众所周知,纽约的生活成本极高。穆迪(Moody’s)估计,要在“帝国州”纽约舒适租房,收入需要超过135,000美元。2019年,这个数字约为111,000美元,相当于五年内约提高了22%。
舒适租房是指将不超过30%的收入用于租房。在美国,尽管房租上涨,但收入却没有随之上涨,舒适租房变得越来越难。例如,在马萨诸塞州,你的收入要超过113,000美元,才能付得起房租。但穆迪的分析报告认为,“纽约州和马萨诸塞州中位数家庭收入,不足以支持人们在不造成经济负担的情况下,租住平均价格的公寓。”
在加州,你的收入需要达到约95,000美元,才能支付得起租金,并且房租不会成为经济负担。令人意外的是,加州的中位数收入略高于这个水平,但租客依旧处境艰难。加州住房公共政策研究所(Public Policy Housing Institute of California)的数据显示,加州将超过一半收入用于支付房租的租客数量,远远多于除纽约州和马萨诸塞州之外的其他州。
其他房租较高的地区包括:新泽西州、华盛顿特区、夏威夷州、华盛顿州、康涅狄格州、伊利诺伊州、佛罗里达州和弗吉尼亚州,舒适租房所需要的收入约为69,000美元至约88,000美元。
有一个事实:房租在疫情期间大幅上涨。2022年,全美有一半租房家庭租金负担过重,总计达到2,240万租客,为史上最高。同一年,租金负担严重过重的租房家庭的数量达到1,210万,创历史纪录。哈佛大学(Harvard University)房地产研究联合中心早期的报告称:“数十年来,房租上涨速度快于收入上涨速度,而疫情期间的房租暴涨则引发了前所未有的可负担性危机。”
但今年上半年,情况出现了逆转——房租下降,收入增长。美国所有大都市区的收入实现了增长(穆迪分析显示,在旧金山,收入涨幅超过5%,因为“高薪技术岗位集中在这个地区,比例超过平均水平”)。另一方面,45%的大都市区房租下降。这并不意味着租房市场已经恢复正常,事实恰恰相反。全美房租收入比有所下降,但依旧高于过去二十年的普通水平。因此有多个大都市区依旧面临高房租所带来的负担。
纽约大都市区的房租收入比接近58%;在迈阿密约为37%;在洛杉矶约为32%。新泽西州北部、亚利桑那州弗拉哥斯塔夫、佛罗里达州那不勒斯、波士顿、纽约州威斯特切斯特和棕榈滩等地的房租收入比均高于30%。
分析报告称:“房屋供应不足和渴望在人口密集的城市核心区域居住的期望,使纽约大都市区的平均房租同比上涨了约2%,”达到接近4,200美元的史上最高水平。然而,这里的收入仅增长了1.4%,“是所有主要大都市区增长最慢的一个”。
我们该何去何从?穆迪建议:“名义收入将继续以比房租更快的速度增长,未来几年这将降低房租收入比。”这是好事,但美国依旧有数百万套住房的缺口,而且最近的公寓建设繁荣似乎已经达到了顶峰,多户住宅项目减少。虽然需求也在减少,人们总是需要有一处安居之所,但经济适用住房却远远不足——在纽约,只有11%的住房为经济适用房。(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
美国房租过高。Getty Images
众所周知,纽约的生活成本极高。穆迪(Moody’s)估计,要在“帝国州”纽约舒适租房,收入需要超过135,000美元。2019年,这个数字约为111,000美元,相当于五年内约提高了22%。
舒适租房是指将不超过30%的收入用于租房。在美国,尽管房租上涨,但收入却没有随之上涨,舒适租房变得越来越难。例如,在马萨诸塞州,你的收入要超过113,000美元,才能付得起房租。但穆迪的分析报告认为,“纽约州和马萨诸塞州中位数家庭收入,不足以支持人们在不造成经济负担的情况下,租住平均价格的公寓。”
在加州,你的收入需要达到约95,000美元,才能支付得起租金,并且房租不会成为经济负担。令人意外的是,加州的中位数收入略高于这个水平,但租客依旧处境艰难。加州住房公共政策研究所(Public Policy Housing Institute of California)的数据显示,加州将超过一半收入用于支付房租的租客数量,远远多于除纽约州和马萨诸塞州之外的其他州。
其他房租较高的地区包括:新泽西州、华盛顿特区、夏威夷州、华盛顿州、康涅狄格州、伊利诺伊州、佛罗里达州和弗吉尼亚州,舒适租房所需要的收入约为69,000美元至约88,000美元。
有一个事实:房租在疫情期间大幅上涨。2022年,全美有一半租房家庭租金负担过重,总计达到2,240万租客,为史上最高。同一年,租金负担严重过重的租房家庭的数量达到1,210万,创历史纪录。哈佛大学(Harvard University)房地产研究联合中心早期的报告称:“数十年来,房租上涨速度快于收入上涨速度,而疫情期间的房租暴涨则引发了前所未有的可负担性危机。”
但今年上半年,情况出现了逆转——房租下降,收入增长。美国所有大都市区的收入实现了增长(穆迪分析显示,在旧金山,收入涨幅超过5%,因为“高薪技术岗位集中在这个地区,比例超过平均水平”)。另一方面,45%的大都市区房租下降。这并不意味着租房市场已经恢复正常,事实恰恰相反。全美房租收入比有所下降,但依旧高于过去二十年的普通水平。因此有多个大都市区依旧面临高房租所带来的负担。
纽约大都市区的房租收入比接近58%;在迈阿密约为37%;在洛杉矶约为32%。新泽西州北部、亚利桑那州弗拉哥斯塔夫、佛罗里达州那不勒斯、波士顿、纽约州威斯特切斯特和棕榈滩等地的房租收入比均高于30%。
分析报告称:“房屋供应不足和渴望在人口密集的城市核心区域居住的期望,使纽约大都市区的平均房租同比上涨了约2%,”达到接近4,200美元的史上最高水平。然而,这里的收入仅增长了1.4%,“是所有主要大都市区增长最慢的一个”。
我们该何去何从?穆迪建议:“名义收入将继续以比房租更快的速度增长,未来几年这将降低房租收入比。”这是好事,但美国依旧有数百万套住房的缺口,而且最近的公寓建设繁荣似乎已经达到了顶峰,多户住宅项目减少。虽然需求也在减少,人们总是需要有一处安居之所,但经济适用住房却远远不足——在纽约,只有11%的住房为经济适用房。(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
New York is expensive—we all know that. But to rent comfortably in the Empire State, you need to make more than $135,000, according to Moody’s. In 2019, the necessary income was around $111,000, so there’s been about a 22% increase in only five years.
Renting comfortably is defined as spending no more than 30% of your earnings on housing, and that’s becoming much more difficult across the country because rents are high and incomes haven’t always kept up. For instance, in Massachusetts, you need to make more than $113,000 to afford your rent. But the “median household income in the state of New York and Massachusetts do not support living in an average priced apartment without burden,” a Moody’s analysis read.
In California, you need to earn around $95,000 to pay your rent without entering into rent-burdened territory, and surprisingly, the median income for the state is slightly higher than that. But still, renters are struggling—more California renters spend over half their income on rent compared to tenants in all but two other states, according to the Public Policy Housing Institute of California.
The rest of the most expensive areas are as follows: New Jersey, Washington, D.C., Hawaii, Washington, Connecticut, Illinois, Florida, and Virginia, where the income needed to rent comfortably ranges from roughly $88,000 to around $69,000.
So here’s the deal: Rents rose dramatically throughout the pandemic. In 2022, half of all renter households were considered cost-burdened, totaling 22.4 million renters, the highest on record. And the number of severely cost-burdened renter households hit an all-time high of 12.1 million in the same year. “While rents have been rising faster than incomes for decades, the pandemic-era rent surge produced an unprecedented affordability crisis,” an earlier report from Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies read.
But the first half of this year saw a reversal—rents declined while incomes increased. Incomes rose across all metropolitan areas (in San Francisco, they actually rose more than 5% because of an “above-average concentration in high-paying technology jobs,” Moody’s said). Rents, on the other hand, declined in 45% of metros. This isn’t to say things are all right in the world of renting—they’re not. The rent-to-income ratio, nationally, has alleviated some. But it is still higher than it’s generally been for the past two decades. So there are several metropolitan areas still burdened by sky-high rents.
The New York metropolitan area has a rent-to-income ratio nearing 58%; in Miami, it’s almost 37%; and in Los Angeles, it’s roughly 32%. The list goes on, with northern New Jersey; Flagstaff, Ariz.; Naples, Fla.; Boston; Westchester, N.Y.; and Palm Beach all above that 30% threshold.
“Housing shortage and desirability to live in the densely populated urban core pushed New York metro’s average rent up by nearly 2% over the year,” the analysis states, to an all time high close to $4,200. Income, however, rose 1.4%, “the slowest among all primary metros.”
So where do we go from here? Moody’s suggests: “Nominal income will continue to grow at a faster rate than rent, easing the headline rent-to-income ratio over the next few years.” That’s great, but we are missing millions of homes, and a recent boom in the construction of apartments has sort of peaked. Multifamily projects are down, and while demand has cooled, too, people will always need a place to live, and there isn’t much affordable housing to go around—in New York, only about 11% of housing is affordable.