
·美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的全球关税政策引发股市崩盘,却仍让沃伦·巴菲特过去一年的投资举动得到关注,凸显出他在一度火爆的牛市中的谨慎态度。去年,他决定减持伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司所持的大部分苹果股票,现在看来时机特别合适。
在特朗普的全球关税导致股市崩盘之后,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司董事长和首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在过去一年的投资举动现在看上去出奇地恰到好处。
仅在最近两个交易日,标准普尔500指数就暴跌了10%,而大盘指数从2月中旬的峰值下跌了17%。与此同时,以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数和小盘股罗素2000指数已从近期高点跌落20%还多,进入熊市。
自特朗普上周宣布“解放日”以来,美国股市的总市值已损失6万多亿美元。关税政策导致美国经济衰退,市场出现自2020年新冠疫情以后最严重的抛售。
但巴菲特似乎提前预见到了市场的低迷。2024年,当牛市仍在时,伯克希尔出售了1340亿美元的股票,年底现金储备达到创纪录的3340亿美元,比一年前几乎翻了一番,超过其不断缩水的2720亿美元股票投资组合。
这位以价值为导向的著名投资者多年来一直抱怨估值过高,由于缺乏价格合适的交易对象,他一直没有使用现金进行大规模收购。
伯克希尔的现金大部分为短期国库券,这不仅为该集团提供了避风港,也为该集团带来了可观的收益,巴菲特在最近致股东的信中提到了这一点。
他在2月时曾写道:“由于美国国债的收益率提高,我们大幅增加了这些高流动性短期证券的投资,因此投资收入出现了可预测的大幅增长,这为我们提供了帮助。”
当市场崩盘,不但他买入的股票受到关注,他卖掉的那些股票也吸引了人们注意。
去年,伯克希尔将其持有的苹果股份减少了约三分之二,占公司卖出股票的大部分,尽管这家手机制造商在其持有的股票中仍然占最大份额。
该公司是在去年的前三个季度售出苹果股票的,当时苹果股价仍在上涨期间,并于去年12月底达到峰值。
但自那次峰值以来,由于预期美国将对中国严厉加征高额关税,苹果股价已暴跌28%。这是因为苹果和很多科技公司一样,零部件的生产和制造都依赖中国。
随着特朗普最新一轮关税调整,从中国进口的商品现在面临54%的关税。如果政府兑现其威胁,对从委内瑞拉购买石油的国家征收“次级关税”,该税率可能会达到79%。
与此同时,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司还在抛售美国银行(Bank of America)和花旗集团(Citigroup)的股票。今年到目前为止,这两家银行巨头的股价都下跌了约22%。
相比之下,伯克希尔公司的B类股票今年上涨了9%,尽管在过去一周中略有下跌。该公司的业务范围广泛,包括保险、铁路和能源,主要集中在美国,与进口的关联较小。
因此,与他的同龄人不同,巴菲特的个人财富今年继续增长。根据彭博亿万富翁指数,他的净资产今年增加了127亿美元,总共达到1550亿美元,在名单上排名第六,基本上与比尔·盖茨(Bill Gates)并列,比尔·盖茨的财富减少了33.8亿美元。
埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)以3,020亿美元位居榜首,尽管这个数字在2025年减少了1,300亿美元,其次是杰夫·贝佐斯(Jeff Bezos)的1,930亿美元,比去年减少了452亿美元。
关于最近的市场崩盘是否会促使巴菲特进行大规模收购或购入股票,巴菲特的追随者正在拭目以待。而他2月份的信件可能提供了一条线索。
“伯克希尔的股东可以放心,我们将永远将大部分资金配置在股票上——主要是美国股票,尽管其中许多股票有重要的国际业务,”他写道,“伯克希尔永远不会把持有现金等价物资产的优先级放在持有优秀的企业之上,无论是控股还是仅部分拥有。”(财富中文网)
译者:珠珠
·美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的全球关税政策引发股市崩盘,却仍让沃伦·巴菲特过去一年的投资举动得到关注,凸显出他在一度火爆的牛市中的谨慎态度。去年,他决定减持伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司所持的大部分苹果股票,现在看来时机特别合适。
在特朗普的全球关税导致股市崩盘之后,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司董事长和首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在过去一年的投资举动现在看上去出奇地恰到好处。
仅在最近两个交易日,标准普尔500指数就暴跌了10%,而大盘指数从2月中旬的峰值下跌了17%。与此同时,以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数和小盘股罗素2000指数已从近期高点跌落20%还多,进入熊市。
自特朗普上周宣布“解放日”以来,美国股市的总市值已损失6万多亿美元。关税政策导致美国经济衰退,市场出现自2020年新冠疫情以后最严重的抛售。
但巴菲特似乎提前预见到了市场的低迷。2024年,当牛市仍在时,伯克希尔出售了1340亿美元的股票,年底现金储备达到创纪录的3340亿美元,比一年前几乎翻了一番,超过其不断缩水的2720亿美元股票投资组合。
这位以价值为导向的著名投资者多年来一直抱怨估值过高,由于缺乏价格合适的交易对象,他一直没有使用现金进行大规模收购。
伯克希尔的现金大部分为短期国库券,这不仅为该集团提供了避风港,也为该集团带来了可观的收益,巴菲特在最近致股东的信中提到了这一点。
他在2月时曾写道:“由于美国国债的收益率提高,我们大幅增加了这些高流动性短期证券的投资,因此投资收入出现了可预测的大幅增长,这为我们提供了帮助。”
当市场崩盘,不但他买入的股票受到关注,他卖掉的那些股票也吸引了人们注意。
去年,伯克希尔将其持有的苹果股份减少了约三分之二,占公司卖出股票的大部分,尽管这家手机制造商在其持有的股票中仍然占最大份额。
该公司是在去年的前三个季度售出苹果股票的,当时苹果股价仍在上涨期间,并于去年12月底达到峰值。
但自那次峰值以来,由于预期美国将对中国严厉加征高额关税,苹果股价已暴跌28%。这是因为苹果和很多科技公司一样,零部件的生产和制造都依赖中国。
随着特朗普最新一轮关税调整,从中国进口的商品现在面临54%的关税。如果政府兑现其威胁,对从委内瑞拉购买石油的国家征收“次级关税”,该税率可能会达到79%。
与此同时,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司还在抛售美国银行(Bank of America)和花旗集团(Citigroup)的股票。今年到目前为止,这两家银行巨头的股价都下跌了约22%。
相比之下,伯克希尔公司的B类股票今年上涨了9%,尽管在过去一周中略有下跌。该公司的业务范围广泛,包括保险、铁路和能源,主要集中在美国,与进口的关联较小。
因此,与他的同龄人不同,巴菲特的个人财富今年继续增长。根据彭博亿万富翁指数,他的净资产今年增加了127亿美元,总共达到1550亿美元,在名单上排名第六,基本上与比尔·盖茨(Bill Gates)并列,比尔·盖茨的财富减少了33.8亿美元。
埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)以3,020亿美元位居榜首,尽管这个数字在2025年减少了1,300亿美元,其次是杰夫·贝佐斯(Jeff Bezos)的1,930亿美元,比去年减少了452亿美元。
关于最近的市场崩盘是否会促使巴菲特进行大规模收购或购入股票,巴菲特的追随者正在拭目以待。而他2月份的信件可能提供了一条线索。
“伯克希尔的股东可以放心,我们将永远将大部分资金配置在股票上——主要是美国股票,尽管其中许多股票有重要的国际业务,”他写道,“伯克希尔永远不会把持有现金等价物资产的优先级放在持有优秀的企业之上,无论是控股还是仅部分拥有。”(财富中文网)
译者:珠珠
• The stock market crash triggered by President Donald Trump’s global tariffs brought Warren Buffett’s investment moves over the past year into a fresh light, underscoring his prudence amid the once-raging bull market. His decision last year to shed most of Berkshire Hathaway’s Apple stock now looks especially well timed.
Berkshire Hathaway Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett’s investment moves over the past year now seem uncannily well timed in the wake of the stock market meltdown caused by President Donald Trump’s global tariffs.
In the last two trading sessions alone, the S&P 500 crashed 10%, and the broad market index is down 17% from its mid-February peak. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq and the small-cap Russell 2000 are in bear market territory, having tumbled more than 20% from their recent highs.
Since Trump’s “Liberation Day” announcement on Wednesday, US stocks have lost more than $6 trillion in market cap in the worst selloff since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, as Wall Street prices in a tariff-induced US recession.
But Buffett appeared to anticipate a market downturn coming. Berkshire sold $134 billion in equities in 2024—when the bull market was still raging—and was sitting on a record $334 billion cash pile at year’s end. That’s nearly double from a year earlier and more than its shrinking stock portfolio of $272 billion.
The famously value-oriented investor has also been complaining for years that valuations were too high and has held off on using his cash on major acquisitions due to a lack of bargains.
Most of Berkshire’s cash is in short-term Treasury bills, which not only offer shelter from the storm but also provide the conglomerate a tidy gain that Buffett noted in his most recent letter to shareholders.
“We were aided by a predictable large gain in investment income as Treasury Bill yields improved and we substantially increased our holdings of these highly-liquid short-term securities,” he wrote in February.
In addition to what he bought, what he sold also stands out, given the market crash.
Last year, Berkshire slashed its Apple stake by about two-thirds, representing the bulk of the company’s equity sales, though the iPhone maker remains its largest stock holding.
Those stock sales, which came in the first three quarters of the year, also occurred while Apple was still on the rise, with shares peaking in late December.
But since that peak, Apple has collapsed 28% as US tariffs on China are expected to hit especially hard. That’s because Apple, like many tech companies, relies on China for parts and manufacturing.
With Trump’s latest round of tariffs, imports from China now face a 54% duty. And if the administration follows through on its threat to impost a “secondary tariff” on countries that buy oil from Venezuela, the rate could hit 79%.
Meanwhile, Berkshire has also been offloading shares of Bank of America and Citigroup. Shares of both banking giants are down about 22% so far this year.
By contrast, Berkshire’s class B shares are up 9% this year, though they have taken a modest hit this past week. The wide array of its businesses, such as insurance, rail, and energy, are mostly focused on the US and less exposed to imports.
As a result, Buffett’s personal fortune has grown this year, unlike those of his peers. According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, his net worth has expanded by $12.7 billion this year to give him a total of $155 billion, putting him at No. 6 on the list and essentially tying him with Bill Gates, whose own fortune shrank by $3.38 billion.
Elon Musk remains No. 1 with $302 billion, though that’s down by $130 billion in 2025, followed by Jeff Bezos with $193 billion, down by $45.2 billion.
As Buffett watchers wait to see if the recent market crash will finally induce him to make a big acquisition or stock purchase, his February letter may offer a clue.
“Berkshire shareholders can rest assured that we will forever deploy a substantial majority of their money in equities—mostly American equities although many of these will have international operations of significance,” he wrote. “Berkshire will never prefer ownership of cash-equivalent assets over the ownership of good businesses, whether controlled or only partially owned.”