安倍晋三新政出台，日本经济重振有望

    当然，20年来，日本在增长乏力的情况下曾多次承诺为经济松绑。其中一些承诺得到了兑现，另一些则成为空谈。安倍的工作能取得哪些成效仍有待观察，但日本已经意识到不能光靠积极购买债券来重振经济，这是个好迹象。

邻居的经验可供借鉴

    摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）日本股票研究部门负责人杰斯帕•科尔3月份发表报告指出，美国显然不太可能出现像日本那样的“消失的十年”，因此，日本已表示它希望效仿美国，并在增长策略方面跟上美国的脚步。

    美国不仅自身没有问题，美联储（Federal Reserve）大量收购债券的措施还帮助美国避免了新一轮的衰退。“除了其他因素，日本央行领导班子的变化表明，日本方面又有了新的动力，要遵循以美联储为首的模式，将促增长措施作为货币政策的重心。”

    比如说，日本一直在积极参与谈判，希望加入《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》（Trans-Pacific Partnership）。这个协定是美国和环太平洋地区其他国家签署的自由贸易协议。安倍认为，要继续成为亚洲主要经济体，并具备影响亚洲未来的能力，加入这个协定是日本最后的机会。

    为抵御来自国外的竞争，日本在各个行业都实施繁琐的监管，从零售到医疗保健再到汽车制造都是如此，这一点众所周知。而《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》能消除此类贸易障碍——支持者和安倍都说它将扭转日本的经济走势。

    不过，农民和其他有影响力的团体仍对此表示反对。安倍能否借助自身人气来克服这样的困难仍有待观察。（财富中文网）

    译者：Charlie

    To be sure, much of Japan's two decades of meager growth were also marked by promises to deregulate the economy. While some were kept, many were not. It remains to be seen what Abe might bring to the table, but it's a good sign that Japan recognizes reviving the economy doesn't rest only with an aggressive bond-buying program.

A neighbor to follow

    Now that it's clear the U.S. is likely not falling into a Japan-style lost decade, Japan has signaled it wants to follow its Western neighbor and catch up with its growth strategies, said Jesper Koll, director of Japan equity research at J.P. Morgan, in a March report.

    Not that the U.S. doesn't have its own problems, but the Federal Reserve's aggressive bond-buying program has helped the country avoid another recession. "If nothing else, the regime change at the Bank of Japan indicates a newfound vigor to follow the Fed-led model of pro-growth stimulus focused in monetary policy."

    For instance, Japan has been eager to join negotiations for the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a free-trade pact with the U.S. and other Pacific nations. Abe sees it as Japan's last chance to remain an economic power in Asia and shape the region's future.

    Japan is notorious for burdensome regulations over everything from retail to health to autos that shut out foreign competitors. The partnership would eliminate such barriers to trade -- something proponents and Abe say could turn Japan's economy around.

    Abe still faces opposition from farmers and other influential groups, however. And it remains to be seen if he could overcome that with his popularity.