaceX CEO has bought Twitter for the inflated price of $44 billion, he seems intent upon burning it to the ground. He has fired crucial personnel via email; reinstated accounts that were banned, including many with a right-wing bent (including the account of former President Donald Trump); and eliminated much of the technological infrastructure that is crucial to Twitter’s continued ability to function, including many of the microservices that power features such as two-factor authentication. Musk then realized he fired some people Twitter actually needs and frantically had managers try to recruit them back. We know that he’s done all of this in part because he has Tweeted about it, in real time. He is, in internet parlance, “posting through it.”

Billionaires generally do not need microblogging platforms to be heard—they get plenty of coverage in the traditional media. So to understand the appeal of owning Twitter, it’s worth considering how it has affected the way we process the world. Twitter’s daily active users are just a small fraction of Facebook’s, but for better or worse, a lot of public figures are on Twitter, and so are a lot of journalists and other people who shape narrative constructions of what we perceive to be reality. Whether about public health, global conflicts, or whatever Harry Styles is doing at any given moment, a lot of people get their news from Twitter, as well as their ideological worldview.

This is both good and bad. It has been used to organize and support revolutions—most famously during the Arab Spring of 2011—and also to disseminate the lies of QAnon and many other conspiracies. During the pandemic, it was useful for distributing advice about masking, social distancing, and vaccines—but also a vector for anti-vaxxer propaganda. It is such a living document of what is happening at any given moment, that if you hear a loud boom through your window, you can probably search “loud boom” along with the name of your neighborhood, and find out what caused the sound in minutes.

Twitter is, put simply, one of the most powerful and expansive mechanisms for information discovery and distribution on the internet. If you want influence, if you’re interested in reshaping how the world thinks about things, you’re probably on Twitter. If you want to dominate the discourse and squash anyone who disagrees with you or thinks your jokes are unfunny, you might want to own it.

And for those of us who have spent significant time on Twitter for 16 years, it’s hard to imagine what the world will look and feel like without it.

Will we have to find out? Right now, the site is a slow-motion train wreck. Monetization is one of Musk’s biggest challenges, especially given the billion or so a year he has to pay to service the debt he used to buy the company. Twitter is monetized primarily through advertising, though Musk seems inexplicably determined to destroy that revenue stream and has been alienating advertisers, causing Twitter to miss its ad sales targets by large margins. Company insiders told The New York Times that the company has cut its revenue projections from $1.4 billion in the last quarter of 2022 to $1.3 billion, and then to $1.1 billion. Since Musk took over, hate speech has become more viral, the site’s content moderation and other operations have been snarled by the epic staff layoffs and resignations, and Musk’s disemboweling of engineering departments are rendering the platform less usable.

As a user, you experience it in glitches: Your notification tab doesn’t work, the site loads weirdly. If you’re a liberal woman writer, as I am, you may notice an uptick in the number of men calling you unspeakable things and invoking the word “rape.” Meanwhile, half of Twitter’s advertisers have left the platform as it has been flooded with tweets that brands don’t want to be anywhere near—racy memes, overtly partisan screeds, and white supremacists whose accounts have been reinstated.

“Frog boiling in water” is the first metaphor that comes to mind, but it’s really more like looking at a Jenga tower from above as the game is being played. You know pieces are disappearing one by one and it’s making the whole thing more unstable. You understand that eventually, it’s going to all come crashing down. But it still looks whole on the surface. Musk thinks this is all going very well because there are a lot of people on the platform. And of course there are. People also gawk at car crashes.

The fact that Musk has used Twitter to amplify and agree with various right-wing figures is not particularly novel or interesting in itself: Media owners have always used their outlets for political and personal ends. Rupert Murdoch doesn’t post through it, but his ideological fingerprints are all over the way Fox, The New York Post, and the editorial page of The Wall Street Journal explain the world.

It’s a shame this is happening at Twitter, however, because that hellsite was often a great place to be, for all of its messiness.

Its mess was the mess of a certain kind of democracy. In theory, the resources available to a user who’s not paying for special features on the platform are the same whether you’re President of the United States, or @john292838374 who joined yesterday and whose avatar is still the default egg. (In practice, there is a bit of a hierarchy in that users with more followers are heard more, and users who were “verified” with blue check marks are sometimes considered more credible because you know they are who they say they are, and are not secretly three weasels in a trench coat with a broadband connection. Musk is dismantling that system too.)

But even when it isn’t entirely sincere, Twitter can have a kind of delightful, retro mischievousness to it. A favorite memory for me is the time when one of my best friends was impersonating me on Twitter under an account titled @wise_spiers. Wise Spiers was an extreme, caricatured version of me: Her bio was “tiny mysterious visionary” and she talked like a very determined and ambitious robot. The account basically existed to lovingly skewer me and advance our inside jokes. I was the editor in chief of a New York newspaper at the time, and slightly to my horror, my staffers followed the account. This was not my friend’s intention, but once he realized it was happening, it only encouraged him. Twitter’s terms of service specifically prohibit impersonation and eventually the account was banned — and I ended up with a blue check as a result. I’d give back the blue check to have Wise Spiers back, though. It was hilarious.

The question now is, will Twitter endure? I cannot emphasize this enough: Musk did this to himself. He did not bother to understand Twitter’s business before he bought the company, did not learn how its technology works despite his pretensions of being an exacting examiner of code, and did not understand how important brand safety is to advertisers. Now he has to make it up.

But I think the biggest existential threat to Elon Musk’s Twitter is simpler: We’ll all finally get bored of it. There’s a sameness to Musk’s provocations that is tiresome. And unless he fixes the things he’s broken, the jankiness of the site will drive users away. Great people leave every day, searching for new digital spaces to set up camp in — and they take with them their strong opinions, fresh ideas, hard questions, and funny jokes.

That’s a shame. I was wrong 16 years ago when I thought Twitter was pointless. It was interesting, and it served a purpose. But it’s becoming uninteresting quickly, and spending time on it is increasingly, well… actually pointless.

That messy, vibrant town square that Dorsey and his colleagues created is not completely gone yet, but I already miss it.

Elizabeth Spiers was the founding editor of Gawker, and started Dealbreaker and several other blogs. She is also a former columnist for Fortune, writing about finance and economics. She has been on Twitter for 14 years.

The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.

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