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华尔街不看好奥巴马的财长人选

华尔街不看好奥巴马的财长人选

Stephen Gandel 2012-11-28
华尔街认为,奥巴马可能提名的美国财长人选杰克·卢拥有丰富的政治经验,但对市场一无所知。因此,奥巴马对于修复与华尔街的关系一事并不像他口头说的那么认真。但如今,美国财长这个职位与华尔街的联系越来越密切,华尔街认为,万一杰克·卢真的获得提名,对市场乃至美国经济而言都不是什么好消息。

    被誉为华尔街教父、(1996年鲍勃·杜尔竞选美国总统时)曾盛传为财长头号人选的唐·梅隆表示,他不认识卢,也不知道他对于企业问题采取何种立场。梅隆还说,这对于整个美国企业界和市场都是一个问题。他说:“卢现在需要得到公众的承认,但人们对他所知不多。”

    奇怪的是,民主党对于提名卢似乎也不那么起劲。他们认为,卢对华尔街可能会不够强硬。如果选择鲜有金融市场监管经验的卢,奥巴马将发出这样一个信号:目前他更注重要达成一项预算交易,并不那么关注修复与华尔街大佬们的关系。

    不过,假如卢获得提名,他也不会是第一位拥有丰富政治背景、但缺乏华尔街或美国企业界经验的美国财长。曾经在里根总统第二届任期内担任财长的詹姆斯·贝克就是一个先例。但如今美国财长与华尔街的关系比过去更为重要。当了一辈子监管人士的蒂姆·盖特纳的一项宝贵遗产是向美国财长这一职务注入了更多的市场监管内容。现在,美国财长也是美国金融稳定监管委员会(Financial Stability Oversight Council)的负责人,这个新成立的机构由多个监管部门组成,旨在预警可能引发未来危机的风险。而且,如今美国经济和市场表现的关系比贝克担任财长时期要紧密得多了。

    因此,现在越来越多的华尔街大佬埋怨奥巴马没有听到他们的声音时,尽管其中有些声音确实不用理会,但并不是所有的声音都可以置之不理。

    译者:早稻米

    Don Marron, a dean of Wall Street who was also once rumored to be a top pick for the Treasury Secretary job (under a Bob Dole presidency in 1996), says he doesn't know Lew, or where he stands on business issues. And Marron says that will be a problem for corporate America and the market. "Lew will be more of an unknown at a time when you don't want unknown," he says.

    Strangely enough, Democrats don't seem so excited about Lew either. They don't think he will be tough enough on Wall Street. And by picking Lew, who has little background in regulating financial markets, Obama would signal that he is more focused right now on striking a budget deal, and less focused on further tinkering with the rules on Wall Street.

    Lew wouldn't be the first Treasury Secretary to come from more of a political background instead of Wall Street or corporate America. James Baker, for instance, served as the Treasury Secretary during Reagan's second term. But the relationship between the Treasury Secretary and Wall Street matters more than it used to. One of the legacies of Tim Geithner, who is a lifetime regulator, has been to focus the position more on market regulation. The Treasury Secretary is now the head of the Financial Stability Oversight Council, the newly formed team of regulators that is supposed to be on the lookout for risks that could cause future crises. And the relationship between the economy and the market's performance is much closer than it was back in Baker's day.

    So some of this can be dismissed as more Masters of the Universe griping they are not being heard by Obama. But not all of it.

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