对全球千万富翁和亿万富翁来说,2022年并不友好。
根据其第17版年度财富报告,房地产咨询公司莱坊(Knight Frank)发现,扣除负债后资产净值至少为3,000万美元的个人的传统混合投资组合在2022年遭受了自20世纪30年代以来最严重的损失。
根据该机构的计算,随着各国央行停止向市场注入流动性,转而开始遏制飙升的通货膨胀率,这些超高净值人士(UHNWIs)的集体财富缩水了十分之一。
从绝对值来看,10.1万亿美元的惊人损失大致相当于德国、英国和法国一年的国内生产总值的总和。
但不要担忧——如今是该出手的时候了,该机构建议。
在今年经济复苏的背景下,全球富人必须透过过热的通胀数据、更严格的借贷条件以及生活成本危机看本质,抓住机遇。
莱坊的全球研究主管利亚姆·贝利说:“投资者不应该只考虑这些风险。随着今年晚些时候利率转向的临近,我们相信市场情绪将迅速转变,投资者需要抢占先机,充分利用全球房地产市场上出现的真正机会。”
根据莱坊的数据,住宅房地产目前被富人和名人视为最理想的投资选择,甚至比黄金还要安全。
这在一定程度上是因为新冠疫情引发了世界上最富有人群对流动性的极度渴望。
报告发现:“13%的超高净值人士计划拿到第二本护照或国籍,这只是冰山一角。所谓的数字游民的热潮才刚刚开始。”
迪拜是全球超级富豪最热门的目的地
平均而言,超高净值人士有三分之二的财富投资于住宅和商业地产,在这两种资产类别之间大致平均分配。2022年,他们平均每人拥有3.7套住房,高于一年前的2.9套。
相比之下,他们只将净资产的四分之一投资于股票,17%投资于债券。其余的投资于私募股权、风险投资、艺术品、老爷车、黄金,甚至还有少量的加密货币。
目前对超级富豪最具吸引力的城市是迪拜。新黄金签证的推出为在迪拜长期居留提供了途径,并导致2022年豪华住宅价格飙升44%,超过世界上任何其他城市。
然而,除了某些炙手可热的奢侈品市场出现萎缩,例如新西兰的惠灵顿和奥克兰,其他超高净值人士都希望过上纸醉金迷的生活,或者至少比以前更频繁地享受荣华富贵。
莱坊的国际销售主管马克·哈维表示:“新冠疫情让人们聚焦如何活在当下。普罗旺斯、托斯卡纳、法国阿尔卑斯山和巴巴多斯等市场一直是我们的热门市场,2022年的咨询量并没有减少。”
与美国的阿斯彭和迈阿密一样,欧洲沿海地区的房价也出现了上涨。
该公司私人办公室的合伙人卡蒂亚·津科维奇说:“近年来,大量年轻富豪涌入葡萄牙,比如在美国科技行业赚得盆满钵满的冲浪者们。”
津科维奇表示,自从意大利延长居留期限以换取一次性单一税以来,该国的优质房地产市场就发生了变化。
“三四年前,在米兰人们对顶层公寓的需求非常小。”她说。“现在几乎不可能找到顶层公寓了。”(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
对全球千万富翁和亿万富翁来说,2022年并不友好。
根据其第17版年度财富报告,房地产咨询公司莱坊(Knight Frank)发现,扣除负债后资产净值至少为3,000万美元的个人的传统混合投资组合在2022年遭受了自20世纪30年代以来最严重的损失。
根据该机构的计算,随着各国央行停止向市场注入流动性,转而开始遏制飙升的通货膨胀率,这些超高净值人士(UHNWIs)的集体财富缩水了十分之一。
从绝对值来看,10.1万亿美元的惊人损失大致相当于德国、英国和法国一年的国内生产总值的总和。
但不要担忧——如今是该出手的时候了,该机构建议。
在今年经济复苏的背景下,全球富人必须透过过热的通胀数据、更严格的借贷条件以及生活成本危机看本质,抓住机遇。
莱坊的全球研究主管利亚姆·贝利说:“投资者不应该只考虑这些风险。随着今年晚些时候利率转向的临近,我们相信市场情绪将迅速转变,投资者需要抢占先机,充分利用全球房地产市场上出现的真正机会。”
根据莱坊的数据,住宅房地产目前被富人和名人视为最理想的投资选择,甚至比黄金还要安全。
这在一定程度上是因为新冠疫情引发了世界上最富有人群对流动性的极度渴望。
报告发现:“13%的超高净值人士计划拿到第二本护照或国籍,这只是冰山一角。所谓的数字游民的热潮才刚刚开始。”
迪拜是全球超级富豪最热门的目的地
平均而言,超高净值人士有三分之二的财富投资于住宅和商业地产,在这两种资产类别之间大致平均分配。2022年,他们平均每人拥有3.7套住房,高于一年前的2.9套。
相比之下,他们只将净资产的四分之一投资于股票,17%投资于债券。其余的投资于私募股权、风险投资、艺术品、老爷车、黄金,甚至还有少量的加密货币。
目前对超级富豪最具吸引力的城市是迪拜。新黄金签证的推出为在迪拜长期居留提供了途径,并导致2022年豪华住宅价格飙升44%,超过世界上任何其他城市。
然而,除了某些炙手可热的奢侈品市场出现萎缩,例如新西兰的惠灵顿和奥克兰,其他超高净值人士都希望过上纸醉金迷的生活,或者至少比以前更频繁地享受荣华富贵。
莱坊的国际销售主管马克·哈维表示:“新冠疫情让人们聚焦如何活在当下。普罗旺斯、托斯卡纳、法国阿尔卑斯山和巴巴多斯等市场一直是我们的热门市场,2022年的咨询量并没有减少。”
与美国的阿斯彭和迈阿密一样,欧洲沿海地区的房价也出现了上涨。
该公司私人办公室的合伙人卡蒂亚·津科维奇说:“近年来,大量年轻富豪涌入葡萄牙,比如在美国科技行业赚得盆满钵满的冲浪者们。”
津科维奇表示,自从意大利延长居留期限以换取一次性单一税以来,该国的优质房地产市场就发生了变化。
“三四年前,在米兰人们对顶层公寓的需求非常小。”她说。“现在几乎不可能找到顶层公寓了。”(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
Last year was not kind to the multimillionaires and billionaires of the world.
According to the 17th edition of its annual wealth report, real estate consultancy Knight Frank found a traditional blended portfolio belonging to individuals with at least $30 million in assets net of liabilities suffered its worst losses last year since the 1930s.
By its calculations, these ultrahigh-net-worth individuals—or UHNWIs—saw a tenth of their collective fortune wiped out as central banks stopped flooding the economy with liquidity and began instead to combat soaring inflation.
In absolute terms, the staggering loss of $10.1 trillion equates roughly to the annual gross domestic product of Germany, the U.K., and France combined.
But fear not—now is the time to be greedy, it advises.
The world’s wealthy must look through red-hot inflation figures, more restrictive borrowing conditions, and a cost-of-living crisis to seize chances as they unfold amid this year’s economic rebound.
“Investors should look beyond these risks,” argued Liam Bailey, global head of research at Knight Frank. “As the interest rate pivot approaches later this year, we believe market sentiment will shift quickly, and investors need to be well placed to take advantage of the very real opportunities emerging across global real estate markets.”
According to Knight Frank, residential real estate is currently viewed as the most desirable choice among the rich and famous when it comes to where they should best invest their money, safer than even gold.
That’s in part because COVID has sparked a massive desire for mobility among the world’s wealthiest.
“The 13% of UHNWIs who are planning to acquire a second passport or citizenship is the tip of the iceberg,” the report found. “The boom in so-called digital nomads is only just starting.”
Dubai is the hottest destination for the world’s ultrawealthy
On average UHNWIs have two-thirds of their fortune tied up in residential and commercial property, split approximately evenly between the two asset classes. On average they each owned 3.7 houses in 2022, up from 2.9 just one year earlier.
By comparison, they only invest about a quarter of their net worth in equities and just 17% in bonds. The remainder is in private equity, venture capital, art, classic cars, gold, and even a small amount in crypto.
The most attractive city for the ultrawealthy at the moment is the emirate of Dubai. The introduction of a new golden visa provides a path to longer-term residence and contributed to residential property prices in the luxury segment soaring 44% last year, more than any other city in the world.
Yet with the exception of certain red-hot luxury markets where the air is currently deflating, such as New Zealand’s Wellington and Auckland, UHNWIs otherwise want to live it up or at least enjoy the fruits of their wealth more often than before.
“The pandemic focused people’s minds on living for today,” argued Mark Harvey, Knight Frank’s head of international sales. “Markets such as Provence, Tuscany, the French Alps, and Barbados have been among our hotspots with no letup in inquiries in 2022.”
Along with Aspen and Miami in the United States, coastal European destinations have seen their property prices jump.
“Portugal has seen a huge influx of younger wealth in recent years—surfers that have earned money in the U.S. tech sector, for example,” said Katya Zenkovich, a partner in the firm’s private office.
According to Zenkovich, Italy’s prime real estate market has been transformed ever since it extended residency in exchange for a one-off flat tax.
“Three or four years ago there was very little demand for penthouses in Milan,” she said. “Now they are virtually impossible to find.”