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巴菲特40年“老将”猛抛伯克希尔股份

WILL DANIEL
2024-09-17

沃伦·巴菲特的保险大师阿吉特·贾因最近出售逾一半伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股份。

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沃伦·巴菲特和阿吉特·贾因。图片来源:PHOTOGRAPHER: PANKAJ NANGIA/BLOOMBERG VIA GETTY IMAGES

自1986年离开麦肯锡公司(McKinsey & Co.)加入伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway)以来,阿吉特·贾因一直是沃伦·巴菲特身边的重要人物,多年来帮助这家企业集团将旗下的保险业务发展成为一家全球巨头。但现在,这位时年73岁的伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司非保险业务副董事长正在出售股票。

贾因上周一出售了200股伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司A类股票,约占所持总股份的55%,套现1.39亿美元。目前,他个人仅持有61股伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股票,通过家族信托持有55股,非营利性组织贾因基金会(Jain Foundation)也持有50股。众所周知,巴菲特从未拆分伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的A类股票,这样做是为了阻止做空者和高频交易者,也是为了鼓励长期价值投资者。贾因以每股695417.65美元的均价出售了所持股票。按此价格计算,他所持剩余股份的价值约为1.154亿美元。

贾因出售股票的动机尚不清楚,但可能只是为了在适当的时机获利了结。Check Capital Management总裁兼首席信息官史蒂夫·切克(Steve Check)在接受《财富》杂志采访时表示:“我觉得这有点出人意料。我能想到的唯一原因是他认为这只股票已经完全定价了,而且确实如此——自金融危机前以来,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的股票可能从未像现在这样完全定价,目前的交易价格是账面价值的1.65倍左右。”该公司有24.4%的资产持有伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的股票。

贾因最近的抛售无疑是利用了伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股价上涨的优势。迄今为止,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的股价已经飙升了近23%,使这家大型企业集团的市值有史以来首次突破1万亿美元大关。相比之下,标准普尔500指数的同期涨幅约为17%。

贾因出售的背后也可能有税收方面的考虑。切克认为:"如果他认为资本利得税税率将来会提高,那么他可能想利用(比如说)现在相对较低的税率。”

在最近一次总统辩论之后,许多全国民意调查都转向了副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris),她计划在当选后将最高资本利得税税率从20%提高到28%。贾因可能只是想在这些政策通过之前获利了结。

像切克这样的伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股东并不担心贾因出售股票是股票被高估的信号,甚至也不担心这位资深经理人将很快退休,尽管贾因的退休问题一直是最近股东大会上讨论的话题。

如果贾因退休,对伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司来说无疑是一个巨大的打击。这位印度裔高管花费数十年时间打造了这家企业集团庞大的保险业务,其中包括国家雇员保险公司(Geico)、伯克希尔哈撒韦初级集团(Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group)和伯克希尔-哈撒韦再保险集团(Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group),多年来赢得了巴菲特的尊重。

在2017年致股东的信中,巴菲特表示,贾因在其职业生涯中为伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股东创造了“数百亿美元的价值”,称他是一位“久经考验的执行者”。

他补充说:“如果再出现一个阿吉特,你可以让他取代我,无需犹豫。”

在伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司2023年的年度股东大会上,巴菲特再次强调,贾因是该集团成功的关键要素。他告诉投资者:“如果没有阿吉特的管理,我们就不会有同样的业务规模。”

他指出,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的保险业务在2023年的3644亿美元营收中占834亿美元,约为23%,占其营收的三分之一。晨星公司(Morningstar)的分析师今年早些时候指出,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司一半的估值也来自保险业务。(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

自1986年离开麦肯锡公司(McKinsey & Co.)加入伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway)以来,阿吉特·贾因一直是沃伦·巴菲特身边的重要人物,多年来帮助这家企业集团将旗下的保险业务发展成为一家全球巨头。但现在,这位时年73岁的伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司非保险业务副董事长正在出售股票。

贾因上周一出售了200股伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司A类股票,约占所持总股份的55%,套现1.39亿美元。目前,他个人仅持有61股伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股票,通过家族信托持有55股,非营利性组织贾因基金会(Jain Foundation)也持有50股。众所周知,巴菲特从未拆分伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的A类股票,这样做是为了阻止做空者和高频交易者,也是为了鼓励长期价值投资者。贾因以每股695417.65美元的均价出售了所持股票。按此价格计算,他所持剩余股份的价值约为1.154亿美元。

贾因出售股票的动机尚不清楚,但可能只是为了在适当的时机获利了结。Check Capital Management总裁兼首席信息官史蒂夫·切克(Steve Check)在接受《财富》杂志采访时表示:“我觉得这有点出人意料。我能想到的唯一原因是他认为这只股票已经完全定价了,而且确实如此——自金融危机前以来,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的股票可能从未像现在这样完全定价,目前的交易价格是账面价值的1.65倍左右。”该公司有24.4%的资产持有伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的股票。

贾因最近的抛售无疑是利用了伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股价上涨的优势。迄今为止,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的股价已经飙升了近23%,使这家大型企业集团的市值有史以来首次突破1万亿美元大关。相比之下,标准普尔500指数的同期涨幅约为17%。

贾因出售的背后也可能有税收方面的考虑。切克认为:"如果他认为资本利得税税率将来会提高,那么他可能想利用(比如说)现在相对较低的税率。”

在最近一次总统辩论之后,许多全国民意调查都转向了副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris),她计划在当选后将最高资本利得税税率从20%提高到28%。贾因可能只是想在这些政策通过之前获利了结。

像切克这样的伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股东并不担心贾因出售股票是股票被高估的信号,甚至也不担心这位资深经理人将很快退休,尽管贾因的退休问题一直是最近股东大会上讨论的话题。

如果贾因退休,对伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司来说无疑是一个巨大的打击。这位印度裔高管花费数十年时间打造了这家企业集团庞大的保险业务,其中包括国家雇员保险公司(Geico)、伯克希尔哈撒韦初级集团(Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group)和伯克希尔-哈撒韦再保险集团(Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group),多年来赢得了巴菲特的尊重。

在2017年致股东的信中,巴菲特表示,贾因在其职业生涯中为伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司股东创造了“数百亿美元的价值”,称他是一位“久经考验的执行者”。

他补充说:“如果再出现一个阿吉特,你可以让他取代我,无需犹豫。”

在伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司2023年的年度股东大会上,巴菲特再次强调,贾因是该集团成功的关键要素。他告诉投资者:“如果没有阿吉特的管理,我们就不会有同样的业务规模。”

他指出,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的保险业务在2023年的3644亿美元营收中占834亿美元,约为23%,占其营收的三分之一。晨星公司(Morningstar)的分析师今年早些时候指出,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司一半的估值也来自保险业务。(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

Ajit Jain has been a feature at Warren Buffett’s side since he left McKinsey & Co. to join Berkshire Hathaway in 1986, helping to grow the conglomerate’s suite of insurance businesses into a global powerhouse over the years. But now Berkshire’s 73-year-old vice chairman of non-insurance operations is selling stock.

Jain sold 200 Berkshire Class A shares on Monday for roughly $139 million, representing roughly 55% of his total stake in the conglomerate. He now holds just 61 Berkshire shares personally, as well as 55 shares in a family trust, and 50 in a nonprofit corporation called the Jain Foundation. Buffett has famously never split Berkshire’s Class A stock, which discourages short-sellers and high-frequency traders, and is meant to encourage long-term value investors. Jain sold his shares at an average price of $695,417.65 per share. At that price, the value of his remaining stake is about $115.4 million.

What motivated Jain to sell is still unclear, but it could simply be a matter of taking profits at an opportune time. “I’d say it’s a bit surprising,” Steve Check, president and CIO of Check Capital Management, which has 24.4% of its holdings in Berkshire Hathaway, told Fortune of the move. “The only reason I can come up with for why he is selling is he thinks the stock is fully priced, and it is—it’s probably as fully priced as it’s been since before the financial crisis, trading at something like 1.65 times book value.”

Jain certainly took advantage of Berkshire’s booming share price with his recent sale. Berkshire stock has soared nearly 23% year to date, pushing the megaconglomerate’s market capitalization above the $1 trillion mark for the first time in its history. That’s compared to a roughly 17% rise for the S&P 500 over the same period.

Tax considerations could also be behind Jain’s sale. “If he thinks that capital gains tax rates are going up in the future, he may want to take advantage of, let’s say, the relatively low rates today,” Check argued.

After the latest presidential debate, many national polls shifted in the direction of vice president Kamala Harris, who plans to raise the top capital gains rate from 20% to 28% if she’s elected. Jain could simply be taking profits before those policies go through.

Berkshire shareholders like Check aren’t worried that Jain’s sales are a sign that the stock is overvalued, or even that the veteran manager will soon retire, although Jain’s retirement has been a topic of discussion at recent shareholder meetings.

If Jain were to retire, it certainly would be a big blow for Berkshire. The Indian-born executive has spent decades building the conglomerate’s extensive insurance businesses, which include Geico, Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group, and Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and gained Buffett respect over the years.

In his 2017 shareholder letter, Buffett said that Jain has created “tens of billions of value for Berkshire shareholders” over his career, calling him a “proven performer.”

“If there were ever to be another Ajit and you could swap me for him, don’t hesitate,” he added.

At Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting in 2023, Buffett again emphasized that Jain has been a critical feature of the conglomerate’s success. “We won’t have the same business if Ajit isn’t running it,” he told investors.

To his point, Berkshire’s insurance operations accounted for $83.4 billion, or around 23%, of its $364.4 billion in revenue in 2023—and more like a third of its earnings. Analysts at Morningstar noted earlier this year that half of Berkshire’s valuation comes from its insurance businesses as well.

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