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《财富》水晶球:2014全球大事预测

《财富》水晶球:2014全球大事预测

Ryan Bradley, Geoff Colvin, Catherine Dunn, Leigh Gallagher, Stephen Gandel, Miguel Helft, Jessi Hempel, Marty Jones, Adam Lashinsky, JP Mangalindan, Megan McCarthy, Tory Newmyer, Jennifer Reingold, Daniel Roberts, Alex Taylor, Shawn Tully, and Jen Wieczner 2014-01-08
新的一年会不会爆出更大规模的监控丑闻?苹果会不会推出堪与iPod、iPhone、iPad比肩的重磅新产品?北极资源争夺战会不会擦枪走火?电动汽车会不会大流行?比特币能否进入主流?……新年到来之际,《财富》预测了2014年可能会发生的重大事件。

    同日送达将成为网购业标准

    客户不要指望自己的包裹很快就会由无人机运送至家门口。但随着亚马逊(Amazon)、eBay和其他购物网站强力推动更迅速的送货服务,对于大多数美国消费者来说,享受外加5美元的同日送达服务将变为现实。实际上,eBay已经在5个地区(芝加哥、达拉斯、纽约、旧金山和圣何塞)开展承诺1小时送货上门的eBay Now服务。我们估计,2014年:

    eBay公司的eBay Now服务将扩展至25个城市:84%

    亚马逊将与打车服务提供商Uber合作:52%

    沃尔玛将雇用下班的收银员把商品送至客户家门口:10%。

    Same-day delivery will go standard

    Customers shouldn't expect their packages by drone anytime soon. But as Amazon(AMZN, Fortune 500), eBay (EBAY, Fortune 500), and others push ahead with faster delivery, $5-plus same-day service will become reality for most U.S. shoppers. To wit, eBay Now already approaches one-hour deliveries in five locales (Chicago, Dallas, New York City, San Francisco, and San Jose). Here, what will happen in 2014:

    eBay Now expands to 25 cities: 84%

    Amazon partners with Uber: 52%

    Wal-mart hires off-duty cashiers to drive purchases to customer doors: 10%.

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