
• 高盛(Goldman Sachs)的报告指出,对冲基金正在加速减持全球科技股,其中半导体行业遭遇的抛售潮最为猛烈。尽管科技股素来容易波动,但今年有多重因素使科技公司承受了更大压力。
高盛Prime Services部门的一份报告显示,对冲基金正在加速减持全球信息技术股票,本轮抛售潮创下六个月以来的最快减持速度。
本就面临业绩波动的科技板块,在高盛的主经纪平台上已成为净卖出量最高的行业。美国科技股成为此次抛售潮的重灾区,约占全球净卖出量的75%。
抛售最严重的板块集中在半导体和半导体设备领域,只有电子设备和通信设备两个子板块没有经历资金净流出。
报告显示,美国对冲基金对信息技术股票的配置比例已降至16.4%,为五年来最低水平,这一变化释放出投资者情绪转向的信号。
多年来,对冲基金始终保持较高的科技股配置,押注该行业的持续创新与强劲盈利增长。
然而,不断加剧的宏观经济压力,包括影响全球贸易的关税威胁、过高的公司估值和公司可持续收益的不确定性等,可能引发了这波去风险化操作。
摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)上周四发布的报告显示,对冲基金还在加大做空力度,英伟达(Nvidia)、超微半导体(Advanced Micro Devices)和特斯拉(Tesla)成为其前三大做空标的。
本轮抛售潮的主要原因是对冲基金削减多头头寸与增加空头押注,这反映出对冲基金对该板块的前景趋于悲观。做空头寸押注资产价格下跌,而做多头寸则预期价格上涨。
科技股剧烈波动
科技股经历了动荡的一年。
科技股素来容易波动,因为这些科技公司往往估值较高且有极高的市盈率,但今年有多重因素使科技股承受了更大压力。
今年1月,中国高级人工智能推理模型深度求索(DeepSeek)发布后,投资者对美国大型科技公司的信心受到冲击。该公司的R1人工智能模型所带来的不确定性,导致美国科技板块的市值一天蒸发了近1万亿美元,并促使人们重新思考AI公司的估值。
深度求索声称其最新模型的开发所使用的是性能较弱但成本更低的芯片,这给英伟达的股价带来了下行压力,由此引发抛售潮,因为投资者担心美国的大型科技公司可能对该芯片制造商更为先进芯片的需求减少。
特朗普总统的关税措施导致贸易战升级的威胁,也冲击了科技股的行情。特朗普宣布将对“所有国家”加征关税并威胁对俄罗斯石油征收关税的次日,美股暴跌。
周一,台积电(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)、SK海力士(SK Hynix)、三星(Samsung)和东京威力科创(Tokyo Electron)等芯片厂商的股价全线下跌。
对AI泡沫的担忧
一些投资者和分析师担心,科技股可能陷入了AI所催生的泡沫。虽然AI潜力无限,但AI开发公司的估值快速上涨,也引发了这些公司是否被过度炒作或估值过高的担忧。
在上周发布的一份战略报告中,高盛试图让投资者相信科技板块依旧存在大量投资机会,打消了投资者认为科技板块陷入AI泡沫的担忧。
这份报告指出,尽管当前对大型科技公司股票的抛售潮,被拿来与25年前的互联网泡沫相提并论,但2000年和2025年的关键区别在于,如今科技股不断攀升的估值在很大程度上受到强劲基本面的支撑,例如企业利润的激增。(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
• 高盛(Goldman Sachs)的报告指出,对冲基金正在加速减持全球科技股,其中半导体行业遭遇的抛售潮最为猛烈。尽管科技股素来容易波动,但今年有多重因素使科技公司承受了更大压力。
高盛Prime Services部门的一份报告显示,对冲基金正在加速减持全球信息技术股票,本轮抛售潮创下六个月以来的最快减持速度。
本就面临业绩波动的科技板块,在高盛的主经纪平台上已成为净卖出量最高的行业。美国科技股成为此次抛售潮的重灾区,约占全球净卖出量的75%。
抛售最严重的板块集中在半导体和半导体设备领域,只有电子设备和通信设备两个子板块没有经历资金净流出。
报告显示,美国对冲基金对信息技术股票的配置比例已降至16.4%,为五年来最低水平,这一变化释放出投资者情绪转向的信号。
多年来,对冲基金始终保持较高的科技股配置,押注该行业的持续创新与强劲盈利增长。
然而,不断加剧的宏观经济压力,包括影响全球贸易的关税威胁、过高的公司估值和公司可持续收益的不确定性等,可能引发了这波去风险化操作。
摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)上周四发布的报告显示,对冲基金还在加大做空力度,英伟达(Nvidia)、超微半导体(Advanced Micro Devices)和特斯拉(Tesla)成为其前三大做空标的。
本轮抛售潮的主要原因是对冲基金削减多头头寸与增加空头押注,这反映出对冲基金对该板块的前景趋于悲观。做空头寸押注资产价格下跌,而做多头寸则预期价格上涨。
科技股剧烈波动
科技股经历了动荡的一年。
科技股素来容易波动,因为这些科技公司往往估值较高且有极高的市盈率,但今年有多重因素使科技股承受了更大压力。
今年1月,中国高级人工智能推理模型深度求索(DeepSeek)发布后,投资者对美国大型科技公司的信心受到冲击。该公司的R1人工智能模型所带来的不确定性,导致美国科技板块的市值一天蒸发了近1万亿美元,并促使人们重新思考AI公司的估值。
深度求索声称其最新模型的开发所使用的是性能较弱但成本更低的芯片,这给英伟达的股价带来了下行压力,由此引发抛售潮,因为投资者担心美国的大型科技公司可能对该芯片制造商更为先进芯片的需求减少。
特朗普总统的关税措施导致贸易战升级的威胁,也冲击了科技股的行情。特朗普宣布将对“所有国家”加征关税并威胁对俄罗斯石油征收关税的次日,美股暴跌。
周一,台积电(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)、SK海力士(SK Hynix)、三星(Samsung)和东京威力科创(Tokyo Electron)等芯片厂商的股价全线下跌。
对AI泡沫的担忧
一些投资者和分析师担心,科技股可能陷入了AI所催生的泡沫。虽然AI潜力无限,但AI开发公司的估值快速上涨,也引发了这些公司是否被过度炒作或估值过高的担忧。
在上周发布的一份战略报告中,高盛试图让投资者相信科技板块依旧存在大量投资机会,打消了投资者认为科技板块陷入AI泡沫的担忧。
这份报告指出,尽管当前对大型科技公司股票的抛售潮,被拿来与25年前的互联网泡沫相提并论,但2000年和2025年的关键区别在于,如今科技股不断攀升的估值在很大程度上受到强劲基本面的支撑,例如企业利润的激增。(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
• Hedge funds are rapidly pulling back from global tech stocks, with the heaviest selling concentrated in the semiconductor sector, according to a note from Goldman Sachs. While tech stocks generally are volatile, several factors have put even more pressure on technology companies this year.
Hedge funds are reducing their exposure to global information technology stocks at an accelerated pace, with the latest selloff marking the fastest decline in six months, according to a note from Goldman Sachs’ Prime Services desk.
The tech sector, which is already struggling with volatile performance, saw the highest net selling activity on Goldman’s prime brokerage platform. U.S. tech stocks bore the brunt of the selloff, making up about 75% of global net selling.
The heaviest selling was concentrated in the semiconductors and semiconductor equipment sectors, while only electronic equipment and communications equipment stocks avoided net outflows.
U.S. hedge fund exposure to the information technology sector has fallen to 16.4%, the lowest level in five years, per the note, signaling a shift in investor sentiment.
For years, hedge funds have maintained relatively elevated exposure to technology stocks, betting on continued innovation and strong earnings growth.
However, mounting macroeconomic pressures—including the threat of tariffs affecting global trade, lofty valuations, and uncertainty around the sustainability of earnings—may have prompted a wave of de-risking.
According to a Thursday note from Morgan Stanley, hedge funds have also been ramping up their short positions, with Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, and Tesla emerging as their top three shorts.
The selloff latest was largely driven by hedge funds reducing their long positions while increasing short bets, indicating a more bearish stance on the sector’s future. A short position bets on an asset’s price declining, while a long position anticipates it will increase.
Tech stocks have been volatile
Technology stocks have had a tumultuous year.
While tech stocks are generally more volatile as companies tend to have high valuations paired with very high price-earnings ratios, several factors have put even more pressure on technology shares this year.
Investor confidence in major U.S. tech companies took a hit in January after the release of an advanced reasoning AI China-based DeepSeek. The uncertainty generated by the company’s R1 AI model wiped nearly $1 trillion off U.S. tech sector market capitalization in a single day and forced a rethink of AI valuations.
The selloff was sparked by claims that DeepSeek built its newest model using lower capability and less expensive chips, something that put pressure on Nvidia shares as investors worried that other Big Tech firms could scale back their demand for the chipmaker’s more advanced offerings.
The threat of an escalating trade war over President Trump’s tariffs has also hit technology stocks. Overnight, stocks plunged after Trump said he would issue tariffs on “all countries” and threatened to impose levies on Russian oil.
Chipmakers such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, SK Hynix, Samsung, and Tokyo Electron all saw declines on Monday.
Fears of AI Bubble
There has been concern among some investors and analysts that tech stocks might be in an AI-induced bubble. While AI has significant potential, the rapid rise in valuations for companies developing the tech has raised questions about whether they are being overhyped or overvalued.
In a strategy paper published last week, Goldman Sachs tried to reassure investors that strong investment opportunities in the tech sector remain and dispelled fears the stocks were in an AI bubble.
The paper said that although the current selloff in big tech had prompted comparisons with the dot-com bubble burst 25 years ago, the key distinction between 2000 and 2025 is that today’s rising tech stock valuations are largely supported by strong fundamentals, such as surging profits.