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社交媒体已被专业创作者和人工智能意见领袖占领

PAOLO CONFINO
2023-11-28

创作者经济规模非常庞大,已经将社交媒体网络从愉快分享之处变成蓬勃发展的内容业务全球分发平台。

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在阿布扎比举办的《财富》全球论坛上,由意见领袖转型为科技投资人的卡斯帕·李。图片来源:COLE BURSTON FOR FORTUNE

社交媒体不再属于你,不再属于你的朋友,不再属于仍留在家乡的中学同学,也不再属于你设置静音但没法取关的古怪表弟,因为毕竟是家人。如今的社交媒体已彻底成为意见领袖和靠制作内容为生的创作者的地盘。

社交媒体上已无普通人的立足之地。

“公开的社交媒体上,普通人发布的内容少了很多。”周一,Creator Ventures的联合创始人兼管理合伙人萨沙·卡莱斯基在阿布扎比举办的《财富》全球论坛上表示。“因此,你的信息流里不再是高中朋友或七年前毕业舞会舞伴的动态。现在只能看到专业制作的娱乐内容。”

创作者经济规模非常庞大,已经将社交媒体网络从愉快分享之处变成蓬勃发展的内容业务全球分发平台。高盛(Goldman Sachs)一份报告显示,预计到2027年创作者经济将成为4800亿美元的产业,几乎是目前2500亿美元的两倍。

创作者经济不断发展的同时也在改变社交媒体平台。创作者常常受科技巨头的算法支配。算法变化时,社交媒体的性质也会发生变化,迫使在平台上谋生的人们跟着调整。正如一些科技高管所说,过分追求参与的算法有时会对用户体验造成损害。

社交媒体服务正变成“分发平台,而不是粉丝平台”,卡莱斯基表示,“各种原创平台,不管是Twitter(现在改名为X)、Instagram,甚至当年的Facebook通用规则都是,用户既关注朋友也关注某些创作者,然后在订阅列表中看关注者发布的内容。信息流里有朋友发的内容,也有创作者发的内容。现在已经完全不同。未来五年将彻底变成完全看不到朋友动态的情况。”

卡莱斯基说,BeReal和Dispo等新出现的社交媒体公司希望将社交媒体扭转回当初主要在朋友之间交流的样子。但成功案例很少。除了BeReal和Dispo,卡莱斯基还提到了另一款社交应用Poparazzi,在苹果应用商店排行榜上跻身前列一两年后于今年5月关闭。尽管有人在努力复兴老派社交媒体,然而用户扎堆的应用都出自Meta、TikTok和Alphabet等当前科技巨头,还有Snap和Twitter。

Creator Ventures联合创始人卡斯帕·李表示,在当前形势下,TikTok和Alphabet旗下模仿TikTok的YouTube Shorts有望成功。“X机会小一点,因为X平台上的内容跟品牌关联比较弱,比较难发展,如果品牌愿意付钱给创作者,让他们继续在当前平台上创作内容,创作者就能活得很好。”李说。

内容创作者和赞助内容的广告商之所以发现TikTok和YouTube Shorts很有吸引力,主要因为庞大的用户基数。根据Alphabet的数据,YouTube Shorts每月登录用户达20亿。截至今年3月,TikTok在美国的月活跃用户约1.5亿。而且一般来说,品牌投放的广告和赞助内容旁边不会出现存在争议或冒犯性的内容,这是一直困扰X的问题。

仅在过去一周,X就流失了一些大广告商,原因是X的所有者埃隆·马斯克似乎支持了一个反犹太人的帖子。该事件之后,苹果、IBM和旗下拥有NBC环球的康卡斯特(Comcast)等大公司都表示将暂停在该平台投放广告,X现任首席执行官琳达·雅卡里诺还曾在NBC环球负责全球广告销售。在马斯克的领导下,8月X曾尝试推出全新的广告收入分享计划,对有能力制作热门内容的创作者提高激励金额。不过受马斯克的反犹太主义拖累,相关举措进展很难衡量。

没有什么比“人工智能生成的人物更不真实”

意见领袖不仅要跟随社交媒体平台的战略调整,还要应对世界上最受关注的新技术崛起:人工智能。李和卡莱斯基都认为,人工智能在帮助创作者方面将发挥着关键作用,并不会完全取代。随着人工智能发展,将出现新工具帮助创作者制作更多内容,如今已经成为不少初创公司、老公司和投资者的摇钱树。举例来说,PitchBook的数据显示,卡莱斯基的公司Creator Ventures就已投资了估值10亿美元的初创公司ElevenLabs,该公司利用人工智能模仿人类的声音。

还在为YouTube频道制作内容的李说,最近由于一个短剧中找不到其他人当配角,就尝试用了ElevenLabs完成。

“通常情况下,如果视频里需要另一个角色,我会强迫妈妈或者未婚妻帮忙。”李说。“但这次她们都没空。所以我只好用了ElevenLabs,这样内容里会出现另一个声音,没人知道这是人工智能生成的声音。”

李补充说,这只是一个视频里的“随机角色”,所以“没什么大不了。”但是,如果使用人工智能生成的声音变得很普及,创作者和平台就要明确提示观众哪里是人工智能。

最近几个月,人工智能已经渗透到了创作者经济的方方面面。类似Meta之类最大的社交媒体公司甚至已经开始试验纯人工智能意见领袖。这一尝试引发一些父母、艺术家,还有发现自己作品频繁遭模仿的创作者的质疑。相关创新代表了人工智能新的应用方式,对于不必向实际创作者付费的平台来说,可能是削减成本的大好机会。但卡莱斯基认为真人意见领袖不太可能被取代。

“人们之所以关注社交媒体创作者,之所以愿意花工夫,部分原因是他们是真实的。”卡莱斯基说。“世界上没什么比人工智能生成的人物更不真实。因此,人工智能在很多方面都比不上人类。”

不过卡莱斯基也委婉地说,人工智能生成角色可能是不错的投资。“如果市场规模巨大,对我们来说是好消息,因为在创作者经济中我们是技术投资者。”他说。“如果人工智能最终超过人类那就更棒了。但我认为不会出现。”(财富中文网)

译者:夏林

社交媒体不再属于你,不再属于你的朋友,不再属于仍留在家乡的中学同学,也不再属于你设置静音但没法取关的古怪表弟,因为毕竟是家人。如今的社交媒体已彻底成为意见领袖和靠制作内容为生的创作者的地盘。

社交媒体上已无普通人的立足之地。

“公开的社交媒体上,普通人发布的内容少了很多。”周一,Creator Ventures的联合创始人兼管理合伙人萨沙·卡莱斯基在阿布扎比举办的《财富》全球论坛上表示。“因此,你的信息流里不再是高中朋友或七年前毕业舞会舞伴的动态。现在只能看到专业制作的娱乐内容。”

创作者经济规模非常庞大,已经将社交媒体网络从愉快分享之处变成蓬勃发展的内容业务全球分发平台。高盛(Goldman Sachs)一份报告显示,预计到2027年创作者经济将成为4800亿美元的产业,几乎是目前2500亿美元的两倍。

创作者经济不断发展的同时也在改变社交媒体平台。创作者常常受科技巨头的算法支配。算法变化时,社交媒体的性质也会发生变化,迫使在平台上谋生的人们跟着调整。正如一些科技高管所说,过分追求参与的算法有时会对用户体验造成损害。

社交媒体服务正变成“分发平台,而不是粉丝平台”,卡莱斯基表示,“各种原创平台,不管是Twitter(现在改名为X)、Instagram,甚至当年的Facebook通用规则都是,用户既关注朋友也关注某些创作者,然后在订阅列表中看关注者发布的内容。信息流里有朋友发的内容,也有创作者发的内容。现在已经完全不同。未来五年将彻底变成完全看不到朋友动态的情况。”

卡莱斯基说,BeReal和Dispo等新出现的社交媒体公司希望将社交媒体扭转回当初主要在朋友之间交流的样子。但成功案例很少。除了BeReal和Dispo,卡莱斯基还提到了另一款社交应用Poparazzi,在苹果应用商店排行榜上跻身前列一两年后于今年5月关闭。尽管有人在努力复兴老派社交媒体,然而用户扎堆的应用都出自Meta、TikTok和Alphabet等当前科技巨头,还有Snap和Twitter。

Creator Ventures联合创始人卡斯帕·李表示,在当前形势下,TikTok和Alphabet旗下模仿TikTok的YouTube Shorts有望成功。“X机会小一点,因为X平台上的内容跟品牌关联比较弱,比较难发展,如果品牌愿意付钱给创作者,让他们继续在当前平台上创作内容,创作者就能活得很好。”李说。

内容创作者和赞助内容的广告商之所以发现TikTok和YouTube Shorts很有吸引力,主要因为庞大的用户基数。根据Alphabet的数据,YouTube Shorts每月登录用户达20亿。截至今年3月,TikTok在美国的月活跃用户约1.5亿。而且一般来说,品牌投放的广告和赞助内容旁边不会出现存在争议或冒犯性的内容,这是一直困扰X的问题。

仅在过去一周,X就流失了一些大广告商,原因是X的所有者埃隆·马斯克似乎支持了一个反犹太人的帖子。该事件之后,苹果、IBM和旗下拥有NBC环球的康卡斯特(Comcast)等大公司都表示将暂停在该平台投放广告,X现任首席执行官琳达·雅卡里诺还曾在NBC环球负责全球广告销售。在马斯克的领导下,8月X曾尝试推出全新的广告收入分享计划,对有能力制作热门内容的创作者提高激励金额。不过受马斯克的反犹太主义拖累,相关举措进展很难衡量。

没有什么比“人工智能生成的人物更不真实”

意见领袖不仅要跟随社交媒体平台的战略调整,还要应对世界上最受关注的新技术崛起:人工智能。李和卡莱斯基都认为,人工智能在帮助创作者方面将发挥着关键作用,并不会完全取代。随着人工智能发展,将出现新工具帮助创作者制作更多内容,如今已经成为不少初创公司、老公司和投资者的摇钱树。举例来说,PitchBook的数据显示,卡莱斯基的公司Creator Ventures就已投资了估值10亿美元的初创公司ElevenLabs,该公司利用人工智能模仿人类的声音。

还在为YouTube频道制作内容的李说,最近由于一个短剧中找不到其他人当配角,就尝试用了ElevenLabs完成。

“通常情况下,如果视频里需要另一个角色,我会强迫妈妈或者未婚妻帮忙。”李说。“但这次她们都没空。所以我只好用了ElevenLabs,这样内容里会出现另一个声音,没人知道这是人工智能生成的声音。”

李补充说,这只是一个视频里的“随机角色”,所以“没什么大不了。”但是,如果使用人工智能生成的声音变得很普及,创作者和平台就要明确提示观众哪里是人工智能。

最近几个月,人工智能已经渗透到了创作者经济的方方面面。类似Meta之类最大的社交媒体公司甚至已经开始试验纯人工智能意见领袖。这一尝试引发一些父母、艺术家,还有发现自己作品频繁遭模仿的创作者的质疑。相关创新代表了人工智能新的应用方式,对于不必向实际创作者付费的平台来说,可能是削减成本的大好机会。但卡莱斯基认为真人意见领袖不太可能被取代。

“人们之所以关注社交媒体创作者,之所以愿意花工夫,部分原因是他们是真实的。”卡莱斯基说。“世界上没什么比人工智能生成的人物更不真实。因此,人工智能在很多方面都比不上人类。”

不过卡莱斯基也委婉地说,人工智能生成角色可能是不错的投资。“如果市场规模巨大,对我们来说是好消息,因为在创作者经济中我们是技术投资者。”他说。“如果人工智能最终超过人类那就更棒了。但我认为不会出现。”(财富中文网)

译者:夏林

Social media no longer belongs to you, your friends, that random guy from middle school who still lives in your hometown, or your weird cousin you muted but can’t unfollow, because, well, they’re still family. It’s now entirely the domain of influencers and creators who make content for a living.

There’s just no more room for regular people on social media.

“People are posting a lot less on public social media,” Sasha Kaletsky, cofounder and managing partner at Creator Ventures, said Monday at the Fortune Global Forum in Abu Dhabi. “And so your feed is no longer made up of your high school friends or your prom date from seven years ago. Now you’re just seeing people who are professionally entertaining you.”

The creator economy is such a big business that it has turned social media networks from a place of convivial camaraderie to a global distribution platform for the booming content business. By 2027 the creator economy is forecasted to be a $480 billion industry, almost double the sector’s current value of $250 billion, according to a report from Goldman Sachs.

The nature of the evolving creator economy is changing social media platforms as well. Creators have often been at the mercy of the algorithms of Big Tech. When those algorithms change, so does the nature of social media, forcing those who make a living on those platforms to adjust accordingly. Those algorithms, which are meant to drive engagement above all else, can sometimes harm user experiences, as some tech executives have argued.

Social media services are becoming “distribution platforms rather than follower platforms,” Kaletsky says. “All these original platforms, whether it’s Twitter [now known as X], Instagram, even Facebook back in the day, were things where you would follow certain creators alongside your own friends, and watch their content in your feeds. It’d be a friend, and it’d be a creator next to each other. That’s changing completely. In five years, that will have totally changed to the extent that you don’t bother with friends anymore.”

There have been upstart social media companies—BeReal and Dispo, for example—that have tried to revert to the original friend-oriented version of social media, Kaletsky says. But none of them caught on. Poparazzi, another app that Kaletsky cited alongside BeReal and Dispo, shut down in May, just two years after topping the charts of Apple’s App Store. Despite the efforts to revive the old school of social media, today’s engagement-heavy version is dominated by incumbent tech giants like Meta, TikTok, and Alphabet, along with Snap and Twitter.

In the current landscape TikTok and YouTube Shorts, Alphabet’s TikTok copycat, will succeed, according to Caspar Lee, a cofounder at Creator Ventures and an influencer in his own right. “X slightly less so, because it’s hard with the fact that the content that is coming up on there doesn’t work for brands, and creators thrive when brands are happy to pay them to create content on platforms they’re creating content on,” Lee says.

Content creators, and the advertisers that sponsor their content, find TikTok and YouTube Shorts appealing because of their big audiences. YouTube Shorts has 2 billion logged-in monthly users, according to Alphabet, and as of March, TikTok had roughly 150 million monthly active users in the U.S. They also, generally speaking, can reassure brands that their ads and sponsored content won’t appear next to controversial or offensive content, something that X has struggled with.

In the past week alone X suffered an exodus of major advertisers after its owner, Elon Musk, appeared to endorse an anti-Semitic post. Since then, blue-chip companies like Apple, IBM, and Comcast—which owns NBCUniversal where current X CEO Linda Yaccarino previously led global ad sales—all said they would pause advertising on the platform. Under Musk, X has tried to court creators by implementing a new ad revenue sharing program in August meant to increase payments to creators who have popular content. Although the progress of those initiatives has been difficult to gauge, mostly because it’s been overshadowed by Musk’s brushes with anti-Semitism.

There is nothing ‘less authentic than an AI-generated character’

As influencers navigate the shifting strategies of social media platforms, they also have to contend with the rise of the world’s most talked-about new technology: AI. Both Lee and Kaletsky believe it will play a pivotal role in helping creators without replacing them entirely. AI will lead to new tools to help creators produce more content—already a cash cow for startups, established players, and investors alike. Kaletsky’s firm, Creator Ventures, has, for example, invested in ElevenLabs, a startup valued at $1 billion, according to PitchBook, that uses AI to replicate human voices.

Lee, who still makes content for his YouTube channel, said he just recently used ElevenLabs for one of his own videos when he couldn’t find someone to play a supporting role in a skit.

“Usually if I need another character in a video, I’d have to force my mom to be in it or my fiancée,” Lee says. “But this time they weren’t available. So I just used ElevenLabs, and I was able to get a voice to be in the content, and no one knew it was an AI-generated voice.”

Lee adds that this was just a “random character” in one of his videos, so it “didn’t matter so much.” But if using AI-generated voices became the norm, creators and platforms would have to find a way to let viewers know when it was being used.

AI has creeped into all facets of the creator economy in recent months. Some of the biggest social media companies like Meta have even begun experimenting with entirely AI-generated influencers. The effort has raised some eyebrows, from concerned parents and artists and creators who have seen a rise in digital imitations of their work. Those sorts of innovations represent a novel application of AI, and probably an appetizing cost-cutting opportunity for platforms that wouldn’t have to pay a real creator. But Kaletsky thinks they’re unlikely to replace actual influencers.

“The reason people follow social media creators, the reason they bother, is partly because of the authenticity,” Kaletsky says. “There’s nothing in the world that’s less authentic than an AI-generated character. So it sort of defeats the point in many ways.”

But Kaletsky hedged by saying AI-generated characters could make for a good investment. “It’d be very nice for us if that’s going to be huge, because we’re technology investors in the creator economy,” he says. “It’d be wonderful if that takes over. But I don’t think it’s going to.”

财富中文网所刊载内容之知识产权为财富媒体知识产权有限公司及/或相关权利人专属所有或持有。未经许可,禁止进行转载、摘编、复制及建立镜像等任何使用。
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