皮尤研究中心(Pew Research Center)最近发布的一篇报告显示,40多岁的美国人当中居然有四分之一从未结婚。
这并不意味着未婚者正在未婚同居。皮尤研究中心上周发布的对2022年美国人口普查局(Census Bureau)数据的分析显示,只有22%的未婚者目前与伴侣同居。
美国中年人不婚的趋势已经存在了数十年。在20世纪的前十年,只有约16%的40多岁美国人从未结过婚。之后这个比例短期内有所下降,在战后大幅下降,20世纪60年代至80年代跌至约6%的低点。但皮尤研究中心称,在2010年,40多岁未婚美国人的比例开始大幅增长到20%,2021年再次增长5%至25%。
这个比例创下了40多岁未婚者的最高纪录。而且大多数40多岁的未婚者并未未婚同居,这意味着家庭结构的形态正在发生变化。
与父辈相比,40多岁的千禧一代一直对结婚生子缺乏热情,或者至少会推迟结婚生子,而是将事业和财务放在首位。千禧一代步入中年之前经历了两次经济衰退,毕业后的就业市场不理想,他们背负着沉重的学生贷款负债,还遭遇了住房可负担性危机,这些因素均无助于提高千禧一代结婚生子的热情。
人们推迟成家的时间或者选择单身,是影响国家生育率的因素之一。数十年来,美国的生育率持续下降。皮尤慈善信托基金会(Pew Charitable Trusts)最近的一份报告显示,自从大衰退(Great Recession)以来,美国的生育率始终未能实现反弹,在2020年更是创历史新低。
但皮尤的分析发现,40多岁的千禧一代不婚的可能性高于其他群体。皮尤的分析包括男性与女性的对比;非裔美国人与拉美裔美国人、白人和亚裔的对比;以及无大学学位者与大学毕业生的对比等。
40多岁年龄段中未婚比例最大的群体仅持有高中或高中以下学历(33%)。略高于四分之一持有副学士学位或曾就读于大学但未能毕业。不到五分之一持有学士或更高学位。
皮尤的高级研究员理查德·弗赖伊最近在一篇博客中表示,按照历史趋势,约四分之一40多岁年龄段的未婚者未来依旧可能结婚。
但2021年皮尤对美国人口普查局数据的分析显示,越来越多的美国人放弃结婚和未婚同居。2019年,25岁至54岁的成年人约有40%从未结婚或与伴侣同居,在1990年这个比例只有29%。
这个统计数据可能产生巨大的经济影响。未婚的成年人通常收入低于有伴侣的成年人,更有可能失业,取得学业成就的可能性更低,而且健康结果更差。(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
皮尤研究中心(Pew Research Center)最近发布的一篇报告显示,40多岁的美国人当中居然有四分之一从未结婚。
这并不意味着未婚者正在未婚同居。皮尤研究中心上周发布的对2022年美国人口普查局(Census Bureau)数据的分析显示,只有22%的未婚者目前与伴侣同居。
美国中年人不婚的趋势已经存在了数十年。在20世纪的前十年,只有约16%的40多岁美国人从未结过婚。之后这个比例短期内有所下降,在战后大幅下降,20世纪60年代至80年代跌至约6%的低点。但皮尤研究中心称,在2010年,40多岁未婚美国人的比例开始大幅增长到20%,2021年再次增长5%至25%。
这个比例创下了40多岁未婚者的最高纪录。而且大多数40多岁的未婚者并未未婚同居,这意味着家庭结构的形态正在发生变化。
与父辈相比,40多岁的千禧一代一直对结婚生子缺乏热情,或者至少会推迟结婚生子,而是将事业和财务放在首位。千禧一代步入中年之前经历了两次经济衰退,毕业后的就业市场不理想,他们背负着沉重的学生贷款负债,还遭遇了住房可负担性危机,这些因素均无助于提高千禧一代结婚生子的热情。
人们推迟成家的时间或者选择单身,是影响国家生育率的因素之一。数十年来,美国的生育率持续下降。皮尤慈善信托基金会(Pew Charitable Trusts)最近的一份报告显示,自从大衰退(Great Recession)以来,美国的生育率始终未能实现反弹,在2020年更是创历史新低。
但皮尤的分析发现,40多岁的千禧一代不婚的可能性高于其他群体。皮尤的分析包括男性与女性的对比;非裔美国人与拉美裔美国人、白人和亚裔的对比;以及无大学学位者与大学毕业生的对比等。
40多岁年龄段中未婚比例最大的群体仅持有高中或高中以下学历(33%)。略高于四分之一持有副学士学位或曾就读于大学但未能毕业。不到五分之一持有学士或更高学位。
皮尤的高级研究员理查德·弗赖伊最近在一篇博客中表示,按照历史趋势,约四分之一40多岁年龄段的未婚者未来依旧可能结婚。
但2021年皮尤对美国人口普查局数据的分析显示,越来越多的美国人放弃结婚和未婚同居。2019年,25岁至54岁的成年人约有40%从未结婚或与伴侣同居,在1990年这个比例只有29%。
这个统计数据可能产生巨大的经济影响。未婚的成年人通常收入低于有伴侣的成年人,更有可能失业,取得学业成就的可能性更低,而且健康结果更差。(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
A whopping quarter of American 40-year-olds have never been married—an all-time high, according to a recent Pew Research Center report.
It’s not as if the unwed are cohabitating instead. A mere 22% are living with a romantic partner, according to the center’s analysis of 2022 Census Bureau data, released last week.
The trend of never-been-married mid-aged Americans has been decades in the making. For the first decade of the 20th century, only around 16% of 40-year-olds had never married. That rate began dropping shortly thereafter and fell dramatically during the postwar years—to a low of around 6% in the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s. But in 2010 the rate of unmarried 40-year-olds then began a dramatic upward ascent to 20%, and up another 5% to 25% in 2021, according to Pew.
That a record number of the country’s 40-year-olds aren’t married—and that most unmarried 40-year-olds aren’t cohabitating—signifies shifting norms in family formations.
Millennials—the 40-year-olds in question—have historically been less enthusiastic about marriage and childbearing than their parents, or have at least delayed the milestones while they prioritize their careers and their finances. Two recessions before midlife, a subpar job market postgraduation, massive student loan debt, and a housing affordability crisis certainly haven’t helped matters.
Waiting until later in life to form a family, or merely choosing singledom, is one factor of many affecting the country’s fertility rate, which has been on the decline for several decades. It never rebounded after the Great Recession and hit a record low in 2020, according to a recent report from Pew Charitable Trusts.
But some 40-year-olds were more likely to have never married than their peers, Pew’s analysis found. That includes men compared to women; Black Americans compared to Hispanics, whites, and Asians; and nondegree holders compared to those who graduated from college.
The largest percent of unmarried 40-year-olds held only a high school diploma or less (33%). A little over a quarter held an associate’s degree or had attended some college, but hadn’t graduated. Less than a fifth held a bachelor’s degree or higher.
Wedding bells should still be in the future for about a quarter of unmarried 40-year-olds if historical trends hold, Pew’s Richard Fry, a senior researcher with the organization, noted in a recent blog entry.
But a rising percentage of Americans are forgoing marriage—and cohabitation, too, according to a 2021 Pew analysis of Census data. In 2019, roughly 40% of adults ages 25 to 54 were neither married nor living with a partner—up from 29% in 1990.
It’s a statistic with potentially significant economic implications. Unmarried adults typically earn less than partnered adults, are more likely to be unemployed, are less likely to attain educational milestones, and fare worse when it comes to health outcomes.