首页 500强 活动 榜单 商业 科技 领导力 专题 品牌中心
杂志订阅

FTX的垮台与雷曼兄弟破产有何共同之处?

如果加密货币要继续存在下去,那么监管机构是时候不再袖手旁观了。

文本设置
小号
默认
大号
Plus(0条)

12月1日,美国商品期货交易委员会主席罗斯汀·贝纳姆(Rostin Behnam)准备在参议院农业、营养和林业委员会就加密货币交易所FTX的垮台作证。图片来源:CHIP SOMODEVILLA - GETTY IMAGES

在FTX最近倒闭之后,是时候略微改动里根时代的一句老话了:"信任,但要核实。"这句话最早是在冷战时期的核武器外交的背景下使用的,现在适用于如今的加密货币市场,它使小投资者面临异常高的风险。

联邦政府正处在十字路口,面临两种可能性:他们要么继续走目前的道路,迎接更多的不稳定性,要么对加密货币进行监管,有可能为一种新型金融产品提供合法性,但也会对其进行压力测试,要求其证明其大肆宣扬的优点能够经得起考验。

我花了几十年时间研究信任社会学,因为它与信贷、监管套利和金融市场有关——我认为,监管最有可能成为一种稳定力量,同时保护小投资者免受FTX垮台后许多人遭受的极端损失。如果加密货币要继续存在下去,那么监管机构是时候不再袖手旁观了。

在过去的几年里,加密货币市场一直在酝酿一场完美风暴。散户投资者蜂拥而入,可能是出于对错失良机的恐惧,也可能是受到巨额收益前景的激励。推广者通过开发用户友好的应用程序,让人们可以轻松地在家用电脑和智能手机上进行交易。投资开始看起来像一场游戏。

许多新进入市场的人并不完全了解他们正进入怎样的领域,以及他们所面临的风险。他们可能信任一些知名的市场人物,如已经名誉扫地的FTX创始人萨姆·班克曼-弗里德(Sam Bankman-Fried),相信拉里·戴维(Larry David)在超级碗上为FTX拍摄的广告等在显眼位置投放的名人背书,或者相信风险投资公司、对冲基金和私募股权公司投入加密货币的"行家的投资"。

我们后来看到,即使是行家的投资也不是那么明智。加密货币市场经历了多次繁荣和萧条,它们逐渐从科技行业的无政府边缘走向金融市场的中心。

美国证券交易委员会的工作变得更容易了

许多联邦政客受到行业游说活动的影响,因此到目前为止,政府几乎没有为小投资者制定标准或保护措施。监管机构也一直在犹豫该怎么做,不确定这些奇特而不稳定的资产是否涉及金融证券、衍生品、货币或其他完全不同的资产。他们不愿干预那些似乎处于财富创造前沿的交易。

随着加密货币市场面临自己的“雷曼兄弟时刻”,人们必须考虑突然的损失是否会扩散,甚至威胁到更广泛的金融体系的稳定。加密货币市场越大,涉及的主要金融机构越多,危险就越大。

通过推迟对加密货币市场的干预,美国证券交易委员会可能让一些投资者吃苦头。没有什么比赔钱更能让人集中精力了:它让监管显得更有必要,从而改变了一般对话和政治格局,这也让美国证券交易委员会的工作变得更容易。

如果监管机构试图更早采取行动,他们就更难辩称,如果没有监管,可能会出现不良后果。现在,每个人都知道那些不良后果是什么,随后的监管措施也更容易被证明是合理的。

美国证券交易委员会和其他监管机构应该抓住这个时机。小投资者缺乏大投资者所受益的雄厚财力和灵活性,他们理应能够参与到一个不仅仅需要社会信任的体系中来。他们应该得到监管保护,以核实加密货币投资的相对稳定性和安全性。

里根总统可以依靠复杂的美国政府情报机构来独立核实苏联是否遵守核武器条约:而不单是信任俄罗斯领导人。

如今,小投资者需要一个强有力的公共监管机构来监督市场参与者,并相对独立地确保他们遵守规则,以保护投资者利益。关键市场参与者的充分资本化需要以透明的方式进行,而不是通过层层离岸空壳公司来进行。

必须有人确保,复杂的所有权利益不会产生利益冲突(助长将投资者的资金当作存钱罐的行为),从而给其他人以可乘之机。那些从普通人那里寻求资金的人必须坦率地面对加密货币投资的下行风险和上行潜力。加密货币市场将受益于监管部门监督所能提供的合法性,向市场参与者保证“狂野西部”时代已经结束。

能够信任是好事,但最好还是能核实一下。对于加密货币市场的小投资者来说,这如今是政府的当务之急。(财富中文网)

布鲁斯·G·卡鲁瑟(Bruce G. Carruthers)是西北大学约翰·D·麦克阿瑟(John D. MacArthur)社会学教授,著有《承诺经济:美国的信任、权力和信用》(The Economy of Promises: Trust, Power, and Credit in America)。

译者:中慧言-王芳

在FTX最近倒闭之后,是时候略微改动里根时代的一句老话了:"信任,但要核实。"这句话最早是在冷战时期的核武器外交的背景下使用的,现在适用于如今的加密货币市场,它使小投资者面临异常高的风险。

联邦政府正处在十字路口,面临两种可能性:他们要么继续走目前的道路,迎接更多的不稳定性,要么对加密货币进行监管,有可能为一种新型金融产品提供合法性,但也会对其进行压力测试,要求其证明其大肆宣扬的优点能够经得起考验。

我花了几十年时间研究信任社会学,因为它与信贷、监管套利和金融市场有关——我认为,监管最有可能成为一种稳定力量,同时保护小投资者免受FTX垮台后许多人遭受的极端损失。如果加密货币要继续存在下去,那么监管机构是时候不再袖手旁观了。

在过去的几年里,加密货币市场一直在酝酿一场完美风暴。散户投资者蜂拥而入,可能是出于对错失良机的恐惧,也可能是受到巨额收益前景的激励。推广者通过开发用户友好的应用程序,让人们可以轻松地在家用电脑和智能手机上进行交易。投资开始看起来像一场游戏。

许多新进入市场的人并不完全了解他们正进入怎样的领域,以及他们所面临的风险。他们可能信任一些知名的市场人物,如已经名誉扫地的FTX创始人萨姆·班克曼-弗里德(Sam Bankman-Fried),相信拉里·戴维(Larry David)在超级碗上为FTX拍摄的广告等在显眼位置投放的名人背书,或者相信风险投资公司、对冲基金和私募股权公司投入加密货币的"行家的投资"。

我们后来看到,即使是行家的投资也不是那么明智。加密货币市场经历了多次繁荣和萧条,它们逐渐从科技行业的无政府边缘走向金融市场的中心。

美国证券交易委员会的工作变得更容易了

许多联邦政客受到行业游说活动的影响,因此到目前为止,政府几乎没有为小投资者制定标准或保护措施。监管机构也一直在犹豫该怎么做,不确定这些奇特而不稳定的资产是否涉及金融证券、衍生品、货币或其他完全不同的资产。他们不愿干预那些似乎处于财富创造前沿的交易。

随着加密货币市场面临自己的“雷曼兄弟时刻”,人们必须考虑突然的损失是否会扩散,甚至威胁到更广泛的金融体系的稳定。加密货币市场越大,涉及的主要金融机构越多,危险就越大。

通过推迟对加密货币市场的干预,美国证券交易委员会可能让一些投资者吃苦头。没有什么比赔钱更能让人集中精力了:它让监管显得更有必要,从而改变了一般对话和政治格局,这也让美国证券交易委员会的工作变得更容易。

如果监管机构试图更早采取行动,他们就更难辩称,如果没有监管,可能会出现不良后果。现在,每个人都知道那些不良后果是什么,随后的监管措施也更容易被证明是合理的。

美国证券交易委员会和其他监管机构应该抓住这个时机。小投资者缺乏大投资者所受益的雄厚财力和灵活性,他们理应能够参与到一个不仅仅需要社会信任的体系中来。他们应该得到监管保护,以核实加密货币投资的相对稳定性和安全性。

里根总统可以依靠复杂的美国政府情报机构来独立核实苏联是否遵守核武器条约:而不单是信任俄罗斯领导人。

如今,小投资者需要一个强有力的公共监管机构来监督市场参与者,并相对独立地确保他们遵守规则,以保护投资者利益。关键市场参与者的充分资本化需要以透明的方式进行,而不是通过层层离岸空壳公司来进行。

必须有人确保,复杂的所有权利益不会产生利益冲突(助长将投资者的资金当作存钱罐的行为),从而给其他人以可乘之机。那些从普通人那里寻求资金的人必须坦率地面对加密货币投资的下行风险和上行潜力。加密货币市场将受益于监管部门监督所能提供的合法性,向市场参与者保证“狂野西部”时代已经结束。

能够信任是好事,但最好还是能核实一下。对于加密货币市场的小投资者来说,这如今是政府的当务之急。(财富中文网)

布鲁斯·G·卡鲁瑟(Bruce G. Carruthers)是西北大学约翰·D·麦克阿瑟(John D. MacArthur)社会学教授,著有《承诺经济:美国的信任、权力和信用》(The Economy of Promises: Trust, Power, and Credit in America)。

译者:中慧言-王芳

Following the recent collapse of FTX, it’s time to repurpose an old Reagan-era phrase: “Trust, but verify.” First used in the context of Cold War nuclear arms diplomacy, the phrase now applies to today’s cryptocurrency markets, which have exposed small investors to disproportionately high risk.

The federal government is at a crossroads, facing two possibilities: They can either continue on the current path and keep the door open to more instability or regulate crypto, potentially lending legitimacy to a novel financial product–but also putting it through a stress test that will require it to demonstrate that its much-touted merits can stand up to scrutiny.

I’ve spent decades studying the sociology of trust as it relates to credit, regulatory arbitrage, and financial markets–and I would argue that regulation is most likely to serve as a stabilizing force, while protecting small investors from the extreme losses that many suffered after FTX’s downfall. If crypto is here to stay, it’s time for regulators to step off the sidelines.

A perfect storm has been brewing over the past few years in crypto markets. Retail investors rushed in, perhaps motivated by the fear of missing out or inspired by the prospect of spectacular gains. Promoters eased their way by creating user-friendly apps so that people could trade from their home computers and smartphones. Investing began to seem like a game.

Many of these new entrants into the market didn’t fully understand what they were getting into and the risks they were running. They may have trusted prominent market figures like FTX’s now-disgraced founder Sam Bankman-Fried, well-placed celebrity endorsements like Larry David’s Super Bowl ad for FTX, or the “smart money” put into crypto by venture capital firms, hedge funds, and private equity.

We’ve since seen that even the smart money wasn’t so smart. Cryptocurrency markets have gone through multiple booms and busts as they gradually moved from the anarchic fringe of the tech industry toward the center of financial markets.

The SEC’s job has been made easier

Many federal politicians have been swayed by industry lobbying efforts, so until now there has been little effort to set standards or establish protections for small investors. Regulators have also been hesitant about what to do, not sure if these exotic and unstable assets involved financial securities, derivatives, money, or something entirely different. They were reluctant to meddle with transactions that seemed to be on the cutting edge of wealth generation.

As cryptocurrency markets face their own “Lehman Brothers moment,” one must consider whether the sudden losses could be contagious, or even threaten to destabilize the broader financial system. The bigger crypto markets become, and the more they involve major financial institutions, the greater the danger.

It’s possible that by deferring intervention in crypto markets, the SEC allowed some investors to get their fingers burned. Nothing concentrates minds like losing money: it changes both the general conversation and the political landscape by making regulation seem more necessary, which also makes the SEC’s job easier.

Had regulators tried to move earlier, it would have been more difficult for them to argue that bad outcomes might occur without oversight. Now, everyone knows what those bad outcomes look like, and subsequent regulatory moves have become easier to justify.

The SEC and other regulatory actors should seize the moment. Small investors, who lack the deep pockets and flexibility that large investors benefit from, should be able to participate in a system where more than social trust is required. They deserve the kind of regulatory protection that verifies the relative stability and security of crypto investments.

President Reagan could rely on an elaborate U.S. government intelligence apparatus to independently verify Soviet compliance with nuclear arms treaties: He didn’t simply have to trust the Russian leadership.

Today, small investors need a robust public regulatory apparatus that will oversee market actors and independently ensure their compliance with rules to protect investor interests. Adequate capitalization of key market players needs to be done transparently, rather than through layers of offshore shell companies.

Someone must make sure that complex ownership interests do not create conflicts of interest that fuel the temptation to treat investors’ funds like a piggy bank to be raided when convenient. Those seeking funds from ordinary people must be forthright about the downside risks as well as the upside potential of cryptocurrency investments. Crypto markets will benefit from the legitimacy that regulatory oversight can offer, providing assurances to market participants that the “wild west” era is over.

It is good to be able to trust–but much better to also verify. For small investors in cryptocurrency markets, this is now an imperative that the government can’t ignore.

Bruce G. Carruthers is the John D. MacArthur Professor of Sociology at Northwestern University, and author of The Economy of Promises: Trust, Power, and Credit in America.

财富中文网所刊载内容之知识产权为财富媒体知识产权有限公司及/或相关权利人专属所有或持有。未经许可,禁止进行转载、摘编、复制及建立镜像等任何使用。
0条Plus
精彩评论
评论

撰写或查看更多评论

请打开财富Plus APP

前往打开