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花旗财富首席投资官:现在最好不要买股票

摩尔建议投资者观望。

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纽约证券交易所内忙碌的交易员。图片来源:CHARLY TRIBALLEAU/AFP via Getty Images

• 受本月早些时候关税政策反复的影响,标普500指数跌入回调区间。周二早盘股市小幅走高,随后出现震荡。花旗集团(Citigroup)财富管理部门首席投资官凯特·摩尔警告投资者避免进一步增持股票。

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普关税政策的不确定性令美股出现波动。

本月早些时候,随着特朗普关税政策的反复,标普500指数进入回调区间。周二早盘,市场因期待对等关税力度减弱而小幅上涨,但这轮市场波动已足以让花旗集团投资解决方案团队花旗财富(Citi Wealth)的首席投资官凯特·摩尔发出警告:切勿继续向股市追加资金。

摩尔对CNBC表示:“虽然我不想这样说,但我认为当前不应该追加投资风险资产,如股票或信贷。我认为,短期内股市将陷入震荡区间,技术面压力和政策担忧将令市场反复波动。”

摩尔并不建议抛售股票。她建议投资者观望——这似乎已成为经济领域的普遍策略。例如,美联储暂缓调整利率,以观察关税和贸易形势的变化。尽管消费者信心骤降,但所有人都在等待硬数据(尤其是消费物价和经济增长数据)来揭示真相。

截至周二午盘,市场波动持续。标普500指数微升0.06%,科技股为主的纳斯达克指数上涨0.30%,道琼斯指数则小幅下跌0.04%。国际支付公司Convera首席宏观策略师乔治·维西在周二的声明中指出:“美国股市仍处于回调区间,标普500指数较近期峰值低约7%。”

维西提到,贸易政策的不确定性加剧以及对经济放缓的担忧,加剧了近期的市场暴跌。但他同时指出,特朗普近期关于关税的言论(暗示可能对部分国家暂停加征关税),在一定程度上缓解了投资者的恐慌,助推股市反弹。

但市场或延续震荡格局。高盛(Goldman Sachs)经济学家在周二的一份研究报告中预测,随着美国政府酝酿已久的关税计划于4月2日生效,“初期公布的关税措施可能令市场意外受挫”。他们认为,特朗普可能以谈判为由提出更高税率。此外,该行经济学家预计关税的实际影响将远超市场参与者预期。

美国银行(Bank of America)在近期报告中称,其观察到自去年8月以来最大规模的股票净抛售。其股票策略师写道,随着标普500指数在回调区间止跌回升,其客户在八周来首次转为净卖出。该行另一份报告显示,由于上周关税讨论降温且传闻征收范围收窄,“贸易政策不确定性指数显著下降”。(财富中文网)

译者:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

• 受本月早些时候关税政策反复的影响,标普500指数跌入回调区间。周二早盘股市小幅走高,随后出现震荡。花旗集团(Citigroup)财富管理部门首席投资官凯特·摩尔警告投资者避免进一步增持股票。

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普关税政策的不确定性令美股出现波动。

本月早些时候,随着特朗普关税政策的反复,标普500指数进入回调区间。周二早盘,市场因期待对等关税力度减弱而小幅上涨,但这轮市场波动已足以让花旗集团投资解决方案团队花旗财富(Citi Wealth)的首席投资官凯特·摩尔发出警告:切勿继续向股市追加资金。

摩尔对CNBC表示:“虽然我不想这样说,但我认为当前不应该追加投资风险资产,如股票或信贷。我认为,短期内股市将陷入震荡区间,技术面压力和政策担忧将令市场反复波动。”

摩尔并不建议抛售股票。她建议投资者观望——这似乎已成为经济领域的普遍策略。例如,美联储暂缓调整利率,以观察关税和贸易形势的变化。尽管消费者信心骤降,但所有人都在等待硬数据(尤其是消费物价和经济增长数据)来揭示真相。

截至周二午盘,市场波动持续。标普500指数微升0.06%,科技股为主的纳斯达克指数上涨0.30%,道琼斯指数则小幅下跌0.04%。国际支付公司Convera首席宏观策略师乔治·维西在周二的声明中指出:“美国股市仍处于回调区间,标普500指数较近期峰值低约7%。”

维西提到,贸易政策的不确定性加剧以及对经济放缓的担忧,加剧了近期的市场暴跌。但他同时指出,特朗普近期关于关税的言论(暗示可能对部分国家暂停加征关税),在一定程度上缓解了投资者的恐慌,助推股市反弹。

但市场或延续震荡格局。高盛(Goldman Sachs)经济学家在周二的一份研究报告中预测,随着美国政府酝酿已久的关税计划于4月2日生效,“初期公布的关税措施可能令市场意外受挫”。他们认为,特朗普可能以谈判为由提出更高税率。此外,该行经济学家预计关税的实际影响将远超市场参与者预期。

美国银行(Bank of America)在近期报告中称,其观察到自去年8月以来最大规模的股票净抛售。其股票策略师写道,随着标普500指数在回调区间止跌回升,其客户在八周来首次转为净卖出。该行另一份报告显示,由于上周关税讨论降温且传闻征收范围收窄,“贸易政策不确定性指数显著下降”。(财富中文网)

译者:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

• The S&P 500 slipped into correction territory on the back of on-again, off-again tariffs earlier this month. Stocks edged higher in early trading on Tuesday before wavering. Kate Moore, chief investment officer for Citigroup’s wealth division, is cautioning against putting more money in stocks.

The uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariffs is pushing markets around.

Earlier this month, the S&P 500 entered correction territory on the back of on-again, off-again tariff threats. On Tuesday, stocks edged higher in early trading off hope that reciprocal tariffs would be diluted, but that volatility was enough for Kate Moore, chief investment officer for Citigroup’s investment solutions team Citi Wealth, to warn against putting any more money in stocks.

“It’s uncomfortable to say this, but I would not be putting more money to work in kind of risk assets at this point, so equities or credit,” Moore told CNBC on Tuesday. “I think the equity market is going to be caught in more of a trading range in the near term as both technical pressures and policy fears bounce us around.”

Moore doesn’t think anyone should sell their stocks. It’s more a wait-and-see game, which seems to be a trend in the economic world. The central bank is leaving interest rates untouched, for one, to see how tariffs and trade play out. Consumer sentiment is plunging, but everyone is waiting to see what the hard data reveals, especially where consumer prices and economic growth are concerned.

As of midday Tuesday, markets wavered a bit. The S&P 500 climbed 0.06%, the tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 0.30%, and the Dow moved down 0.04%. The U.S. “equity markets remain in drawdown territory, with the S&P 500 about 7% below its recent peak,” Convera’s lead macro strategist George Vessey said in a statement on Tuesday.

Vessey cited increased uncertainty surrounding trade policy and concerns about an economic slowdown that fueled the market’s recent plunge. But he also cited Trump’s recent comments about tariffs, where the president hinted at breaks for some countries, which have subdued investor fears to a degree and has aided a stock rebound, Vessey said.

But markets may continue to swing. Goldman Sachs anticipates “an initial tariff announcement that negatively surprises markets,” economists wrote in a Tuesday research note, referring to the administration’s long-awaited tariff plan that goes into effect on April 2. They suspect Trump will propose higher rates on a basis of negotiation, for one. Plus, the bank’s economists expect the tariffs to be more substantial than what market participants predict.

Bank of America said it saw the biggest net equity sales since August in a recent research note. Its equity strategists wrote that clients were net sellers for the first time in eight weeks as the S&P 500 recovered from its dip in correction territory. In a separate note from the bank, strategists said the lack of tariff talk last week and reports that they would be narrower “resulted in a notable drop in trade policy uncertainty index.”

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