韦德布什证券公司(Wedbush)的分析师丹·艾夫斯表示,精明的投资者将无视导致美国科技行业连续三个月下跌的市场恐慌情绪,并在2024年牛市反弹之前抢先入场。
艾夫斯说,在人工智能和云计算支出“潮”到来之前,华尔街的预期非常低。他估计,明年云计算和人工智能驱动的支出将攀升20%到25%,超过信息技术预算适度增长的预期。
艾夫斯在一份研究报告中写道:“我们认为人工智能是自1995年互联网诞生以来最具变革性的技术,而且相信华尔街的许多人都低估了未来十年将出现的1万亿美元人工智能支出,这将为芯片和软件行业带来丰厚的回报。”
尽管宏观经济背景不明朗——美联储(Federal Reserve)加息、美国国债收益率飙升——但科技行业今年仍然成功领涨大盘,这是因为投资者纷纷涌向那些资产负债表强劲、能够抵御潜在经济低迷的公司。
对人工智能和云计算的炒作也促使投资者抢购那些有望在这一日益增长的趋势里成为赢家的公司的股票。纳斯达克100指数(Nasdaq 100)在2023年飙升了40%以上,超过了标准普尔500指数(S&P 500 Index)约15%的涨幅。
艾夫斯表示,已经有迹象表明,人工智能货币化已经开始对科技行业产生影响。他指出,微软公司(Microsoft Corp.)、Datadog Inc.和Palantir Technologies Inc.最近发布的颇有亮眼的季度财报显示,人工智能新方法的应用正在企业和消费者领域实现爆炸式增长。除了微软公司和Palantir公司,韦德布什证券公司在该领域的首选还包括苹果公司(Apple Inc.)、谷歌(Google)的母公司Alphabet Inc.、Palo Alto Networks Inc.、Zscaler Inc.、CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.和MongoDB Inc.。
不过,投资者可能持保留意见的迹象依旧存在——纳斯达克100指数一直难以恢复2023年7月创下的峰值,目前仍旧低于2021年的水平。不过,艾夫斯称,由于支撑该行业增长的基本面依然“坚如磐石”,“长期的空头回补”可能会出现。他认为,目前是挑选有望在2024年获利的科技股的好时机。
艾夫斯说:“我们一直把宏观动荡/躁动、美联储强烈呼吁抑制通胀和债券维权者控制相关叙事作为买入最优质成长型科技股的良机。这次也不例外。”(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
韦德布什证券公司(Wedbush)的分析师丹·艾夫斯表示,精明的投资者将无视导致美国科技行业连续三个月下跌的市场恐慌情绪,并在2024年牛市反弹之前抢先入场。
艾夫斯说,在人工智能和云计算支出“潮”到来之前,华尔街的预期非常低。他估计,明年云计算和人工智能驱动的支出将攀升20%到25%,超过信息技术预算适度增长的预期。
艾夫斯在一份研究报告中写道:“我们认为人工智能是自1995年互联网诞生以来最具变革性的技术,而且相信华尔街的许多人都低估了未来十年将出现的1万亿美元人工智能支出,这将为芯片和软件行业带来丰厚的回报。”
尽管宏观经济背景不明朗——美联储(Federal Reserve)加息、美国国债收益率飙升——但科技行业今年仍然成功领涨大盘,这是因为投资者纷纷涌向那些资产负债表强劲、能够抵御潜在经济低迷的公司。
对人工智能和云计算的炒作也促使投资者抢购那些有望在这一日益增长的趋势里成为赢家的公司的股票。纳斯达克100指数(Nasdaq 100)在2023年飙升了40%以上,超过了标准普尔500指数(S&P 500 Index)约15%的涨幅。
艾夫斯表示,已经有迹象表明,人工智能货币化已经开始对科技行业产生影响。他指出,微软公司(Microsoft Corp.)、Datadog Inc.和Palantir Technologies Inc.最近发布的颇有亮眼的季度财报显示,人工智能新方法的应用正在企业和消费者领域实现爆炸式增长。除了微软公司和Palantir公司,韦德布什证券公司在该领域的首选还包括苹果公司(Apple Inc.)、谷歌(Google)的母公司Alphabet Inc.、Palo Alto Networks Inc.、Zscaler Inc.、CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.和MongoDB Inc.。
不过,投资者可能持保留意见的迹象依旧存在——纳斯达克100指数一直难以恢复2023年7月创下的峰值,目前仍旧低于2021年的水平。不过,艾夫斯称,由于支撑该行业增长的基本面依然“坚如磐石”,“长期的空头回补”可能会出现。他认为,目前是挑选有望在2024年获利的科技股的好时机。
艾夫斯说:“我们一直把宏观动荡/躁动、美联储强烈呼吁抑制通胀和债券维权者控制相关叙事作为买入最优质成长型科技股的良机。这次也不例外。”(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
Savvy investors will ignore the market jitters that have led to a three-month slump for the US technology sector and jump in ahead of a 2024 bull market rally, according to Wedbush analyst Dan Ives.
Wall Street expectations are too low ahead of the “tidal wave” of spending on artificial intelligence and cloud computing that’s just around the corner, Ives said. He estimates that cloud and AI-driven spending will climb 20% to 25% over the next year, outpacing expectations for a modest increase in IT budgets.
“We view AI as the most transformative technology trend since the start of the Internet in 1995 and believe many on the Street are underestimating the $1 trillion of AI spend set to happen over the next decade in a bonanza for the chip and software sectors,” Ives wrote in a research note.
Despite a murky macroeconomic backdrop — with the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hiking campaign and soaring US Treasury yields — the technology sector has managed to lead the broader market higher this year as investors flocked to companies with strong balance sheets that could withstand a potential economic downturn.
Hype over artificial intelligence and cloud computing also drove investors to snap up stocks of companies set to be winners in the growing trends. The Nasdaq 100 has surged more than 40% in 2023, trumping the S&P 500 Index’s roughly 15% gain.
There are already signs that AI monetization has started to impact the technology sector, Ives said, pointing to recent solid quarterly results from Microsoft Corp., Datadog Inc. and Palantir Technologies Inc. that show new ways to harness AI are exploding across the enterprise and consumer landscape. In addition to Microsoft and Palantir, Wedbush’s top picks in the sector include Apple Inc., Google parent Alphabet Inc., Palo Alto Networks Inc., Zscaler Inc., CrowdStrike Holdings Inc., and MongoDB Inc.
Still, the signs that investors may have reservations persist — the Nasdaq 100 has struggled to regain its 2023 peak hit in July, and is still below levels hit in 2021. But, Ives says that a “short covering for the ages” could be ahead as the fundamental picture for growth in the sector remains “rock solid.” The current backdrop is a good time to pick up tech stocks poised to gain in 2024, according to Ives.
“We have always used macro jitters/ agita, Fed jawboning, and bond vigilantes taking over the narrative as opportunistic times to buy the best quality growth tech stocks,” he said. “This time is no different.”