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《财富》水晶球:2014全球大事预测

《财富》水晶球:2014全球大事预测

Ryan Bradley, Geoff Colvin, Catherine Dunn, Leigh Gallagher, Stephen Gandel, Miguel Helft, Jessi Hempel, Marty Jones, Adam Lashinsky, JP Mangalindan, Megan McCarthy, Tory Newmyer, Jennifer Reingold, Daniel Roberts, Alex Taylor, Shawn Tully, and Jen Wieczner 2014-01-08
新的一年会不会爆出更大规模的监控丑闻?苹果会不会推出堪与iPod、iPhone、iPad比肩的重磅新产品?北极资源争夺战会不会擦枪走火?电动汽车会不会大流行?比特币能否进入主流?……新年到来之际,《财富》预测了2014年可能会发生的重大事件。

    珍妮特•耶伦将陷入唇枪舌剑的大论战

    美联储公开市场委员会(Open Market Committee)一直是合议气氛最浓厚的决策机构之一,委员们的分歧总是隐藏在晦涩难懂的经济术语,以及古老的会议纪要之中。公开的口角之争非常罕见。但在2014年,所有这一切都将改变,围绕美联储月度购债削减规模(tapering)的争议将在言辞激烈的演讲和新闻媒体访谈中一一呈现。

    概率: 59%。

    Janet Yellen will get into a shouting match

    The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee has long been one of the most collegial institutions in policymaking, with disagreements couched in econo-speak and tucked away in old meeting minutes. Rare is the spat that breaks into the open. But in 2014 all that changes, as disputes over the pace of tapering play out in fiery speeches and news-media interviews.

    Odds: 59%.

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