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X世代本应是经济安全后盾,现在却成了“苦苦挣扎的中间层”

ELEANOR PRINGLE
2024-10-15

X世代面临着艰难的平衡:既追求独立财务又要支持子女。

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图片来源:ROB DOBI - GETTY IMAGES

X世代本应是可靠的消费者,他们手握稳定的财富,还将从婴儿潮一代和沉默一代父母继承数万亿美元。

事实上,正是这一代人的消费支撑着经济,即便是华尔街经验最丰富的投资人都会惊讶于X世代消费习惯的韧性。

但情况正在改变。

一边要为未来十年退休做准备,一边面临继续支持子女的挑战,他们的消费观念也在改变。

不管是老龄化还是经济上支持后代,两种情况都会促使储蓄。这意味着,热爱刷卡消费的一代人现在更注重投资。

专家表示,这一趋势对经济来说并不是坏事,但确实标志着与常规背离。

挣扎的中间层

美国银行研究所(Bank of America Institute)上周发布的研究显示,与其他几代人相比,X世代客户消费“格外疲软”,分析师不禁提出疑问,是否这代人成了经济中“苦苦挣扎的中间层”。

与两年前相比,X世代的行为发生了明显转变,当时美国经济分析局(U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis)发现,X世代在当年支出中占比最高。

美国银行研究所的经济学家乔·瓦德福德写道:“X世代由于人数相对较少经常被忽视。然而,他们在美国经济中作用举足轻重。”

他指出,2022年美国27%的家庭由X世代主导,占消费支出的比例却达33%。

现在这代人正捂紧钱包,2023年初以来购物一直减少。8月,X世代消费同比下降了2%。

瓦德福德指出,这一转变并不是坏消息,除非公司业务严重依赖X世代的自由支出。

“我们发现,这代人的自由支出尤其放缓或推迟,”本周,他接受《财富》视频采访时表示。

“为什么会这样?我们发现不一定是支出或生活成本问题,因为他们的平均薪水足够抵消生活成本上涨,”他说,“他们只是在投资,而且投资很多。所以推迟了一些支出。”

他进一步补充道,理由很清楚:“X世代的钱如何分配?在我们看来,可能投向两个方面:1)为退休做准备而投资,2)支持依赖性越来越强的年轻人。”

乐观的迹象

瓦德福德补充道,事实上,X世代决心退休后实现经济独立,总体投资比其他世代多40%。对其他几代人来说不仅“鼓舞人心”,也是“好兆头”。

他解释说:“考虑退休时,这是我对未来前景最重要的衡量标准。

“如果我为退休大笔投资,就意味着我认为10年后有可能顺利退休。现在投资是对未来充满希望的最重要迹象。

“这绝对是值得学习的榜样,”他补充道。

调整重点

菲尔·勒克莱尔是美国银行(Bank of America)所指X世代消费者的典型代表。这位53岁的父亲有四个孩子,在马萨诸塞州经营着自己的公关公司。

勒克莱尔的孩子年龄从两岁半到22岁,意味着他在规划财务时既要考虑支持大学毕业的儿子,也要考虑蹒跚学步的孩子。

与其他X世代不同,勒克莱尔并没有固定的退休年龄。如果孩子需要经济支持,他只会更努力地工作。

不过勒克莱尔表示,近年来他的支出方式有些变化。

由于在墨西哥办婚礼,又去希腊度蜜月,今年夏天勒克莱尔花费巨大。他表示现在首要任务是平衡支出和储蓄。

“现在我对存了多少花掉多少都一清二楚,”勒克莱尔告诉《财富》杂志。

“我不是容易被金钱或经济利益诱惑的人。但随着年龄增长,我的双亲已逝,去年父亲刚去世。这些事都会极大改变人的生死观以及对身后事的看法,”他解释说。

“我喜欢花钱,在我看来所爱之人能拥有想要的东西很重要,但在人生这一阶段,我会更关注投资什么,有没有用钱赚更多钱?”

过去六年勒克莱尔一直自己当老板,所以能根据需要灵活管理客户数量。他现在的年收入超过了20万美元。

尽管收入不菲,但勒克莱尔有意不把钱浪费在物质消耗品上。

“我不会乱花钱,现在我更注重身心健康,”勒克莱尔解释说,“举个例子,本周我要去佛罗里达州小住几天,让自己放松下。

“年轻的时候我从未真正想过这些事。不管是工作还是家庭,一直都是往前冲。”

他补充说:“现在如果花钱,我愿意花在自己或家人能享受的体验上。随着年龄增长……这些事对我来说很重要。”(财富中文网)

译者:梁宇

审校:夏林

X世代本应是可靠的消费者,他们手握稳定的财富,还将从婴儿潮一代和沉默一代父母继承数万亿美元。

事实上,正是这一代人的消费支撑着经济,即便是华尔街经验最丰富的投资人都会惊讶于X世代消费习惯的韧性。

但情况正在改变。

一边要为未来十年退休做准备,一边面临继续支持子女的挑战,他们的消费观念也在改变。

不管是老龄化还是经济上支持后代,两种情况都会促使储蓄。这意味着,热爱刷卡消费的一代人现在更注重投资。

专家表示,这一趋势对经济来说并不是坏事,但确实标志着与常规背离。

挣扎的中间层

美国银行研究所(Bank of America Institute)上周发布的研究显示,与其他几代人相比,X世代客户消费“格外疲软”,分析师不禁提出疑问,是否这代人成了经济中“苦苦挣扎的中间层”。

与两年前相比,X世代的行为发生了明显转变,当时美国经济分析局(U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis)发现,X世代在当年支出中占比最高。

美国银行研究所的经济学家乔·瓦德福德写道:“X世代由于人数相对较少经常被忽视。然而,他们在美国经济中作用举足轻重。”

他指出,2022年美国27%的家庭由X世代主导,占消费支出的比例却达33%。

现在这代人正捂紧钱包,2023年初以来购物一直减少。8月,X世代消费同比下降了2%。

瓦德福德指出,这一转变并不是坏消息,除非公司业务严重依赖X世代的自由支出。

“我们发现,这代人的自由支出尤其放缓或推迟,”本周,他接受《财富》视频采访时表示。

“为什么会这样?我们发现不一定是支出或生活成本问题,因为他们的平均薪水足够抵消生活成本上涨,”他说,“他们只是在投资,而且投资很多。所以推迟了一些支出。”

他进一步补充道,理由很清楚:“X世代的钱如何分配?在我们看来,可能投向两个方面:1)为退休做准备而投资,2)支持依赖性越来越强的年轻人。”

乐观的迹象

瓦德福德补充道,事实上,X世代决心退休后实现经济独立,总体投资比其他世代多40%。对其他几代人来说不仅“鼓舞人心”,也是“好兆头”。

他解释说:“考虑退休时,这是我对未来前景最重要的衡量标准。

“如果我为退休大笔投资,就意味着我认为10年后有可能顺利退休。现在投资是对未来充满希望的最重要迹象。

“这绝对是值得学习的榜样,”他补充道。

调整重点

菲尔·勒克莱尔是美国银行(Bank of America)所指X世代消费者的典型代表。这位53岁的父亲有四个孩子,在马萨诸塞州经营着自己的公关公司。

勒克莱尔的孩子年龄从两岁半到22岁,意味着他在规划财务时既要考虑支持大学毕业的儿子,也要考虑蹒跚学步的孩子。

与其他X世代不同,勒克莱尔并没有固定的退休年龄。如果孩子需要经济支持,他只会更努力地工作。

不过勒克莱尔表示,近年来他的支出方式有些变化。

由于在墨西哥办婚礼,又去希腊度蜜月,今年夏天勒克莱尔花费巨大。他表示现在首要任务是平衡支出和储蓄。

“现在我对存了多少花掉多少都一清二楚,”勒克莱尔告诉《财富》杂志。

“我不是容易被金钱或经济利益诱惑的人。但随着年龄增长,我的双亲已逝,去年父亲刚去世。这些事都会极大改变人的生死观以及对身后事的看法,”他解释说。

“我喜欢花钱,在我看来所爱之人能拥有想要的东西很重要,但在人生这一阶段,我会更关注投资什么,有没有用钱赚更多钱?”

过去六年勒克莱尔一直自己当老板,所以能根据需要灵活管理客户数量。他现在的年收入超过了20万美元。

尽管收入不菲,但勒克莱尔有意不把钱浪费在物质消耗品上。

“我不会乱花钱,现在我更注重身心健康,”勒克莱尔解释说,“举个例子,本周我要去佛罗里达州小住几天,让自己放松下。

“年轻的时候我从未真正想过这些事。不管是工作还是家庭,一直都是往前冲。”

他补充说:“现在如果花钱,我愿意花在自己或家人能享受的体验上。随着年龄增长……这些事对我来说很重要。”(财富中文网)

译者:梁宇

审校:夏林

Gen X was meant to be the dependable consumer—the reliable generation firmly on the property ladder, preparing to inherit trillions from their boomer and silent generation parents.

And indeed, they are the shoppers whose spending has helped prop up the economy—surprising even the most experienced on Wall Street with how resilient their spending habits could prove to be.

But that’s changing.

It seems the challenge of preparing for a retirement within the next decade or so and continuing to support children is changing their outlook.

And both scenarios—aging and financially supporting offspring—prompts saving. This means the generation relied upon for tapping their cards at the cashier’s desk are instead focusing more on investing.

It’s not a bad thing for the economy, experts say, but it does mark a departure from the norm.

Struggling middle child

Research released by the Bank of America Institute last week revealed spending among Gen X customers was “particularly weak” compared to other generations, prompting analysts to ask if they’re now the economy’s “struggling middle child.”

Their behavior is a marked turnaround from two years ago, when the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis found Gen X contributed the largest portion of spending that year.

Joe Wadford, economist at the Bank of America Institute, writes: “As a relatively small generation in number, [Gen X] are often overlooked. However, they play a pivotal role in the U.S. economy.”

He points to data that in 2022, 27% of households in America were headed by a Gen Xer, but they made up 33% of all consumer spending.

But this demographic is now tightening the purse strings and has been pulling back on purchasing since early 2023. Their spending was down 2% year-on-year in August.

Wadford points out that this shift isn’t bad news—unless you’re a business heavily relying on Gen X’s discretionary spend.

“We saw that they were especially slowing down or deferring their discretionary spending,” he told Fortune in a video interview this week.

“Now why is that? We found that it wasn’t necessarily like expense or a cost of living issue because their wages have seen, on average, enough to offset the cost of living increases,” he said. “It’s the fact that they’re just investing and they’re investing a lot. They’re deferring some of that spending.”

The reasoning is clear, his note adds: “Where are Gen X allocating their money? In our view, it’s likely in two places: 1) investing for retirement, and 2) supporting an increasingly dependent young adult population.”

A sign of optimism

Indeed the fact that Gen X is determined to set themselves up to be financially independent in retirement—investing 40% more overall than any other generation—isn’t just “inspiring” for other generations, Wadford added, it’s a “great sign.”

He explained: “When I think about retirement, it’s is the ultimate measure for how I feel the future is going to pan out.

“If I’m investing a lot for retirement, that means that I think that in 10 years things are to be in a position where I can retire. Investments now are the ultimate sign that there is hope for the future.

“It’s definitely something to model yourself after,” he added.

Changing priorities

Phil LeClare is typical of the Gen X consumer Bank of America is referring to. The 53-year-old father-of-four runs his own PR agency in Massachusetts.

LeClare’s children range from the ages of 22 to two and a half, meaning the entrepreneur’s financial priorities range from supporting his college-grad son to planning for his toddler’s future.

Unlike other Gen Xers, LeClare hasn’t got a immovable year in mind for when he’d like to retire—in fact he’d ramp up his work even more if his children needed the financial support.

But in recent years LeClare said his approach to spending has changed.

Despite significant costs this summer such as his wedding in Mexico and honeymoon in Greece, LeClare says his priority is now balancing all of his outgoings with equal savings.

“I am much more keenly aware of what’s being saved and what’s going out now than I ever have at any other point in my life,” LeClare told Fortune.

“I’m not someone who is consumed by money or financial gain. But by the same token as I get older—I’ve lost both parents, my dad most recently a year ago—those things play a big role in changing one’s thinking about their mortality and what they’re leaving behind,” he explained.

“I like to spend money, it’s important to me that the people I love have the things they want, but at this point in my life I look at what I’m investing in and am I using my money to make more money?”

LeClare has worked for himself for the past six years, giving him the freedom to increase or trim his client base as needed. The result is an annual income upwards of $200,000.

Despite his healthy salary, LeClare is conscious not to waste it on material consumables.

“I don’t spend frivolously on things, however I’m much more mindful now of physical and mental health,” LeClare explained. “For example this week I’m going to Florida for a couple of days to get myself back to a point of relaxation.

“Those things I didn’t really think about when I was younger. It was just go, go, go—from a work standpoint and a family standpoint.”

He added: “If I’m spending money I need to be spending [it] on something that is an experience for me or my family. As I’ve gotten older… those things are what’s important to me.”

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