与出生于Z世代的儿子意见不一,格伦·福格尔坚持提前几个小时出发去机场,这样才不会错过航班。这是Booking Holdings首席执行官坚持的众多信条之一。
福格尔掌管着这家旅游公司旗下各大品牌,包括 Priceline、Booking.com、Kayak、Agoda和OpenTable等。Booking Holdings市值1720亿美元,去年收入超过210亿美元(同比增长 25%)。目前公司在《财富》美国500强中排名第190位,增速排名第七,也是全球最受赞赏公司之一。
接受《财富》杂志采访时,福格尔详细介绍了对旅行者来说生成式人工智能(Gen-AI)崛起意味着什么,他如何与爱彼迎(Airbnb)斗争,以及最佳旅行建议。本次访谈是对话《财富》美国500强首席执行官系列的第一篇。
The following has been condensed and lightly edited for clarity.为表述清晰,以下内容略有删减和编辑。
随着美国廉航精神航空(Spirit Airlines)申请破产,其他航空公司将重点放在高端客户身上,廉价旅行还能生存吗?廉航会消失吗?
机票价格和其他东西一样,本质上都是供求关系。这就是其运作方式。需求旺盛而供应不足时,价格就会上涨。精神航空并没有消失,根据美国破产法第11章申请破产保护后目前运营完全正常。唯一的变化是股东似乎受到了一些打击,我不知道银行将如何处理债务。这就是破产法庭存在的原因,他们专门解决这些问题。
对机票价格而言,最重要的是供应会不会减少?精神航空与捷蓝航空(JetBlue)合并被否一事很有趣。很多聪明人看法不一。我自己没什么想法,但肯定有些人认为,如果让两家公司合并对行业更好。也有人表示不让两家公司合并是好事,否则会减少供应降低竞争力。显然,最终结果显示人们不希望其合并,认为合并会减少供应,但到目前为止并未发生这种情况。
所以回归基本问题:廉价机票是否会消失。这有点像预测天气。拭目以待吧。
我这辈子都没用过旅行社。我认为同龄大多数人(千禧一代)都没用过。但有了人工智能,旅行社似乎有机会以虚拟方式回归。具体如何实现?人工智能如何帮助人类解决未来的旅行问题?
只要享受过人工旅行社服务的人,其实都会记得那种非常好的体验,因为能跟了解自己的人交谈。对方了解你的喜好,也知道经济能力。工作人员会明确说明哪些适合家庭活动,哪些不适合,然后提供一些选择。最终旅行社会提出方案并给出价格,付钱就好。
如果出现问题,可以打电话给旅行社,问题总会神奇般解决,对吧?我们想找回过去的体验,而且要改进。为什么需要改进?因为,虽然旅行社对客户有所了解,但掌握客户之前所有活动,对客户了解最深的其实是在线数据库。利用计算机技术,经历了过去20年的数字革命,服务水平可以大为提高。现在,问题发生之前就应该能预见到,并提前调整加以避免。
以前到达目的地时,你不会跟旅行社讨论日常行程。但有了移动技术,相当于口袋或钱包里就有个旅行社,可以轻松获知,“现在可以做这几件事。”结合技术,引入人工智能之后,还能口头交流(我们刚刚在Priceline跟OpenAI合作实现了语音操作交流)。这种体验就像跟人交谈一样,体验会更好。
能举个例子吗?
如果你去阿姆斯特丹玩,然后想着“我想坐船游览运河”,但预定的前提是你得了解天气状况。毕竟晴天和阴天下雨天出行体验完全不一样。利用现在的技术能力,就可以确保客户的行程保持一定灵活度,交给在线平台安排。由此最大限度提高旅行体验。
最好的一点在于,这不仅仅是旅行机构跟客户之间合作,合作伙伴、供应商也加入其中。合作伙伴想要增量需求,想要获取更多客户。达成合作之后,就能争取特别优惠的价格。假设(一位游客)到纽约玩,发现帝国大厦外面排着长队。我们可以安排特别通道让客户无需排队,或者提供更低优惠等等。这些进步未来人们都会喜欢,换句话说技术让一切变得更好,也能提供更多价值。
目前,很多银行和音乐会票务网站,例如Ticketmaster,也可以预定酒店和其他旅程。这些非旅游公司是否给Booking带来了压力?
旅游一直都是一个竞争极其激烈的行业,向来都是如此。各大公司都一直在尝试拓展自己的收入来源。
例如,各大银行显然将越来越多的精力放在了提供旅游服务方面。因此人们会看到,摩根大通(JPMorgan)是这样做的,美国银行(Bank of America)亦是如此,而且我们在与其他公司竞争时会与这些银行合作。这种情形是多赢的,因此我并不认为这是一种压力,而是将其看作一种机会,它可以确保我们接触到那些愿意通过这些网站预定而不是直接上Booking官网的客户。既然客户做出了这种选择,因此我宁愿与银行采取收益分成的模式,而不是放弃这部分客户带来的收入。
不过,你还是希望人们登录Booking官网。
当然,就像达美航空(Delta Air Lines)更希望人们直接上公司官网预定而不是上我们的网站预定一样。没有人愿意在营销方面投入费用。大家都不愿意,我们也是如此。我们每年在营销领域的投入达到了数十亿美元。我真的希望大家能直接登录Booking官网。不幸的是,我们无法让所有人直接来官网,所以才花钱做营销。
说到营收,据我了解,你看到替代式住宿领域出现了巨大的增长。关于这一点,能稍微展开讲讲吗?还有Booking在这一方面与爱彼迎有什么区别?
我们的增速更快。上个季度的[酒店间夜量]增速达到了14%,爱彼迎为8%。因此,与爱彼迎相比,这个增速对我们来说还算不错。没有捷径可走,其实就是做好服务,不断改善产品。
目前我们确实有些许优势。我们的网站同时涵盖酒店和民宿。我们认为这是一个很大的优势,因为人们在不同的时期有不同的需求,不过客户只有在完全了解过后才能体会到。
我依然觉得公司产品存在需要大幅改善的领域,而且我们还需要加大某些空白领域的产品供应。例如,如果客户现在要求:“我想在7月份在东汉普顿找个房子住一周的时间,最好是离沙滩一公里以内。” Booking能够提供的选项十分有限,这些领域便是我们需要加强的地方。
不过,我认为这对于公司来说是件好事。因为当我们在填补这些公司产品供应不足的领域时——我能够想到公司在美国很多地方都存在产品供应短缺问题,一旦实现之后,这些产品会让公司得到极大的提升,公司的竞争力也会更上一个台阶。
几周前,Booking宣布将实施重组计划。可以谈谈该计划会对公司和雇员带来什么影响吗?
我们一直在努力确保自身能够着眼于公司的未来,能够正确地配置资源,而且始终以长远为目标。
当人们看到公司重组的信息之后,他们会认为“公司在走下坡路。”实际上,不妨看看公司的几个数据。例如,我们的房间库存目前,也就是此时此刻,创下了新的历史记录。去年,我们拿下了1500多亿笔旅游订单。不妨看看共识分析报告——这可不是我说的,公司今年的业绩将大幅超过1600亿美元。
人们有时候会抛出另一个观点:“哦,他们这么做是想提升利润。”这种说法是不正确的。世界的变化非常非常之快,而且非常剧烈。生成式人工智能这个词是不是已经充斥各大媒体了?那么,公司就得在这一方面投入资源,就得对现有的资源进行再分配,并确保自己在这一领域有所行动。
变革并非易事,尤其是重组会对生活带来负面影响的时候。这是一件令人悲伤的事情,也很不幸,也很糟糕。所有开展这项举措的公司都得确保自己能够公允行事,尊重员工,并支付合适的赔偿,让员工能够继续生活并找份新的工作。如果做不到这一点,说明公司的领导层很差劲。
那些没有变革的公司,那些本该变革而不愿变革的公司,看看它们都是什么下场。问个问题,你有诺基亚手机吗?诺基亚的手机业务还存在吗?你买过黑莓手机吗?现在谁还用?以前从Blockbuster那租过VCD吗?现在还有吗?
所有这些公司曾几何时都是其市场的主导者。它们曾经都是行业的泰斗和翘楚。它们在强大的时候并不愿实施合理的变革,以获得更大的发展。
讲讲你最推荐的旅游窍门
我从不带托运行李,一直都没有过。
为什么?
原因很简单。首先,你不必在传送带那等行李。其次,永远都不会丢行李。再者,你实际上并不需要带那么多东西。不知道你注意到没有,无论你的行李箱有多大,它始终都是满的。还有,每次出行,人们实际上穿不完自己携带的衣物。
一直都是这样。
就是嘛。看,你需要的并没有你想的那么多。
你觉得在你的职业生涯中有没有一个决定性的时刻,让你走上了接任Booking首席执行官的道路?
如果不是上任被炒鱿鱼,我也当不了首席执行官。这一点倒是决定性的,但我与这件事毫无关联。
我确实认为,生活的很大一部分都是由你无法掌控的事情构成的。有意思的是,当我与某些人交谈或者你也会听到人们会说:“对对,当然有一些运气成分,但很大一部分都是我自己的功劳。”对,你确实掌控着大量的部门,并一边努力证明自己,一边为机会做好准备。不过,生活的很大一部分都是由你完全无法掌控的事情决定的。
我觉得,人们在过得不顺意的时候不妨思考下这个问题,并将这种局面理解为只不过是“这件事就这样发生了”。这也是为什么这个人能去那个岗位,而你在这里。我觉得人们还不够谦逊。(财富中文网)
译者:冯丰
审校:夏林
与出生于Z世代的儿子意见不一,格伦·福格尔坚持提前几个小时出发去机场,这样才不会错过航班。这是Booking Holdings首席执行官坚持的众多信条之一。
福格尔掌管着这家旅游公司旗下各大品牌,包括 Priceline、Booking.com、Kayak、Agoda和OpenTable等。Booking Holdings市值1720亿美元,去年收入超过210亿美元(同比增长 25%)。目前公司在《财富》美国500强中排名第190位,增速排名第七,也是全球最受赞赏公司之一。
接受《财富》杂志采访时,福格尔详细介绍了对旅行者来说生成式人工智能(Gen-AI)崛起意味着什么,他如何与爱彼迎(Airbnb)斗争,以及最佳旅行建议。本次访谈是对话《财富》美国500强首席执行官系列的第一篇。
The following has been condensed and lightly edited for clarity.为表述清晰,以下内容略有删减和编辑。
随着美国廉航精神航空(Spirit Airlines)申请破产,其他航空公司将重点放在高端客户身上,廉价旅行还能生存吗?廉航会消失吗?
机票价格和其他东西一样,本质上都是供求关系。这就是其运作方式。需求旺盛而供应不足时,价格就会上涨。精神航空并没有消失,根据美国破产法第11章申请破产保护后目前运营完全正常。唯一的变化是股东似乎受到了一些打击,我不知道银行将如何处理债务。这就是破产法庭存在的原因,他们专门解决这些问题。
对机票价格而言,最重要的是供应会不会减少?精神航空与捷蓝航空(JetBlue)合并被否一事很有趣。很多聪明人看法不一。我自己没什么想法,但肯定有些人认为,如果让两家公司合并对行业更好。也有人表示不让两家公司合并是好事,否则会减少供应降低竞争力。显然,最终结果显示人们不希望其合并,认为合并会减少供应,但到目前为止并未发生这种情况。
所以回归基本问题:廉价机票是否会消失。这有点像预测天气。拭目以待吧。
我这辈子都没用过旅行社。我认为同龄大多数人(千禧一代)都没用过。但有了人工智能,旅行社似乎有机会以虚拟方式回归。具体如何实现?人工智能如何帮助人类解决未来的旅行问题?
只要享受过人工旅行社服务的人,其实都会记得那种非常好的体验,因为能跟了解自己的人交谈。对方了解你的喜好,也知道经济能力。工作人员会明确说明哪些适合家庭活动,哪些不适合,然后提供一些选择。最终旅行社会提出方案并给出价格,付钱就好。
如果出现问题,可以打电话给旅行社,问题总会神奇般解决,对吧?我们想找回过去的体验,而且要改进。为什么需要改进?因为,虽然旅行社对客户有所了解,但掌握客户之前所有活动,对客户了解最深的其实是在线数据库。利用计算机技术,经历了过去20年的数字革命,服务水平可以大为提高。现在,问题发生之前就应该能预见到,并提前调整加以避免。
以前到达目的地时,你不会跟旅行社讨论日常行程。但有了移动技术,相当于口袋或钱包里就有个旅行社,可以轻松获知,“现在可以做这几件事。”结合技术,引入人工智能之后,还能口头交流(我们刚刚在Priceline跟OpenAI合作实现了语音操作交流)。这种体验就像跟人交谈一样,体验会更好。
能举个例子吗?
如果你去阿姆斯特丹玩,然后想着“我想坐船游览运河”,但预定的前提是你得了解天气状况。毕竟晴天和阴天下雨天出行体验完全不一样。利用现在的技术能力,就可以确保客户的行程保持一定灵活度,交给在线平台安排。由此最大限度提高旅行体验。
最好的一点在于,这不仅仅是旅行机构跟客户之间合作,合作伙伴、供应商也加入其中。合作伙伴想要增量需求,想要获取更多客户。达成合作之后,就能争取特别优惠的价格。假设(一位游客)到纽约玩,发现帝国大厦外面排着长队。我们可以安排特别通道让客户无需排队,或者提供更低优惠等等。这些进步未来人们都会喜欢,换句话说技术让一切变得更好,也能提供更多价值。
目前,很多银行和音乐会票务网站,例如Ticketmaster,也可以预定酒店和其他旅程。这些非旅游公司是否给Booking带来了压力?
旅游一直都是一个竞争极其激烈的行业,向来都是如此。各大公司都一直在尝试拓展自己的收入来源。
例如,各大银行显然将越来越多的精力放在了提供旅游服务方面。因此人们会看到,摩根大通(JPMorgan)是这样做的,美国银行(Bank of America)亦是如此,而且我们在与其他公司竞争时会与这些银行合作。这种情形是多赢的,因此我并不认为这是一种压力,而是将其看作一种机会,它可以确保我们接触到那些愿意通过这些网站预定而不是直接上Booking官网的客户。既然客户做出了这种选择,因此我宁愿与银行采取收益分成的模式,而不是放弃这部分客户带来的收入。
不过,你还是希望人们登录Booking官网。
当然,就像达美航空(Delta Air Lines)更希望人们直接上公司官网预定而不是上我们的网站预定一样。没有人愿意在营销方面投入费用。大家都不愿意,我们也是如此。我们每年在营销领域的投入达到了数十亿美元。我真的希望大家能直接登录Booking官网。不幸的是,我们无法让所有人直接来官网,所以才花钱做营销。
说到营收,据我了解,你看到替代式住宿领域出现了巨大的增长。关于这一点,能稍微展开讲讲吗?还有Booking在这一方面与爱彼迎有什么区别?
我们的增速更快。上个季度的[酒店间夜量]增速达到了14%,爱彼迎为8%。因此,与爱彼迎相比,这个增速对我们来说还算不错。没有捷径可走,其实就是做好服务,不断改善产品。
目前我们确实有些许优势。我们的网站同时涵盖酒店和民宿。我们认为这是一个很大的优势,因为人们在不同的时期有不同的需求,不过客户只有在完全了解过后才能体会到。
我依然觉得公司产品存在需要大幅改善的领域,而且我们还需要加大某些空白领域的产品供应。例如,如果客户现在要求:“我想在7月份在东汉普顿找个房子住一周的时间,最好是离沙滩一公里以内。” Booking能够提供的选项十分有限,这些领域便是我们需要加强的地方。
不过,我认为这对于公司来说是件好事。因为当我们在填补这些公司产品供应不足的领域时——我能够想到公司在美国很多地方都存在产品供应短缺问题,一旦实现之后,这些产品会让公司得到极大的提升,公司的竞争力也会更上一个台阶。
几周前,Booking宣布将实施重组计划。可以谈谈该计划会对公司和雇员带来什么影响吗?
我们一直在努力确保自身能够着眼于公司的未来,能够正确地配置资源,而且始终以长远为目标。
当人们看到公司重组的信息之后,他们会认为“公司在走下坡路。”实际上,不妨看看公司的几个数据。例如,我们的房间库存目前,也就是此时此刻,创下了新的历史记录。去年,我们拿下了1500多亿笔旅游订单。不妨看看共识分析报告——这可不是我说的,公司今年的业绩将大幅超过1600亿美元。
人们有时候会抛出另一个观点:“哦,他们这么做是想提升利润。”这种说法是不正确的。世界的变化非常非常之快,而且非常剧烈。生成式人工智能这个词是不是已经充斥各大媒体了?那么,公司就得在这一方面投入资源,就得对现有的资源进行再分配,并确保自己在这一领域有所行动。
变革并非易事,尤其是重组会对生活带来负面影响的时候。这是一件令人悲伤的事情,也很不幸,也很糟糕。所有开展这项举措的公司都得确保自己能够公允行事,尊重员工,并支付合适的赔偿,让员工能够继续生活并找份新的工作。如果做不到这一点,说明公司的领导层很差劲。
那些没有变革的公司,那些本该变革而不愿变革的公司,看看它们都是什么下场。问个问题,你有诺基亚手机吗?诺基亚的手机业务还存在吗?你买过黑莓手机吗?现在谁还用?以前从Blockbuster那租过VCD吗?现在还有吗?
所有这些公司曾几何时都是其市场的主导者。它们曾经都是行业的泰斗和翘楚。它们在强大的时候并不愿实施合理的变革,以获得更大的发展。
讲讲你最推荐的旅游窍门
我从不带托运行李,一直都没有过。
为什么?
原因很简单。首先,你不必在传送带那等行李。其次,永远都不会丢行李。再者,你实际上并不需要带那么多东西。不知道你注意到没有,无论你的行李箱有多大,它始终都是满的。还有,每次出行,人们实际上穿不完自己携带的衣物。
一直都是这样。
就是嘛。看,你需要的并没有你想的那么多。
你觉得在你的职业生涯中有没有一个决定性的时刻,让你走上了接任Booking首席执行官的道路?
如果不是上任被炒鱿鱼,我也当不了首席执行官。这一点倒是决定性的,但我与这件事毫无关联。
我确实认为,生活的很大一部分都是由你无法掌控的事情构成的。有意思的是,当我与某些人交谈或者你也会听到人们会说:“对对,当然有一些运气成分,但很大一部分都是我自己的功劳。”对,你确实掌控着大量的部门,并一边努力证明自己,一边为机会做好准备。不过,生活的很大一部分都是由你完全无法掌控的事情决定的。
我觉得,人们在过得不顺意的时候不妨思考下这个问题,并将这种局面理解为只不过是“这件事就这样发生了”。这也是为什么这个人能去那个岗位,而你在这里。我觉得人们还不够谦逊。(财富中文网)
译者:冯丰
审校:夏林
Despite a difference of opinion with his Gen Z son, Glenn Fogel insists on leaving hours early for the airport. That way he will never miss a flight. It’s one of many mantras that the Booking Holdings CEO adheres to.
Fogel presides over all of the travel company’s massive brands, including Priceline, Booking.com, Kayak, Agoda, and OpenTable, among others. With a market cap of $172 billion, Booking Holdings reported more than $21 billion in revenue last year (a 25% increase from the year prior). It’s currently No. 190 on the Fortune 500, the seventh fastest-growing company, and one of the World’s Most Admired Companies.
In an interview with Fortune, Fogel details what the rise of generative AI could mean for travelers, how he’s battling Airbnb, and his best travel tip. This interview is the first in a new series of conversations with Fortune 500 CEOs.
With budget carrier Spirit Airlines filing for bankruptcy and other airlines focusing on premium customers, will budget travel survive? Are cheap flights going away?
The price of an airline ticket is the same as anything else: It’s supply and demand. That’s how it works. When there’s high demand and there’s not enough supply, prices go up. Spirit has not gone away. It filed for Chapter 11, and it is flying completely normally. The only change is the equity holders seem to have taken a bit of a hit, and I don’t know how the debt will be treated in the bank. That’s why there are bankruptcy courts. They’ll work it out.
What matters for the price of the airline ticket is, does the supply go away or not? Not allowing Spirit to merge with JetBlue was an interesting thing. There are many smart people who have different opinions about that. I don’t have an opinion myself, but there’s certainly some people who believe that if they had let them merge, it would’ve been a better thing for the industry. And there are people who say that, no, it was good not to let them merge, because that would decrease the supply, decrease the competitiveness. Obviously the decision was they didn’t want them to merge because they thought it would decrease supply, but so far that hasn’t happened.
So back to your basic question of will inexpensive tickets go away or not. That’s sort of like trying to predict the weather. We’ll see.
I have never used a travel agent in my entire life. I don’t think most people in my demographic (millennials) have. But with AI, there seems to be a window to bring back the travel agent virtually. How might that work? How could AI help solve travel problems in the future?
People who have had the pleasure of using a human travel agent actually remember that it was a really good experience, because you’d talk to a person who knew you. She knew what you liked; she knew what you could afford. She had a good indication of what kind of family activities would work or not work, and she’d give you a few choices. Eventually, she’d come up with something, and there would be one price, and you’d give her money.
And then if anything went wrong at all, you would call her, and she would fix it magically, right? We want that back, only we want it better. And why do we want it better? Because, yeah, the travel agent knew you kind of, but the [online] database with all the previous things you’ve done knows you much, much better. And the permutations of what the possibilities are, done through computer technology, through the digital revolution that we’ve all gone through over the last 20 years, can provide a much better service. Today, we should be able to foresee problems before they happen and offer a way to change it beforehand.
When you are at your destination, you are not talking to your travel agent about what you should do today. But with mobile technology, you have a travel agent in your pocket or pocketbook that can easily be telling you, “Here’s some good things to do right now.” Tie it together with technology, bring in AI, make it so it’s verbal (which we have just done at Priceline with OpenAI, to do a voice action communication back and forth)—it would be like you’re talking to a human being, and it’d be a much better experience.
Can you give us an example?
So if you go to Amsterdam and you say, “I’ve got to take that boat ride on the canal,” you don’t want to prepurchase it without knowing what the weather is. Doing it when it’s sunny is very different from doing it when it’s cloudy and rainy. Using all the technological abilities we have, we can make sure that your itinerary is flexible, and we will help arrange it. So it maximizes the value to you.
And what’s really good is it’s not just us and you. There’s also the partner side, the supplier side. See, what they want is incremental demand. What they want is to be able to get more customers. Working with them, they’re willing to give us special prices. Let’s say [a traveler] comes to New York, and there are lines outside the Empire State Building. We could be setting up a special line to go through to skip the line, or offering a lower price, et cetera. These are the things that, in the future, we will all love—the fact that technology has made it so much better and given you more value.
Today, many banks and concert ticket websites like Ticketmaster allow you to also book hotels and other travel arrangements. Do you feel that pressure on your business from non-travel companies?
Travel’s always been an extremely competitive business. Always. Everybody’s always trying to come up with more revenue streams.
The banks, for example, are definitely getting more and more into trying to provide a travel service. So you’ll see that JPMorgan has and Bank of America has, and we compete along with other people to be the partner with them. We all win in those types of things. So I don’t see it as a pressure. I see it as an opportunity for us to make sure that we are reaching out to consumers who would prefer to do that than to come to our site directly. I’d rather get a rev-share deal with a bank than get no revenue from that customer who has made their choice that they would like to book that way.
But you’d still rather have me go to your site.
Oh, of course. The same way Delta Air Lines would very much like somebody to go directly to Delta.com and not go to us first. Nobody likes paying for marketing. Nobody. We don’t like it. We pay billions to market our company. I would love it if everybody would just come to us directly. Unfortunately, we can’t get everybody to come directly, therefore we spend money on marketing.
Speaking of your earnings, I know that you saw significant growth in the alternative accommodation space. Can you talk to us a little bit about that and how you’re standing out from the Airbnbs of the world?
We’re growing faster. We grew 14% [in room-night growth] last quarter, and Airbnb grew 8%. So it’s a nice growth for us compared to theirs. There’s no silver bullet. It’s just providing a good service, continuing to improve the product.
Now we do have a slight advantage. We offer both hotels and homes on the same site. We think that is a big advantage because people have different needs at different times, but they don’t really know that until they start looking through it all.
I still think our product has areas that need significant improvement, and we need more supply that we don’t have in certain areas. So, for example, if you right now said, “I need a house for a week in July in East Hampton, and I would like to be within a mile of the beach,” you’re not going to have a lot of choices from us. That’s something we need to have a handle on.
But I say that’s upside for us. So when we start filling out this area of supply that we don’t have enough of—and I can think of a lot of places in the U.S. where we do not have enough supply—when we get that in, they’ll make us just that much better off, that much more powerful.
A few weeks ago, Booking Holdings announced that it’s undergoing a reorganization plan. Can you elaborate a bit more on what this means for the company and employees?
We are always trying to make sure we are looking to the future of the company. We want to make sure we put our resources in the right place, and we always want to make sure that we look to the long term.
People see something like that, and they think things like, “The company’s not doing well.” Well, let’s just talk about our numbers. I mean, our stock hit a new record right now, this very moment. Last year, we did over $150 billion of travel [bookings]. And if you look at the consensus analyst reports—not me—we’re going to do well over $160 billion this year.
Another thing people will sometimes say is that, “Oh, they’re doing it because they want to make more profits.” That also is not right. The world is changing very, very quickly, very dramatically. Can you read anything in the media and not see generative AI? That’s a scenario where you’ve got to put resources into it; you’ve got to reallocate from where you are and make sure that you are doing things in that area.
Change is difficult, and certainly if you are involved in a restructuring that negatively impacts your life, that is a sad event. That is unfortunate, that is bad. And any company that does such a thing needs to make sure they do it in a fair way that treats people with respect and the appropriate amount of compensation so they can go on and find new employment somewhere. But to not do that is actually bad leadership.
Look at the companies that did not change, that should have changed and weren’t willing to do it. So I ask you, do you have a Nokia phone? Well, where’s Nokia’s phone business now? Did you ever have a BlackBerry? Where are they? Ever rent a video from Blockbuster? Of course. Where are they?
All those companies, at one time, owned their market. They were the biggest and best. They were not willing when they were strong to make the appropriate changes to continue to move on more.
What’s your top travel hack or travel tip for us?
I have never checked luggage. Ever.
How and why?
The why is easy. One, you don’t have to wait for it to come off into the carousel. Two, it never gets lost—ever. Three, you don’t really need that many things. Did you ever notice that no matter how big the piece of luggage you have, it will always be filled up? Did you ever notice you go on a trip, and you didn’t actually wear everything?
All the time.
Yeah. See, you don’t need what you think you do.
Do you have one career-defining moment that you think catapulted you on a track to be CEO?
Well, I wouldn’t be CEO if the former CEO wasn’t fired. That’s defining, but I had nothing to do with it.
I really believe so much of life is due to things that you have no control over. I find it interesting when I talk with some people or you read about people who say, “Yeah, yeah, of course there is some luck in it, but a lot of it was me.” Yes, you have a lot of agency over your own control and trying to prove yourself and prepare yourself for opportunities. But much of your life is going to be determined by things you have zero control over.
And I think it’s good if people would think about that a little bit, and recognize when things aren’t working so well for somebody, and understand that maybe it was just, “This happened instead of that.” And that’s why that person’s there and you’re here. I think there’s not enough humbleness.