末日博士：中国可能会推迟经济改革

    油价大幅下跌。许多中东国家仍然依赖石油收入。收入下降可能导致中东地区陷于动荡，而这种局面通常会引发油价暴涨。

    鲁比尼还坚称，美国在基础设施和教育领域的投资不足。他认为，未来几年，普通的蓝领工人将被社会抛在后面。因此，不平等程度可能只会变得更糟。

    但在鲁比尼看来，最大的问题或许是美联储。鲁比尼表示，美联储正陷入一种亟需采取更多措施帮助经济复苏的境地，但与此同时，它又开始创造出新的泡沫。鲁比尼声称，他发现一些领域，特别是房地产市场、垃圾债券和比特币，正在“泡沫化”。但在两年或三年后，我们有可能面临一个将导致另一场金融危机爆发的问题，鲁比尼说。

    “资本将产生不菲的收益，熟练劳动力的前景也不错，”鲁比尼说。“但蓝领工人的境遇恐怕就没有这么好了。”（财富中文网）

    译者：叶寒     

    On energy, Roubini argues that a rising supply of oil in the U.S. and elsewhere will not bring down prices much. A number of Middle Eastern countries are still dependent on oil revenues. Lower revenues could lead to instability in the region, and that typically leads to oil price spikes.

    Roubini also maintains that the U.S. is underinvesting in infrastructure and education, arguing that the average blue collar American worker in the next few years will be left behind. As a result, inequality is only likely to get worse.

    But the biggest problem, Roubini thinks, could be the Federal Reserve. Roubini says the Fed is caught in a position where it needs to do more to help the economy, but at the same time, it's beginning to create new bubbles. He referred to what he sees now as "frothiness," pointing in particular to housing, junk bonds, and, potentially, bitcoins. But in two or three years time, Roubini says we could have a problem that leads to another financial crisis.

    "Capital will do well, and skilled labor will do well," says Roubini. "Blue collar workers, not as much."