表面上看,上周四晚上的“We, Robot”活动的主角应该是特斯拉(Tesla)的无人驾驶出租车,但真正的明星却是Optimus机器人。
埃隆·马斯克的人形机器人令与会者惊叹不已。在好莱坞华纳兄弟(Warner Bros.)工作室举办的活动中,约六台机器人完全不受约束地在人群中安全穿梭。
就在两年前,其人形机器人甚至无法在舞台上独自站立。而最新一代机器人可以与来宾对话,玩“石头-剪刀-布”,或者为口渴的来宾从水龙头上倒饮料,还会用金属手比一个酷酷的和平手势。
在晚间的活动上,马斯克预测:“这将成为有史以来最伟大的产品。”
他想让与会者首次亲眼看到这款经过改进的新机器人,而不是使用在特斯拉设施内部拍摄的机器运行的预录视频。
马斯克补充说:“Optimus会在你们身边行走,请友善对待它们。”
OPTIMUS并非第一次引起争议
虽然Cybercab和未提前公布的体型更大的Robovan确实令参与活动的粉丝们印象深刻,但自动驾驶汽车早已问世。Waymo甚至已经开始在一些城市将自动驾驶汽车投入商业运营。
相比之下,与仅在科幻电影和图书中见过的作品互动,这更具有未来感。
硅谷特斯拉车主俱乐部(Tesla Owners Silicon Valley)的创始人约翰·斯特林格表示:“太疯狂了,我在和一个机器人说话。”
这是一场令人惊叹的技术进步展示,让与会者仿佛穿越到了未来,但有一点:这些机器实际上并没有展示任何真正的人工智能。
它们由穿着特殊服装的人类远程配音并操作,这些服装可以将他们的动作传递给机器人。
在一位来宾拍摄的与机器人互动的视频中,一位Optimus操作人员承认:“今天我由人类协助,我还没有完全自主化。”
许多人会想到另外一个争议。今年1月,马斯克分享了一条Optimus叠衬衫的视频,敏锐的观察者很快指出视频中没有剪掉操作人员的手。
“这就是小把戏而已”
特斯拉一直在使用专门的反馈服,在人类的帮助下训练机器人,但马斯克并未提及机器人是由训练它们的人工智能以外的其他力量操控。
他没有告诉与会者,在人群中的机器人其实是金属牵线木偶。
Lux Capital联合创始人约什·沃尔夫发帖称:“低延迟远程控制确实值得称道,但将它们展示为自主机器人是不诚实的——这就是小把戏而已。”
特斯拉和埃隆·马斯克均未回应《财富》杂志的请求,解释这样做的原因。
Optimus不仅仅是原型机。马斯克认为,它将是特斯拉史上最重要的产品。今年6月,他预测未来这款机器人的售价将低至2万美元,制造成本只有售价的一半,而且每年将销售1亿台。
马斯克25万亿美元的大生意
因此,马斯克公开表示,Optimus的年收益可能达到1万亿美元。如果加上他保守估计的倍数,仅这一项业务的价值就高达25万亿美元。
老牌特斯拉网红奥马尔·卡齐坦率地承认,确实是由人类像操纵木偶一样在移动这些机器人,但他认为虽然缺少人工智能,但这些原型机器人的机械结构依旧是一项重大成就。卡齐与马斯克关系密切,他就像特斯拉的非官方品牌大使。
他写道:“如果你对远程操作的Optimus不感兴趣,你可以自己试着制造一个机器人,让它在拥挤的人群中行走而不会伤害到任何人。”
但包括特斯拉内容创作者杰罗米·贾金斯在内的其他人,却对特斯拉缺乏透明度感到失望。他说道:“我只是希望特斯拉在这次活动上能更加开放和诚实,因为他们完全没有任何暗示,告诉与会者这些机器人是由人类在控制。”(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
表面上看,上周四晚上的“We, Robot”活动的主角应该是特斯拉(Tesla)的无人驾驶出租车,但真正的明星却是Optimus机器人。
埃隆·马斯克的人形机器人令与会者惊叹不已。在好莱坞华纳兄弟(Warner Bros.)工作室举办的活动中,约六台机器人完全不受约束地在人群中安全穿梭。
就在两年前,其人形机器人甚至无法在舞台上独自站立。而最新一代机器人可以与来宾对话,玩“石头-剪刀-布”,或者为口渴的来宾从水龙头上倒饮料,还会用金属手比一个酷酷的和平手势。
在晚间的活动上,马斯克预测:“这将成为有史以来最伟大的产品。”
他想让与会者首次亲眼看到这款经过改进的新机器人,而不是使用在特斯拉设施内部拍摄的机器运行的预录视频。
马斯克补充说:“Optimus会在你们身边行走,请友善对待它们。”
OPTIMUS并非第一次引起争议
虽然Cybercab和未提前公布的体型更大的Robovan确实令参与活动的粉丝们印象深刻,但自动驾驶汽车早已问世。Waymo甚至已经开始在一些城市将自动驾驶汽车投入商业运营。
相比之下,与仅在科幻电影和图书中见过的作品互动,这更具有未来感。
硅谷特斯拉车主俱乐部(Tesla Owners Silicon Valley)的创始人约翰·斯特林格表示:“太疯狂了,我在和一个机器人说话。”
这是一场令人惊叹的技术进步展示,让与会者仿佛穿越到了未来,但有一点:这些机器实际上并没有展示任何真正的人工智能。
它们由穿着特殊服装的人类远程配音并操作,这些服装可以将他们的动作传递给机器人。
在一位来宾拍摄的与机器人互动的视频中,一位Optimus操作人员承认:“今天我由人类协助,我还没有完全自主化。”
许多人会想到另外一个争议。今年1月,马斯克分享了一条Optimus叠衬衫的视频,敏锐的观察者很快指出视频中没有剪掉操作人员的手。
“这就是小把戏而已”
特斯拉一直在使用专门的反馈服,在人类的帮助下训练机器人,但马斯克并未提及机器人是由训练它们的人工智能以外的其他力量操控。
他没有告诉与会者,在人群中的机器人其实是金属牵线木偶。
Lux Capital联合创始人约什·沃尔夫发帖称:“低延迟远程控制确实值得称道,但将它们展示为自主机器人是不诚实的——这就是小把戏而已。”
特斯拉和埃隆·马斯克均未回应《财富》杂志的请求,解释这样做的原因。
Optimus不仅仅是原型机。马斯克认为,它将是特斯拉史上最重要的产品。今年6月,他预测未来这款机器人的售价将低至2万美元,制造成本只有售价的一半,而且每年将销售1亿台。
马斯克25万亿美元的大生意
因此,马斯克公开表示,Optimus的年收益可能达到1万亿美元。如果加上他保守估计的倍数,仅这一项业务的价值就高达25万亿美元。
老牌特斯拉网红奥马尔·卡齐坦率地承认,确实是由人类像操纵木偶一样在移动这些机器人,但他认为虽然缺少人工智能,但这些原型机器人的机械结构依旧是一项重大成就。卡齐与马斯克关系密切,他就像特斯拉的非官方品牌大使。
他写道:“如果你对远程操作的Optimus不感兴趣,你可以自己试着制造一个机器人,让它在拥挤的人群中行走而不会伤害到任何人。”
但包括特斯拉内容创作者杰罗米·贾金斯在内的其他人,却对特斯拉缺乏透明度感到失望。他说道:“我只是希望特斯拉在这次活动上能更加开放和诚实,因为他们完全没有任何暗示,告诉与会者这些机器人是由人类在控制。”(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
On paper, Thursday night’s “We, Robot” event may have belonged to Tesla’s robotaxi, but the real star of the show was Optimus.
Elon Musk’s humanoid robot wowed attendees as a half dozen or so navigated their way safely through the crowd at Warner Bros. studio lot in Hollywood entirely untethered.
Just two years ago, the droid couldn’t even make it onto a stage on its own. But the latest iteration was talking with guests, playing rock-paper-scissors or simply pouring a drink from a tap for the thirsty—before coolly flashing a peace sign with its metallic hand.
“This will be the biggest product ever—of any kind,” Musk predicted on stage that night.
He wanted attendees to see the new and improved version of the robot for the first time, without relying on canned videos taken of the machine operating inside the walls of Tesla’s facilities.
“The Optimus robots will walk among you, please be nice,” Musk added.
NOT THE FIRST CONTROVERSY FOR OPTIMUS
While fans attending the event were duly impressed by the Cybercab and the larger Robovan—which was not pre-announced—autonomous vehicles have been shown off before. Waymo even operates them commercially in select cities.
By comparison, nothing felt more futuristic than interacting with a creation only known from science fiction movies and books.
“Crazy, I’m talking to a robot,” said John Stringer, the founder of Tesla Owners Silicon Valley.
It was a stunning display of technological progress that transported attendees to the future, were it not for one thing: The machines were not in fact exhibiting any true artificial intelligence at all.
They were voiced and operated by humans remotely wearing special suits that translated their movements to the droid.
“Today I’m assisted by a human, I’m not yet fully autonomous,” one Optimus operator admitted on video that was shot by a guest who asked.
For many it was reminiscent of another controversy, when Musk shared in January footage of Optimus folding a shirt. Keen observers quickly pointed to the hand of its operator, which failed to be cropped out.
‘CALL IT THE PARLOR TRICK IT IS’
Tesla has been training its robots with the help of people using specialized feedback suits, but Musk gave no indication on Thursday that the robots were operating by any other force than the AI with which they were trained.
He certainly did not mention that the ones in the crowd were essentially metal marionettes.
“Totally worthy to celebrate low latency remote control,” posted Josh Wolfe, co-founder of Lux Capital, “but totally dishonest to demo these as autonomous robots—call it the parlor trick it is.”
Neither Tesla nor Elon Musk responded to a Fortune request to explain their reasons.
Optimus is not just any prototype. Musk believes it will be Tesla’s most important product in history. In June, he predicted it would one day sell for as low as $20,000, cost half that to make, and sell 100 million times over every year.
MUSK’S $25 TRILLION BUSINESS
As a result, he has gone on the record saying annual earnings from Optimus could hit $1 trillion. And if you add a multiple he estimates conservatively, that one business alone should be worth $25 trillion.
Omar Qazi, a veteran Tesla influencer with ties to Musk who functions like an unofficial brand ambassador, readily admitted humans were moving the robots like puppets, but he argued the prototype’s mechanics were still a major accomplishment, even if it lacked AI.
“If you’re not impressed with tele operated Optimus,” he wrote, “go try and make your own robot and try and make it walk through a crowded event without hurting anyone.”
But others, including Tesla content creator Jeremy Judkins, were disappointed by the lack of transparency. “I just wish Tesla was more open and honest at this event, because they gave no, no—NO—hints that the robots were controlled by humans,” he said.