我们都听说过“长新冠”(long COVID),这种神秘的疾病在人们首次感染新冠病毒后会折磨他们数周甚至数月。但直到现在,卫生当局还没有统计出有多少死亡病例与“长新冠”有关。
一份新发布的联邦报告显示,在疫情的头两年半时间里,略多于3500名美国人的死亡证明上包含了“长新冠”。这是理解新情况的一大突破。但这一数字准确吗?
这项研究由美国疾病控制和预防中心的生命统计系统进行,研究了将新冠肺炎列为死因的死亡证明,它们都提到了与“长新冠”相关的一些关键词,包括新冠肺炎急性后遗症(PASC)、“后新冠”和“新冠长期症状”。死亡病例死亡时间在2020年1月1日至今年6月30日之间。
据报告,大多数与“长新冠”有关的死亡病例是白人(近79%)。黑人占此类死亡人数的10%,其次是西班牙裔(8%)。所有其他种族的死亡人数不到2%。
美国公共卫生协会执行董事乔治•本杰明(Georges Benjamin)博士在接受《财富》杂志采访时表示,3500人这一数字“可能被低估了”。这是因为确定这类死亡的方法很粗略,而且这是疫病早期的情况。报告称,所有“长新冠”死亡病例都被归类为新冠肺炎,因为“长新冠”还不是一个单独的死因类别。
他说:“随着临床医生更好地识别和记录与新冠肺炎相关的死亡(包括急性新冠和长新冠),以及“长新冠”病例的高峰期在整个系统中被记录下来,“长新冠”造成的死亡人数将上升。我们还没有看到这类病例的最高点。”
约翰斯·霍普金斯卫生安全中心的传染病专家和高级学者阿梅什·阿达尔贾(Amesh Adalja)博士说,对上述研究很难加以解释,因为它“依赖于一种诊断标准不明确的疾病的死亡证明数据”。
“长新冠”没有统一的定义,通常被定义为新冠病毒感染后出现或持续数周或数月的新症状。世界卫生组织将这种情况定义为首次感染三个月后出现或持续的新症状,这些症状持续两个月或更长时间,没有其他解释。但其他组织,如美国疾病控制和预防中心,有不同的定义。
阿达尔贾说,这样的数据“对于这样的事情来说是不可靠的”,并补充说,很重要的一点是,要区分那些直接死于“长新冠”的患者和那些患有“长新冠”、但或许死于其他疾病的患者。
此外,他补充说,新冠病毒感染重症患者在康复后的一段时间内死亡风险可能仍然很高。但这种死亡可能被、也可能不被归类为“长新冠”,这取决于人们对这种疾病的定义。
“要理解这样的现象,需要更多的数据粒度。”他说。
2020年9月,世界卫生组织批准将“后新冠症状”作为一种死因。上述新研究的作者写道,但这一类别还没有在美国实施,并补充说他们的研究将为其实施铺平道路。
根据本月发表在《柳叶刀》附属杂志上的一项具有里程碑意义的研究,近一半的新冠肺炎幸存者(包括儿童和成人)在四个月后仍有持续的症状。研究者们对针对近75万名既往新冠肺炎病毒感染者的近200项研究进行了分析。
根据美国人口普查局今年夏天收集的数据,近20%的美国成年人(估计有5000万人)报告患有“长新冠”。
许多专家认为,“长新冠”最好被定义为新冠肺炎病毒感染后出现的慢性疲劳综合征样症状,类似于感染疱疹、莱姆病甚至埃博拉病毒后可能出现的其他病毒后综合征。他们说,其他后新冠并发症,如器官损伤和重症监护后综合征,不应被定义为“长新冠”。(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
我们都听说过“长新冠”(long COVID),这种神秘的疾病在人们首次感染新冠病毒后会折磨他们数周甚至数月。但直到现在,卫生当局还没有统计出有多少死亡病例与“长新冠”有关。
一份新发布的联邦报告显示,在疫情的头两年半时间里,略多于3500名美国人的死亡证明上包含了“长新冠”。这是理解新情况的一大突破。但这一数字准确吗?
这项研究由美国疾病控制和预防中心的生命统计系统进行,研究了将新冠肺炎列为死因的死亡证明,它们都提到了与“长新冠”相关的一些关键词,包括新冠肺炎急性后遗症(PASC)、“后新冠”和“新冠长期症状”。死亡病例死亡时间在2020年1月1日至今年6月30日之间。
据报告,大多数与“长新冠”有关的死亡病例是白人(近79%)。黑人占此类死亡人数的10%,其次是西班牙裔(8%)。所有其他种族的死亡人数不到2%。
美国公共卫生协会执行董事乔治•本杰明(Georges Benjamin)博士在接受《财富》杂志采访时表示,3500人这一数字“可能被低估了”。这是因为确定这类死亡的方法很粗略,而且这是疫病早期的情况。报告称,所有“长新冠”死亡病例都被归类为新冠肺炎,因为“长新冠”还不是一个单独的死因类别。
他说:“随着临床医生更好地识别和记录与新冠肺炎相关的死亡(包括急性新冠和长新冠),以及“长新冠”病例的高峰期在整个系统中被记录下来,“长新冠”造成的死亡人数将上升。我们还没有看到这类病例的最高点。”
约翰斯·霍普金斯卫生安全中心的传染病专家和高级学者阿梅什·阿达尔贾(Amesh Adalja)博士说,对上述研究很难加以解释,因为它“依赖于一种诊断标准不明确的疾病的死亡证明数据”。
“长新冠”没有统一的定义,通常被定义为新冠病毒感染后出现或持续数周或数月的新症状。世界卫生组织将这种情况定义为首次感染三个月后出现或持续的新症状,这些症状持续两个月或更长时间,没有其他解释。但其他组织,如美国疾病控制和预防中心,有不同的定义。
阿达尔贾说,这样的数据“对于这样的事情来说是不可靠的”,并补充说,很重要的一点是,要区分那些直接死于“长新冠”的患者和那些患有“长新冠”、但或许死于其他疾病的患者。
此外,他补充说,新冠病毒感染重症患者在康复后的一段时间内死亡风险可能仍然很高。但这种死亡可能被、也可能不被归类为“长新冠”,这取决于人们对这种疾病的定义。
“要理解这样的现象,需要更多的数据粒度。”他说。
2020年9月,世界卫生组织批准将“后新冠症状”作为一种死因。上述新研究的作者写道,但这一类别还没有在美国实施,并补充说他们的研究将为其实施铺平道路。
根据本月发表在《柳叶刀》附属杂志上的一项具有里程碑意义的研究,近一半的新冠肺炎幸存者(包括儿童和成人)在四个月后仍有持续的症状。研究者们对针对近75万名既往新冠肺炎病毒感染者的近200项研究进行了分析。
根据美国人口普查局今年夏天收集的数据,近20%的美国成年人(估计有5000万人)报告患有“长新冠”。
许多专家认为,“长新冠”最好被定义为新冠肺炎病毒感染后出现的慢性疲劳综合征样症状,类似于感染疱疹、莱姆病甚至埃博拉病毒后可能出现的其他病毒后综合征。他们说,其他后新冠并发症,如器官损伤和重症监护后综合征,不应被定义为“长新冠”。(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
We’ve all heard of long COVID, the mysterious ailment that plagues people for weeks and months after they first become infected with the virus still gripping the world. But health authorities haven’t tallied how many deaths were related to it—until now.
A newly released federal report shows that long COVID was included on the death certificates of slightly more than 3,500 Americans in the first two and a half years of the pandemic. It’s a breakthrough for understanding the new condition. But is the number accurate?
The study, performed by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Vital Statistics System, examined death certificates that listed COVID as the cause of death with keywords referring to long COVID, including post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC), “post COVID,” and “long haul COVID.” The deaths occurred between Jan. 1, 2020, and June 30 of this year.
The majority of deaths with long COVID ties were reported among white people (nearly 79%). Black people accounted for 10% of such deaths, followed by Hispanic people (8%). All other racial groups comprised less than 2% of such deaths.
The 3,500 figure is “probably an undercount,” Dr. Georges Benjamin, executive director of the American Public Health Association, told Fortune. That’s because the method to determine such deaths is crude, and the fact that it’s early in the history of the disease. All long COVID deaths were coded for COVID because a cause-of-death code for long COVID hasn’t been implemented, according to the report.
“Long COVID deaths will go up as clinicians get better at identifying and recording COVID-related deaths (both acute and long COVID), and as the peak of long COVID cases moves through the system,” he said. “We have not yet seen the peak in cases of long COVID.”
Dr. Amesh Adalja, an infectious disease specialist and senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, said the study is difficult to interpret because it “relies on death certificate data for a condition that has nebulous diagnostic criteria.”
There is no agreed-upon definition of long COVID, generally defined as new symptoms that occur or persist after a COVID infection and last for weeks or months. The World Health Organization defines the condition as the continuation or development of new symptoms three months after the initial infection, with those symptoms lasting for two or more months, without other explanation. But other organizations like the CDC have definitions that vary.
Such data is “not reliable for something like this,” Adalja said, adding that it’s important to distinguish deaths due to long COVID from deaths among individuals with long COVID.
Additionally, the risk of death in those with a severe COVID infection may remain high for a period of time after they recover, he added. But such a death may or may not be classified as a long COVID death, depending on one’s definition of the condition.
“There needs to be much more granularity to be able to understand a phenomenon like this,” he said.
In September 2020, the WHO approved a cause-of-death code for post-COVID conditions. It hasn’t been implemented in the U.S., the authors wrote, adding that their new study will pave the way for its implementation.
Almost half of COVID survivors—both children and adults—had lingering symptoms four months later, according to a landmark study published this month in an affiliate journal of The Lancet. Researchers performed an analysis of nearly 200 studies on prior COVID patients involving nearly 750,000 people around the globe.
Nearly 20% of American adults who’ve had COVID—an estimated 50 million—report having long COVID symptoms, according to data collected by the U.S. Census Bureau this summer.
Many experts contend that long COVID is best defined as a chronic-fatigue-syndrome-like condition that develops after COVID illness, similar to other post-viral syndromes that can occur after infection with herpes, Lyme disease, and even Ebola. Other post-COVID complications, like organ damage and post–intensive-care syndrome, should not be defined as long COVID, they say.