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奢侈品行业消费低迷,LVMH老板的财富缩水

PRARTHANA PRAKASH
2023-10-14

5月份,LVMH的股价下跌,曾导致阿尔诺的财富在一天内减少了112亿美元。

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奢侈品业巨头LVMH的董事长兼CEO贝尔纳·阿尔诺。图片来源:EDWARD BERTHELOT —— 盖蒂图片社

今年早些时候,奢侈品消费大幅增长,使LVMH老板贝尔纳·阿尔诺取代了特斯拉(Tesla)CEO埃隆·马斯克,成为全球第二大首富。随着LVMH旗下迪奥(Christian Dior)和路易威登(Louis Vuitton)等主要品牌的强势复苏,阿尔诺的个人财富最高时曾突破2,000亿美元。

之后,他的财富持续减少,目前在亿万富翁榜单上排在第二位。随着经济的持续低迷,消费者紧缩开支,减少奢侈品消费,他的财富可能进一步减少。

LVMH周二公布的第三季度营收显示,消费者正在减少奢侈品消费,尤其是美国和欧洲的消费者。LVMH集团第三季度销售额增长9%,达到199亿欧元(约合211亿美元),增速低于上一季度的17%。

LVMH首席财务官让-雅克·吉奥尼对分析师表示:“经过三年高速增长和业绩优异的几年后,公司的销售增长速度日益趋向于历史平均水平。”

该公司的多个关键部门,包括时装和皮革制品等,均收入增长放缓。红酒和烈酒业务的销售额下滑10%,LVMH表示销售下滑的原因是“后疫情时代的需求正常化及其零售商库存的持续高企”。还有其他多个因素导致营收数据下滑,例如欧元兑美元升值。

新冠的后续影响

公司销售增长速度放缓表明奢侈品行业正在调整。新冠疫情期间,人们将封锁期间积攒的储蓄慷慨地用于购买高端商品。LVMH从中受益,在疫情最严重时,公司的营收大幅增长。

但奢侈品需求日渐低迷的迹象越来越明显,例如本周早些时候,跟踪欧洲10只奢侈品股票的指数,创下自2020年以来的最大季度跌幅。该指数中包括LVMH和英国时尚品牌博柏利(Burberry)等股票。9月,LVMH失去了欧洲最有价值的公司的地位,被丹麦制药业巨头诺和诺德(Novo Nordisk)取代。

LVMH是欧洲市值最高的公司之一,也是奢侈品行业的领军者,它的表现被视为整个行业的风向标。LVMH的业绩可能为爱马仕(Hermès)和开云集团(Kering)等品牌定下了基调。这些公司将于本月晚些时候公布业绩。

瑞银集团(UBS)分析师指出,LVMH的业绩“证实了在宏观经济疲软的背景下,奢侈品行业正在逐渐趋于正常”。然而,他们同时强调,在当前的经济压力下,LVMH仍然被认为是奢侈品行业中最具投资价值的股票。

瑞银分析师在周三的一份报告(《财富》杂志查阅了这份报告)中表示:“我们依旧相信,LVMH一流的品牌组合、整个行业稳健的长期基本面以及公司的定价能力,意味着在当前动荡的环境下,LVMH依旧是最值得持有的股票之一。”

LVMH的业绩肯定有能力实现反弹,在逆境下保持增长。

LVMH在周二的一份声明中表示:“在动荡的经济和地缘政治环境中,本集团对持续增长充满信心。”

阿尔诺个人财富的起伏

根据彭博亿万富翁指数(Bloomberg Billionaires Index)的数据显示,法国亿万富翁阿尔诺目前的个人财富约为1,690亿美元。然而,作为LVMH的董事长兼CEO,他的大部分财富都与LVMH的股票挂钩,其中包括在迪奥97.5%的股份。

他的财富随着奢侈品行业的兴衰而波动。投资者对暗淡的经济前景和高通胀的担忧也体现在奢侈品板块的股价上,包括LVMH,进而影响了阿尔诺的财富。例如,5月份,LVMH的股价下跌,导致阿尔诺的财富在一天内减少了112亿美元。

当LVMH的股价上涨时,阿尔诺的净财富增长,并让他在去年多次超过马斯克。据福布斯估计,2020年至2021年,LVMH老板的财富增长了一倍以上,从760亿美元增长到1,863亿美元。

74岁的阿尔诺有五个子女,他们已在他的奢侈品帝国担任高管职位。尽管其中一个孩子已经准备好接替阿尔诺,但阿尔诺可能会延长在位时间。去年,LVMH将董事长兼CEO的退休年龄从75岁推迟到80岁。(财富中文网)

译者:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

奢侈品业巨头LVMH的董事长兼CEO贝尔纳·阿尔诺。

今年早些时候,奢侈品消费大幅增长,使LVMH老板贝尔纳·阿尔诺取代了特斯拉(Tesla)CEO埃隆·马斯克,成为全球第二大首富。随着LVMH旗下迪奥(Christian Dior)和路易威登(Louis Vuitton)等主要品牌的强势复苏,阿尔诺的个人财富最高时曾突破2,000亿美元。

之后,他的财富持续减少,目前在亿万富翁榜单上排在第二位。随着经济的持续低迷,消费者紧缩开支,减少奢侈品消费,他的财富可能进一步减少。

LVMH周二公布的第三季度营收显示,消费者正在减少奢侈品消费,尤其是美国和欧洲的消费者。LVMH集团第三季度销售额增长9%,达到199亿欧元(约合211亿美元),增速低于上一季度的17%。

LVMH首席财务官让-雅克·吉奥尼对分析师表示:“经过三年高速增长和业绩优异的几年后,公司的销售增长速度日益趋向于历史平均水平。”

该公司的多个关键部门,包括时装和皮革制品等,均收入增长放缓。红酒和烈酒业务的销售额下滑10%,LVMH表示销售下滑的原因是“后疫情时代的需求正常化及其零售商库存的持续高企”。还有其他多个因素导致营收数据下滑,例如欧元兑美元升值。

新冠的后续影响

公司销售增长速度放缓表明奢侈品行业正在调整。新冠疫情期间,人们将封锁期间积攒的储蓄慷慨地用于购买高端商品。LVMH从中受益,在疫情最严重时,公司的营收大幅增长。

但奢侈品需求日渐低迷的迹象越来越明显,例如本周早些时候,跟踪欧洲10只奢侈品股票的指数,创下自2020年以来的最大季度跌幅。该指数中包括LVMH和英国时尚品牌博柏利(Burberry)等股票。9月,LVMH失去了欧洲最有价值的公司的地位,被丹麦制药业巨头诺和诺德(Novo Nordisk)取代。

LVMH是欧洲市值最高的公司之一,也是奢侈品行业的领军者,它的表现被视为整个行业的风向标。LVMH的业绩可能为爱马仕(Hermès)和开云集团(Kering)等品牌定下了基调。这些公司将于本月晚些时候公布业绩。

瑞银集团(UBS)分析师指出,LVMH的业绩“证实了在宏观经济疲软的背景下,奢侈品行业正在逐渐趋于正常”。然而,他们同时强调,在当前的经济压力下,LVMH仍然被认为是奢侈品行业中最具投资价值的股票。

瑞银分析师在周三的一份报告(《财富》杂志查阅了这份报告)中表示:“我们依旧相信,LVMH一流的品牌组合、整个行业稳健的长期基本面以及公司的定价能力,意味着在当前动荡的环境下,LVMH依旧是最值得持有的股票之一。”

LVMH的业绩肯定有能力实现反弹,在逆境下保持增长。

LVMH在周二的一份声明中表示:“在动荡的经济和地缘政治环境中,本集团对持续增长充满信心。”

阿尔诺个人财富的起伏

根据彭博亿万富翁指数(Bloomberg Billionaires Index)的数据显示,法国亿万富翁阿尔诺目前的个人财富约为1,690亿美元。然而,作为LVMH的董事长兼CEO,他的大部分财富都与LVMH的股票挂钩,其中包括在迪奥97.5%的股份。

他的财富随着奢侈品行业的兴衰而波动。投资者对暗淡的经济前景和高通胀的担忧也体现在奢侈品板块的股价上,包括LVMH,进而影响了阿尔诺的财富。例如,5月份,LVMH的股价下跌,导致阿尔诺的财富在一天内减少了112亿美元。

当LVMH的股价上涨时,阿尔诺的净财富增长,并让他在去年多次超过马斯克。据福布斯估计,2020年至2021年,LVMH老板的财富增长了一倍以上,从760亿美元增长到1,863亿美元。

74岁的阿尔诺有五个子女,他们已在他的奢侈品帝国担任高管职位。尽管其中一个孩子已经准备好接替阿尔诺,但阿尔诺可能会延长在位时间。去年,LVMH将董事长兼CEO的退休年龄从75岁推迟到80岁。(财富中文网)

译者:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

Big gains in luxury spending helped LVMH boss Bernard Arnault overtake Tesla CEO Elon Musk as the world’s richest man earlier this year. At its peak, Arnault’s wealth was north of $200 billion, thanks to handsome returns on LVMH’s key brands including Christian Dior and Louis Vuitton.

His wealth has since dropped—he holds second-place in the list of billionaires now—and it stands to fall further as consumers bite the bullet by curbing luxury spending amid economic woes.

LVMH’s third quarter earnings, released Tuesday, reveal that shoppers are pulling back from indulging in luxury products—especially in the U.S. and Europe. The group’s sales rose 9% to €19.9 billion ($21.1 billion) during the period—a slower pace compared to 17% in the previous quarter.

“After three roaring years, and outstanding years, growth is converging toward numbers that are more in line with historical average”, LVMH’s CFO Jean-Jacques Guiony told analysts.

Revenue growth was slower in some of the conglomerates’ crucial divisions, including fashion and leather goods. Sales also slid 10% in wines and spirits, which LVMH said was a factor of “post-Covid normalization of demand and the continued high inventory levels of its retailers.” There were a few other factors that pulled earnings figures down, such as a stronger euro against the U.S. dollar.

COVID hangover

The easing pace of sales growth points to a correction in the luxury industry after the COVID-19 pandemic drove people to spend generously on high-end goods with their piled-up lockdown savings. LVMH benefited from it as the company saw its top line jump during the peak of the pandemic.

But signs that the appetite for luxury goods may be waning are becoming apparent—for instance, an index tracking 10 European luxury stocks including LVMH and British fashion house Burberry reported its biggest quarterly decline since 2020 earlier this week. Arnault’s company also lost its position as Europe’s most valuable company in September to Danish pharma giant Novo Nordisk.

LVMH, which is among Europe’s largest companies by market capitalization as well as a leader in the luxury space, is seen as a bellwether of sorts for the industry. LVMH’s results could set the tone for other brands, including Hermès and Kering, on their earnings due later this month.

UBS analysts said LVMH’s results “confirmed the ongoing normalisation in the sector, driven by weakening macro,” but said the company’s stock is the best one to own in the luxury space amid economic pressures.

“We continue to believe that LVMH’s best-in-class brand portfolio, the sound LT (long-term) fundamentals of the industry and its pricing power still position it as one of the best stocks to own in the sector in this uncertain context,” UBS analysts said in a note Wednesday, viewed by Fortune.

And for its part, LVMH is sure of its ability to bounce back and keep growing despite the headwinds.

“In an uncertain economic and geopolitical environment, the Group is confident in the continuation of its growth,” LVMH said in a statement Tuesday.

Ebbs and flows of Arnault’s wealth

The French billionaire has an estimated $169 billion in personal wealth now, per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. But as the chairman and CEO of LVMH, his wealth is largely tied to the shares of the luxury conglomerate, including a 97.5% stake in Dior.

His wealth has fluctuated with the ups and downs of the luxury industry. Investor angst over the dampening economic prospects and high inflation have reflected on the stock price of luxury stocks like LVMH which, in turn, have hurt Arnault’s wealth. In May, for instance, the tycoon’s wealth plunged $11.2 billion in a day as the company’s share price took a hit.

But whenever the luxury company made strides, Arnault’s net worth was boosted, leading him to surpass Musk a handful of times in the last year. Between 2020 and 2021, the LVMH boss’ fortune more than doubled from $76 billion to $186.3 billion, according to Forbes’s estimate.

Although one of the 74-year-old executive’s five children, who already occupy senior roles in the luxury empire, are poised to take on the mantle from Arnault, he might stay on a little longer. Last year, LVMH extended the retirement age of its chairman and CEO from 75 to 80.

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