伯克希尔-哈撒韦(Berkshire Hathaway)增加对日本规模最大的五家贸易商行的投资之后,沃伦·巴菲特最近看好的股票,本周再次大涨。
伯克希尔-哈撒韦在本文发稿当日确认,公司在伊藤忠商事(Itochu)、丸红商事(Marubeni)、三菱(Mitsubishi)、三井(Mitsui)和住友商事(Sumitomo)的持股大涨,平均涨幅高达至少8.5%。
该投资公司还披露,这些股份的总价值现在使日本成为伯克希尔-哈撒韦仅次于美国的第二大投资目的地。
巴菲特在2020年开始投资日本贸易商行(又被称为“综合商社”),之后不断加深其与日本的联系,他还在今年早些时候访问了日本。
在访问期间,这位“奥马哈先知”在东京四季酒店(Four Seasons Hotel)与五家公司的老板们进行了座谈,有内部人士透露,谈话的核心是这些综合商社放弃大宗商品贸易。
在此次会面之前,巴菲特明确表示,他希望如果这些公司计划融资,能将他作为首选。他对日经亚洲表示:“我们希望这五家贸易商行能找到我们说,‘我们正在考虑一些大动作,或者我们计划进行某笔收购,希望找一家合作伙伴’,或者向我们提出类似的要求。”
据彭博亿万富翁指数(Billionaires Index)显示,这位经验丰富的投资者个人身家高达1,180亿美元。现在,巴菲特加大了对这些日本商行的投资,本周,伯克希尔-哈撒韦在五家商行的持股比例超过了他们之前设定的7.4%的比例上限。
巴菲特之前曾经自行设定了在这五个品牌的投资上限,他曾表示持股比例最高不超过9.9%。
新闻稿称:“除非获得被投资方的董事会批准,否则公司不会进行超过这一比例的投资。”
尽管伯克希尔-哈撒韦目前在日本仅持有五家贸易商行的股份,但这个上限是否仅限于五家贸易商行,还是所有日本股票,目前仍是个未知数。
伯克希尔-哈撒韦繁荣
巴菲特光环的加持之下,这些综合商社受益匪浅。
伯克希尔-哈撒韦宣布将在这五家综合商社的持股比例从6%提高到7.4%几天之后,海外投资者纷纷跟进,在截至4月14日的五天内买入了价值78.3亿美元的日本公司股票。
在该公司公布最新决定之后,6月19日,一些股票再次上涨。
三井股价当天上涨了0.31%,尤其是在伯克希尔-哈撒韦公布增加投资的决定后的下午交易时段大幅上涨,三菱股价上涨0.25%,丸红商事股价上涨了0.22%。
当天伊藤忠商事股价却下跌了0.57%,住友商事股价下跌了0.52%,但这两家公司的股价今年已经分别上涨了39.6%和41%,因此这种跌幅微不足道。
五家商行的股价接近历史最高。
Markets Insider在5月对伯克希尔-哈撒韦日本资产的估值为150亿美元,而在2020年,巴菲特首次投资日本资产时的估值为60亿美元。
在本周的消息公布后,这些资产的估值肯定会继续上涨,但并非所有人都认为日本一定会成为赢家。
过早乐观?
最近美国银行(Bank of America)的分析师报告称,“买入日本”的呼声可能为时尚早。美国银行也是巴菲特最有价值的投资之一。
5月,投资策略师山田修介和托尼·林表示:“2023年,尽管日本资产价格较低,但我们依旧不看好日本,原因是日本持续缺少外商直接投资和日元套利贸易可能增加。”
两位策略师建议了一种长期策略,伯克希尔-哈撒韦的团队证实他们正在采用这种策略,称公司计划长期持有对日本商社的投资。
对日本的关注使伯克希尔-哈撒韦减少了对中国台湾的投资。
在5月的年度股东大会上,巴菲特虽然称赞台积电是一家“了不起的公司”,但他表示:“比起中国台湾,我感觉投资日本是更好的选择。这是事实,而且我根据当前的现状进行了重新评估。”
一周后,伯克希尔-哈撒韦宣布出售在台积电的所有股份,退出六个月前才宣布的对台积电的投资。(财富中文网)
翻译:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
伯克希尔-哈撒韦(Berkshire Hathaway)增加对日本规模最大的五家贸易商行的投资之后,沃伦·巴菲特最近看好的股票,本周再次大涨。
伯克希尔-哈撒韦在本文发稿当日确认,公司在伊藤忠商事(Itochu)、丸红商事(Marubeni)、三菱(Mitsubishi)、三井(Mitsui)和住友商事(Sumitomo)的持股大涨,平均涨幅高达至少8.5%。
该投资公司还披露,这些股份的总价值现在使日本成为伯克希尔-哈撒韦仅次于美国的第二大投资目的地。
巴菲特在2020年开始投资日本贸易商行(又被称为“综合商社”),之后不断加深其与日本的联系,他还在今年早些时候访问了日本。
在访问期间,这位“奥马哈先知”在东京四季酒店(Four Seasons Hotel)与五家公司的老板们进行了座谈,有内部人士透露,谈话的核心是这些综合商社放弃大宗商品贸易。
在此次会面之前,巴菲特明确表示,他希望如果这些公司计划融资,能将他作为首选。他对日经亚洲表示:“我们希望这五家贸易商行能找到我们说,‘我们正在考虑一些大动作,或者我们计划进行某笔收购,希望找一家合作伙伴’,或者向我们提出类似的要求。”
据彭博亿万富翁指数(Billionaires Index)显示,这位经验丰富的投资者个人身家高达1,180亿美元。现在,巴菲特加大了对这些日本商行的投资,本周,伯克希尔-哈撒韦在五家商行的持股比例超过了他们之前设定的7.4%的比例上限。
巴菲特之前曾经自行设定了在这五个品牌的投资上限,他曾表示持股比例最高不超过9.9%。
新闻稿称:“除非获得被投资方的董事会批准,否则公司不会进行超过这一比例的投资。”
尽管伯克希尔-哈撒韦目前在日本仅持有五家贸易商行的股份,但这个上限是否仅限于五家贸易商行,还是所有日本股票,目前仍是个未知数。
伯克希尔-哈撒韦繁荣
巴菲特光环的加持之下,这些综合商社受益匪浅。
伯克希尔-哈撒韦宣布将在这五家综合商社的持股比例从6%提高到7.4%几天之后,海外投资者纷纷跟进,在截至4月14日的五天内买入了价值78.3亿美元的日本公司股票。
在该公司公布最新决定之后,6月19日,一些股票再次上涨。
三井股价当天上涨了0.31%,尤其是在伯克希尔-哈撒韦公布增加投资的决定后的下午交易时段大幅上涨,三菱股价上涨0.25%,丸红商事股价上涨了0.22%。
当天伊藤忠商事股价却下跌了0.57%,住友商事股价下跌了0.52%,但这两家公司的股价今年已经分别上涨了39.6%和41%,因此这种跌幅微不足道。
五家商行的股价接近历史最高。
Markets Insider在5月对伯克希尔-哈撒韦日本资产的估值为150亿美元,而在2020年,巴菲特首次投资日本资产时的估值为60亿美元。
在本周的消息公布后,这些资产的估值肯定会继续上涨,但并非所有人都认为日本一定会成为赢家。
过早乐观?
最近美国银行(Bank of America)的分析师报告称,“买入日本”的呼声可能为时尚早。美国银行也是巴菲特最有价值的投资之一。
5月,投资策略师山田修介和托尼·林表示:“2023年,尽管日本资产价格较低,但我们依旧不看好日本,原因是日本持续缺少外商直接投资和日元套利贸易可能增加。”
两位策略师建议了一种长期策略,伯克希尔-哈撒韦的团队证实他们正在采用这种策略,称公司计划长期持有对日本商社的投资。
对日本的关注使伯克希尔-哈撒韦减少了对中国台湾的投资。
在5月的年度股东大会上,巴菲特虽然称赞台积电是一家“了不起的公司”,但他表示:“比起中国台湾,我感觉投资日本是更好的选择。这是事实,而且我根据当前的现状进行了重新评估。”
一周后,伯克希尔-哈撒韦宣布出售在台积电的所有股份,退出六个月前才宣布的对台积电的投资。(财富中文网)
翻译:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
Warren Buffett’s new favorite stocks have had another boost this week after Berkshire Hathaway upped its investment in Japan’s five biggest trading houses.
Berkshire Hathaway’s stakes in Itochu, Marubeni, Mitsubishi, Mitsui and Sumitomo have now increased—on average—to at least 8.5%, the company confirmed today.
The investment firm also revealed that the aggregate value of these stakes now puts Japan as Berkshire’s second-largest geography—coming in behind the U.S.
Buffett began investing in Japan’s trading houses—known as sogo shosha—in 2020 and since then has been strengthening his ties to the nation, as well as visiting the country earlier this year.
During that trip, the Oracle of Omaha sat down with bosses of the five companies at the Four Seasons Hotel in Tokyo, with insiders saying the conversation centered around the sogo shosha’s move away from commodities.
Ahead of these meetings, Buffett had made it clear he wanted to be the first port of call if the firms were looking to raise funds, telling Nikkei Asia: “We would love if any of the five would come to us ever and say, ‘We’re thinking of doing something very big, or we’re about to buy something and we would like a partner’, or whatever.”
The seasoned investor—reportedly worth $118 billion according to Bloomberg’s Billionaires Index—has now doubled down on his investments, with Berkshire’s stakes increasing this week from the 7.4% they sat at previously.
Buffett has previously set a self-imposed ceiling of how much he’s willing to sink into the five brands, saying the maximum stake he will hold is 9.9%.
The release adds: “The company will make no purchases beyond that point unless given specific approval by the investee’s board of directors.”
Whether or not this cut-off is limited to the five companies in question, or Japanese stock as a whole, remains to be seen—though Berkshire currently holds no other investments in the country.
Berkshire boom
The sogo shosha have enjoyed basking in the light of Buffett’s attention.
In the days following the announcement that Berkshire had upped its stakes from 6% to 7.4% overseas investors piled in, buying $7.83 billion in Japanese stocks during five days of trading through April 14.
Some of the stocks got another boost on June 19 following the latest announcement.
Mitsui was up 0.31% over the course of the day with a particular surge in afternoon trading after Berkshire’s announcement, Mitsubishi was up 0.25% while Marubeni was up 0.22%.
Conversely Itochu was down 0.57% and Sumitomo was down 0.52% over the course of the day—though this is a fraction compared to the increases they have enjoyed this year alone, up 39.6% and 41% respectively.
The shares in the five firms are near their all-time highs.
Markets Insider placed a valuation of $15 billion on Berkshire’s Japanese assets in May, up from the $6 billion bet Buffett first made back in 2020.
Given this week’s announcement, that top line is sure to swell further, though not everyone is convinced that Japan is a sure winner.
Premature optimism?
A recent note from analysts at Banks of America—another of Buffett’s most prized investments— said the “buy Japan” call may be “premature”.
In May strategists Shusuke Yamada and Tony Lin said: “We remain bearish on JPY in 2023 despite its cheapness for two reasons—a persistent foreign direct investment (FDI) deficit and a potential rise of yen-carry trade.”
The pair suggested a longer-term strategy which is a tactic the team at Berkshire have confirmed they are using, saying the company intends to hold the investments over the long term.
The focus on Japan has also drawn Berkshire away from Taiwan.
Despite praising TSMC, calling it a “fantastic enterprise”, Buffett told the company’s annual shareholder meeting in May: “I feel better about the capital that we’ve got deployed in Japan than in Taiwan. That is the reality, and I’ve reevaluated that in the light of certain things that have been going on.”
A week later, Berkshire Hathaway revealed that it had sold its entire remaining stake in the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, exiting an investment the company had disclosed just six months earlier.