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CVS换帅,“林奇改革”是对是错?

SHAWN TULLY
2024-10-22

凯伦·林奇为CVS构画了一个宏大的发展目标,但CVS不愿给她更多时间来实现它。

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图片来源:JESSICA CHOU FOR FORTUNE

凯伦·林奇是美国企业界的一位明星CEO,但是现在,就连这位明星CEO也出局了。

CVS是美国最大的连锁药店和医疗保险公司,以销售额计算的话,CVS的销售额即便在《财富》美国500强里也属于霸榜的存在。林奇作为这样一艘大船的掌舵人,多年来一直是美国商界最有影响力的女性之一。2020年年底,林奇被任命为CEO,此后两年,她的事业道路可谓荣耀之极。到2022年底,她已经成功地将CVS的股价从70美元提高到了110美元左右。她的战略也获得了投资者的支持——林奇希望将CVS打造成一个一站式的基本医疗服务中心。不管是买药,还是医保报销,还是年度体检,都可以在社区一站式搞定。

林奇声称,要“掀起一场医疗服务革命”。CVS在全美共有9000多家药店,她将其中的几千家改造成了所谓的“健康中心”,可以提供包括糖尿病视网膜病变检测、胆固醇筛查和心理健康咨询等多种基本医疗服务,同时还与药品零售和医保报销服务相结合。CVS旗下的安泰保险记录了大量的患者医疗数据,由于老年人在社区就近得到了预防性医疗服务,他们的心脏病和其他慢性病就能得到有效控制,而这些开销也是普通人医疗支出的大头,因此普通人的整体医疗支出也就得以下降。与安泰保险有竞争的其他保险公司也不介意跟CVS合作,因为CVS的药店遍地都是,患者不用大老远跑到医院去买药,而且你在CVS除了买药,还可以购买洗发水和糖果等生活用品。

不得不说,林奇勾画的目标是非常吸引人的,它针对的就是美国现行的这套极为昂贵、对消费者极不友好的医疗服务体系。目前,林奇发引的这场医疗服务革命已经在挑战美国的现有医疗体制了,下一步,CVS将继续发挥关键作用,而改革的成效如何,也将决定CVS自身是否能扭转它目前的混乱局面。只不过这一切都与林奇本人无关了。

截至发稿时,CVS尚未回复《财富》要求置评的电子邮件。

预期已经够低了,谁料业绩更低

10月18日,CVS披露它的财务业绩低于预期。要知道,之前的预期已经很低了,低到包括Glenview资本公司在内的一些大投资者都要求CVS撤换管理层。董事会已经吹了风,称CVS的三季度营收将远低公司自己的预期和华尔街给出的预期。CVS预计每股收益为1.05美元至1.10美元,远低于FactSet预期的1.69美元。造成这一问题的主要原因是,安泰保险的医保业务利润极其微薄,尤其是它的Medicare Advantage业务,虽然业务量巨大,但利润太低。据CVS披露,它的保费与费用比已从之前估计的91%飙升至95%以上。Robert W. Baird公司分析师迈克尔·何表示:“这表示它一定程度上存在提供福利过多和保费定价过低的问题。”

也是在10月18日的新闻稿中,CVS宣布,林奇“经与董事会达成一致后辞去了职务”,接任她的将是大卫·乔伊纳。乔伊纳已在CVS任职多年,目前主要负责药品福利业务Caremark部门。

林奇的改革哪里出了问题

眼看她起高楼,眼看她楼塌了。影响林奇改革成果的一些根源问题,其实早在她担任CEO之前就已经出现了。问题主要有三个方面:首先是CVS在收购上花了太多钱,这种野蛮收购耗费了巨大的资本,CEO除非能带来神奇的表现,否则几乎不可能为股东提供什么可观的回报。在2007年成功收购Caremark之后的几年里,CVS一路高歌猛进。到2017年底,其股价上涨了三倍左右,达到75美元。随后,它又收购了安泰保险。而林奇当时也正是因为在Medicare Advantage业务上的出色表现而成为了安泰保险的负责人。

CVS为收购安泰保险支付了680亿美元的天价,溢价达到73%。公告发布当天,这两家公司的市值合计达到1280亿美元。而目前CVS的估值仅为760亿美元,堪堪略高于其收购安泰保险时的估值,这证明了CVS远远没有创造出足够利润来填这个大坑。但是安泰保险的教训也并未阻止林奇和董事会进一步冒险。2023年,CVS又进行了一笔耗资巨大的交易,收购了橡树街健康公司(Oak Street Health)。橡树街健康公司在25个州开设有200多家老年护理中心。这一次CVS拿出了105亿美元,相当于溢价30%或20亿美元收购。CVS的另一场豪赌,是以80亿美元收购医疗分析服务提供商Signify。这两笔交易表明,CVS简直可以说是在以孤注一掷的心态来,通过收购来支撑林奇设计的复杂结构,但是效果并不理想。

换人如同走马灯,发展目标太复杂

林奇调整管理层的速度也跟走马灯一样。我们也不知道是她选人的眼光有问题,还是没法让她招募来的人才发挥出最好的水平。总之从去年春天起到这个为止,CVS已经至少有7名高管离职了,而且这些人都是她2021年2月上任后亲自聘任的。离职者中包括安泰保险的负责人(干了不到一年就辞职了)、财务总监(自称是因为健康原因辞职)、人力资源总监、公关总监、医疗服务总监和零售业务总监。此外还有两名在CVS干了许多年的老人手也辞职了,他们分别是公司的首席法务和营销总监。

第三个也是最后一个问题是,事实证明,林奇为CVS勾勒的宠大构想,超出了她自身的执行能力。她的前任拉里·梅洛通过收购安泰保险,踏上了这个宏大计划的第一阶段,这也是有史以来,一家大型保险公司与一家连锁药店的首次合体。林奇的努力方向是搞广覆盖的社区基本医疗,从而进一步扩展了CVS的目标框架。尽管想法很宏大,但CVS在零售领域起步较晚,沃尔格林(Walgreens)、康森特拉(Concentra)和橡树街等公司都瞄准了这个巨大的市场。除此之外,药店和医保公司完全是两种不同位阶的文化,这使得安泰保险空有大量数据、CVS坐拥大量顾客,二者却很难实现真正的匹配与融合。而安泰保险的Medicare Advantage业务盈利能力的突然下降,也进一步影响了两项业务的融合计划。

在过去一两年里,CVS已经很少提及最初的“健康中心”理念了。现在它的重点似乎转移到了已经比较完善的橡树街网络上。Robert W. Baird公司分析师迈克尔·何表示:“这一举措将推动它们未来10年的增长。橡树街式的基于价值的医疗服务仍然代表着CVS的未来。”

而林奇一手打造的药店部门、医疗服务部门和零售业务,表现还都算不错。由于联邦政府减少了对Medicare Advantage的支付,导致安泰保险的利润大幅下降。当然,联合、信诺等保险公司也同样受到了影响。这当然不是企业自身能预见的一件事,但这件事恰好发生在安泰保险刚刚增加了30万老年医保用户的时候。所以这要么是它运气不好,要么就是一次“发球失误”。总之,林奇是一位极有魅力和个人特点的领导者,她在企业发展和构画愿景上值得称赞,有可能她只是需要更多的时间来证明自己。可惜对于现在的CVS来说,时间是一种奢侈品。(财富中文网)

译者:朴成奎

凯伦·林奇是美国企业界的一位明星CEO,但是现在,就连这位明星CEO也出局了。

CVS是美国最大的连锁药店和医疗保险公司,以销售额计算的话,CVS的销售额即便在《财富》美国500强里也属于霸榜的存在。林奇作为这样一艘大船的掌舵人,多年来一直是美国商界最有影响力的女性之一。2020年年底,林奇被任命为CEO,此后两年,她的事业道路可谓荣耀之极。到2022年底,她已经成功地将CVS的股价从70美元提高到了110美元左右。她的战略也获得了投资者的支持——林奇希望将CVS打造成一个一站式的基本医疗服务中心。不管是买药,还是医保报销,还是年度体检,都可以在社区一站式搞定。

林奇声称,要“掀起一场医疗服务革命”。CVS在全美共有9000多家药店,她将其中的几千家改造成了所谓的“健康中心”,可以提供包括糖尿病视网膜病变检测、胆固醇筛查和心理健康咨询等多种基本医疗服务,同时还与药品零售和医保报销服务相结合。CVS旗下的安泰保险记录了大量的患者医疗数据,由于老年人在社区就近得到了预防性医疗服务,他们的心脏病和其他慢性病就能得到有效控制,而这些开销也是普通人医疗支出的大头,因此普通人的整体医疗支出也就得以下降。与安泰保险有竞争的其他保险公司也不介意跟CVS合作,因为CVS的药店遍地都是,患者不用大老远跑到医院去买药,而且你在CVS除了买药,还可以购买洗发水和糖果等生活用品。

不得不说,林奇勾画的目标是非常吸引人的,它针对的就是美国现行的这套极为昂贵、对消费者极不友好的医疗服务体系。目前,林奇发引的这场医疗服务革命已经在挑战美国的现有医疗体制了,下一步,CVS将继续发挥关键作用,而改革的成效如何,也将决定CVS自身是否能扭转它目前的混乱局面。只不过这一切都与林奇本人无关了。

截至发稿时,CVS尚未回复《财富》要求置评的电子邮件。

预期已经够低了,谁料业绩更低

10月18日,CVS披露它的财务业绩低于预期。要知道,之前的预期已经很低了,低到包括Glenview资本公司在内的一些大投资者都要求CVS撤换管理层。董事会已经吹了风,称CVS的三季度营收将远低公司自己的预期和华尔街给出的预期。CVS预计每股收益为1.05美元至1.10美元,远低于FactSet预期的1.69美元。造成这一问题的主要原因是,安泰保险的医保业务利润极其微薄,尤其是它的Medicare Advantage业务,虽然业务量巨大,但利润太低。据CVS披露,它的保费与费用比已从之前估计的91%飙升至95%以上。Robert W. Baird公司分析师迈克尔·何表示:“这表示它一定程度上存在提供福利过多和保费定价过低的问题。”

也是在10月18日的新闻稿中,CVS宣布,林奇“经与董事会达成一致后辞去了职务”,接任她的将是大卫·乔伊纳。乔伊纳已在CVS任职多年,目前主要负责药品福利业务Caremark部门。

林奇的改革哪里出了问题

眼看她起高楼,眼看她楼塌了。影响林奇改革成果的一些根源问题,其实早在她担任CEO之前就已经出现了。问题主要有三个方面:首先是CVS在收购上花了太多钱,这种野蛮收购耗费了巨大的资本,CEO除非能带来神奇的表现,否则几乎不可能为股东提供什么可观的回报。在2007年成功收购Caremark之后的几年里,CVS一路高歌猛进。到2017年底,其股价上涨了三倍左右,达到75美元。随后,它又收购了安泰保险。而林奇当时也正是因为在Medicare Advantage业务上的出色表现而成为了安泰保险的负责人。

CVS为收购安泰保险支付了680亿美元的天价,溢价达到73%。公告发布当天,这两家公司的市值合计达到1280亿美元。而目前CVS的估值仅为760亿美元,堪堪略高于其收购安泰保险时的估值,这证明了CVS远远没有创造出足够利润来填这个大坑。但是安泰保险的教训也并未阻止林奇和董事会进一步冒险。2023年,CVS又进行了一笔耗资巨大的交易,收购了橡树街健康公司(Oak Street Health)。橡树街健康公司在25个州开设有200多家老年护理中心。这一次CVS拿出了105亿美元,相当于溢价30%或20亿美元收购。CVS的另一场豪赌,是以80亿美元收购医疗分析服务提供商Signify。这两笔交易表明,CVS简直可以说是在以孤注一掷的心态来,通过收购来支撑林奇设计的复杂结构,但是效果并不理想。

换人如同走马灯,发展目标太复杂

林奇调整管理层的速度也跟走马灯一样。我们也不知道是她选人的眼光有问题,还是没法让她招募来的人才发挥出最好的水平。总之从去年春天起到这个为止,CVS已经至少有7名高管离职了,而且这些人都是她2021年2月上任后亲自聘任的。离职者中包括安泰保险的负责人(干了不到一年就辞职了)、财务总监(自称是因为健康原因辞职)、人力资源总监、公关总监、医疗服务总监和零售业务总监。此外还有两名在CVS干了许多年的老人手也辞职了,他们分别是公司的首席法务和营销总监。

第三个也是最后一个问题是,事实证明,林奇为CVS勾勒的宠大构想,超出了她自身的执行能力。她的前任拉里·梅洛通过收购安泰保险,踏上了这个宏大计划的第一阶段,这也是有史以来,一家大型保险公司与一家连锁药店的首次合体。林奇的努力方向是搞广覆盖的社区基本医疗,从而进一步扩展了CVS的目标框架。尽管想法很宏大,但CVS在零售领域起步较晚,沃尔格林(Walgreens)、康森特拉(Concentra)和橡树街等公司都瞄准了这个巨大的市场。除此之外,药店和医保公司完全是两种不同位阶的文化,这使得安泰保险空有大量数据、CVS坐拥大量顾客,二者却很难实现真正的匹配与融合。而安泰保险的Medicare Advantage业务盈利能力的突然下降,也进一步影响了两项业务的融合计划。

在过去一两年里,CVS已经很少提及最初的“健康中心”理念了。现在它的重点似乎转移到了已经比较完善的橡树街网络上。Robert W. Baird公司分析师迈克尔·何表示:“这一举措将推动它们未来10年的增长。橡树街式的基于价值的医疗服务仍然代表着CVS的未来。”

而林奇一手打造的药店部门、医疗服务部门和零售业务,表现还都算不错。由于联邦政府减少了对Medicare Advantage的支付,导致安泰保险的利润大幅下降。当然,联合、信诺等保险公司也同样受到了影响。这当然不是企业自身能预见的一件事,但这件事恰好发生在安泰保险刚刚增加了30万老年医保用户的时候。所以这要么是它运气不好,要么就是一次“发球失误”。总之,林奇是一位极有魅力和个人特点的领导者,她在企业发展和构画愿景上值得称赞,有可能她只是需要更多的时间来证明自己。可惜对于现在的CVS来说,时间是一种奢侈品。(财富中文网)

译者:朴成奎

Karen Lynch, a superstar CEO championing the biggest of big ideas, is out.

As chief of corner drug store and health insurance colossus CVS, Lynch headed the largest Fortune 500 enterprise, measured by sales, of any female CEO, and for years reigned as the most powerful woman in American business. In her first two years after being chosen for the top job in late 2020, Lynch seemed on the road to glory. By late 2022, she’d lifted CVS’s share price from $70 to roughly $110. Investors were buying her daring new strategy: Making CVS a one-stop shop for and basic care, right in their own neighborhoods, augmented by hands-on, data-driven management from their in-house insurer that reminded folks to refill prescriptions and get their annual physical.

Lynch pledged to “revolutionize healthcare as we know it” by repurposing thousands of CVS’s more than 9,000 stores into either fully-dedicated providers of such services as diabetic retinopathy and cholesterol screening, and mental health counseling, or hybrid retail and PC centers called HealthHUBs. CVS would then store tons of data on the patients’ condition at its Aetna insurance arm, whose costs would fall because seniors were getting preventive care that curbed heart disease and other chronic conditions that account for the bulk of our health care spending. Rival insurers would also reward CVS with part of the savings they achieved from the spread of primary care from far-away doctors’ offices requiring long waits, to the CVS just around the block, where you could also pick up your pills and buy shampoo and candy bars.

It was an intriguing vision that targeted our hugely expensive, largely consumer-unfriendly healthcare system. But Lynch couldn’t fully deliver on the paradigm that’s already starting to upend the current regime, and where CVS will continue playing a pivotal role going forward––one that will likely determine whether it rebounds from its current tailspin.

At press time, CVS hadn’t responded to a Fortune email requesting comment.

CVS underperforms already low expectations

On October 18, CVS disclosed that its heretofore weak financial performance was even worse the low expectations that already pushed big investors, including activist Glenview Capital, to demand changes in the C-suite. The board pre-announced that earnings for Q3 would prove far lower than both the company’s forecast, and Wall Street’s predictions. CVS posited EPS at $1.05 to $1.10, well below the FactSet consensus of $1.69. Accounting for most of the shortfall: Extremely tight margins in the health benefits business at Aetna, and especially in its giant Medicare Advantage franchise. CVS disclosed that its medal cost ratio of premiums to expenses had soared from an estimated 91% to over 95%. “That represents some combination of providing benefits that are too rich and underpricing premiums,” says Michael Ha of Robert W. Baird.

The same press release stated that Lynch “stepped down from her position in agreement with the company’s board of directors,” and will be replaced by David Joyner, a CVS veteran who’s been heading Caremark, the pharmacy benefits business.

Where Lynch’s transformation went awry

A trifecta of problems, some that started before she took the top job, ended a reign that appeared to start brilliantly, then unraveled fast. The first was CVS’s errors in vastly overpaying for acquisitions, a practice that piled on amounts of capital so huge that only magical performance could provide shareholders with decent returns going forward. In the years following its successful acquisition of Caremark in 2007, CVS was thriving. By late 2017, its shares had jumped around three-fold to $75. Then, it unveiled its acquisition of Aetna, where Lynch had risen to the position of heir apparent based on her skill in building the Medicare Advantage side.

CVS paid a gigantic $68 billion, or a 73% premium for Aetna. The day of the announcement, the two companies boasted a combined market cap of $128 billion. Proof that CVS hasn’t come close to generating the extra profits needed to cover that Brobdingnagian price: Its valuation now stands at just $76 billion, only slightly higher than what it paid for Aetna. The Aetna lesson didn’t deter Lynch and the board. In 2023, CVS made another hugely expensive deal, purchasing Oak Street Health, owner of over 200 centers in 25 states providing care for the elderly, this time laying out $10.5 billion, 30% or $2 billion more than the target’s cap prior to clinching the purchase. CVS made still another big bet by acquiring Signify, a health care analytics provider, for $8 billion. The Oak Street and Signify buys signaled that CVS was making desperate moves, adding big pieces to bolster the complex construct that Lynch conceived, but that wasn’t performing.

CVS became a revolving door at the top, and the vision proved overly complex

Lynch also kept changing her group of lieutenants at an alarming rate. It isn’t clear if she kept choosing the wrong people for the wrong roles, or was unable to get the talent she recruited to do their best work. From the spring of 2023 through this month, no fewer than seven C-suite stalwarts, all of whom she’d hired after officially taking charge in February of 2021, departed. The exodus encompassed the head of Aetna, who left after less than a year, the CFO (whose statement cited health reasons), the chiefs of HR, communications, healthcare delivery, and the retail stores. Two other longstanding CVS execs exited as well, the general counsel and chief marketing officer.

The third and final rub: The lofty, intricate blueprint proved beyond Lynch’s capacity to implement. It was her predecessor, Larry Merlo, who launched the initial phase via the purchase of Aetna, the first time ever that a huge insurer combined with a pharmacy chain. Lynch extended the framework through her plan for bringing primary care to America’s doorstep. Though the idea was a big one, CVS was getting a late start on the retail component, since Walgreens, Concentra and sundry others, including Oak Street, were invading what promised to become a gigantic market. Besides, the culture formed from running drugstores clashed with the mindset required to manage a major insurer, making it difficult to mate Aetna’s data troves with the folks CVS attempted to lure to its stores for primary care. The sudden drop in profitability for Aetna’s Medicare Advantage arm further undermined the ambition plan to meld the two businesses.

In the last couple of years, CVS has made scant mention of the original HeathHUBs concept. The focus now appears to be building out the well established Oak Street network. And according to Ha of Baird, it’s an excellent strategy. “That initiative will drive their growth for the next decade,” he says. “Oak Street-style, value-based care is still the future for CVS.”

The Pharmacy Division, the Health Services Division she set up, and the retail are doing well. Aetna’s margins collapsed as the Federal Government reduced their payments to Medicare Advantage. United and Cigna are both suffering too. That was unforeseen but it happened just as Aetna increased its Medicare rolls by 300,000 seniors. That was either unlucky or an unforced error. This extremely personable, charismatic leader deserves great credit for developing and superbly articulating a vision. It may even turn out that Lynch just needed more time. But that was a luxury that was, at least for CVS, out of stock.

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