英伟达(Nvidia)避免了许多华尔街人士担心的抛售,部分原因是公司的收益又一次超出预期。或许更重要的是,这家全球最大公司有许多关于下一代图形处理单元(GPU)的好消息。GPU芯片是人工智能热潮的核心。在英伟达第三季度财报电话会议上,首席执行官黄仁勋表示,新平台Blackwell的推出避免了重大问题,并将使公司的收入提前实现增长。
在电话会议上,黄仁勋对媒体报道的工程问题不以为然,他表示英伟达有望超越其之前对Blackwell第四季度销售的预期(他之前曾表示,该平台最初将带来数十亿美元的额外收入)。黄仁勋强调了对新产品的强劲需求。这款新产品将显著提升AI数据中心的性能。
他表示:“公司正在开足马力生产Blackwell。”
人们普遍认为Blackwell将改变游戏规则,但其上市之路最近并非一帆风顺。有多位分析师对《财富》杂志表示,Blackwell的发布因为生产问题至少推迟了一个季度,这并不令人意外。然而,本周早些时候,据The Information报道,因过热问题,最近几个月英伟达曾多次要求供应商调整该平台服务器机架的设计。
黄仁勋并没有专门回应这篇报道,但他表示他相信Blackwell的生产一切顺利。
在财报电话会议结束后,美国财务研究与分析中心(CFRA Research)高级副总裁兼技术分析师安吉洛·齐诺对《财富》杂志表示:“他几乎完全打消了所有这些担忧。”
黄仁勋表示,AI资本支出不会减少。
在财报电话会议上,黄仁勋向分析师们保证,至少在未来几个季度内,需求将继续超过供应。黄仁勋回应的第一个问题是关于大型语言模型的进展是否停滞的争论。Meta的首席AI科学家杨立昆等人提出了这一观点,他认为更多更强大的芯片可能不足以带来进一步的突破。
黄仁勋试图缓解这些担忧。他表示,最新的大型AI模型最多需要10万个英伟达“Hopper”芯片,这是公司之前的拳头产品。
他说道:“下一代模型最少需要10万个Blackwell芯片。”
黄仁勋提到了许多已经开始使用该平台的客户,包括谷歌(Google)、戴尔(Dell)和甲骨文(Oracle)等。英伟达首席财务官克莱特·克雷斯表示,微软(Microsoft)发现,与Hopper芯片相比,新平台的性能提高了两倍以上。
她说道:“Blackwell的需求大得惊人,我们正在努力扩大供应以满足客户的巨大需求。”
尽管如此,虽然公司对第四季度375亿美元收入的预测略高于华尔街的共识,但齐诺认为这一预测相对保守。这导致英伟达的股价在周四盘后交易中小幅下跌,之后有所反弹。
他补充说,这一保守的预测可能让公司在2月底的收益进一步超出预期。
不出所料,这一观点得到了华尔街最著名的看好科技股的投资者的认同。韦德布什证券(Wedbush Securities)的丹·艾夫斯表示,黄仁勋的乐观评论应该会让其股价止跌回稳。
他在周四的一份报告中写道:“英伟达和黄仁勋将继续低调承诺并高调兑现。”
迄今为止,这对英伟达的股票来说是个不错的策略。过去两年,英伟达股价上涨了850%。(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
英伟达(Nvidia)避免了许多华尔街人士担心的抛售,部分原因是公司的收益又一次超出预期。或许更重要的是,这家全球最大公司有许多关于下一代图形处理单元(GPU)的好消息。GPU芯片是人工智能热潮的核心。在英伟达第三季度财报电话会议上,首席执行官黄仁勋表示,新平台Blackwell的推出避免了重大问题,并将使公司的收入提前实现增长。
在电话会议上,黄仁勋对媒体报道的工程问题不以为然,他表示英伟达有望超越其之前对Blackwell第四季度销售的预期(他之前曾表示,该平台最初将带来数十亿美元的额外收入)。黄仁勋强调了对新产品的强劲需求。这款新产品将显著提升AI数据中心的性能。
他表示:“公司正在开足马力生产Blackwell。”
人们普遍认为Blackwell将改变游戏规则,但其上市之路最近并非一帆风顺。有多位分析师对《财富》杂志表示,Blackwell的发布因为生产问题至少推迟了一个季度,这并不令人意外。然而,本周早些时候,据The Information报道,因过热问题,最近几个月英伟达曾多次要求供应商调整该平台服务器机架的设计。
黄仁勋并没有专门回应这篇报道,但他表示他相信Blackwell的生产一切顺利。
在财报电话会议结束后,美国财务研究与分析中心(CFRA Research)高级副总裁兼技术分析师安吉洛·齐诺对《财富》杂志表示:“他几乎完全打消了所有这些担忧。”
黄仁勋表示,AI资本支出不会减少。
在财报电话会议上,黄仁勋向分析师们保证,至少在未来几个季度内,需求将继续超过供应。黄仁勋回应的第一个问题是关于大型语言模型的进展是否停滞的争论。Meta的首席AI科学家杨立昆等人提出了这一观点,他认为更多更强大的芯片可能不足以带来进一步的突破。
黄仁勋试图缓解这些担忧。他表示,最新的大型AI模型最多需要10万个英伟达“Hopper”芯片,这是公司之前的拳头产品。
他说道:“下一代模型最少需要10万个Blackwell芯片。”
黄仁勋提到了许多已经开始使用该平台的客户,包括谷歌(Google)、戴尔(Dell)和甲骨文(Oracle)等。英伟达首席财务官克莱特·克雷斯表示,微软(Microsoft)发现,与Hopper芯片相比,新平台的性能提高了两倍以上。
她说道:“Blackwell的需求大得惊人,我们正在努力扩大供应以满足客户的巨大需求。”
尽管如此,虽然公司对第四季度375亿美元收入的预测略高于华尔街的共识,但齐诺认为这一预测相对保守。这导致英伟达的股价在周四盘后交易中小幅下跌,之后有所反弹。
他补充说,这一保守的预测可能让公司在2月底的收益进一步超出预期。
不出所料,这一观点得到了华尔街最著名的看好科技股的投资者的认同。韦德布什证券(Wedbush Securities)的丹·艾夫斯表示,黄仁勋的乐观评论应该会让其股价止跌回稳。
他在周四的一份报告中写道:“英伟达和黄仁勋将继续低调承诺并高调兑现。”
迄今为止,这对英伟达的股票来说是个不错的策略。过去两年,英伟达股价上涨了850%。(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
Nvidia avoided the sell-off many on Wall Street feared, in part because of another blowout earnings beat. Perhaps more importantly, the world’s largest company had plenty of good things to say about its next-generation offering of graphic processing units—the chips at the heart of the AI boom. On the company’s Q3 earnings call, CEO Jensen Huang said the rollout of the new platform, known as Blackwell, has avoided major issues and will start boosting the company’s top line ahead of schedule.
On the call, Huang brushed aside reported engineering snags, saying Nvidia is on track to outdo its prior Q4 estimates for Blackwell sales (he’s previously said the platform will initially account for several billion dollars in additional revenue). Huang touted ravenous demand for the new offering, which promises to dramatically boost AI data center performance.
“Blackwell production is in full steam,” he said.
There’s broad consensus Blackwell will be a game changer, but the path to market has not been without recent hiccups. Multiple analysts have told Fortune that production snags, which delayed Blackwell’s release by at least a quarter, were not a surprise. Early this week, however, The Information reported Nvidia had asked suppliers to adjust the design of the platform’s server racks multiple times in recent months due to overheating issues.
While Huang did not specifically address the report, he said he believes the Blackwell ramp is in great shape.
“He pretty much kind of threw cold water on all those concerns,” Angelo Zino, a senior vice president and tech analyst at CFRA Research, told Fortune after the call.
Huang says AI CapEx isn’t going anywhere
Analysts on the earnings call also got assurance from Huang that demand will exceed supply for at least several more quarters. The first question the CEO fielded concerned a growing debate about whether advancements in large language models have stalled. That claim has been floated by the likes of Yann LeCun, Meta’s chief AI scientist, who suggested greater volumes of more powerful chips won’t be enough to produce further breakthroughs.
Huang tried to assuage those concerns. The most recent large AI models, he said, required a maximum of 100,000 Nvidia “Hopper” chips, previously the company’s premier offering.
“The next generation starts at 100,000 Blackwells,” he said.
Huang cited numerous customers already up and running with the platform, including the likes of Google, Dell, and Oracle. Chief financial officer Colette Kress said Microsoft has seen performance increase more than two times compared to Hopper.
“Blackwell demand is staggering, and we are racing to scale supply to meet the incredible demand customers are placing on us,” she said.
That said, the company’s forecast of $37.5 billion in revenue for Q4, a slight beat on the Street’s consensus, was somewhat conservative, Zino said. That caused the stock to dip slightly in after-hours trading before shares recovered those losses Thursday.
The muted forecast, he added, could set up an even stronger earnings beat in late February.
Unsurprisingly, this view is shared by one Wall Street’s most prominent tech bulls. Wedbush Securities’ Dan Ives said Huang’s bullish commentary should send the stock’s bears into hibernation mode.
“Nvidia and Jensen will continue to underpromise and overdeliver,” he wrote in a note Thursday.
So far, that’s been a good recipe for shares that have appreciated 850% over the last two years.