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全美有超一半家庭买不起一套普通房子

ALENA BOTROS
2024-09-04

要买得起一套中等价位的简易房,潜在购房者的年收入需要近8万美元,然而50.1%的家庭年收入不超过7.5万美元。

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在房价高得无法承受的时代寻找住房。图片来源:GETTY IMAGES

每个人都想拥有一套简易房。在竞标战中,有时这意味着每周五晚上都要请卖家吃披萨,但仍然会被拒绝。

这听起来似乎很有趣,但全美有一半家庭的收入不足以购买一套简易房。根据Redfin的数据,要买得起一套中等价位的简易房,潜在购房者的年收入需要近8万美元。然而,美国人口普查局(Census Bureau)的数据显示,50.1%的家庭年收入不超过7.5万美元。

普通股的简易房通常只有一到两间卧室。在另一个时代,它可能有三间卧室,面积可能在1200平方英尺(约合111.48平方米)左右。简易房并不总是位于完美的社区或城市,但却比中等水平的住宅更经济实惠。最关键的一点是,现在的简易房甚至都算不上简易房了。人们可以购买的房屋数量在不断减少,而且这种情况似乎还会持续一段时间。遗憾的是,这带来的问题不仅仅是找不到住的地方。房地产是很多普通美国人积累财富的方式:他们买一栋小房子,房子升值,他们由此积累资产,然后出售,再买一栋更大的房子。每一次,他们的个人财富都会增加,但如今要做到这一点要难得多,而且对于大部分千禧一代和Z世代买家来说几乎是不可能的。

分析指出:“美国人需要比一年前赚更多钱,而且比疫情前赚更多钱,才能买得起一套简易房,原因是抵押贷款利率上升,房价接近历史最高点。”上个月,抵押贷款利率平均为6.85%,远低于春季,但与疫情低点相去甚远:普通简易房售价为25万美元,创历史新高。20万美元简易房的时代一去不复返了。

由于住房负担能力如此恶化,那些原本可以负担得起简易房的家庭已经失去了优势。Redfin表示:“房价上涨迫使许多中等收入的美国人购买简易房,并将许多低收入家庭完全挤出市场。”

在随后的分析中,该公司表示:“简易房是热门商品;低收入家庭、中等收入家庭和投资者都在争相购买。”作者举例说,由于更多人感兴趣和库存增加,上月待售简易房销量较上年同期增长10%。因此,找到简易房变得更容易,但负担能力却恶化了。

密尔沃基的一位Redfin高级经纪人在报告中表示:“这里有一些既令人向往又负担得起的社区,房屋售价在15万至35万美元之间。但首次购房者却面临着困难,因为这些房屋通常会收到至少五份报价。”在密尔沃基,简易房的中位数价格为19.5万美元。

“我最近以21万美元的价格挂牌了一套房子,并收到了几份报价。其中一份报价包括每周五晚上请卖家吃披萨,直到交易完成。我们最终选择了出价更高的一方,但这是买家竞相购买简易房时所表现出的创造力的一个例子。”

据Redfin估计,在50个人口最多的大都市区中,有一半的家庭收入达到了当地的中位数,但却无力购买简易房。考虑一下南加州的部分地区,那里的家庭需要比当地估计的收入高出很多,才能购买一套简易房。根据Redfin的数据,洛杉矶的收入中位数约为9.3万美元。该房地产经纪公司与美国人口普查局的数据略有不同,后者列出的洛杉矶县家庭收入中位数约为82500美元。总而言之,洛杉矶家庭的收入需要接近18.5万美元,才能买得起一套价值65万美元的普通简易房。

在北加州,Redfin估计的收入中位数更高,但仍不足以负担起一套普通的简易房。在圣何塞,简易房的中位数价格为97万美元,而Redfin估算的收入中位数约为17万美元。人口普查局的数据显示,圣何塞、圣克拉拉县地区的收入中位数接近15.5万美元。与此同时,购买简易房所需的收入超过29.9万美元。

圣何塞地区的一位Redfin经纪人在分析中说道:“湾区的房价太高了,就连许多高收入的科技员工也望而却步,所以他们开始关注周边城市。我有一个客户想在帕洛阿尔托买房,但已经负担不起了,所以他们在森尼维耳市和圣克拉拉寻找住房。这使得邻近城市的许多低收入者完全被排除在外。”

尽管这并不是什么新鲜事,但其中蕴含的含义却十分恐怖。考虑到两位候选人在住房问题上截然不同的政策建议和评论,在大选年住房危机的背景下,这一点值得关注。

Redfin首席经济学家达里尔·费尔韦瑟(Daryl Fairweather)在分析中表示:“卡玛拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)和唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)都承诺让更多人负担得起住房,但只有哈里斯表示住房问题是当务之急。她计划新建300万套住房,这将使普通美国家庭更能负担得起简易房。”

她继续说道:“哈里斯提出的实现这一目标的途径之一是通过激励地方政府和补贴经济适用房的建筑商。这可能有助于解决简易房严重短缺的问题,尤其是在昂贵的沿海地区市场。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

每个人都想拥有一套简易房。在竞标战中,有时这意味着每周五晚上都要请卖家吃披萨,但仍然会被拒绝。

这听起来似乎很有趣,但全美有一半家庭的收入不足以购买一套简易房。根据Redfin的数据,要买得起一套中等价位的简易房,潜在购房者的年收入需要近8万美元。然而,美国人口普查局(Census Bureau)的数据显示,50.1%的家庭年收入不超过7.5万美元。

普通股的简易房通常只有一到两间卧室。在另一个时代,它可能有三间卧室,面积可能在1200平方英尺(约合111.48平方米)左右。简易房并不总是位于完美的社区或城市,但却比中等水平的住宅更经济实惠。最关键的一点是,现在的简易房甚至都算不上简易房了。人们可以购买的房屋数量在不断减少,而且这种情况似乎还会持续一段时间。遗憾的是,这带来的问题不仅仅是找不到住的地方。房地产是很多普通美国人积累财富的方式:他们买一栋小房子,房子升值,他们由此积累资产,然后出售,再买一栋更大的房子。每一次,他们的个人财富都会增加,但如今要做到这一点要难得多,而且对于大部分千禧一代和Z世代买家来说几乎是不可能的。

分析指出:“美国人需要比一年前赚更多钱,而且比疫情前赚更多钱,才能买得起一套简易房,原因是抵押贷款利率上升,房价接近历史最高点。”上个月,抵押贷款利率平均为6.85%,远低于春季,但与疫情低点相去甚远:普通简易房售价为25万美元,创历史新高。20万美元简易房的时代一去不复返了。

由于住房负担能力如此恶化,那些原本可以负担得起简易房的家庭已经失去了优势。Redfin表示:“房价上涨迫使许多中等收入的美国人购买简易房,并将许多低收入家庭完全挤出市场。”

在随后的分析中,该公司表示:“简易房是热门商品;低收入家庭、中等收入家庭和投资者都在争相购买。”作者举例说,由于更多人感兴趣和库存增加,上月待售简易房销量较上年同期增长10%。因此,找到简易房变得更容易,但负担能力却恶化了。

密尔沃基的一位Redfin高级经纪人在报告中表示:“这里有一些既令人向往又负担得起的社区,房屋售价在15万至35万美元之间。但首次购房者却面临着困难,因为这些房屋通常会收到至少五份报价。”在密尔沃基,简易房的中位数价格为19.5万美元。

“我最近以21万美元的价格挂牌了一套房子,并收到了几份报价。其中一份报价包括每周五晚上请卖家吃披萨,直到交易完成。我们最终选择了出价更高的一方,但这是买家竞相购买简易房时所表现出的创造力的一个例子。”

据Redfin估计,在50个人口最多的大都市区中,有一半的家庭收入达到了当地的中位数,但却无力购买简易房。考虑一下南加州的部分地区,那里的家庭需要比当地估计的收入高出很多,才能购买一套简易房。根据Redfin的数据,洛杉矶的收入中位数约为9.3万美元。该房地产经纪公司与美国人口普查局的数据略有不同,后者列出的洛杉矶县家庭收入中位数约为82500美元。总而言之,洛杉矶家庭的收入需要接近18.5万美元,才能买得起一套价值65万美元的普通简易房。

在北加州,Redfin估计的收入中位数更高,但仍不足以负担起一套普通的简易房。在圣何塞,简易房的中位数价格为97万美元,而Redfin估算的收入中位数约为17万美元。人口普查局的数据显示,圣何塞、圣克拉拉县地区的收入中位数接近15.5万美元。与此同时,购买简易房所需的收入超过29.9万美元。

圣何塞地区的一位Redfin经纪人在分析中说道:“湾区的房价太高了,就连许多高收入的科技员工也望而却步,所以他们开始关注周边城市。我有一个客户想在帕洛阿尔托买房,但已经负担不起了,所以他们在森尼维耳市和圣克拉拉寻找住房。这使得邻近城市的许多低收入者完全被排除在外。”

尽管这并不是什么新鲜事,但其中蕴含的含义却十分恐怖。考虑到两位候选人在住房问题上截然不同的政策建议和评论,在大选年住房危机的背景下,这一点值得关注。

Redfin首席经济学家达里尔·费尔韦瑟(Daryl Fairweather)在分析中表示:“卡玛拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)和唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)都承诺让更多人负担得起住房,但只有哈里斯表示住房问题是当务之急。她计划新建300万套住房,这将使普通美国家庭更能负担得起简易房。”

她继续说道:“哈里斯提出的实现这一目标的途径之一是通过激励地方政府和补贴经济适用房的建筑商。这可能有助于解决简易房严重短缺的问题,尤其是在昂贵的沿海地区市场。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

Everyone wants a starter home. In bidding wars, sometimes it means buying a seller pizza every Friday night, and still getting passed up.

It may sound as if it’s all fun and games, but half of all households in the country don’t earn enough money to buy a simple starter place. To afford a median-priced starter home, would-be buyers need to earn almost $80,000 a year, according to Redfin. Yet, Census Bureau data shows 50.1% of households earn $75,000 or less.

A typical starter home is usually one to two bedrooms. In another time, it may have been three and probably around 1,200 square feet. They aren’t always in the perfect neighborhood or city, but they are more affordable than a mid-tier home. The crucial point is starter homes are hardly even starter homes anymore. How much home people can buy keeps dwindling and it seems as though it’ll continue to do so for some time. Unfortunately, this poses a problem apart from simply finding a place to live. Real estate is the way a lot of typical Americans build wealth; they buy one small house, it appreciates, they build equity, and then they sell and buy a bigger one. Each time, they move up in terms of personal wealth, but that is much harder to do today—and nearly impossible for large swaths of millennial and Gen-Z buyers.

“Americans need to earn more than a year ago–and much more than before the pandemic–to afford a starter home because mortgage rates are elevated and home prices are near record highs,” the analysis stated. Last month, mortgage rates averaged 6.85%, much lower than in the spring, but a far cry away from the pandemic lows; and the typical starter home sold for $250,000, a record high. Gone are the days of $200,000 starter homes.

Because housing affordability is so strained, households that could have previously afforded more than a starter home, have lost ground. “Rising prices have pushed many middle-income Americans to buy starter homes, and pushed many lower-income households out of the market altogether,” Redfin said.

Later in the analysis, it said: “Starter homes are a hot commodity; lower-income families, middle-income families and investors are all vying for them.” The author cited pending starter home sales, which rose 10% last month compared to a year earlier between increasing interest and inventory. So it’s become easier to find a starter home but harder to afford one.

“There are neighborhoods here that are both desirable and affordable, with homes selling in the $150,000 to $350,000 range. But first-time buyers are struggling because those homes typically get at least five offers,” a Redfin Premier agent in Milwaukee said in the report. In Milwaukee, the median starter home price is $195,000.

“I recently listed a house for $210,000 and it received several bids, one of which included an offer to buy the seller pizza every Friday night until the deal closed. We ended up going with a higher offer, but that’s an example of the creativity we’re seeing as buyers compete for starter homes.”

In half of the 50 most populous metropolitan areas, a family earning the local median income can’t afford to buy a starter home, according to Redfin’s estimates. Consider parts of Southern California, where families need to make substantially more than the estimated local income to buy a starter home. In Los Angeles, the median income is around $93,000, per Redfin. The real estate brokerage firm’s data differs slightly from the Census Bureau, which lists the median household income in Los Angeles county at around $82,500. All told, an LA household needs to earn close to $185,000 to afford a typical starter home valued at $650,000.

In Northern California, Redfin’s estimated median incomes are higher, and still not nearly enough to match what is needed to afford a typical starter home. In San Jose, the median price for a starter home is $970,000, and the median income is around $170,000 per Redfin. Census Bureau data shows it’s close to $155,000 for the San Jose, Santa Clara county area. Meanwhile, the income that’s needed to buy a starter home is more than $299,000.

“Homes in the Bay Area are so expensive that even many high-earning tech employees have been priced out of the area, so they’re looking at neighboring cities,” a Redfin agent in the San Jose area said in the analysis. “I have one client who wanted to buy in Palo Alto, but they can’t afford it anymore so they’re looking in Sunnyvale and Santa Clara. That’s pricing out a lot of lower earners in those neighboring cities completely.”

The implication of that is scary, even if it’s nothing new. And in an election year, in the midst of a housing crisis, it’s something to watch considering the two candidates’ very different policy proposals and commentary on housing.

“Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have promised to make homeownership more affordable, but only Harris has signaled that housing is a top priority,” Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather said in the analysis. “Her plan to build 3 million new homes could make starter homes more affordable for the average American family.”

She continued: “One pathway Harris has suggested for accomplishing that goal is through incentives to local governments and subsidies for builders of affordable housing. That could help battle the severe starter-home shortage, particularly in expensive coastal markets.”

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