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美国订婚戒指销量下滑,孤独流行病和疫情导致约会减少

RACHEL SHIN
2023-06-15

新冠疫情加剧了持续50年之久的结婚率下降趋势。

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距离新冠疫苗上市已经过去了21个月,但空气中依旧闻不到爱情的味道。Signet Jewelers公布其销量同比下滑9.3%,周四,该公司股价暴跌10.6%。其CEO吉娜·德罗索斯表示,导致销量下滑的部分原因是疫情所造成的久久无法散去的孤独感。

德罗索斯将公司令人失望的季度业绩归咎于两个因素。首先是消费者面临的经济压力,例如区域性银行倒闭、退税额减少以及“美联储持续不断地号称”要通过加息提高失业率,进而抑制通胀。但第二个因素却与经济无关,而是因为尽管美国联邦政府宣布全国疫情紧急状况已经结束,美国人却依旧无法找到爱人。

德罗索斯对CNBC表示:“我们看到订婚人数出现了暂时性停滞。人们不再约会。三年前,由于疫情防控措施,人们无法约会,我们预测这种状况会持续下去,并在本日历年年底开始反弹。”

疫情期间,Signet的收入下滑,但2021年开始恢复增长。然而,这种反弹的趋势最近开始降温,导致公司的收入较去年同季度下降了9.2%。

另外一个代表麻烦来临的迹象是,周四公司将2024年的销售额预测从76.7亿至78.4亿美元下调至71亿至73亿美元,原因是疫情导致约会减少和消费者日益节俭。

在经历过一连串令人失望的消息后,Signet的股价在周三下跌近12%,创下自9月以来的最大跌幅,而在本文发表的日期又进一步下跌。

Signet旗下包括Zales和Kay Jewelers等品牌,它并非唯一一家目前经历困境的婚庆零售商。4月,美国最大的婚庆公司David’s Bridal申请破产。

美国公共卫生局5月的报告显示,孤独感和隔离最近达到了流行病的程度,这种状况均与过早死亡有关。这份82页的研究报告称,尤其是年轻人变得比以往更加孤立,与二十年前相比,年轻人的社交互动减少了70%。报告还警告孤独对身体的影响,包括增加智力衰退、中风和传染病风险。

卫生局局长维瓦克·默希上个月在NPR上表示:“对于人们目前所遭遇的痛苦,很难用金钱来衡量。”

经历过隔离、戴口罩和远程办公与远程学习之后,许多人感觉他们需要重新学习如何社交。约会应用Hinge的人际关系学总监洛根·尤里用一个词来形容约会方面出现的这种现象:FODA,即再次恐惧约会。

心理学家贾斯汀·普德尔对《财富》杂志表示:“人类是受习惯支配的生物。因此,我们被迫隔离了这么长时间,并被告知要警惕在我们的生活半径以外的其他人,这会变成我们的习惯,并产生长期影响。因此当你开始走出家门,与陌生人约会时,你会产生某种程度的忧虑,这是可以理解的。”

普德尔还表示,新冠疫情期间的封锁措施使许多人转向了在线交往和约会模式,虽然约会应用使“配对”变得更容易,但如果人们需要通过面对面互动建立亲密关系,约会应用反而会增加约会的难度。

新冠疫情加剧了持续50年之久的结婚率下降趋势。自上世纪70年代以来,随着年轻人开始放弃建立传统的婚姻关系,结婚率下降了近60%。普德尔表示,这可能是由于财务压力,因为年轻人发现维持生计变得越来越难。订婚戒指价格昂贵,而且即使是准备结婚的情侣可能也不准备花费数千美元购买一件首饰。作为千禧一代的普德尔表示,他的许多同龄人无力买房,因此婚姻的成本通常也令他们难以承受。

普德尔表示:“虽然戒指和房子等许多物品并非结婚必不可少的条件,但人们在结婚时可能都会做好这些准备,可人们很难获得买戒指或买房的资金。当你在思考‘我是否已经做好结婚准备’的时候,这些压力因素都会左右你的选择。”

虽然不确定哪些因素导致了持续存在的孤独流行病和约会困难,美国公共卫生局的报告建议,限制“把过多时间用在屏幕前,而不是与人交往。”普德尔也认同这条建议。他表示,人们应该尽量增加人际互动,多与朋友在一起,或者加入基于共同兴趣的社区。(财富中文网)

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

距离新冠疫苗上市已经过去了21个月,但空气中依旧闻不到爱情的味道。Signet Jewelers公布其销量同比下滑9.3%,周四,该公司股价暴跌10.6%。其CEO吉娜·德罗索斯表示,导致销量下滑的部分原因是疫情所造成的久久无法散去的孤独感。

德罗索斯将公司令人失望的季度业绩归咎于两个因素。首先是消费者面临的经济压力,例如区域性银行倒闭、退税额减少以及“美联储持续不断地号称”要通过加息提高失业率,进而抑制通胀。但第二个因素却与经济无关,而是因为尽管美国联邦政府宣布全国疫情紧急状况已经结束,美国人却依旧无法找到爱人。

德罗索斯对CNBC表示:“我们看到订婚人数出现了暂时性停滞。人们不再约会。三年前,由于疫情防控措施,人们无法约会,我们预测这种状况会持续下去,并在本日历年年底开始反弹。”

疫情期间,Signet的收入下滑,但2021年开始恢复增长。然而,这种反弹的趋势最近开始降温,导致公司的收入较去年同季度下降了9.2%。

另外一个代表麻烦来临的迹象是,周四公司将2024年的销售额预测从76.7亿至78.4亿美元下调至71亿至73亿美元,原因是疫情导致约会减少和消费者日益节俭。

在经历过一连串令人失望的消息后,Signet的股价在周三下跌近12%,创下自9月以来的最大跌幅,而在本文发表的日期又进一步下跌。

Signet旗下包括Zales和Kay Jewelers等品牌,它并非唯一一家目前经历困境的婚庆零售商。4月,美国最大的婚庆公司David’s Bridal申请破产。

美国公共卫生局5月的报告显示,孤独感和隔离最近达到了流行病的程度,这种状况均与过早死亡有关。这份82页的研究报告称,尤其是年轻人变得比以往更加孤立,与二十年前相比,年轻人的社交互动减少了70%。报告还警告孤独对身体的影响,包括增加智力衰退、中风和传染病风险。

卫生局局长维瓦克·默希上个月在NPR上表示:“对于人们目前所遭遇的痛苦,很难用金钱来衡量。”

经历过隔离、戴口罩和远程办公与远程学习之后,许多人感觉他们需要重新学习如何社交。约会应用Hinge的人际关系学总监洛根·尤里用一个词来形容约会方面出现的这种现象:FODA,即再次恐惧约会。

心理学家贾斯汀·普德尔对《财富》杂志表示:“人类是受习惯支配的生物。因此,我们被迫隔离了这么长时间,并被告知要警惕在我们的生活半径以外的其他人,这会变成我们的习惯,并产生长期影响。因此当你开始走出家门,与陌生人约会时,你会产生某种程度的忧虑,这是可以理解的。”

普德尔还表示,新冠疫情期间的封锁措施使许多人转向了在线交往和约会模式,虽然约会应用使“配对”变得更容易,但如果人们需要通过面对面互动建立亲密关系,约会应用反而会增加约会的难度。

新冠疫情加剧了持续50年之久的结婚率下降趋势。自上世纪70年代以来,随着年轻人开始放弃建立传统的婚姻关系,结婚率下降了近60%。普德尔表示,这可能是由于财务压力,因为年轻人发现维持生计变得越来越难。订婚戒指价格昂贵,而且即使是准备结婚的情侣可能也不准备花费数千美元购买一件首饰。作为千禧一代的普德尔表示,他的许多同龄人无力买房,因此婚姻的成本通常也令他们难以承受。

普德尔表示:“虽然戒指和房子等许多物品并非结婚必不可少的条件,但人们在结婚时可能都会做好这些准备,可人们很难获得买戒指或买房的资金。当你在思考‘我是否已经做好结婚准备’的时候,这些压力因素都会左右你的选择。”

虽然不确定哪些因素导致了持续存在的孤独流行病和约会困难,美国公共卫生局的报告建议,限制“把过多时间用在屏幕前,而不是与人交往。”普德尔也认同这条建议。他表示,人们应该尽量增加人际互动,多与朋友在一起,或者加入基于共同兴趣的社区。(财富中文网)

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

It’s been 21 months since the COVID vaccine debuted, and love still isn’t in the air. Signet Jewelers stock slid 10.6% on Thursday after the company reported a 9.3% year-over-year decline in sales, and CEO Gina Drosos says lingering loneliness owing to the pandemic is partly to blame.

Drosos attributed the company’s disappointing quarter to two factors. The first are economic pressures on consumers such as regional bank failures, lower tax refunds, and a “continued narrative from the Fed” of reining in inflation by pushing unemployment higher through interest rate hikes. But the second factor isn’t economic—it’s that Americans are still struggling to find love despite the federal government declaring the national pandemic emergency over.

“We’re seeing a temporary lull in engagements,” Drosos said on CNBC. “People weren’t dating, they weren’t able to with the COVID lockdowns about three years ago, and so that’s a lull that we expect to continue, but really start to rebound toward the end of the calendar year.”

Signet’s revenue declined during the pandemic, but began to rise again in 2021. However, the rebound has recently cooled, causing revenue to fall 9.2% since this quarter last year.

In another sign of trouble, the company on Thursday slashed its 2024 sales forecast from $7.67 billion to $7.84 billion to $7.1 billion to $7.3 billion, citing the COVID dating dry spell and increasingly frugal consumers.

After the string of disappointing news, Signet’s shares fell nearly 12% on Wednesday, the most since September, followed by more losses today.

Signet, which owns Zales and Kay Jewelers, is not the only bridal retailer experiencing difficulty. In April, David’s Bridal, the largest bridal firm in the U.S., filed for bankruptcy.

Loneliness and isolation, lately reaching epidemic levels, are linked to premature death, a May report from the surgeon general found. The 82-page study revealed that young people in particular are more isolated than ever—socially interacting 70% less than two decades ago. The report also warned of the physical consequences of loneliness, including increased risk of dementia, stroke, and infectious disease.

“It’s hard to put a price tag, if you will, on the amount of human suffering that people are experiencing right now,” Dr. Vivek Murthy, the surgeon general, said last month on NPR.

After quarantine, masking, and remote work and learning, many people felt like they had to relearn how to navigate social life. Logan Ury, director of relationship science at dating app Hinge, applied this phenomenon to dating with the term FODA: fear of dating again.

“We’re creatures of habit, so when we had to isolate for so long, and we were told to be wary of other people who are not in our bubble, that sticks with us and has a lasting impact,” psychologist Justin Puder told Fortune. “So when you’re going out and dating people you don’t know, I can understand people having some apprehension.”

Puder added that COVID lockdowns caused many people to transition to online modes of connection and dating, and that while dating apps make it easier to “match” with people than ever, it can make dating harder when the relationship has to migrate to in-person interaction.

The pandemic exacerbated an existing 50-year trend in marriage decline. Since the 1970s, the marriage rate has dropped nearly 60% as younger generations forgo tying the traditional knot. Puder said that this may be caused by financial pressures, as younger generations are finding it harder to make ends meet. Engagement rings are expensive, and even couples ready to marry may not be ready to spend thousands on a piece of jewelry. Puder, who is a millennial, said that many people of his generation struggle just to afford housing, so marriage is often unaffordable, too.

“Financing for the ring, financing to buy property, many things that don’t have to but might go along with marriage, are hard to acquire,” Puder said. “All these stressors weigh on you when you’re trying to make the choice of ‘Am I at a place right now to be married?’”

While it’s uncertain which combination of factors has perpetuated the loneliness epidemic and dating difficulty, the surgeon general’s report recommended limiting “disproportionate time in front of screens instead of people.” Puder echoed this suggestion, saying that people should increase their in-person interactions as much as possible by spending time with friends or joining interest-based communities.

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