在FTX破产之后,美国议员要求对加密货币市场进行监管的呼声越来越高。但本周,一位知名经济学家认为,监管加密货币行业会授予该行业合法性,而这反过来会造成更广泛的经济损失。
布兰戴斯国际商学院(Brandeis International Business School)经济学家斯蒂芬·塞克切蒂认为加密货币就像是《魔兽世界》(World of Warcraft)里的经济。《魔兽世界》是一款拥有数百万玩家的在线视频游戏。
他在布鲁金斯学会(Brookings Institution)举办的加密货币辩论会上表示:“我认为反对监管最强有力的理由是,这等于认同该行业的合法性。”
他还说道:“我认为加密货币很像是一款视频游戏,拥有1.2亿玩家的《魔兽世界》与该行业有相似之处,该游戏内部有一个经济体系。幸运的是,没有联邦金融监管机构负责监管《魔兽世界》。虽然游戏中涉及资金流动,但我并不认为我们会呼吁监管机构监管这种大型多人在线网游。我认为,加密货币与《魔兽世界》一样,并不支持实体经济,因此将加密货币合法化只会消耗生产活动的创意资源。”
加密货币法规
他主张,专门针对加密货币行业制定法规,会影响银行对待该行业的方式。
他说道:“加密货币合法化会鼓励银行直接购买加密货币资产,并以加密货币资产作为抵押发放贷款。想象一下,如果在2021年11月加密货币大幅贬值之前,有杠杆经营的金融中介机构持有加密货币,现在会是什么状况。”
自去年晚些时候以来,加密货币已经大幅贬值。规模最大的加密货币比特币今年已经贬值超过60%。
塞克切蒂表示,如果“将加密货币圈内的所有交易基本上限制在该领域以内,不与实体经济产生任何关联,”那么它“就像是发生在火星上一样,不会影响传统金融体系。这应该是我们的目标。”
他认为,加密货币行业内的各种不良行为,“是加密货币圈的关键特征”。他表示,检察官可以“通过严格执行现有法律,在恰当的情况下追究宣传加密货币的名人的责任”,从而解决这些不良行为。
FTX创始人山姆·班克曼-弗莱德已经被指控八项刑事罪名,包括两项电信欺诈罪以及证券和大宗商品欺诈共谋罪、洗钱共谋罪和违反竞选财务规定共谋罪等六项罪名。
“让加密货币自生自灭”
在FTX土崩瓦解后,最近几周,要求对加密货币加强监管的呼声越来越高。
上周末,参议院银行委员会主席、参议员谢罗德·布朗呼吁加强监管,并留下了封杀加密货币的可能性,虽然他承认“这样做难度很大,因为加密货币会转移到海外,而且谁知道加密货币会如何运转。”
班克曼-弗莱德在巴哈马被捕后,布朗在一份声明中表示:“与证券、大宗商品或银行产品形式和行为类似的任何产品都应该接受服务消费者的负责任的政府部门监管和监督……加密货币不能因为看起来光鲜亮丽就免于监管。”
塞克切蒂认为,一种好的方法是“让加密货币自生自灭”,这是他和纽约大学斯特恩商学院(NYU’s Stern School of Business)教授基姆·舍恩霍尔茨最近在《金融时报》发表的一篇专栏文章中的说法。
他们写道:“在FTX破产之后,当局应该抑制住为加密货币行业创建一个类似的法律和监管框架的迫切心理。更好的做法是放任不管,让加密货币自生自灭。”
他们认为,积极干预会“给目前对金融稳定没有造成威胁的加密货币系统一个官方认可,当加密货币行业不可避免地再次爆发危机时,可能需要公共财政援助。”(财富中文网)
翻译:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
布兰戴斯国际商学院经济学家斯蒂芬·塞克切蒂参加于葡萄牙辛特拉召开的2017年欧洲中央银行论坛。摄影:HORACIO VILLALOBOS——CORBIS/CORBIS经盖蒂图片社提供
在FTX破产之后,美国议员要求对加密货币市场进行监管的呼声越来越高。但本周,一位知名经济学家认为,监管加密货币行业会授予该行业合法性,而这反过来会造成更广泛的经济损失。
布兰戴斯国际商学院(Brandeis International Business School)经济学家斯蒂芬·塞克切蒂认为加密货币就像是《魔兽世界》(World of Warcraft)里的经济。《魔兽世界》是一款拥有数百万玩家的在线视频游戏。
他在布鲁金斯学会(Brookings Institution)举办的加密货币辩论会上表示:“我认为反对监管最强有力的理由是,这等于认同该行业的合法性。”
他还说道:“我认为加密货币很像是一款视频游戏,拥有1.2亿玩家的《魔兽世界》与该行业有相似之处,该游戏内部有一个经济体系。幸运的是,没有联邦金融监管机构负责监管《魔兽世界》。虽然游戏中涉及资金流动,但我并不认为我们会呼吁监管机构监管这种大型多人在线网游。我认为,加密货币与《魔兽世界》一样,并不支持实体经济,因此将加密货币合法化只会消耗生产活动的创意资源。”
加密货币法规
他主张,专门针对加密货币行业制定法规,会影响银行对待该行业的方式。
他说道:“加密货币合法化会鼓励银行直接购买加密货币资产,并以加密货币资产作为抵押发放贷款。想象一下,如果在2021年11月加密货币大幅贬值之前,有杠杆经营的金融中介机构持有加密货币,现在会是什么状况。”
自去年晚些时候以来,加密货币已经大幅贬值。规模最大的加密货币比特币今年已经贬值超过60%。
塞克切蒂表示,如果“将加密货币圈内的所有交易基本上限制在该领域以内,不与实体经济产生任何关联,”那么它“就像是发生在火星上一样,不会影响传统金融体系。这应该是我们的目标。”
他认为,加密货币行业内的各种不良行为,“是加密货币圈的关键特征”。他表示,检察官可以“通过严格执行现有法律,在恰当的情况下追究宣传加密货币的名人的责任”,从而解决这些不良行为。
FTX创始人山姆·班克曼-弗莱德已经被指控八项刑事罪名,包括两项电信欺诈罪以及证券和大宗商品欺诈共谋罪、洗钱共谋罪和违反竞选财务规定共谋罪等六项罪名。
“让加密货币自生自灭”
在FTX土崩瓦解后,最近几周,要求对加密货币加强监管的呼声越来越高。
上周末,参议院银行委员会主席、参议员谢罗德·布朗呼吁加强监管,并留下了封杀加密货币的可能性,虽然他承认“这样做难度很大,因为加密货币会转移到海外,而且谁知道加密货币会如何运转。”
班克曼-弗莱德在巴哈马被捕后,布朗在一份声明中表示:“与证券、大宗商品或银行产品形式和行为类似的任何产品都应该接受服务消费者的负责任的政府部门监管和监督……加密货币不能因为看起来光鲜亮丽就免于监管。”
塞克切蒂认为,一种好的方法是“让加密货币自生自灭”,这是他和纽约大学斯特恩商学院(NYU’s Stern School of Business)教授基姆·舍恩霍尔茨最近在《金融时报》发表的一篇专栏文章中的说法。
他们写道:“在FTX破产之后,当局应该抑制住为加密货币行业创建一个类似的法律和监管框架的迫切心理。更好的做法是放任不管,让加密货币自生自灭。”
他们认为,积极干预会“给目前对金融稳定没有造成威胁的加密货币系统一个官方认可,当加密货币行业不可避免地再次爆发危机时,可能需要公共财政援助。”(财富中文网)
翻译:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
In the wake the FTX collapse, calls to regulate crypto have increased among U.S. lawmakers. But doing so would confer legitimacy to the crypto industry, a prominent economist argued this week, and that in turn could lead to more widespread economic damage.
Stephen Cecchetti, an economist and professor at Brandeis International Business School, pointed to the economy within World of Warcraft, an online video game with millions of players.
“The strongest argument, I think, against regulation is about conferring legitimacy,” he said at a crypto debate hosted by the Brookings Institution.
“I think of a lot of this stuff as being like a video game, and so if I look at an analog, the World of Warcraft has 120 million players, and it has an economy inside of it,” he continued. “Fortunately, no federal financial regulator has responsibility for overseeing the World of Warcraft. And while there’s money involved, I don’t think any of us would call on them to supervise online massive multiplayer games. Like the World of Warcraft, crypto, in my view, does nothing to support the real economy, so legitimizing it is simply going to drain creative resources from productive activities.”
Crypto regulations
Creating regulations specifically for crypto, he argued, would affect how banks approach the sector.
“Legitimizing crypto is going to encourage banks to purchase crypto assets directly and to lend against them as collateral,” he said. “Imagine where we would be if leveraged financial intermediaries had been holding crypto in November of 2021 before the plunge in value.”
Cryptocurrencies have fallen dramatically in value since late last year. Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, has shed more than 60% of its value this year.
If “virtually all of the transactions in the crypto world remain inside of the crypto world without links to the real economy,” Cecchetti said, then it “would be as if this stuff was going on on Mars, and it would leave the traditional financial system unaffected. That should be our goal.”
As for the misbehavior in the industry—the “defining feature of the crypto world,” in his view—prosecutors can address it by “enforcing existing laws aggressively, and, where appropriate, going after the celebrities that are promoting this stuff,” he said.
FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried has been charged with eight criminal counts, including two counts of wire fraud and six counts of conspiracy related to securities and commodities fraud, money laundering, and violations of campaign finance laws.
‘Let crypto burn’
Calls for greater regulation have gained steam in recent weeks following FTX’s epic collapse.
Last weekend, Sen. Sherrod Brown, chair of the Senate banking committee, called for more regulation, and left open the possibility of banning crypto, though he acknowledged it would be “very difficult because it will go offshore and who knows how that will work.”
In a statement following the arrest of Bankman-Fried in the Bahamas, Brown said, “Things that look and behave like securities, commodities, or banking products need to be regulated and supervised by the responsible agencies who serve consumers…Crypto doesn’t get a free pass because it’s bright and shiny.”
Cecchetti believes a good approach would be to “let crypto burn,” as he and Kim Schoenholtz, a professor at NYU’s Stern School of Business, wrote in a recent Financial Times column.
“In the aftermath of the collapse of FTX, authorities should resist the urge to create a parallel legal and regulatory framework for the crypto industry,” they wrote. “It is far better to do nothing, and just let crypto burn.”
Actively intervening, they added, would “provide an official seal of approval to a system that currently poses no threat to financial stability and would lead to calls for public bailouts when crypto inevitably erupts again.”