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比尔·盖茨:10年内有望实现一周两天工作制

PRESTON FORE
2025-04-01

盖茨表示,人工智能或许很快就能将每周工作时间缩短到两天。

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图片来源:ARUN SANKAR/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES

• 周末5天的时代来了。微软联合创始人、亿万富翁比尔·盖茨表示,人工智能可能很快将几乎所有工作自动化,不出十年,人们每周工作时间可能变成两天。

如果你不喜欢每天朝九晚五,好消息来了。比尔·盖茨预测,随着人工智能不断发展,未来10年内人类可能每周只用工作两天。

盖茨预测,按照目前创新的速度,“大多数事情”不再需要人类,因此,重新思考工作模式很快会提上日程。

“以后工作会是什么样?是不是每周只用工作2到3天?”盖茨在《今夜秀》(The Tonight Show)节目中对主持人吉米·法伦说。

这并不是他第一次提到工作时长将会缩短。2023年,ChatGPT刚起步时盖茨就曾表示,未来社会“最终”可能变成每周只用工作三天,而且得想办法应对闲暇时间增多的情况。

“眼光放长远,生活的意义可不只是埋头工作,”他在“What Now?”播客上对特雷弗·诺亚说。

5天的周末可能提高出生率,还能缓解职业倦怠

对于正面临职业倦怠、疲惫和疏离感的员工来说,缩短工作时长无疑是好消息,尤其是疫情之后。有迹象表明,改为每周工作四天非常有帮助。一家公司发现,少工作一天可将工作效率提升24%,职业倦怠感也会减半。

缩短每周工作时长的做法尚未普及,不过趋势已经出现。例如,东京都政府最近就宣布采用四天工作制,一定程度上是为了提升日本的出生率。

摩根大通(JPMorgan)首席执行官杰米·戴蒙也发表观点称,人工智能将人类工作的重要性降低,他认为每周只需工作三天半。

然而,摩根大通刚宣布严格执行五天返岗办公的政策,目前看来还没有朝这一方向发展的迹象。

盖茨表示,两类职业可能被人工智能取代

随着人工智能越发向职场渗透,盖茨承认,有些职业的变动会比其他职业更明显。他跟法伦谈话时特别指出,医生和教师可能被人工智能替代,但对整个社会来说是好事。

“未来十年随着人工智能发展,(智能)将免费且普遍,可以轻松获得优质的医疗建议,优秀的辅导,”盖茨说。

他说人类还是能保留一些工作,例如打职业棒球,但在他设想的世界里,人工智能几乎能包办一切。

“有些事情人类还是会自己做,但在制造物品、运输和种植粮食方面,假以时日都能利用人工智能解决,”盖茨说。

如果无法打败,那就加入。在充满不确定性的技术革新时代,最有机会在商业领域成功的人,都是积极掌握而非抵制人工智能的人。领英(LinkedIn)数据显示,2025年增长最快的技能便是人工智能相关知识素养。(财富中文网)

译者:梁宇

审校:夏林

• 周末5天的时代来了。微软联合创始人、亿万富翁比尔·盖茨表示,人工智能可能很快将几乎所有工作自动化,不出十年,人们每周工作时间可能变成两天。

如果你不喜欢每天朝九晚五,好消息来了。比尔·盖茨预测,随着人工智能不断发展,未来10年内人类可能每周只用工作两天。

盖茨预测,按照目前创新的速度,“大多数事情”不再需要人类,因此,重新思考工作模式很快会提上日程。

“以后工作会是什么样?是不是每周只用工作2到3天?”盖茨在《今夜秀》(The Tonight Show)节目中对主持人吉米·法伦说。

这并不是他第一次提到工作时长将会缩短。2023年,ChatGPT刚起步时盖茨就曾表示,未来社会“最终”可能变成每周只用工作三天,而且得想办法应对闲暇时间增多的情况。

“眼光放长远,生活的意义可不只是埋头工作,”他在“What Now?”播客上对特雷弗·诺亚说。

5天的周末可能提高出生率,还能缓解职业倦怠

对于正面临职业倦怠、疲惫和疏离感的员工来说,缩短工作时长无疑是好消息,尤其是疫情之后。有迹象表明,改为每周工作四天非常有帮助。一家公司发现,少工作一天可将工作效率提升24%,职业倦怠感也会减半。

缩短每周工作时长的做法尚未普及,不过趋势已经出现。例如,东京都政府最近就宣布采用四天工作制,一定程度上是为了提升日本的出生率。

摩根大通(JPMorgan)首席执行官杰米·戴蒙也发表观点称,人工智能将人类工作的重要性降低,他认为每周只需工作三天半。

然而,摩根大通刚宣布严格执行五天返岗办公的政策,目前看来还没有朝这一方向发展的迹象。

盖茨表示,两类职业可能被人工智能取代

随着人工智能越发向职场渗透,盖茨承认,有些职业的变动会比其他职业更明显。他跟法伦谈话时特别指出,医生和教师可能被人工智能替代,但对整个社会来说是好事。

“未来十年随着人工智能发展,(智能)将免费且普遍,可以轻松获得优质的医疗建议,优秀的辅导,”盖茨说。

他说人类还是能保留一些工作,例如打职业棒球,但在他设想的世界里,人工智能几乎能包办一切。

“有些事情人类还是会自己做,但在制造物品、运输和种植粮食方面,假以时日都能利用人工智能解决,”盖茨说。

如果无法打败,那就加入。在充满不确定性的技术革新时代,最有机会在商业领域成功的人,都是积极掌握而非抵制人工智能的人。领英(LinkedIn)数据显示,2025年增长最快的技能便是人工智能相关知识素养。(财富中文网)

译者:梁宇

审校:夏林

• Say hello to a 5-day weekend: Billionaire Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates says artificial intelligence may soon automate almost everything—and with it, usher in a 2-day work week in less than a decade.

If you are not a fan of the 9-to-5 weekly grind, there’s good news: Bill Gates is predicting that in just 10 years, humans might just work two days out of the week—and it’s all thanks to AI.

At the current pace of innovation, the Microsoft co-founder predicts that humans will no longer be needed “for most things,” and so a rethinking of the workplace will soon be in order.

“What will jobs be like? Should we just work like 2 or 3 days a week?” the billionaire told Jimmy Fallon on The Tonight Show.

This is not the first time the billionaire alluded to a shortening of the workweek. In 2023, when ChatGPT was still in its infancy, Gates said society might “eventually” get to a scenario where working three days a week is the norm—and the world will have to figure out what to do with more leisure time.

“If you zoom out, the purpose of life is not just to do jobs,” he told Trevor Noah’s “What Now?” podcast.

A 5-day weekend could boost birth rates and kill burnout

Any workweek reduction is likely music to the ears of many workers who are battling burnout, exhaustion, and disconnect—especially following the pandemic. And there are indications that the shift to a four-day workweek, in particular, is beneficial. One company found that cutting work by one day increased productivity by 24% and cut burnout in half.

While the widespread adoption of a shortened worksheet hasn’t caught on yet, the pendulum is moving. For example, Tokyo’s Metropolitan government recently announced a turn to a 4-day workweek—in part to help boost birth rates in Japan.

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, has also expressed his view that AI will make working less of a priority—placing his bet on a three-and-a-half day workweek.

However, there are no indications that his company is heading in that direction anytime soon due to the new enforcement of a strict five-day return-to-office policy.

The 2 professions likely to be replaced by AI, according to Gates

As AI takes aim at the workplace, Gates admitted there will be professions that see much more change than others. In his conversation with Fallon, he singled out doctors and teachers as two pathways that will experience replacement—but to the benefit of society as a whole.

“With AI, over the next decade, (intelligence) will become free, commonplace—great medical advice, great tutoring,” Gates said.

While he says humans will reserve some jobs—like playing professional baseball, for example—he pictures a world where AI is doing close to everything.

“There will be some things that we reserve ourselves for, but in terms of making things and moving things and growing food—over time, those will be basically solved problems,” Gates said.

If you can’t beat it, join it: Those aiming to succeed in the business world during this new, uncertain era of technological advancement are likely to be those who embrace, not resist, AI the most moving forward. According to LinkedIn, AI literacy is the fastest-growing skill for 2025.

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