美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周四表示,由于通胀显示出持续存在的迹象,且美联储官员希望观察通胀未来的走向,因此在未来几个月内,美联储可能会缓慢而谨慎地降低关键利率。
在达拉斯发表的一次预先准备的讲话中,鲍威尔表示,通胀正在逐渐接近“但尚未达到”美联储2%的目标。
同时,他表示,美国经济强劲,且美联储的决策者有时间监测通胀的轨迹。
鲍威尔表示:“经济没有发出任何需要我们急于降息的信号。我们目前看到美国经济强劲,这让我们能够谨慎地做出决策。”
经济学家预计,继上周降息25个基点、9月降息50个基点后,美联储将在12月宣布再次降息25个基点。
但美联储之后的行动尚不明朗。9月份,美联储官员集体表示,他们预计2025年将四次下调关键利率。然而,根据CME FedWatch追踪的期货定价数据,华尔街交易员现在预计美联储只会有两次降息。
唐纳德·特朗普胜选的消息推高了美国国债收益率。这个迹象表明,投资者预计明年经济增长可能加快,但如果特朗普兑现他的承诺,广泛征收关税,并大规模驱逐移民,那么预算赤字可能会扩大,通胀水平可能进一步攀升。
鲍威尔在周四的讲话中表示,未来几个月通胀可能会维持在略高于美联储目标的水平。但他重申,“尽管有时会出现波动”,通胀最终应该会进一步下降。(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周四表示,由于通胀显示出持续存在的迹象,且美联储官员希望观察通胀未来的走向,因此在未来几个月内,美联储可能会缓慢而谨慎地降低关键利率。
在达拉斯发表的一次预先准备的讲话中,鲍威尔表示,通胀正在逐渐接近“但尚未达到”美联储2%的目标。
同时,他表示,美国经济强劲,且美联储的决策者有时间监测通胀的轨迹。
鲍威尔表示:“经济没有发出任何需要我们急于降息的信号。我们目前看到美国经济强劲,这让我们能够谨慎地做出决策。”
经济学家预计,继上周降息25个基点、9月降息50个基点后,美联储将在12月宣布再次降息25个基点。
但美联储之后的行动尚不明朗。9月份,美联储官员集体表示,他们预计2025年将四次下调关键利率。然而,根据CME FedWatch追踪的期货定价数据,华尔街交易员现在预计美联储只会有两次降息。
唐纳德·特朗普胜选的消息推高了美国国债收益率。这个迹象表明,投资者预计明年经济增长可能加快,但如果特朗普兑现他的承诺,广泛征收关税,并大规模驱逐移民,那么预算赤字可能会扩大,通胀水平可能进一步攀升。
鲍威尔在周四的讲话中表示,未来几个月通胀可能会维持在略高于美联储目标的水平。但他重申,“尽管有时会出现波动”,通胀最终应该会进一步下降。(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
Chair Jerome Powell said Thursday that the Federal Reserve will likely cut its key interest rate slowly and deliberately in the coming months, in part because inflation has shown signs of persistence and the Fed’s officials want to see where it heads next.
Powell, in prepared remarks for a speech in Dallas, said that inflation is edging closer to the Fed’s 2% target, “but it is not there yet.”
At the same time, he said, the economy is strong, and the Fed’s policymakers can take time to monitor the path of inflation.
“The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates,” the Fed chair said. “The strength we are currently seeing in the economy gives us the ability to approach our decisions carefully.”
Economists expect the Fed to announce another quarter-point rate cut in December, after a quarter-point reduction last week and half-point cut in September.
But the Fed’s steps after that are much less clear. In September, the central bank’s officials collectively signaled that they envisioned cutting their key rate four times in 2025. Wall Street traders, though, now expect just two Fed rate reductions, according to futures pricing tracked by CME FedWatch.
Donald Trump’s presidential election victory has sent yields on Treasury securities higher. It is a sign that investors expect faster growth next year as well as potentially larger budget deficits and even higher inflation should Trump impose widespread tariffs and mass deportations of migrants as he has promised.
In his remarks Thursday, Powell suggested that inflation may remain stuck somewhat above the Fed’s target in the coming months. But he reiterated that inflation should eventually decline further, “albeit on a sometimes bumpy path.”