在今年5月的年度峰会上,由包括美国在内的发达经济体组成的七国集团(G7)首次提出一种全新的对华策略。他们希望以此暗示,西方只是打算减少对世界第二大经济体的依赖,而不会寻求在更大范围内限制中国。
但淡马锡控股(Temasek Holdings)的首席执行官认为,这两个词并没有太大区别。这家新加坡国有投资巨头正在小心翼翼地应对日益恶化的中美关系。
日前在出席阿布扎比《财富》全球论坛(11月27-29日)的先导晚宴时,新加坡淡马锡控股的首席执行官狄澜(Dilhan Pillay Sandrasegara)表示,去风险与脱钩“相互重叠”,因此两者的区别“在某些方面只是语义上的。”
狄澜自2021年10月起出任淡马锡首席执行官;他此前是这家国有投资机构国际部门的负责人。淡马锡控股是新加坡的国有投资公司,在管理投资组合方面比大多数主权财富基金更为激进。截至3月31日终结的财年,其投资组合价值2880亿美元。
在中国实行严格的防疫措施,并加大对私营部门的监管力度之后,对中国“去风险”这一说法在过去一年开始升温。许多企业正在尝试着通过分散供应链,或者投资其他新兴市场等方式来减少对中国的风险敞口。投资者对中国心存疑虑的另一个原因是美国及其盟国实施的新规定,其中包括可能禁止美国实体投资那些涉足半导体和量子计算等领域的中国公司。
与此同时,发达经济体正在利用补贴,比如拜登政府的《2022年通胀削减法案》(Inflation Reduction Act),将国内制造商转移到中国以外的生产中心。
狄澜警告说,随着发达国家更加注重“复原力和安全性”,投资者和消费者将面临“一个更加昂贵的世界”。
“我并不认为‘复原力’和‘安全性’这两个词与低成本有什么联系。”他说,“这是一份保单,你需要支付保费。”
近些年来,淡马锡逐渐缩减了在中国的投资,对华投资比重从2011年的26%降至目前的22%。与此同时,淡马锡在美洲和欧洲、中东和非洲地区(主要是美国和欧洲)的合计投资比重从11%增至33%。
最近这段时日,这家新加坡国有投资巨头对投资中国一直持谨慎态度。在7月举行的淡马锡年度简报会上,首席投资策略师罗锡德(Rohit Sipahimalani)表示,该公司“不会投资很可能受到中美紧张关系影响的领域。”淡马锡中国总裁最近对财新网表示,淡马锡也不会在中国涉足如火如荼的生成式人工智能领域。
淡马锡刚刚在7月份公布了自2016年以来最糟糕的业绩:在截至3月31日的财年中,股东的年度回报率为负5%;投资组合净值从前一年的3040亿美元降至2880亿美元。此外,其投资组合也包括一些备受瞩目的失败案例,比如电子商务初创公司Zilingo和加密交易所FTX。
淡马锡持有的股权中约53%为未上市股份,高于2011年的约20%。这位淡马锡首席执行官说,如果淡马锡根据市场情况对其私人持股进行估值,其投资组合的价值将增加约180亿新元(约合136亿美元)。(财富中文网)
译者:Biz
与中国“脱钩”已经过时;对华“去风险”蔚然成风。
在今年5月的年度峰会上,由包括美国在内的发达经济体组成的七国集团(G7)首次提出一种全新的对华策略。他们希望以此暗示,西方只是打算减少对世界第二大经济体的依赖,而不会寻求在更大范围内限制中国。
但淡马锡控股(Temasek Holdings)的首席执行官认为,这两个词并没有太大区别。这家新加坡国有投资巨头正在小心翼翼地应对日益恶化的中美关系。
日前在出席阿布扎比《财富》全球论坛(11月27-29日)的先导晚宴时,新加坡淡马锡控股的首席执行官狄澜(Dilhan Pillay Sandrasegara)表示,去风险与脱钩“相互重叠”,因此两者的区别“在某些方面只是语义上的。”
狄澜自2021年10月起出任淡马锡首席执行官;他此前是这家国有投资机构国际部门的负责人。淡马锡控股是新加坡的国有投资公司,在管理投资组合方面比大多数主权财富基金更为激进。截至3月31日终结的财年,其投资组合价值2880亿美元。
在中国实行严格的防疫措施,并加大对私营部门的监管力度之后,对中国“去风险”这一说法在过去一年开始升温。许多企业正在尝试着通过分散供应链,或者投资其他新兴市场等方式来减少对中国的风险敞口。投资者对中国心存疑虑的另一个原因是美国及其盟国实施的新规定,其中包括可能禁止美国实体投资那些涉足半导体和量子计算等领域的中国公司。
与此同时,发达经济体正在利用补贴,比如拜登政府的《2022年通胀削减法案》(Inflation Reduction Act),将国内制造商转移到中国以外的生产中心。
狄澜警告说,随着发达国家更加注重“复原力和安全性”,投资者和消费者将面临“一个更加昂贵的世界”。
“我并不认为‘复原力’和‘安全性’这两个词与低成本有什么联系。”他说,“这是一份保单,你需要支付保费。”
近些年来,淡马锡逐渐缩减了在中国的投资,对华投资比重从2011年的26%降至目前的22%。与此同时,淡马锡在美洲和欧洲、中东和非洲地区(主要是美国和欧洲)的合计投资比重从11%增至33%。
最近这段时日,这家新加坡国有投资巨头对投资中国一直持谨慎态度。在7月举行的淡马锡年度简报会上,首席投资策略师罗锡德(Rohit Sipahimalani)表示,该公司“不会投资很可能受到中美紧张关系影响的领域。”淡马锡中国总裁最近对财新网表示,淡马锡也不会在中国涉足如火如荼的生成式人工智能领域。
淡马锡刚刚在7月份公布了自2016年以来最糟糕的业绩:在截至3月31日的财年中,股东的年度回报率为负5%;投资组合净值从前一年的3040亿美元降至2880亿美元。此外,其投资组合也包括一些备受瞩目的失败案例,比如电子商务初创公司Zilingo和加密交易所FTX。
淡马锡持有的股权中约53%为未上市股份,高于2011年的约20%。这位淡马锡首席执行官说,如果淡马锡根据市场情况对其私人持股进行估值,其投资组合的价值将增加约180亿新元(约合136亿美元)。(财富中文网)
译者:Biz
Decoupling from China is out; “de-risking” from China is in.
The G7, the collection of rich economies including the U.S., debuted a new approach toward China at the group’s annual summit in May, hoping to imply that the West was merely interested in reducing its dependence on the world’s second-largest economy, rather than trying to constrain Beijing more broadly.
But the CEO of Temasek Holdings, the Singaporean state-owned investor trying to navigate worsening tensions between Beijing and Washington, doesn’t see the two terms as all that different.
De-risking “overlaps” with decoupling, and so the difference “is just semantics, in some respects,” Dilhan Pillay Sandrasegara, CEO of Singapore-based Temasek Holdings, said on Tuesday in Singapore at a dinner leading up to the Fortune Global Forum in Abu Dhabi, Nov. 27–29.
Pillay has served as CEO of Temasek since October 2021; he was previously head of the state-owned investor’s international division. Temasek Holdings is Singapore’s state-owned investment company and is more active in managing its portfolio than most sovereign wealth funds. The company’s portfolio was worth $288 billion as of March 31, the end of its fiscal year.
The idea of “de-risking” from China has picked up steam over the past year, following Beijing’s tough pandemic controls and its crackdown on the private sector. Companies are trying to reduce their exposure to China by either diversifying supply chains or investing in other emerging markets. Investors are also timid toward China owing to new rules imposed by the U.S. and its allies, including a possible ban on U.S. entities investing in Chinese companies that operate in areas like semiconductors and quantum computing.
Meanwhile, rich economies are using subsidies, such as the Biden administration’s Inflation Reduction Act, to reshore domestic manufacturers looking for production hubs beyond China.
With the developed world more focused on “resilience and security,” Pillay warned, investors and consumers will now face “a more expensive world.”
“I don’t think the word ‘resilience’ and ‘security’ is ever associated with low costs,” he said. “It’s an insurance policy—you pay a premium.”
Temasek has narrowed its own investments in China over the years, cutting its share of holdings in the country from 26% in 2011 to 22% today. At the same time, its holdings in the Americas and EMEA regions—primarily in the U.S. and Europe—combined have increased from 11% to 33%.
More recently, Singapore’s state investor has tried to play it safe when it comes to investing in China. The firm “won’t invest in areas that are in the crosshairs of U.S.-China tensions,” chief investment strategist Rohit Sipahimalani said earlier this month during Temasek’s annual briefing. Nor is Temasek getting involved in China’s buzzy generative A.I. sector, the company’s China president told Caixin last week.
Earlier this month, Temasek reported its worst results since 2016, posting a negative 5% one-year returns to shareholders for its fiscal year ended March 31. The value of Temasek’s portfolio dropped to $288 billion, down from $304 billion the year before. The firm’s portfolio also included a few high-profile failures, like e-commerce startup Zilingo and crypto exchange FTX.
Around 53% of Temasek’s holdings were in unlisted equities, up from about 20% in 2011. If Temasek valued its private holdings according to market conditions, it would add around 18 billion Singapore dollars ($13.6 billion) to the value of its portfolio, the Temasek CEO says. Clarification, July 27, 2023: This article has been updated to clarify the nature of Temasek’s recently announced financial results.