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欧元不会倒的四大理由

欧元不会倒的四大理由

Nin-Hai Tseng 2012-06-11
欧元目前岌岌可危,关于欧元将崩溃的悲观预测也开始大肆流传,但我们有充分的理由相信欧元不会倒。

    但德国强烈反对这一想法。欧洲央行也反对,虽然官员们已经批准了其他举措来遏制欧元区的债务危机,包括向几家银行提供廉价贷款,回购数千亿欧元的国债。上周四,欧洲央行决定维持基准利率为1.0%,继续顶住外界要求其采取更多措施提振欧元区疲弱经济的压力。

    不过,科克加德表示,欧洲央行还有大量必要时可动用的弹药,但欧洲央行从来不愿承认这一点,生怕各国政府认为除紧缩政策之外还可以有其他选择。

    “事实是如果欧元存亡一线,欧洲央行轻松完全可以购入5,000亿欧元西班牙国债,不会招致德国政府的反对。因此,如有必要,欧洲央行完全可以花钱买来更多的时间。”

    译者:早稻米

    But Germany has fiercely opposed such an idea. And so has the ECB, although officials have passed other measures to stem the region's debt crisis including lending cheaply to several banks and buying up hundreds of billions worth of government bonds. On Thursday, the central bank held its main interest rate at 1.0%, and continued resisting international pressure to do more to help the euro zone's ailing economy.

    Nevertheless, the ECB has plenty of firepower left to use if need be, even if it would never acknowledge that to avoid letting governments think there is an alternative to their calls for austerity, Kirkegaard says.

    "The reality is that the ECB could easily – provided the survival of the euro was at stake – buy 500 billion euros of Spanish government debt without any protests from German governments. Hence, the ECB can buy a lot more time if needed."

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